Sell EURUSD H4 Channel Breakout & Order BlockThe EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0820, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0620
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0900. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Opportunity Breakdown :
1. Bullish Channel Breakout & Retest
2. Price Reversal @ Fibo - 0.786
Market Factors:
Dovish ECB vs Hawkish Fed: The European Central Bank (ECB) is generally expected to maintain a dovish stance on interest rates, while the Federal Reserve might continue raising rates to combat inflation. This interest rate differential could weaken the EUR relative to the USD.
Weak Eurozone Data: Recent economic data releases from the Eurozone might have painted a weaker picture of the region's economic health, potentially undermining confidence in the Euro.
Thank you.
EUR
Sell EURUSD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0850, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0819
2nd Support – 1.0805
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0885 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.08524
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.08838
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.08041
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 169.40
1st Support: 167.40
1st Resistance: 171.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week
With a European Central Bank (ECB) decision due next week, a trade in the GBP/EUR could be of interest. Presently, the EUR/GBP is trading at the lowest rate since August of 2022.
The divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Bank of England (BOE) is what could be driving this weakness in the EUR. E ECB President Christine Lagarde has recently expressed confidence that Eurozone inflation is under control, hinting at a possible interest rate cut next month. The same level of dovishness is not yet seen in the language of the BOE officials.
Additionally, the GBP/EUR pair could be influenced by changes in the U.S. dollar. The pound typically exhibits greater sensitivity to shifts in risk sentiment compared to the euro. A softening U.S. dollar, potentially stemming from upcoming U.S. jobs data, might further strengthen the pound against the euro. Intraday bias for the GBP/EUR pair remains neutral, with potential for more consolidations.
Across the week, we get the US JOLTs Job Openings, ADP Employment Change, and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Last month’s NFP reported 175,000 jobs added in April 2024, down from 315,000 jobs added in March, and falling well short of expectations for 240,000. This month's forecast is for even fewer, at 150,000 jobs.
Bear in mind, any surprising strength in U.S. job data or a more hawkish tone from the BOE could lead to different trading dynamics.
EURUSD (Still in the same Range)EURUSD Techncial analyse
The price reached the price we mentioned in the previous idea, it was the upper of the channel.
Now, after touching the support line the price rebounded and will continue the bullish trend toward 1.08800 and then should break that to get 1.0917 and 1.09575
stability under 1.0796 means will start a bearish trend toward 1.0707,
Pivot Price: 1.0850
Resistance Levels: 1.0880, 1.0917, 1.0992
Support Levels: 1.0796, 1.0707, 1.0650
The price is expected to oscillate between the support at 1.0796 and the resistance at 1.0917.
previous idea:
EURUSD TURTLE SOUP SETUP SHORT - BEFORE INTEREST RATE CUTHi. I am bearish on EURUSD now as it reached the price I was interested to open short.
Interest Rate cut for EUR is coming in June, the dollar should start reversing around now.
CFTC reported recently more commercial shorts compared to longs (attached).
Stop loss on chart.
Target 1: 1.081
Final target on retest of flip zone.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has just bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8501
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8456
Why we like it:
There is a support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8530
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is currently at the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0793
1st Support: 1.0742
1st Resistance: 1.0842
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amid USD Strength and Hawkish Fed CommentDuring Wednesday's London session, EUR/USD extended its losses, approaching 1.08370. The pair faces challenges as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground amidst rising risk aversion sentiment. This shift in market sentiment is possibly triggered by hawkish remarks from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, who suggested that further rate hikes remain a possibility. Kashkari's comments highlighted uncertainties about the disinflationary process, predicting only two rate cuts, which contributed to the USD's strength.
From a technical perspective, as observed in previous analyses, the price rebounded from the 78.6% Fibonacci level. This rebound occurred in confluence with a well-identified supply zone, confirming our earlier forecasts. The price action suggests the potential formation of a double top pattern in this area, indicating a significant resistance level. The initial bearish impulse from this region supports the likelihood of further downside movement.
The recent price behavior and technical indicators suggest that EUR/USD may continue its downward trajectory. The formation of the double top pattern, characterized by the two peaks at the supply zone, often signals a trend reversal. Traders should monitor this area closely, as a confirmed double top could lead to a more pronounced bearish move.
In addition to the technical factors, the broader macroeconomic environment continues to influence EUR/USD dynamics. The strengthening USD, driven by hawkish Fed rhetoric and ongoing economic uncertainties, poses additional challenges for the Euro. Market participants will likely remain cautious, closely watching upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications for further guidance.
Overall, the combination of technical and fundamental factors suggests a cautious outlook for EUR/USD. The current price action, marked by the rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci level and potential double top formation, aligns with our bearish forecast. Traders should consider these insights when making their trading decisions, remaining vigilant for any shifts in market sentiment or key economic indicators that could impact the pair's direction.
EURUSD: ZONES and CHANNELS Hello traders:
This is intraday analysis for EURUSD:
The mid-term channel is bullish and we are around a good place to see pressure of buyers.
On the other hand, the bullish short-term channel is broken but we are far enough from it.
I'm searching for longing the pair around the current zone 1.0845. my first tp could be around 1.08550 and the final TP is 1.08650.
the 1.08650 zone is perfect for short trading if it coincide with the middle mid-term channel.
EURCHF - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling wedge in red.
At present, EURCHF is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCHF approaches the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 8 - EURUSD - (29th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURUSD, starting from the Monthly chart.
- R2F
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.08436
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.08207
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.08845
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Today's result is critical for maintaing the Channel DowEURUSD has turned bullish short-term on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.604, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 30.311) as it rebounded before the 1D MA50/200 test. This is making a LH, same way it did on March 21st, again after holding the 1D MA50/200. Similarly, the 1D RSI us on the MA period. A rejection today validates the fractal bias of happening again. In that case, we are still on course to forming the new bearish wave of the five month Channel Down. We are still aiming for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.05550).
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EURUSD: Intraday:Upon examining the updated chart for EUR/USD, it appears our previous analysis was profitable. Let's break down the current chart and provide an updated intraday analysis based on the new information provided.
Previous Day Analysis Review
In our previous analysis, we noted key support and resistance levels, the short-term upward channel, and the highlighted support zone. The suggested bullish scenario played out, as the price respected the lower boundary of the channel and moved upward, yielding profitable trades for those who followed the strategy.
The price is still moving within the upward channel marked in red.
The lower boundary of the channel remains around 1.08600, with the upper boundary near 1.08900.
Support and Resistance:
The highlighted support zone (purple) around 1.08550 - 1.08650 remains critical.
Near the lower boundary of the channel at 1.08600.
The upper boundary of the channel at 1.08900.
The price recently tested the upper boundary and pulled back, suggesting a potential retest of the support zone and the lower boundary of the channel.
A rebound from the support zone would align with the short-term bullish trend within the channel.
Trading Scenarios
Entry Point: Near the support zone at 1.08550 - 1.08650.
Target: The upper boundary of the channel that could around 1.08900 or more.
Stop-Loss: Below 1.08500, just under the support zone.
The intraday analysis confirms a profitable outcome from our previous analysis. The key levels to monitor include the support zone around 1.08550 - 1.08650 and the upper boundary of the channel at 1.08900. Maintaining a disciplined approach with proper risk management is crucial for successful trading.
EURUSD, growth continue. Powerful tendention.Hi friend. Euro show stable upward tendention based on big accumulation zone. I specially take a 2H timeframe to show it mass. We have 2 transit levels (1.0879 and 1.0894) also there is mirror levels - 1.0902, 1.0906 (pivot). And finally we have on chart bulls target level and strong resistance - 1.0920.
Follow me. And i`ll be pleasure to know your opinion.
EURAUD - Trading the Range 📦Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURAUD has been overall bullish , trading within the flat rising channel in red.
At present, EURAUD is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone.
Moreover, it is retesting the upper bound of the short-term channel marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue and red trendlines.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURAUD approaches the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPJPY near the current highest point of this year#GBPJPY EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.