EURUSD map: Down to 1.04-1.00 Then Up to 1.16-1.21EURUSD is in the second leg down to complete a complex correction (red down arrows).
There are three crucial target points for drop to watch:
1) Valley of red leg 1 at 1.0448 and 50% Fib at 1.0406
2) 61.8% Fib at 1.0200
3) Touch point of the throwback to broken trendline around parity
Next is the reversal to upside within the large leg 2 up (blue up arrows).
The possible targets depend on the depth of the current drop, the deeper the lower the upside target.
From the first point of drop EURUSD could hit 1.21 area.
From the lowest valley of parity it could reach 1.16 handle.
EUR
Potential bearish drop?EUR/NZD has broken out of the support level which is an overlap support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.80152
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.81029
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.78561
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Heading into pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0772
1st Support: 1.0684
1st Resistance: 1.0840
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07800 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Sell EUR/GBP Channel BreakoutThe EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.8392, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8340
2nd Support – 0.8305
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.8422. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EURAUD to turnaround?EURAUD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.6500.
We look to Sell at 1.6500 (stop at 1.6550)
Our profit targets will be 1.6380 and 1.6350
Resistance: 1.6500 / 1.6550 / 1.6600
Support: 1.6400 / 1.6350 / 1.6300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD: Get ready for a fast short.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 44.229) as it has started the new bullish wave following the test of the 1 year HL trendline but on 1H it got overbought (RSI = 76.034) rebounding very aggressively on its 1H MA50. That is fairly similar to the October 30th rebound of the bullish wave that topped upon a +1.15% rise. We are approaching that % increase so get ready to short. So far we have had two pullbacks of -0.56% each, an amazing display of symmetry inside the Channel Up. That is our target on the short term (TP = 1.08950).
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EUR and the month of JULY in the past 50 years! Check it out!We just entered a new month, and not just an ordinary month -- It's JULY!
And what's special about it? -- and its connection to EUR?
Based on 50 year chart history, JULY is EUR's favorite month to 'ascend' so to speak.
JULY seems to play an important role for the pair's price behavior. A lot of times, what comes after a correction -- is an upside reversal that falls most of the time on the month of JULY. This has happened multiple times in the past. It maybe a short term upside season, a major bullish one or an extended long continuation -- but it seems to bounce during those months.
We just concluded June, and we have entered the 'divine' month for EUR which is JULY. Based on the present price level, we have created a new base to ascend. Last friday's closing (June ending) was an indication of things to come. Going forward as we enter this month, with the last closing price -- it looks like we are heading towards the "expected" direction based on historical movements.
Of course this is not indicative of the pairs future price, but we can certainly be guided.
Just something to ponder about and an interesting way of looking at how fascinating and dynamic price behavior could be.'
The chart above is a HEXAMONTHLY (6-monthly) CHART
Spotted 1.09
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always
EURUSD Flat To Start November Elections Ahead The EURUSD has been quite flat to start the month of November. The current market price is hovering around 1.08730, which is within about 10 pips of the November month open price. Today the Bank of Australia will be releasing new data regarding interest rates, this could possibly give some volatility to the market for US pairs. Don't forget that the US Federal Election will be held tomorrow. Traders will be looking for a spike, for now we will be waiting for the news.
EURUSD: Potential USD Strength On Trump Election MomentumHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.09000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.09000 support and resistance area.
I would also consider the ongoing Elections in the US, if Trump wins as he is bullish the Dollar we should see a significant downsides in the Dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURO - Price can leave wedge and decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke $1.0885 level and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it at once fell to support line.
Then price bounced to resistance line of channel and then declined to $1.0785 level and even broke it.
Price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.0785 level again and exiting from channel.
Next, Euro entered to wedge, made correction to support line, and then started to grow to resistance level.
A not long time ago, price reached this level, and some time traded near, but soon bounced down.
At the moment, I think EUR can make a rise movement and then fall to $1.0785 support level, exiting from the wedge.
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EUR/USD Starts Tuesday with Optimism Amid Mixed Dollar StrengthThe EUR/USD pair opened Tuesday with a positive sentiment, trading at 1.08230 as of this writing. This follows a shaky start to the week for the US Dollar (USD), which initially showed strength but saw limited momentum as investors opted for caution, especially in the absence of major economic data or fundamental drivers early in the week.
ECB’s Cautious Tone Amid Inflation Progress
On Monday, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos offered insights into the central bank’s view on inflation, noting that while there has been substantial progress in reducing inflation, it's premature to assume that the battle is over. His statements suggested that the ECB will maintain a flexible stance on monetary policy, leaving room for adjustments depending on economic developments. This cautious, yet open stance by the ECB may lend some support to the euro, as markets interpret the ECB's careful monitoring of inflation as a signal that interest rate hikes could still be in the realm of possibility.
Focus on U.S. JOLTS Job Openings Data
Later in the day, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the JOLTS Job Openings data for September, which may influence USD sentiment. Markets are anticipating job openings to slightly decrease to 7.99 million, from 8.04 million in August. However, should the reading exceed expectations, particularly if it reaches 8.5 million or higher, it could reinforce USD strength as it would indicate continued labor market resilience—a key factor for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Conversely, a reading below 7.5 million might dampen USD appeal, as it would suggest cooling in the labor market, potentially leading the Fed to reconsider its tightening pace.
Technical Overview: EUR/USD Positioned Near Demand Zone
From a technical perspective, EUR/USD is showing some resilience around a demand zone, though it isn’t the strongest of support levels. The pair’s recent reaction in this area suggests some buying interest that could offer temporary support. Given this positioning, a long position might be worth considering if the upcoming JOLTS data provides a supportive backdrop by coming in below expectations, potentially weakening the USD.
On the other hand, if the data surprises on the upside, EUR/USD might test lower levels, and the demand zone’s strength could be challenged.
Conclusion
In summary, the EUR/USD outlook today hinges significantly on the JOLTS report, with the euro finding slight support from the ECB's cautious optimism on inflation. A supportive labor report could provide USD strength, but a weaker-than-expected report may favor euro bulls, positioning EUR/USD for further upside near current demand levels. With this dynamic, traders might consider waiting for the JOLTS data before committing to positions, using it as a potential trigger for directionality in this volatile environment.
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EURGBP to attract buyers at market price?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 0.8412.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 0.8412 (stop at 0.8434)
Our profit targets will be 0.8357 and 0.8347
Resistance: 0.8397 / 0.8420 / 0.8448
Support: 0.8369 / 0.8353 / 0.8340
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD targeting 1.0500 after the 1W MA100 rejection.Late August (Aug 26, see chart below) saw us emphasizing the critical role of the Lower Highs trend-line, being the top of a multi-year Falling Wedge pattern that started at the peak of the 2008 Housing Crisis, and its important on the long-term trend, with a break-out being bullish while a rejection being bearish:
The price was eventually rejected exactly at the top and at the same time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which did the July 2023 rejection. That rejection initiated a correction back to the Symmetrical Support Zone of 2015.
As a result, we expect EURUSD to gradually descend towards that Zone and by mid 2025, hit 1.0500.
Notice also that the 1W RSI also got very close to its 15-year Resistance Zone. This has triggered in the past more brutal sell-offs.
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XAUEUR_4Hhello
Analysis of gold against the euro Analysis based on Elliott waves The market is in a downward correction and this correction is the bottom of wave 4 in the long term, for which we are buying the market for the long term. But in the 4-hour and weekly time, the resistance is 2545.5, and by maintaining this resistance, we will fall towards 2440.0
DXY + EURUSD Analysis (4th Nov 2024)Here is my analysis for the DXY and EURUSD for the edification of a learner.
As we know the US elections are coming up, so we are likely going to see some manipulation and volatility this month. It will be very interesting. I caution anyone to not take high leveraged swing trades during this time unless they are in a gambling mood.
- R2F
Could the price reverse from here?EUR/GBP is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8404
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8448
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8347
Why we like it:
there is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/02/2024Good afternoon,
Today, my focus will be on identifying long entries for a long position, as we appear to have reached a selling climax.
On the 15-minute time frame, a robust demand zone is evident between 1.0300 and 1.0400. The market has made a significant move towards 1.0300, leaving indications of early buying activity from "Market Makers." A notable reversal occurred on October 1st, followed by the formation of a bullish wedge (which is typically a bearish pattern) that pushed the market below the previous low. Currently, we are beginning to form a triangle on the 15-minute chart, which serves as a critical signal for a potential market reversal, particularly since it has not managed to fill the liquidity above it. This downward movement seems designed to eliminate the remaining sellers and early buyers. Additionally, my strategy, "High Clear," has materialized, suggesting that a liquidity sweep of the recent low was anticipated.
I am now monitoring the fourth leg of the triangle as it approaches the lower congestion line, preparing for a potential breakout with the fifth leg. It is important to note that if a sixth leg forms, it would indicate a continuation of the market trend.
I suspect that the market is attempting to prompt traders to shift to short positions, setting the stage for one final significant rally towards 1.1300. I anticipate that the market could reach this level in the coming weeks, unless we observe the formation of a six-legged triangle.
The Pip Assassin
FX:EURUSD TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
EURUSD 3/11/24This week, our bias on the Euro has shifted from short to long. This change is based on observing a shift in the higher time frame structure, as institutions appear to be showing interest in buying. Whether this move will be short-term or long-term remains to be seen. We’ll watch the price action in the first sessions of the week to get a clearer idea.
Please note, this analysis follows the same principles and bias approach as always. Currently, there are no unmitigated demand areas on the 4-hour chart, and only a short-term supply area has formed. The area of demand we’ve highlighted is present only on the 1-hour chart, making it more of a smaller time frame reference than a higher one. We’ve marked key liquidity levels, which will serve as our reference points for potential upward movement this week.
If the price interacts with the 1-hour demand area, we’ll aim for the high at the top of the current range. While I’m ultimately looking for a longer-term upward move, a pullback beforehand is possible.
Stick to your plan and manage your risk.
Euro can fall to support level and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price fell to the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level and at once rebounded up. Price in a short time rose to 1.1210 points and then turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, the price soon broke the 1.1085 level and then fell almost the support line of the channel, after which EUR bounced and continued to decline. Later Euro fell to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the downward channel with the buyer zone. After this, the price continued to decline and soon, broke the 1.0810 level and entered to buyer zone, after which turned around, and some time traded between support level. Last time, the price fell to the buyer zone and then rebounded up, thereby breaking the 1.0810 level again, and then exited from the channel too. At the moment, I think that Euro can correct to a support level and then start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0980 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Short term buy inside a Channel Up.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up.
The price has falled by -0.55%, same amount as the October 25th-28th pull back.
That was a short term buy opportunity that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci.
The MA200 (1h) is supporting just below.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08750 (Fibonacci 0.786 level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is about to turn oversold. That has been the most effective buy signal on the last 3 lows (October 29th, 28th and 23rd).
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0896
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0952
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0840
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.