EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 163.500 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 163.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Eur-jpy
Potential reversal from overlap resistance levelPrice is currently at an overlap resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 163.446
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 164.364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 162.661
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
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EURJPY Approaching Channel Up top. Bearish signal.The EURJPY pair is very close to our 168.000 Target that we set on our last analysis (December 13 2023, see chart below):
That is at the top of the 2-year Channel Up that started on the March 07 2022 Low. Technically after that, it calls for a short-term trend-reversal. As a result we modify the bullish Target to 167.400 and then will go for a short-term sell, targeting 164.500.
This is because we have identified a short-term RSI bearish divergence pattern, which when the RSI in on Lower Highs and the pair on Higher Highs (i.e. Bearish Divergence), the price rises to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and then pulls back to the 1.0.
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This week’s 4 major trading eventsIn the United States, traders are awaiting insights from Federal Reserve policymakers, particularly Chief Jerome Powell, scheduled to speak on Friday. Fed members Bostic and Cook will also appear on Monday.
Economic data in Europe will be limited this week due to the Easter break, with major bourses closed for Good Friday and Easter Monday. Perhaps the only event of note is ECB President Christine Lagarde speaking on Monday.
In Japan, attention will be focused on minutes from the BoJ's recent meeting and the Summary of Opinions for insights into potential follow-up actions following the historic interest rate hike seen last week.
In Australia, February’s inflation rate expectations for March, as well as consumer confidence, are expected to fall.
Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance and seize trading opportunities (see below for link)
Will EURJPY bearish momentum stall?EURJPY - Intraday
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias is bullish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 163.40 level.
We look to Buy at 163.40 (stop at 162.30)
Our profit targets will be 164.40 and 164.70
Resistance: 167.35 / 168.95 / 171.20
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EUR JPYMy analysis on EUR JPY, I use limit orders so I don't need to be in front of the chart all day.
To consider this a good entry there are certain criteria to follow:
1. Clean BoS with IMB.
2. * Look for areas where liquidity has been purged.
3. * Stochastic: in uptrend 0-15, in downtrend 85-100.
( * ) = Not optional but increases our probability.
I use Fibonacci to get these extreme points and my preferred one is 75% retracement, with a risk-reward of 1:3.
Set and forget.
Trade carefully,
This is not financial advice, DYOR.
EURJPY to find resistance at market price?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned negative.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 161.35.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 161.65 level.
We look to Sell at 161.80 (stop at 162.30)
Our profit targets will be 160.60 and 160.30
Resistance: 161.90 / 164.30 / 167.35
Support: 160.00 / 158.70 / 15.40
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURJPY to form a lower high?EURJPY - Intraday
Buying pressure from 161.68 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 162.95 (stop at 163.35)
Our profit targets will be 161.95 and 161.75
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURJPY SELL BIASWeekly: Bullish, Retested unmitigated ob 163.150-750, Week closed above recent high, price is 300 pips above last major support and 120 pips from next major resistance.
Daily: Bullish, Rejection from major resistance the day before market close, Price is on a 100 pip bullish run breaking major zone without a valid pullback.
4hr: Consolidation, Double top pattern near major resistance, Strong
bullish trendline, Support that haven't been tested at 162.375.
1hr: Consolidation, In a zone formed after rejection of major resistance, Bearish choch, Recent rejection from bottom of consolidation zone, Unmitigated ob at 163.100 at the top of the zone, Unmitigated ob at 162.100, Rejection from .618 fib retracement.
15m: Consolidation, Currently under 50 ema, Bullish choch formed before market close, Rejection of minor resistance at 162.875, Bearish flag pattern Double top pattern, Unmitigated ob at 163.100, Unmitigated ob at 162.500.
I believe the bull run is about to reverse to the downside for a pullback to the last daily support at 161.925. i would like to see price exit and break and retest the last major 4hr support before entering a trade to and we can start aiming for the liquidity made from a break of the 4hr trendline.
Sell EURJPY Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a triangle pattern.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines. This pattern can be interpreted as a continuation of the prior trend or a potential reversal depending on the breakout direction. The recent break below the lower trendline signifies a potential confirmation of a downtrend continuation.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 163.08, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels 162.33 and 161.98
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 163.40. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
Sell EURJPY Channel Breakout The EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a bullish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 162.85, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 162.04 and 161.54. Further downside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel support line at 163.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
Buy EURJPY Channel BreakoutThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a channel pattern.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 161.70, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the channel, now acting as potential support zones: 162.04 and 162.30. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken channel resistance line, ideally around 161.10. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Thank you
BUY EURJPY Bullish Channel PatternThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a potential buying opportunity due to a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bullish Channel: The price has been trading within an upward-sloping channel characterized by two converging lines: a rising support line and a rising resistance line. This ongoing uptrend signals continued buying pressure.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 161.50, positioned close to the channel support. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 162.02 and 162.35, marking previous resistance zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken channel at 161.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Thank you
EURJPY Bearish for this weekThis week, prevailing market dynamics suggest a bearish sentiment for the EUR/JPY exchange rate, propelled by a convergence of influential factors. Foremost among these is the European Central Bank's cautious monetary policy stance in response to lingering concerns surrounding inflationary pressures and economic recuperation within the Eurozone. Compounded by lackluster growth indicators and persistently subdued inflation figures, investor confidence in the euro is challenged, thus exerting downward pressure on the EUR/JPY pair. Heightened political uncertainties within the Eurozone and escalating global geopolitical tensions serve to amplify risk aversion among investors, fostering an inclination towards safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen. Concurrently, market participants remain attuned to nuanced shifts in central bank policies and interventions, which may further exacerbate selling pressures on the EUR/JPY exchange rate as market sentiment adjusts accordingly. In this intricate interplay of economic, political, and market variables, the prevailing forecast for the EUR/JPY pair appears decidedly bearish for the forthcoming trading week.
EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 160.150 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 160.150 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY long to 158.766+
1.) daily 3 pin formation on daily level
2.) daily support level (157.684)
3.) daily orderflow bullish
4.) 4h manipulation wick
5.) strong 4h divergence
6.) broke 4h trendline
7.) no 4h/30 min divergence against us
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1.) choppy price action on monthly/weekly timeframe
2.) no clear momentum on higher timeframes
overall not the best price action but i think we hit at least 158.766
Sell EURJPY Channel Breakout1. European underperformance relative to the US should weigh on the shared currency.
2. The Japanese currency was a significant underperformer during the global tightening phase, and so we believe the currency can become a significant outperformer during the global easing phase.
3. A likely hawkish monetary policy shift from the Bank of Japan later this year, combined with a weak US economy and lower US interest rates next year, should see the Yen strengthen
Thank you