Eur-jpy
EURJPY 4hour Analysis April 24th, 2022EURJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: We are looking very bullish on EJ this week. At this point we’re looking for structure formation closer to 137.000 as support.
Look to enter long on a confirmed higher low with strong bullish setups.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider EJ bearish again we would need to see a lower high below 137.000.
EURJPY 4hour Analysis April 17th, 2022EURJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Consolidating
Trade scenario 1: We are still bullish on EJ and price action has formed an ascending triangle near 137.000 resistance.
How price action reacts at 137.000 will determine where we look for trades. The most likely scenario is price action breaking 137 and forming structure above.
Trade scenario 2: If we are to consider EJ bearish we need to see a break of the most recent 4hour higher low and this pattern.
Look to enter short on lower highs and target toward 135.500
EURJPY Bull Flag done. Targeting $139.00.The EURJPY pair has broken above its Bull Flag this week. That was a pattern coming off the incredible 10% rise since the March 07 bottom that broke above its Bearish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MACD topped and made a Bearish Cross.
The last time we saw the very same set of conditions was during the strong rise of May 2020 that led to the June 2020 Bull Flag. That was in the aftermath of the COVID market crash 2020. This time it another set of strong macro events that led to this rise, the Ukraine - Russia war and inflation. Also in both fractals, a 1D Golden Cross was formed (when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
In September 2020, the price action following the Bull Flag topped on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. This time, the next available Fib extension is the 3.0 at 139.845. We are targeting just below that at $139.00.
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Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsEUR – The single currency strengthened across the board on Monday after French President Macron won the first round of France’s elections.
Commenting on EUR’s performance, however, Wells Fargo warns that “it’s going to be hard for the euro to really get more upside traction until the event risk fully passes.”
Indeed, the next round of France’s election will take place on April 24th and “promises to be a very tightly fought presidential election runoff,” according to Reuters.
JPYBASKET SHORTS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bearish price action on JPYBASKET as we are in clear bearish market strucutre on the HTF(higher timeframe premise) price didn't made the bullish reversal i was expecting the last week. I think right now price is heading into sell side liquidity 8095 ALL TIME LOW, with that being said i dont think there is a good chance to enter SELL on YEN CROSSES such as EJ/AJ/NJ/GJ.
What do you think ? Comment below..
EURJPY 4hour Analysis April 10th, 2022EURJPY Neutral Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Ranging
Trade scenario 1: Overall EJ is bullish on the higher timeframes but we can clearly see price action is in a 4hour range at the moment.
Currently there is no trend on the 4hour so we will have to wait for one.
Ideally, we see price action break resistance around 135.500 with a higher low above.
Look to target higher toward 137.000 resistance if this happens.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider EJ shorts we need to see a bearish break of 134.550 support with a lower high below.
JPY BULLISH ✅✅✅✅ Expecting bullish price action on JPY and a trend reversal from bearish into bullish as we have multiple imbalances area aka price ineffiency that price will try to close in the upcoming days/weeks. We have a clear rejection area somewhere around institutional figure 8200 and i think this area will hold as a LOW for a very long time. Buy Side Liquidity as the first take profit area.
What do you think ? Comment below..
EURJPY Might Have Peaked. Price Might Range 135.00 - 125.00!EURJPY pushed higher with strong impulse last month after going all the way lower towards 125.000 psychological support and rejecting it. The current impulse was very intense until it tested the resistance that was present at 137.000 area and rejected it. This rejection was accompanied by the monthly candle closing beneath the key psychological resistance at 135.000. At this moment the price remains in a strong uptrend on the weekly charts as evident by the ascending long term weekly channel. Since the price rejected the 137.000 resistance and M candle closed below 135.000 resistance, it could likely mean that the price might reverse and start heading lower gradually.
Fundamentally, the EURO is the weakest major currency at the moment due to the ongoing conflict and the YEN has depreciated considerably against most major currencies due to the bank of japan monetary policy outlook. The bank of Japan might likely intervene in the markets to prevent the YEN sliding further. These two factors would likely mean that the EURJPY might have tested its high at 137.000 and now would be looking to head lower primarily driven by the EURO weakness.
Coming back to the technical part, last month's impulse was so strong that its failing to provide any technical short term outlook for the EURJPY. However at the 125.000 psychological support, we can see that if its breached (Monthly candle closing below 125.000) then the price would likely resume heading lower towards the 122.000 support. This breach in turn would also violate the long term ascending weekly channel. Therefore patience is required while trading EURJPY on weekly and daily time frames.
On the Flip side, if EURJPY were appreciate more, which would be unlikely given the current fundamental state, it faces multiple resistances unless it manages to clear the 140.000 psychological level after which the path to 145.000 is open to be tested.
In conclusion, we can expect a gradual range trading for EURJPY between 135.000 & 125.000 in the coming weeks. If 125.000 is violated based on current technical picture then we can take this pair short towards 122.000.
Cheers, I hope you find this insight helpful. Please LIKE & FOLLOW for more insight on Major & Minor currency pairs.
EURJPY 4hour Analysis April 3rd, 2022EURJPY Bearish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bearish
Trade scenario 1: EJ is looking newly bearish on the 4hour as we just saw a break of a higher low and price action is currently retesting.
From here we’re looking for strong bearish candles to enter short on.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider EJ bullish again we ideally want to see a break of 137.000 resistance with a higher low above.
EURJPY potential for pullback! | 1st April 2022Prices are at a pivot. We see the potential for a short from our sell entry at 136.492 in line with 138.2% Fibonacci extension towards our Take Profit at 133.087 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. RSI is on bearish momentum, further supporting our bearish bias.
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EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW- ECB PRESIDENT Lagarde has a SPEAK. There are some positive technical points for MARKET RISK OFF and JPY to be a bit STRONG right now. The reason is that JAPANESE YEN DOWN is very fast right now. So a PULLBACK may come at some point.
- The EUR FEATURE currently stands at 1.1147 LEVEL. It rests on DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Also the JPY FEATURE is giving DOWN very fast. It stays at 0.0082 LEVEL. The EURJPY PRICE is above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. The reason for that is the WEAKNESS that happened in JPY. So most of the time the PRICE can be UP again in the form of a STRUCTURE.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. Also STOKES are turning slightly red. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a slightly UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL BIAS on the market side.
- EURJPY PRICE can PULLBACK and DOWN until it is slightly lower than DYNAMIC LEVELS. (131.30)
- The EURJPY PRICE can be UP to 139.173 LEVEL before DOWN. Then you can DOWN to 131.477 LEVEL. The PRICE will move according to this week's ECONOMIC INDICATOR DATA and MARKET SENTIMENT. The next few days can be a bit important.
EURJPY 4hour Analysis March 27th, 2022EURJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: So EJ is also super bullish however we do see a very tight and steep 4hour channel.
This is not ideal given how overextended the higher timeframe seems but the most likely scenario here is that price action actually pushes toward resistance around 137.000 before we see any sort of serious reaction.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider EJ bearish and start looking for short opportunities we need to see our 133.000 support level break.
Look for structure forming lower highs below 133.000 for high probability setups.
EUR/JPY Short Opportunity: Heading to its trendline resistanceFundamentally EUR is under pressure because of the Russia-Ukraine war. But JPY is also weak a lot. As a result EUR/JPY has advanced nearly 650 pips from its recent swing lows. There is no credit for EUR in such up. Just because the JPY is too weak.
"The longer the war continues, the more likely it becomes that the real economic and inflationary effects for the eurozone will be significant. And that is why that prospect is negative for all EUR-related pairs.
EUR/JPY is one of the major indicators for the stock. If EUR/JPY drops, I have seen the stock also drops. That's why investors use EUR/JPY as a stock indicator.
European countries invest more in the military, defense, and security sectors than their economy. So, if the Russia-Ukraine war keeps continuing, the European economy will harm a long time.
So, I don't think EUR will remain strong against JPY based on the present condition.
So, if we get EUR/JPY in trendline resistance level, there could be a good chance to short EUR/JPY.
ER/JPY short zone ( Trendline Resistance Zone): 132.50/133.00
Stop Out level:
Above the trendline resistance level and high swing zone: 134.30/134.50
Target zone 1: Immediate trendline support: 130.00/129.85
Target Zone 2: 127.50/127.00
EURJPY 4hour Analysis March 20th, 2022EURJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
With Large Bullish Flag
Daily Trend: Bullish
Price action pushing toward upper flag
4hour Trend: Bullish (Current Chart)
Trade scenario 1: Price action has been overall bullish on EJ on the higher timeframes. We can see that on the weekly timeframe, price action has been bouncing within what looks like a very large bullish flag.
This suggests price action will continue higher on a macro level but we need to find what is more accessible to us for the week ahead.
On the 4hour we can see price action is a bit overextended and needs to form structure. Look for a structure forming higher low above 130.650 support to enter long on.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider EJ bearish we would need to see a lower high below 130.650 support.
Short EURJPY
I used my own method to determine OB zones.
I’ve lost the entry of secondary volume center.
Enter a short trade at higher half of last bullish candle which correspond with volume center. Enter between 132.108 and 132.154
Put SL slightly higher than the bearish 132.440 could be a safe SL.
Take profit at middle of top half the previous +OB which is somewhere between. 131.100 and 130.912.
My TP is 131.007