ETHUSD: Bullish Bias with 58.65% Probability of Hitting TP1I'm feeling bullish on ETHUSD and looking to take some long positions.
My approach is all about using probabilities based on solid math and historical data from my charts.
Why probabilities?
They help me make smarter decisions by showing how often certain price levels have been reached in the past. This gives me a clearer idea of where I might want to enter and exit trades.
By analyzing past price movements, I can build my confidence in this trade and keep emotions in check.
With a 58.65% probability of hitting TP1, this setup looks like a great opportunity to ride the potential upward movement in Ethereum!
12M:
2W:
1H:
for more information check out my BIO!
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Solana's Surging Dominance: A New Flippening in the Making?
Solana's meteoric rise has caught the attention of the cryptocurrency world, with its price reaching a new all-time high against Ethereum. This surge, driven in part by the memecoin frenzy, has sparked speculation about a potential "flippening" – a scenario where Solana's market capitalization surpasses that of Ethereum.
Since 2023, Solana has experienced a remarkable 600% increase in value relative to Ethereum. This impressive performance can be attributed to several factors, including:
• Memecoin Mania: The popularity of memecoins like BONK and BONK Inu has significantly boosted Solana's ecosystem. These tokens have attracted a large following, driving up demand for the Solana blockchain.
• Scalability and Speed: Solana's ability to process a high number of transactions per second (TPS) has made it a popular choice for developers and users seeking faster and more efficient blockchain solutions.
• Growing Ecosystem: Solana has witnessed a rapid expansion of its ecosystem, with numerous decentralized applications (dApps) and projects being built on the platform. This growth has increased the demand for Solana tokens.
• Institutional Interest: Solana has gained traction among institutional investors, who are increasingly attracted to its potential as a scalable and high-performance blockchain.
While Solana's recent performance is undeniably impressive, it's important to consider the challenges it faces in its quest to overtake Ethereum. Ethereum, despite its current dominance, is undergoing significant upgrades, such as the transition to proof-of-stake (PoS) and the implementation of layer-2 scaling solutions. These developments could potentially enhance Ethereum's efficiency and scalability, making it a more competitive alternative.
Moreover, Ethereum's established network effects and strong developer community give it a significant advantage. Ethereum has been the dominant platform for smart contracts and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications for several years, and it has a vast network of developers and users. Overcoming this established ecosystem will be a formidable challenge for Solana.
Despite these challenges, Solana's recent surge suggests that it is a serious contender in the race for blockchain dominance. The platform's strong performance and growing ecosystem have positioned it as a potential disruptor in the cryptocurrency market. Whether Solana can ultimately achieve a "flippening" remains to be seen, but its continued success is a testament to the innovative and competitive nature of the blockchain industry.
In conclusion, Solana's price surge against Ethereum marks a significant milestone for the platform. While the road ahead may be challenging, Solana's potential for growth and innovation is undeniable. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it will be fascinating to observe the ongoing competition between Solana and Ethereum, and to see which platform ultimately emerges as the dominant force in the blockchain space.
#ETH/USDT#ETH
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel and we are now touching this support at a price of 2452
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 2525
First target 2613
Second target 2686
Third target 2771
Scaling HeightsUptober is finally upon us. But as Bitcoin's price picked up, the real standout price action this month has once again come from Solana. The high-performance chain is the main hub for this cycle's biggest narrative: memecoin trading. Retail traders enjoy the speed, ease-of-use and 'straightforwardness' of Solana's trading experience. The fact that popular memecoin launchpads are on Solana just furthers this virtuous cycle. Recently, Solana's total volume has superseded that of Ethereum and of its Layer 2s combined. No wonder that Solana's year-to-date price performance has blown both ETH and even BTC out of the water.
This price movement also highlights another market development: the old paradigms are dead. Bitcoin's rallies were supposed to be followed by Ethereum and then by other Alts. If Ethereum underperformed, Alts were supposed to be absolutely crushed. Yet, the tides have turned entirely. Solana has continuously outperformed Ethereum in this cycle so far. Memecoins have been flying, regardless of Ethereum. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, driven by ETFs and institutional adoption, has continued to move in a 'weight class' of its own. The old paradigm is dead, long live the new one?
One of the main challenges for Ethereum in this cycle has been its inability to shape a strong, coherent narrative. While Solana's thesis can be broken down to 'fast casino = gud', Ethereum's complex roadmap, countless Layer 2s and even Layer 3s, and deeply technical conversations have turned away a lot of regular users. Undoubtedly, Ethereum continues to command a lot of developer mindshare. It also comes closest to institutional adoption for smart contract use-cases thanks to its technological maturity. Impressive technical progress is being made towards user-experience improvements such as account and chain abstraction which will make Ethereum easier, faster and better for all users. But if this can already translate into positive price action this cycle remains to be seen.
On the wider macro side, markets remain hopeful that a new breakthrough can finally happen to new Bitcoin all-time-highs. The upcoming US elections and continuing wars in Eastern Europe and the Middle East provide for both greed and despair among traders. A more pro-crypto administration post US elections and an end to the wars could ignite a firework. But right now events could turn either direction. For now, the markets are optimistic, yet also at the whim of a coin-flip. Happy trading everyone!
MongCoin: A Deep Dive Into Market Dynamics and Future PotentialMongCoin ($MONG) has been making waves in the crypto space with its unique position as a community-driven token. Although the coin has experienced recent price fluctuations, it continues to garner attention, thanks to its active trading and potential for growth. We’ll break down the current technical and fundamental aspects of $MONG, shedding light on its market performance and future outlook.
Where Can You Buy MongCoin?
MongCoin ($MONG) tokens are primarily traded on centralized crypto exchanges, with Bitget being the most active platform. The MONG/USDT trading pair on Bitget has amassed a trading volume of $137,263 in the last 24 hours, highlighting its popularity among traders. Other notable exchanges where $MONG is available include CoinW and MEXC.
Current Trading Volume
As of today, the daily trading volume for MongCoin stands at $873,728, marking a significant 54.40% decrease compared to the previous day. This drop in trading activity signals a slowdown in market engagement, possibly due to broader market conditions. However, it also offers traders an opportunity to assess the market’s next move as the price activity suggests potential accumulation.
Price History: All-Time High and Low
MongCoin ($MONG) has seen its ups and downs. The coin’s all-time high (ATH) was recorded on May 6, 2023. Currently, the price is 95.48% lower than this peak, standing at $0.000000071604. Conversely, $MONG hit its all-time low of $0.00000000084908 on October 13, 2023. Since then, it has surged by 229.46%, demonstrating significant recovery and resilience in a short time span.
Market Cap and Valuation
With a circulating supply of 690 trillion $MONG tokens, the coin’s market capitalization is approximately $11.17 million, placing it at #1404 on CoinGecko’s ranking. This positions $MONG as a small-cap token, but with room for growth, especially as more tokens enter circulation or are removed via burns.
The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of MongCoin ($MONG) is identical at $11.17 million, reflecting the total market cap based on the maximum number of tokens in circulation. However, given $MONG’s sizable supply, the token’s future price trajectory will largely depend on community-driven efforts like burns and further adoption.
Comparative Performance
Over the past week, $MONG has outperformed the broader cryptocurrency market. With a 6.80% price increase, it is outperforming the global crypto market, which saw a -0.50% decline over the same period. That said, $MONG has underperformed when compared to other cryptocurrencies within the Ethereum Ecosystem, which are up 12.70%. This shows there is room for improvement and upside, should momentum build.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, $MONG’s price action has been relatively bearish in recent days, with a 1.35% decline and trading within a downward trend channel. Indicators like the RSI, MACD, and the trend moving averages (MA) also confirm this bearish sentiment. However, despite the short-term downward pressure, $MONG is trading just above its 200-day MA, which could provide a critical support level.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows that $MONG is nearing oversold territory, indicating that a potential bounce could be on the horizon. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is also hinting at a possible trend reversal if buying pressure increases.
One key thing to note is that $MONG remains poised for a bigger run. The token is still in its early stages, with a market cap well below $50 million, suggesting there’s ample room for growth. However, one of the biggest hurdles is the token’s massive supply. With a circulating supply nearing a trillion, inflationary pressure could hinder price appreciation in the long term unless the MongCoin community implements robust burn mechanisms.
Developments and Future Prospects
MongCoin’s future hinges on several factors. First, the coin’s integration into more centralized and decentralized exchanges will enhance its liquidity and exposure, attracting more investors. Bitget, CoinW, MEXC, and other exchanges have already contributed to its accessibility, but more listings will be key to driving up volume and interest.
Second, the community-driven burn mechanisms could drastically impact $MONG’s price. If the team behind MongCoin ($MONG) implements aggressive token burns, it would reduce the circulating supply and potentially lead to a price surge.
Lastly, the meme culture behind MongCoin remains a driving force. While meme coins are often highly speculative, they thrive on community engagement and viral moments. As seen with other meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, sustained interest and hype can propel a token to unforeseen heights.
Conclusion
Although $MONG is currently facing a short-term bearish outlook, its underlying fundamentals and market potential present significant upside. With a massive circulating supply, the implementation of a burn mechanism will be crucial to its long-term success.
As MongCoin ($MONG) continues to capture the attention of traders and remains actively traded on popular exchanges, it is well-positioned for future growth—especially as market sentiment improves. For investors willing to weather the volatility, $MONG’s combination of meme appeal and strategic developments could make it a worthwhile addition to their portfolios.
ETHEREUM: This is how it can reach 2900.Ethereum is trading inside a Channel Up since September 06 and today's correction came very close to its bottom.
The 4h RSI turned 23.50, extremely oversold, which is the level it hit on October 02, close to the previous bottom.
Even if the price drops some more, this is still a low risk/ high return buy opportunity.
Buy and target 2900 for a new Higher High on the Channel Up.
Relevant chart:
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The Final Dip? Spotting Opportunities for $ETH's Next Run!Is This the Last Dip Before a Major Upswing?
That’s the burning question on everyone’s minds as CRYPTOCAP:ETH seems to be lagging behind its crypto counterparts.
However, there's a silver lining on the horizon. CRYPTOCAP:BTC is showing bullish signals, and as we all know, Bitcoin is the heartbeat of the crypto market—its movements often set the tone for everything else.
On the fee front, we’re witnessing a welcome trend: costs within the CRYPTOCAP:ETH ecosystem are dropping. This could be the spark that reignites enthusiasm and activity. Yet, technically speaking, CRYPTOCAP:ETH must break above the $2800 mark to leave the uncertainty zone behind.
For now, we’re making a calculated bet that CRYPTOCAP:ETH will carve out a higher low on the daily chart. The goal? To decisively breach that $2800 level and flip the narrative to a fully bullish stance on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH ecosystem.
In my view, $2400 should act as the low for this retracement. If it dips further, I’ll consider cutting my losses. I’ll keep a close eye on the price action, ready to manage my position manually once we start trading in my buying zone of $2500-$2400.
Let’s see where this journey takes us!
ETH BROADER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND TRADE PLANPrice Movement
The chart shows that Ethereum (ETH) has been moving within a descending trading channel after an earlier uptrend. The channel is well-defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending channel extends from around early 2024 and continues through the current period. The price seems to be consolidating after bouncing from the lower boundary of the channel.
Current Price Action
Ethereum is currently trading at $2,582.26, down by 1.50% at the time the chart was captured.
The recent movement shows a potential double bottom near the lower channel support, signaling a possible end of the downtrend.
The price is at a critical juncture, as it appears to be breaking out of the short-term resistance within the channel, hinting at a possible reversal or continued sideways movement.
Descending Channel Structure
The chart highlights a descending trading channel where price has respected the upper resistance and lower support levels multiple times, indicating the reliability of this structure.
The channel also shows that while Ethereum is in a corrective phase, it still holds the potential for a significant bullish breakout if the current trend continues.
Technical Indicators:
Waveform Cipher shows a potential bullish divergence at recent price lows, which indicates momentum for a potential upward move.
ASL (Advanced Stochastic Line) and HMA Histogram show mixed signals, but the overall sentiment from these indicators points toward a bullish setup in the coming days.
Stochastic RSI suggests that Ethereum is currently in an oversold condition, increasing the likelihood of a rebound.
The technical setup with momentum indicators and divergences indicates a potential for a price breakout upward, possibly leading toward the top of the channel.
Price Targets:
Immediate Resistance: The next resistance level is located around $2,750 - $3,000, near the mid-point of the channel.
Upper Channel Boundary: The top of the channel is situated near $4,000, a key psychological and technical resistance level.
If ETH breaks above this channel, the next major target would be $4,250 - $4,500, indicating a full recovery of the downtrend and a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Support Levels:
$2,400 is acting as immediate support, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
If Ethereum breaks below this level, the next major support lies near $2,200 - $2,000, which is a strong historical support zone.
Trading Plan for Ethereum (ETH)
Current Market Position:
Given the technical analysis, Ethereum appears to be at a critical level within the descending trading channel, with the potential for a bullish breakout. The recent consolidation near the support line suggests an opportunity for a medium-term bullish trade.
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: Enter a long position between $2,550 - $2,600, once confirmation of a bullish reversal or breakout is evident (preferably on increased volume or further confirmation from momentum indicators like RSI/Stoch).
Risk Management: Place a stop-loss at $2,400, which is slightly below the channel support and key psychological level. This mitigates downside risk in case of a bearish breakdown.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $2,750 - $3,000 – This is the mid-point resistance of the channel. Partial profits should be taken here, securing gains while allowing the remaining position to run.
Second Target: $3,500 - $3,750 – Full break of the channel with increased momentum can take ETH to this level. This is a key level to exit most of the position or lock in more profits.
Stretch Target: $4,000 - $4,200 – Ultimate price target based on the potential bullish reversal. If price approaches this level, full profit-taking is advisable as it would hit the channel’s upper boundary and a significant resistance area.
Alternative Plan (If Breakdown Occurs):
Short Position: If Ethereum breaks below $2,400, consider shorting ETH with a target toward $2,200 - $2,000 as a corrective phase could push ETH lower. In this case, place a stop-loss at $2,500, just above the breakdown level.
Position Sizing:
Risk only a small portion of your capital (e.g., 1-2%) based on the calculated stop-loss level to ensure risk management and preserve capital in case of invalidation.
Ethereum is at a pivotal point within a descending trading channel. Current indicators suggest the possibility of a bullish breakout, but risks remain due to the general downtrend. The trading plan focuses on a conservative entry with clear stop-losses and take-profit levels to manage risk.
ZEC moment to shineKeep it simple! According to the chart, my estimate is to hit the zone in early Feb 2024
Estimate rebound 6x from here > $120 zone
My average entry is $19.7
I think this is the bottom for it in this cycle, next is rebound then the correction zone then bull run.
Disclaimer: I could be wrong, don't invest what you can't handle to lose. Manage your risks.
BTC H4 pullback in progress // accumulate dips near 62 000 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4 hour price chart for BTCUSD . We've
triggered overhead supply zone currently pullback in progress. Having
said that expecting limited downside before we get a reversal.
🔸Heavy stack of bullish s/r zones located at 62 000 / 63 000 / 64 400 usd.
bulls will defend those levels so downside beyond this zone is very limited.
fresh overhead supply at 71/73 000 usd so bulls will target this area
once we get a reversal after the current pullback.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for pullback to complete near 62 000 / 63 000 usd. BUY low close to 63 000 usd, stops fixed at 60 000 USD, TP1 bulls is 70 000 USD TP2 bulls is 72 000 USD, 18% upside in this trade setup without leverage. break below 60 000 usd invalidates bullish outlook. good luck traders!
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ETH - What's next ?#ETH/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ ETH has been trading within a range for over 2 months now.
+ The highest price reached was around $2800, and the lowest was in the $2100 range.
+ Currently, the price is in a downtrend, heading towards the support zone around the $2200 level.
+ We can expect an immediate reversal from the $2200 range.
+ This seems to be the final downtrend for ETH, and once it bounces from the support, we can anticipate it reaching the resistance zone and potentially breaking out with ease.
+ Let's see how this scenario unfolds.
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🚨 CRYPTO REVOLUTION: 0.5 BITCOIN FOR KEFIR 💊 PART 3📣 Hello everyone!
I believe that we are witnessing a global uptrend in the ETH/VTC trading pair and the value of Ether in relation to Bitcoin should grow over time.
In May 2017, the first wave of the cycle ended, then in September 2019, the correction in the wave of the II cycle ended, after which the long-term impulse wave of the III cycle started.
In the wave of the III cycle, an impulse wave has already passed at the primary level, and at the moment the market is busy forming a wave of correction of the primary level. I expect the correction to end at 0.037 minimum in July 2024, maximum in September 2025.
After the correction is completed, according to the logic I have built, a long-term uptrend should begin, the minimum goal of which will be 0.55 Ether per Bitcoin coin.
⚠️ Think for yourself, decide for yourself - good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit ✊
Goodbye!
ETH: Fractal Pattern Forming—Steady with Possible DownsideIt appears that a potential fractal pattern is forming for ETH. When comparing the two highlighted boxes, the ups and downs in both are similar, though the second box is on a smaller scale. If this fractal plays out, we may see some steady ups and downs for ETH, with no major moves expected in the next few weeks.
However, with BTC on a downward trend over the coming days, it could pull the market down with it, leading to some further downside for ETH initially. It’s crucial that the lower support line holds—if it breaks, the market dynamics could shift significantly.
Potential bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,593.65
1st Support: 2,523.16
1st Resistance: 2,685.21
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Golden Cross is forming on Bitcoin Weekly Charta Golden Cross is forming on the Bitcoin MACD Weekly Chart.
We saw what that did to the price of Bitcoin before as pointed in the chart.
Bitcoin is near the all time high price now and could make new highs any time soon.
Very bullish months to come for Bitcoin & the Crypto market!!
ETHEREUM SHORT TO $786!I still remain bearish on ETHUSD. This bear market will be further supported by the U.S. elections as Donald Trump comes into power & artificially strengthens the U.S. Dollar, which'll in turn push down Crypto.
🔴5 Wave Bullish Move Complete.
🔴Wave A & B Correction Complete.
🔴Minor Wave 3 Of Major Wave C Correction Yet Pending.