Analyzing the Relationship Between Ethereum and the S&P 500The Fractal Theory and Crypto
The financial markets, often chaotic and unpredictable, can sometimes reveal patterns that repeat themselves over time. This concept, known as fractal theory, suggests that similar patterns can occur across different time frames and asset classes. In recent times, some analysts have drawn parallels between the price movements of Ethereum (ETH) and the S&P 500 index.
The S&P 500 Fractal and ETH
Ethereum's price action may be following a similar pattern to that of the S&P 500 index in 2020.
If this fractal theory holds true, it could have significant implications for the future price of Ethereum. The S&P 500 index experienced a sharp decline in March 2020, followed by a V-shaped recovery. If Ethereum were to follow a similar trajectory, it could potentially surge to new all-time highs.
Key Factors Influencing ETH's Price
While the fractal theory offers an interesting perspective, it's important to consider other factors that could influence Ethereum's price:
1. Network Upgrades: Ethereum's ongoing development, particularly the highly anticipated Shanghai upgrade, could significantly impact its price. This upgrade is expected to unlock staked ETH, potentially increasing market liquidity and driving demand.
2. Global Economic Conditions: Macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events, can influence the overall market sentiment and impact the price of cryptocurrencies.
3. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and fuel price appreciation. Conversely, stringent regulations could dampen market enthusiasm.
4. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption by institutional investors can provide significant support to Ethereum's price. As more traditional financial institutions recognize the potential of blockchain technology, they may allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies.
Potential ETH Price Prediction
Based on the fractal theory and other factors, it has been predicted that Ethereum could reach a price of shortly. However, it's crucial to remember that price predictions are inherently uncertain and should be taken with a grain of salt.
Conclusion
While the fractal theory provides an intriguing framework for analyzing Ethereum's price movement, it's essential to consider a range of factors that could influence its future trajectory. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, staying informed and making informed investment decisions remains crucial.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It's important to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Time to moon, ethereum has bottomed outI've been following Benjamin Cowen for 3 years and damn gotta say it: the guy is a genius. However, I don't think Ethereum is hitting 1.2k as he suggests. If Donald Trump wins tonight, Doge will skyrocket as Bitcoin dominance has already peaked at 60%. Just today, someone bought more than 1 billion doge coins on Binance. It's getting crazy.
With that said, I think that even though we're still around 60 days away from the restart of QE and the business as usual following the 259 day after bitcoin halving official start of Altseason date, this cycle could get front run and anticipated as people seek first mover's advantage. Better to not wait till the last minute. Everything is highly anticipated this cycle, from Bitcoin reaching previous all time highs and staying up there for 7 months straight to the crazy volatile election day today.
If you want to try to accumulate here, good luck with that and yes, do wait until Thursday to see what the Fed is up to, otherwise it's a good idea to start hedging here or you'll risk getting sidelined and missing the upcoming 2025 all star season, specially now that ETFS for Ethereum are live.
ETHUSDT: Bearish Momentum Signals Further DeclineETHUSDT is showing clear bearish momentum on the 4-hour chart, with prices trading around $2,422. The downtrend is supported by the price consistently staying below the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating strong selling pressure.
The purple resistance zone around $2,490 has held firm, preventing any upward movement. As shown in the chart, ETH appears poised for further declines if it continues to respect this resistance level. Potential targets for the downside are near $2,360 and $2,280, aligning with recent lows.
Traders might consider shorting opportunities if ETH remains below the resistance, with stop-losses set above the $2,490 level. Keep an eye on market sentiment and technical indicators to confirm the bearish outlook.
ETH Bouncing Off Key Support – Rally on the Horizon?Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
Welcome to this quick ETH update.
ETH is forming a descending triangle like structure in the daily time frame and currently holding the lower trend line of the triangle. It is holding the trend line and bouncing very well so far.
As long as, ETH is holding the trend line we can expect a good rally from here.
What’s your take on ETH’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
ETH/USD Potential Rebound from Bullish Trendline, Target $6,000This analysis focuses on COINBASE:ETHUSD price movement in the daily chart, highlighting a strong bullish trendline pattern. Currently, Ethereum's price is forming higher lows, indicating strength in the ongoing upward trend. The price is approaching the trendline, signaling a potential rebound that opens up bullish opportunities.
If the price successfully bounces off the trendline, the profit target is set at the psychological level in the range of $3,500 to $6,000. However, if the price breaks below the trendline, this bullish signal will be considered invalid. The stop loss is placed at the psychological level of $2,200 or if the price breaks below the trendline.
November Trading Competition Chart
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(SPX500USD 1D chart)
In order to maintain the uptrend, it must rise above 5738.2 and be maintained.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently expected to create a double bottom, if the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone, it is highly likely to create a large uptrend.
Accordingly, I think the 5738.2 point is a very important support and resistance point.
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(XAUUSD 1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 2748.960, and HA-High indicator is created at 2734.472.
Accordingly, the point of observation is whether it can receive support and rise around 2734.472-2748.960.
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The fact that BW(100), HA-High indicators are created means that a high point section has been formed.
Therefore, if it receives resistance from BW(100), HA-High indicators and falls, you should basically think that the decline is likely to continue until it meets BW(0), HA-Low indicators and respond accordingly.
Therefore, whether there is support around 2734.472-2748.960 is important.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator appears to have entered the oversold zone, we need to check where it is located when it rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
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(XAGUSD 1D chart)
The chart can be seen as already in the process of decline.
However, since it is maintaining an upward channel, we need to keep in mind the possibility of creating a pull back pattern.
Accordingly, the area around 3188144 is expected to be an important support and resistance zone.
The HA-High indicator is created at the 32.99790 point, and the BW(100) indicator is created at the 34.86 point.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will be restricted from breaking through the 3299790-34.86 zone upward.
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(EURUSD 1D chart)
I think the 1.08821 point is a very important section in the trend.
I think it is likely to have difficulty turning into an upward trend until it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, I think it would be advantageous to proceed with a trade after confirming support near 1.08821.
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(WTICOUSD 1D chart)
The oil chart is in a reverse arrangement.
Accordingly, I think it would be advantageous to trade with a sell (SHORT) position.
It is currently rising above 71.6167 and rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In order to maintain this rise, it needs to be maintained around 71.955.
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HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to trade using the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it is supported near HA-Low and rises, you should basically think of a response plan by thinking that it will continue to rise until it meets the HA-High indicator.
The HA-Low or HA-HIgh indicators are designed to display box ranges differently from other indicators.
Therefore, in order to escape the low point range formed by the HA-Low indicator, it must rise above the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box.
Therefore, it can be said that it has escaped the low point range if it rises and is maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (72.606).
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StochRSI indicator is not a universal indicator,
but basically
- When the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to sell,
- When it is below the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to buy.
From that perspective, I think the current rise is more likely to be a rebound rather than a rise.
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(BTCUSD 1D chart)
The important support and resistance areas from the current price position are as follows:
- 71288.90-72322.91
- 68343.64-69795.79
- 65910.71
The three areas above are important support and resistance areas.
-
As explained on the oil chart, since the StochRSI indicator is below the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to buy.
Therefore, if you are trading for the first time, you can trade depending on whether there is support near 68343.64.
However, since the current trend is an upward trend, if you trade with a sell (SHORT) position, you need to respond quickly and briefly.
-
(ETHUSD 1D chart)
ETH is currently moving sideways in the box section.
Therefore, the trend is expected to be determined depending on which direction it deviates from the 2272.88-2707.12 section.
Therefore, you should think about trading within the box section and create a response plan.
Then, when it deviates from the box section, you should switch to a trading strategy to eat the trend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Ethereum Price Surging: Will It Hit $6,000?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), the world’s largest altcoin, is currently defending key support levels around $2,400 and preparing for a potential mega rally. With analysts setting ambitious targets of up to 2.5x gains, Ethereum enthusiasts are eagerly watching for signals of a significant bullish breakout.
Key Technical Support Levels
Currently, Ethereum is defending a crucial support zone at $2,400. Over the weekend, the CRYPTOCAP:ETH price rebounded sharply, climbing above $2,500 and signaling a potential upside. The current price structure offers a compelling opportunity for investors, and a move past the $2,680 resistance would give bulls more leverage.
For Ethereum to truly confirm a rally to $6,000, breaking this key resistance is essential. We also highlight the impact of broader market sentiment, with ETH needing to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) to catalyze an altseason. However, Bitcoin’s current dominance of 60.5% presents a challenge, with Ethereum’s market share having dropped from 18% earlier this year to 13%.
Institutional Interest and Developments
Despite its recent underperformance compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum continues to attract institutional interest. Last week, Swiss banking giant UBS launched its first Ethereum-based tokenized investment fund in Singapore, reflecting the enduring confidence of financial institutions in Ethereum’s potential.
Furthermore, the Ethereum ecosystem's ongoing development is another bullish factor. A research analyst at 21Shares has compared Ethereum’s current stage to Amazon in the early 1990s. Leena ElDeeb from 21Shares stated, “Ethereum is complex, akin to Amazon in the 1990s — promising vast potential but less straightforward in its use cases.” Just as Amazon evolved from an online bookstore into a global e-commerce and cloud computing powerhouse, Ethereum’s blockchain, which started in 2015 with basic smart contracts, now powers decentralized finance (DeFi) applications worth over $140 billion.
A Promising Future for Ethereum?
Federico Brokate of 21Shares emphasized Ethereum’s potential to redefine entire industries, just as Amazon did. He also highlighted the network’s extensive and growing talent pool, which could lead to revolutionary use cases and innovations beyond our current understanding. This continuous development positions Ethereum as a key player in the blockchain space, with growth potential that could parallel Amazon’s meteoric rise.
DeFi and TVL Insights
Ethereum’s total value locked (TVL) remains strong, standing at $47.637 billion, with only a slight 0.01% change, as per DeFiLlama data. Despite facing competition from blockchains like Solana, Ethereum’s DeFi landscape continues to attract investors. The bullish TVL figure indicates steady interest and trust in the Ethereum network’s ecosystem, driven by its robust smart contract infrastructure and security features.
Long-Term Projections and Market Sentiment
ETH’s price action is expected to remain volatile, especially with the U.S. presidential election on the horizon. Analysts predict liquidity-driven swings, with Ethereum well-positioned to seize these opportunities. While some traders have anticipated short-term price declines, others are envisioning ETH climbing to $8,000 in the long run, particularly if Bitcoin ignites a bullish rally to $100,000 or higher.
Even though Solana has outpaced Ethereum in TVL growth, Ethereum still boasts a bullish outlook. The DeFi sector's resilience, combined with Ethereum’s evolving use cases, makes it a top contender in the market. Analyst data also shows that ETH’s price could benefit from inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs, pushing bullish momentum even further.
Conclusion
Ethereum is at a critical juncture. While it has lagged behind Bitcoin in recent months, the technical setup and fundamental developments suggest a strong recovery could be imminent. With significant support at $2,400, bullish patterns forming, and a growing ecosystem, the journey to $6,000 and beyond seems achievable. As institutions increase their involvement and the community continues to innovate, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) could surprise us with revolutionary use cases, solidifying its position as the next Amazon of the blockchain world.
ETHUSDT: Next Strong Support at $2,100ETHUSDT Technical analysis update
ETH has been trading within a triangle pattern for the past 90 days, with the price repeatedly testing the triangle’s support line. If the price breaks below this support, a rapid drop to the $2,100 level could occur before any potential rebound. On the weekly chart, the 100 EMA is acting as a support level for the current triangle pattern.
Market Scenario and Potential Buying OpportunitiesAnalysis of Key Support Levels and Candlestick Pattern Confirmation
The financial markets are often characterised by their volatility and the constant ebb and flow of prices. In this intricate dance, key support levels play a pivotal role in determining the direction of market movements. This aims to provide an in-depth analysis of the current market scenario, focusing on two significant support levels, $2,378.36 and $2,327.67, and the potential buying opportunities that arise should the market break and close below these levels. Additionally, the importance of candlestick pattern confirmation at the $2,035.97 level for a Bullish Deep Crab Pattern setup will be emphasised.
Understanding Support Levels
Support levels are price points on a chart where a security tends to find buying interest as it falls. These levels often act as a floor by preventing the price from being pushed downward. Identifying such levels is crucial for traders, as they help in making informed decisions about entry and exit points in the market.
In the current market scenario, the two significant support levels to watch are $2,378.36 and $2,327.67. These levels have historically shown strong buying interest and have acted as a base for price rebounds. However, should the market break and close below these critical levels, it signals a potential shift in market sentiment.
Significance of the $2,378.36 Support Level
The $2,378.36 level has been a key area of support in the recent trading history. A break below this level would suggest a weakening of the bullish sentiment, prompting traders to reassess their positions. It is essential to observe the market behaviour around this level closely.
Importance of the $2,327.67 Support Level
The $2,327.67 support level is another crucial price point. Historically, this level has provided a strong base for price recoveries.
A break below this level would likely indicate a further decline in market confidence, leading to increased selling pressure.
Waiting for Candlestick Pattern Confirmation
In the event that the market breaks and closes below the two significant support levels, attention should then be directed to the $2,035.97 level.
At this juncture, it is crucial to wait for a candlestick pattern confirmation.
Candlestick patterns are graphical representations of price movements for a given period.
They are widely used by traders to predict future price movements based on past patterns. In this scenario, a candlestick pattern confirmation is required to validate a potential buying opportunity.
Potential Buying Opportunities at $2,035.97
The $2,035.97 level is significant for the Bullish Deep Crab Pattern setup. This advanced harmonic pattern is known for its precision in predicting price reversals. The Bullish Deep Crab Pattern consists of four distinct price movements that create a specific geometric pattern, indicating a potential reversal point.
For a reliable trade entry, it is essential to wait for a candlestick pattern to confirm the validity of this setup. This confirmation ensures that the market is indeed reversing and increases the probability of a successful trade.
The Bullish Deep Crab Pattern
The Bullish Deep Crab Pattern is a harmonic pattern identified by its precise Fibonacci ratios. The structure of the pattern includes:
Confirmation Candlestick Patterns
Several candlestick patterns can serve as confirmation for the Bullish Deep Crab Pattern.
These patterns provide visual cues to traders, signalling a potential shift in market sentiment. Waiting for these confirmations ensures that traders enter the market with a higher degree of confidence.
Conclusion
In summary, the market's behaviour around the significant support levels of $2,378.36 and $2,327.67 is crucial for determining future price movements. Should the market break and close below these levels, the $2,035.97 level becomes the focal point for potential buying opportunities. However, waiting for a candlestick pattern confirmation is essential to validate the Bullish Deep Crab Pattern setup.
By adhering to these technical analysis principles, traders can make informed decisions, minimizing risk and maximizing potential returns. The importance of patience and confirmation cannot be overstated in achieving successful trading outcomes in a volatile market environment.
OP Building A Powerful Bottoming Structure MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on OP .
OP looks great , its currently building a giant broadening wedge pattern and this looks like it should hold targeting the top range
Its getting into a very important time for these ALTs and they should start running bottoming for a move up into new year
The point to watch is whether it can rise to around 2555.69
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
I told you that in order to get out of the current box range (2273.58-2706.15), the price should be maintained above 2419.83.
However, it is currently touching around 2419.83 and rising.
Accordingly, I think the upward momentum may be weak.
Therefore, I think it is better to wait until we see support near 2555.69.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has fallen below 2666.70 and is passing around 2555.69.
Accordingly, I think it is not too late to buy after confirming that the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If it rises above the upper point of the box section, 2706.15, I think it is highly likely that it will show a sharp upward trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy below 2706.15.
Once the rise begins, it is expected to rise to around 3265.0-3321.30.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Ethereum's Potential Drop: Key Zones to Watch for Reversalhello guys.
Trendline Break: Ethereum has broken below a significant ascending trendline, signaling potential bearish momentum.
Engulfing Pattern: The price shows a bearish engulfing pattern after breaking the trendline, indicating further downside could be ahead.
Next Target Zone: Price action suggests that Ethereum could target the next support area around $2,300, which aligns with the 0.66 Fibonacci retracement level, as shown in the purple zone.
RSI Divergence: Previous highs displayed a bearish divergence on the RSI, reinforcing the bearish sentiment after the recent top.
Bearish Continuation: A retest of the broken trendline near $2,410–$2,450 is possible, but a failure to reclaim it could lead to further downside.
ETHUSD: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily ETHUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,431.0
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
ETHUSD: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily ETHUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,521.5
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
ETHEREUM - Time to buy again!The BINANCE:ETHUSDT is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD). also a bullish Hidden Divergence (HD+) on MACD which shows Positive Signs for ETH.
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move, If the triangle breaks, we expect a new ATH to occur, but in new year.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ETHUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2,518.27.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2,238.74 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
World Chain Eyes Ethereum Layer 2 Expansion With New IntegrationWorld Chain, an AI-driven crypto project backed by Sam Altman, is making significant waves in the market with its latest strategic move. The project has officially announced the integration of 'Across' to streamline cross-chain transactions and further its expansion into Ethereum Layer 2, an endeavor that has sparked widespread discussions among crypto enthusiasts. This advancement, alongside the coin’s ongoing price activity, has fueled speculations on whether Worldcoin ( MIL:WLD ) could achieve the ambitious target of $5.
Developments: Integration of 'Across'
On November 1, World Chain revealed its collaboration with Across, an established cross-chain bridge known for facilitating efficient and cost-effective transactions across multiple EVM-compatible blockchains. This strategic integration positions World Chain as a formidable player in the Ethereum Layer 2 space, enabling the project to provide secure and affordable cross-chain transfers right from the start.
With the addition of Across, developers on World Chain can now harness native interoperability to build powerful cross-chain applications. Moreover, users can seamlessly bridge key assets like ETH, wETH, USDC, and wBTC, bolstering World Chain’s ecosystem and attracting a broader user base. The project has also adopted ERC-7683, a cutting-edge swapping standard co-developed by Across and Uniswap, adding a new layer of functionality to its network.
Market Sentiment and Potential Price Movement
Despite these promising advancements, WLD’s market performance has been mixed. At the time of writing, MIL:WLD is trading at $1.93, reflecting a 2.13% intraday decline. The token has experienced volatility, with its 24-hour low and high recorded at $1.85 and $1.99, respectively. Over the past month, however, MIL:WLD has gained 15%, demonstrating resilience and the potential for growth.
Crypto market participants remain cautiously optimistic about WLD’s future, especially in light of the project’s Ethereum Layer 2 expansion. Nevertheless, a $5 price target appears overly ambitious under the current market conditions. Data from Coinglass indicates a 4% drop in WLD’s futures open interest (OI) to $214.60 million, hinting at mixed investor sentiment and uncertain price prospects.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, MIL:WLD is facing significant hurdles. The coin is trading within a falling trend channel, with no signs of a breakout. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is hovering at 36, indicating oversold conditions and weak momentum. The lack of positive price action comes amid lingering concerns over Worldcoin’s controversial iris-scanning technology, which has faced regulatory scrutiny in several countries.
Crucially, MIL:WLD is approaching a critical support level at $1.50, aligning with its one-month low. This support level could serve as a key pivot point, potentially triggering a rebound if buying pressure increases. However, for MIL:WLD to sustain a meaningful rally and aim for higher price targets, it must overcome the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and break past the resistance level at $3.00.
Path to $5: A Long-Term Vision
While a $5 price target may seem far-fetched in the short term, there are scenarios where MIL:WLD could achieve this milestone. The successful execution of its Ethereum Layer 2 strategy could drive greater adoption, especially if transaction fees and network efficiency improve as promised. Additionally, if World Chain’s AI-meets-crypto model gains traction and the project’s user base expands globally, the token’s valuation could see a significant boost.
Nevertheless, the road to $5 is fraught with challenges. The project must overcome technical resistance levels and mitigate negative sentiment surrounding its biometric technology. Market conditions and broader crypto trends will also play a pivotal role in shaping WLD’s future price trajectory.
Conclusion
World Chain’s integration with Across marks a pivotal step in its quest to become a leading Ethereum Layer 2 player. While the move has bolstered the project’s fundamentals, WLD’s technical outlook remains under pressure. The coin’s journey to $5 will require overcoming substantial hurdles, but with strategic execution and market support, Worldcoin ( MIL:WLD ) could potentially turn the tide. For now, investors are watching closely, waiting for signs of a momentum shift as MIL:WLD continues to navigate its evolving landscape.
$ETH going to the moon!BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Repeat this trade.
On the chart we can see that the correction I mentioned earlier is underway.
The price is now at the Fibonacci level, which could be the reversal point of this movement.
Also, the price may go a little lower to gain more volume at the support level.
After that a longing pattern will be formed. And the movement will continue towards the strong resistance level and there will be a final denouement. If the price is able to break the resistance level, we will go to take a take, if not, we will have to move the stop.
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