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Elliotwaveanalysis

GOLD ANALYSIS: Sell above 2.800?Hi Traders| Gold remained above $2,780 per ounce on Thursday, holding at record levels due to increased demand for safe-haven assets amid uncertainties surrounding the US elections and geopolitical risks. Markets are also evaluating the latest US economic data, which shows a 2.8% annualized GDP growth for the third quarter, slightly below the 3% expectation. Meanwhile, personal consumption and sales rose significantly, indicating American consumers' resilience and maintaining elevated inflation risks, as highlighted by unexpectedly high core PCE price figures from the last quarter. Still, traders are poised for further monetary easing at the upcoming meeting, which benefits gold as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing bullion. Investors are now awaiting PCE figures and payroll data due Thursday and Friday. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS That said our bullish setup is still in play with Target 2 (see chart below), but at the same time, above the 2,800 area an important resistance area and some Reversal Patterns on lower time frames should appear in the short term. If this happens we can try to take a short position. 🔴 ANALYSIS TARGET 1 (long/bullish) (click & play on chart below) 🔴 ANALYSIS TARGET 2 (long/bullish) (click & play on chart below) Thanks for watching.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheAnonymousBanker
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W44/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market is at a crucial point near the all-time high, with potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. Key levels and possible scenarios are highlighted, with the US election as a significant upcoming event. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 W Structure Bullish Setup : It's October 30th, 2024. The market has formed a "W" structure, indicating strong bullish potential if it can break through the all-time high (ATH). However, as with previous highs, a rejection may occur, with either a minor pullback or a more significant corrective wave. 🔸 Corrective Phase Possibility : If there's an initial rejection, it may simply be a short pullback before another upward push. However, a more profound correction could also follow, pulling the price down significantly before the next bullish attempt. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : The price action near the election remains critical. A bullish breakout scenario could involve stuttering around the ATH before a sharp move up. Alternatively, a quick retest of the 66,000-69,000 range may precede the next leg upward. 🔸 Bullish Impulse Continuation : If the monthly close appears bullish, expect a strong start to November, potentially with a fifth wave continuation. A possible small pullback could still happen first, but the general outlook leans bullish if these conditions hold. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): The market may stutter or slightly retrace near the ATH but is expected to continue up if it holds support. A monthly close above key levels could lead to a breakout, potentially resuming upward movement following a short correction. Price action could see some range-bound movement in the next week. Watch for either a quick push-up or a consolidation phase that sets up a bullish continuation post-election. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Rejection at ATH Possible : At the ATH, the price might face rejection, signaling a possible correction. A large drop toward the 66,000 area could follow if the market fails to sustain above key support levels. 🔸 Bearish Flat Pattern Possibility : The price may attempt another push, then correct down, forming a flat pattern for a B-Wave before a larger decline. A bearish breakdown could target lower levels, specifically near 65,500 if momentum shifts. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Target to 52K Area : If the price rejects strongly, a larger C-wave down could lead to a deeper correction, potentially targeting around the 52,000 level if bearish momentum intensifies. 🔸 Longer-Term Downtrend Risk : With a potential major downtrend setting up for the next year, the market could see extended consolidation or a more substantial correction if the current highs don't hold. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): A rejection at the ATH may lead to a range-bound correction or a larger move down if bearish pressure persists. The market is likely to stay cautious until after the election, with critical levels to watch around 66,000 and 52,000. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market is at a key resistance level, with both bullish and bearish outcomes possible near the ATH. A strong push upward is likely if bullish conditions hold, while a rejection could trigger a deeper correction, potentially aligning with the election timeline.
by AlgoFyre
What will happen given the tensions?Gold is currently in a descending wedge and has completed its five upward waves, all indicating a bearish price trend. What further confirms this bearish outlook is the bearish divergence in the MACD. If the signal is followed, we will see a price drop. but Do current tensions in the Middle East allow for it ? ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by CobraVanguard
1
Expecting an upside breakRecently, I published an analysis on this currency pair in which I mistakenly drew the target price for wave B. Generally, corrective wave B is equal to wave A in terms of time and price, and wave B is often shorter than wave A. Currently, wave B is equal to wave A in terms of time. Additionally, the price has recently formed a triangle pattern, and it’s expected that once wave B is completed, it will break upwards from this triangle, complete wave C up to the end of the channel, and then resume its downward trend. So, we are waiting to see if the price will break this triangle upwards or downwards.
Long
by Market-Analyzer
$DOGS ARE GOING TO THE VET! IT TIME FOR A RELIEF PUSH DOWN :OBINANCE:DOGSUSDT.P 1. Wave Analysis We are currently in a *B-wave down* based on Elliott Wave theory. The price rejections from key support and resistance zones confirm this. Key Level: 0.0007176 was the major rejection point, signaling a move lower to form a "Lower High" 2. Trend Overview - The downtrend started on **October 14, 2024**, resulting in a **-21% loss** from today's price. - This is a memecoin, and despite the "Month of Memecoins," it's underperforming. **Not surprising**, as original projects often lose value when new competition arises. 3. Risk Factors - "Be cautious." Price moves could be **fast and abrupt** due to political news, FOMO, and market sentiment. - Altcoin correlation: When altcoins drop, they tend to fall together. Expect volatility across the board. --- ( -_•)Entry Price: 0.0006862 ❌🛑Stop Loss: 0.0007178 🪙Take Profit: 0.0006001
Short
by swurveeydope
Bitcoin Price and Time Analysis (New ATH or New Bearish Move?)The chart shows Bitcoin's price movements on the daily timeframe, since ATH. The analysis focuses on the recent corrective phases and potential scenarios ahead. Following the significant corrections, two main outlooks are possible, but at this stage, a definitive conclusion is elusive. Therefore, we will concentrate on the latest movements since the $49,500 low. Three upward waves are observed, yet they appear corrective rather than impulsive. Each wave exhibits a three-wave structure, suggesting a corrective nature. The last wave's overlap with the first wave's territory reinforces the possibility that all three waves are corrective, potentially signaling a bearish reversal soon. The second wave is about 5% less than the first wave, and thus, if we have the same expectation for the third wave as the second, the end of the third wave is exactly in the range of the 0.114 Fibonacci level, which aligns with the resistance area between $70,000 and $72,000. This Fibo was drawn from the all-time high to the $49,500 low. Historically, psychological factors often reinforce resistance at these levels, increasing the chances of rejection. On October 20, the price managed to break above the descending trendline, but this turned out to be a false breakout, as it quickly fell back below the trendline. I anticipate a stronger breakout, accompanied by consolidation above the trendline, which could attract more buyers before potentially starting its downward move. In terms of timing, a time-based analysis has been applied from the first low to the second low, with the 2.0 extension accurately predicting the next bottom(with a difference of 1 or 2 candles). Extending this to the highs projects a potential peak around October 30. Therefore, a possible reversal is expected between October 28 and October 31, as indicated by the blue vertical lines on the chart. Several fundamental events are scheduled within this time frame, such as the "JOLTs Job Openings," "GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv," "Personal Spending MoM," "Personal Income MoM," and "Core PCE Price Index MoM." While their direct influence on Bitcoin might be limited, the coincidence with the projected reversal window adds further significance to the analysis. The chart also shows that each of the previous peaks had reversal signals like spinning top patterns, which have previously played out effectively. Confirmation of the current bearish scenario will require a similar reversal signal or indecision pattern, such as another spinning top or bearish candlestick pattern, to form in the resistance zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by itsKraken
We can extend into the Target Box, But below $128.73 = $95 BucksNvidia has arrived in the target box for our intermediate (B) wave high. Can we extend in the target box? Yes. However, two things are top of mind to this analyst. 1) The earnings catalyst mid-November is a "keep hope alive event". Therefore, I do not see big trader commitments prior to that. If we go up further into the target box...it will be an overlapping grinding pattern. I see the earnings catalyst as positive fundamentally, but a technical sell event. 2) If price breaches $128.74...that should yield us $95. If this is how the price action plays out...then at $95, you would do well consider NVDA longs. Best to all, Chris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
5
The real value of gold is not this!!Gold is currently in a descending wedge and has completed its five upward waves, all indicating a bearish price trend. What further confirms this bearish outlook is the bearish divergence in the MACD. If the signal is followed, we will see a price drop. but Do current tensions in the Middle East allow for it ? ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by CobraVanguard
2
NOTHING !!As I mentioned, Bitcoin was able to break the head and shoulders pattern, which indicates a price increase in the coming week. We expect the price to easily rise to 73k. Previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
BTCUSDT: Why BITCOIN Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveAs I mentioned last year, Bitcoin could return to its peak, and it has. Now, as you can see, Bitcoin is in a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This can be an incredibly strong signal for a price increase. If the breakout happens, Bitcoin's price could reach $125,000 in the new year, which is not far-fetched, just like the AB=CD pattern. previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
3
BTC, can confirm we confim the breakout?Please check the previous idea to get the bigger picture - You find it in my profile Hello everyone, Bitcoin reached the top line of the flag pattern, that was built from the 74k top. We got a strong move up, but the breakout didn't even reached 70k. Bearish Case Currently we are in a correction of about 3000 Dollar and the correction could expand, if the current support from the 1H 200 EMA will be lost. The next support would come in between 64k and 65k. Bullish Case If the price can stay above 66500 and breaks the pattern to the upside, it will face resistance at 68k and needs to get over 68400 to continue the path to the upside. If that's the case, 73k should be the next target
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Kyrean
WBD bottoming in process, turnaround soon? Target 70 USD +Following WBD for quiet a few years, and we could witness now a bottoming process, where either we have the lows already in, or we should be near to it. On the several year-prospect we had already a wave 1 (or A wave) to the upside, with a wave 2 several year pullback as either as a-b-c (with an overshooting b wave to the upside), or a WXY structure. Yellow route is the alternative route for now, which highlights one more bigger swing lows arriving (and that currently we might be in yellow wavecounts, where price action SHOULD hold the 8.30-8.40 USD mark and not break below comfortably. (Secondary scenario) Primary scenario where I watching primary a bottoming process is the white route where the white big wave (2) is already in at ~8.80 USD. As the weekly and daily MACD/RSI showing bullish divergence, and also the runup having clearly impulsive characteristic from that bottom, I am leaning towards this scenario. Be aware, yellow is still not invalidated though. I am re-publishing the idea, since the previous one got flagged for house-rule-violation.
NASDAQ:WBDLong
by tommtajlor
29
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>1-hour time frame==>>Filling CME GapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Important Resistance lines ( Bitcoin is attacking important resistance lines for the fifth time ) in the Resistance zone($70,080- $68,250) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the small ascending channel . Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to fail again after breaking the lower lines of the ascending channels (small and big) and then fill the first CME Gap($67,250- $67,050) . ⚠️Note: The formation of the Bull Trap is probably high.⚠️ ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
20
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W43/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market is expected to stay within a tight range leading up to the election, with the potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. A bullish scenario may lead to a significant rise, while a bearish scenario could result in a correction. Both possibilities are on the table. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : It’s October 22nd, 2024. Based on the 8-hour chart, we are likely correcting or staying in a tighter range until the election. Assuming results are available on election night, that’s a key point to watch. 🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : The price may drop, correct back up, and then decline again. After that, it could go either way—bullish with a potential one-two sequence signaling a strong upward move, or bearish if it completes a three-wave ABC pattern, preparing for a drop. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : Both bullish and bearish outcomes are valid. The price may push up to take out the high, especially if this is a wave four, forming either a WXY or a leading diagonal. If it’s a leading diagonal and the high remains intact, we could see a decline. 🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : The wave structure suggests either a bullish move or further consolidation. RSI shows hidden bearish potential on shorter timeframes, but it’s unclear if this move has more room to the downside before continuing upward. The current five-wave formation is almost textbook in appearance. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): An initial wave up, followed by a drop, is likely. The move appears to be too clean to ignore. We may see further upside with volume peaking at the top of the current wave. A complex correction could follow, potentially stalling the move until after the election. Price action could remain range-bound, giving time for the election to pass before a more decisive trend emerges. In the next two weeks, we’ll see how this plays out. Up today, then potentially down later, remains the best guess for now. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : It’s October 22nd, 2024. The chart shows a corrective phase, likely to remain range-bound until the election. If the election results trigger a move, we’ll see a clearer direction. 🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : Expect a drop, correction, then another move down. A one-two sequence could signal a bullish breakout, but if it’s an ABC pattern, we may be preparing for a drop. 🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : Both bullish and bearish outcomes are possible. The price may retest highs but could fall if it forms a leading diagonal. As long as the high remains untouched, a downside move is expected. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : The wave structure indicates a potential move down after the current five-wave sequence. RSI suggests bearish pressure on short timeframes, but the exact timing is uncertain. 🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : The market may consolidate, form a complex correction, and then begin impulsing downward. The overall trend could remain bearish after the election. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): A move up followed by a correction could take time to fully develop. The market may stay range-bound leading up to the election. The next two weeks will be critical in determining the longer-term direction. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market is expected to remain in a tight range until the election, with potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. A significant rise is possible under a bullish scenario, while a bearish scenario could lead to a correction. Both scenarios are valid.
by AlgoFyre