Navigating Gold's Impending Impulse Wave - Sell on Dips!This comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis delves into the intricacies of gold's recent movements, pinpointing a critical juncture for traders. Examining the chart from December onwards reveals a compelling narrative: gold appears poised to conclude its correction wave 2, heralding the imminent onset of an impulse wave. Targeting the 2100-2106 zone, this analysis suggests opportune moments for entry with a target set around the 1700 level. Short-term objectives around the 1943 mark offer additional trading opportunities. With meticulous chart analysis and strategic insights, this publication aims to equip traders with actionable intelligence in navigating the gold market's dynamics.
Elliotwaveanalysis
Gold - Elliot's Wave Analysis - March 2024 - Short, then LongThis post will go over 3 wave degrees for $OANDA:XAUUSD.
Primary (4h)
Intermediate (1h)
Minor (30 mins)
Primary Degree:
Wave 1 came to an end just below the December 2023 high of 2088, meaning we are likely entering a wave 2 of a 5 wave impulse. This can be seen on the image below where:
The diagonal trendline links the high of 2148 till the high of March 1st 2024 at 2088.36.
The horizontal trendline linking the high of December 2023 at 2088.58 and the high of march 1st at 2088.38.
Intermediate Degree:
The wave 1 of the primary degree was a zigzag forming an A,B,C. I tried fitting an impulse sequence but an A,B,C respected the rules and guidelines more than a 5 wave did.
Wave A is an impulse from the start at around 1984 to the end of the 5th at 2041. Wave B is a 3 wave flat corrective and wave C is an impulse with an extended 5th. These can all be seen on the Minor degree (see last section of post).
Minor Degree:
As mentioned in my previous post, The wave 1 of the primary degree was a zigzag forming an A,B,C. Wave A is an impulse from the start at around 1984 to the end of the 5th at 2041. Wave B is a 3 wave flat corrective and wave C is an impulse with an extended 5th.
When breaking down wave A, we can establish a clear 5 wave sequence where wave 4 is an expanding triangle leading to a last push (wave 5). The expanding triangle can be seen as A,B,C,D,E and all respect the rules and guidelines of the wave principle.
Wave B and wave C form a 5 wave impulse where Wave B is a flat and a double correction on the smaller degree, hence why the markings of W, X, Y. The end of the flat (Wave B) is also the end of Wave 2. Wave C, on the smaller degree (Minute, 15 min) forms a 5 wave sequence. This can be seen from the end of Wave 2 and the start of Wave 3 on the Minor degree. The Minor degree's 5th wave is extended, rejecting the high, ending the current Minor 5th wave and Intermediate C wave. the image below should allow for clear visualization.
When placing the Fibonacci retracement on the wave 1 of the Primary degree, the most likely retracement point is between, the now support of the monthly trend line going back to 2080 in Dec 2023 till it's break on feb 29th at 2048, and the 0.618 fibonacci level at around 2048.9. The Fibonacci retracement levels can be seen on the second image below this text.
In conclusion, the most likely outcome is for a 5 wave sequence on the Intermediate degree and Minor degree to be our Primary degree Wave 2.
I have placed a short till 2043.95 due to the possibility of the retracement to reject the diagonal trendline a bit below the 0.618 level. I will then Long the 3rd wave till the current ATH, if this 3rd is extended, the next target should be at the most, 2190. Otherwise we will see wave 5 reach near this level on the Primary degree.
XAU/USD - Elliot's Wave Analysis - March 2024 - Short, then LongThis post will go over 3 wave degrees for $OANDA:XAUUSD.
Primary (4h)
Intermediate (1h)
Minor (30 mins)
Primary Degree:
Wave 1 came to an end just below the December 2023 high of 2088, meaning we are likely entering a wave 2 of a 5 wave impulse. This can be seen on the image below where:
The diagonal trendline links the high of 2148 till the high of March 1st 2024 at 2088.36.
The horizontal trendline linking the high of December 2023 at 2088.58 and the high of march 1st at 2088.38.
Intermediate Degree:
The wave 1 of the primary degree was a zigzag forming an A,B,C. I tried fitting an impulse sequence but an A,B,C respected the rules and guidelines more than a 5 wave did.
Wave A is an impulse from the start at around 1984 to the end of the 5th at 2041. Wave B is a 3 wave flat corrective and wave C is an impulse with an extended 5th. These can all be seen on the Minor degree (see last section of post).
Minor Degree:
As mentioned in my previous post, The wave 1 of the primary degree was a zigzag forming an A,B,C. Wave A is an impulse from the start at around 1984 to the end of the 5th at 2041. Wave B is a 3 wave flat corrective and wave C is an impulse with an extended 5th.
When breaking down wave A, we can establish a clear 5 wave sequence where wave 4 is an expanding triangle leading to a last push (wave 5). The expanding triangle can be seen as A,B,C,D,E and all respect the rules and guidelines of the wave principle.
Wave B and wave C form a 5 wave impulse where Wave B is a flat and a double correction on the smaller degree, hence why the markings of W, X, Y. The end of the flat (Wave B) is also the end of Wave 2. Wave C, on the smaller degree (Minute, 15 min) forms a 5 wave sequence. This can be seen from the end of Wave 2 and the start of Wave 3 on the Minor degree. The Minor degree's 5th wave is extended, rejecting the high, ending the current Minor 5th wave and Intermediate C wave. the image below should allow for clear visualization.
When placing the Fibonacci retracement on the wave 1 of the Primary degree, the most likely retracement point is between, the now support of the monthly trend line going back to 2080 in Dec 2023 till it's break on feb 29th at 2048, and the 0.618 fibonacci level at around 2048.9. The Fibonacci retracement levels can be seen on the second image below this text.
In conclusion, the most likely outcome is for a 5 wave sequence on the Intermediate degree and Minor degree to be our Primary degree Wave 2.
I have placed a short till 2043.95 due to the possibility of the retracement to reject the diagonal trendline a bit below the 0.618 level. I will then Long the 3rd wave till the current ATH, if this 3rd is extended, the next target should be at the most, 2190. Otherwise we will see wave 5 reach near this level on the Primary degree.
GOLD, will we see 1920 in wave 2 [UPDATE]Welcome back everyone!
Gold followed my long term view and could have finished the wave B pullback within a wave 2 according to Elliot wave analysis. We are now at a very important important resistance zone 2072 - 2090 and got a first bearish reaction from here.
The long term idea is that Gold ended impulsive wave 1 with the new ATH and now started an ABC correction in wave two. A move down in a wave C from here could develop in a large wave C correction with the main target at 1920. As this is a huge move I don't want to miss this and will observe the upcoming price development. I will update this analysis regularly, so feel free to follow my TV channel.
Important support zones
2042 - 2053
2009 - 2019
1970 - 1980
1908 - 1938
BTC 10-year rough estimate EW & FibAnything's possible when you're working with a finite asset in a world where:
Inflation is constantly rising and multiple fiat currencies continue to fail.
New sources for rare earth elements and precious metals are constantly being discovered.
The overall output of society continues to rise.
This is a (very) rough estimate based on Elliot Wave Principle and Fibonacci (price & time) retracements/extensions.
AEHR - Small swing trade - Probably 30-40% upside from hereAEHR got hammered and down 70% from 50's.
Noticed small uptick in volume and up 10% today.
It's sitting on a huge volume shelf here, added a starter position around 16's.
Trading small for now as this is a counter trend trade, we'll see heavy resistance as we move up.
Long - 16-17's
Stop loss - 14
Target #1 - 22 (30%)
Target #2 - 24 (40%) - Huge volume shelf
High Options Open Interest for 17.5 & 20 strikes.
A push above 17.5 can easily push it to 20+
And this may base a while until it clears the massive volume shelf above.
Will revisit this after it clears 22-24
Bitcoin Extends as Forecasted PreviouslyIn my last update on February 15th , I stated...
"Bitcoin has developed a very clear upward trajectory that we have tracked all the way from $15,000. We are now in the target box for completion. The one caveat I have with my analysis is it is possible I was too conservative. The MACD indicator should be on negative divergence for completion and it is now showing we're on the verge of breaking out...again."
MACD did breakout and thus revealing the strongest portion of this advance had not happened as previously thought. We are now topping in a wave 3 which should provide a wave 4 retrace of sorts. For this trend to end, we look for one more high in a 5 wave pattern, that is completed on negative divergence.
ZS - Base and raceZS gapped down on earnings and filling the gap now.
Technically it can complete the Corrective ABC wave here and base above 180-200 .
If the broader market turns bearish, the Corrective ABC wave can turn into bearish Impulsive wave.
Long between 180-200
Stop loss 170
Target#1 - 260
Target#2 - 320, after a pullback
Target #3 - 380, after a pullback
Bitcoin analysis of MR Trollist the chart is self-explanatory, the first wave is composed of a 5 wave and its wave 5 is exactly a length of 0.618* its wave 1 which clears many doubts and clears the vision.
also wave 3 of 3 is exactly at the time fib of 4.236 of its wave 1.
also wave 3 is near fib levels drawn from wave1 both on the log scale and arithmetic
wave 5 might break ATH and might not
my high-probability trades are for charts that have lots of previous data but Bitcoin is a monster
my personal opinion is that wave 4 will be a life-changing opportunity but this is not financial advice to put all your money in it and blame me later if it fails. As you can see in my previous trades I can find high-probability trades with a high reward that happens every week so I don't need to risk a lot to make a lot.
*********
I repeat again, do your own research and don't blame others , Toodle trolls :)
✅BTC's situation+next targets and expected movements.(Daily)Hi.
COINEX:BTCUSDT
✅Today, I want to analyze BTC for you in a Daily time frame so that we can have a Short-term view of BTC regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
The price has completed its 5 ascending waves and now it is time for it to continue its corrective wave up to 57K .
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
- High potential areas are clear in the chart.
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
LINK - Perfect Elliot's Wave Flag Bouncing On Support w/OBVBIST:LINK
Chainlink printing another beautiful flag after breaking through resistance onto now support.
The best part is while this is taking place the x-ray goggles of OBV showing us the growing bullish strength via higher highs and higher lows with bullish divergence behind the scenes.
Slowly, and then all at once 🌊👀
Polygon (MATICUSD): EXTREME Potential Long-Term Opportunity Matic presents a similar narrative to PolkaDot BINANCE:DOTUSDT . Since the low, marking our Wave (2), we find ourselves engaged in an overarching Wave (3). Currently, we're contemplating a completed Wave 1 scenario, and the path ahead entails a Flat correction for Wave 2.
This Wave 2 correction is anticipated to pivot between 50% and 78.6%. A breach beyond the 78.6% level could lead to a decline towards the $0.50 mark. If this level is breached, further downward movement may unfold, painting a bearish scenario.
Nevertheless, a positive turn within this range could pave the way for an upward journey towards $2.50. :stock_up:
We possible could never see this opportunity and price ever again. So load up your bags!
Bitcoin Analysis: Big and LongBitcoin has recently showcased its resilience, surging past the significant $31,000 mark. This breakthrough is not a mere coincidence; it's a part of a grander design in the crypto market.
If your preview is distorted here is image copy of this analysis:
Let's delve into the intricacies of this upward momentum:
1. Halving's Influence:
One of essential factors in Bitcoin's trajectory is the phenomenon of halving. Bitcoin halving events have historically influenced supply and demand dynamics, often leading to significant price rallies.
As we approach the halving period, this historic pattern adds an extra layer of confidence to the current bullish sentiment.
2. Impulse Structure and Rising Channel:
Bitcoin is painting a compelling picture on the daily timeframe. Within a substantial impulse structure, a rising channel is emerging.
This channel indicates a positive trajectory, reflective of market confidence.
3. Third Wave Speculation:
Within this structure, the market is now poised for what appears to be the third wave, a potentially substantial wave marked by extensions.
The current expectations are set on a retreat to $30,000, acting as a pivot point for the forthcoming surge, with the next ambitious target resting comfortably at $50,000.
4. Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern:
Bitcoin's strength lies in its Wyckoff accumulation pattern.
Though subtle, this continuous weakness exhibits a steady and robust progression, making it a quite unique pattern among other accumulation patterns (cup and handle, saucer etc).
5. Bollinger Bands Width Squeeze:
A striking observation is the Bollinger Bands width, reaching a low not witnessed since the market bottom of 2014.
This rarity accentuates Bitcoin's growth potential, serving as a strong indicator for investors.
6. Historical Comparisons:
By comparing the current market behavior with the patterns observed in 2015-2016, a striking resemblance emerges.
This historical congruence enhances our confidence in the ongoing trend, providing a solid foundation for the $50,000 target.
7. Institutional Interest:
With each positive move, the market gains momentum. It's not just individual investors; institutional players are also recognizing Bitcoin's potential.
The imminent approval of a Bitcoin ETF promises to be a game-changer. This financial instrument bridges the gap between traditional markets and cryptocurrencies, rendering Bitcoin accessible to a broader investor base. The ETF's advent not only signifies regulatory acknowledgment but also invites a wave of retail participation.
The anticipation is that as we approach the holiday season, institutional investors will further solidify this upward trajectory.
In essence, the recent surge beyond $31,000 signifies a strategic move in the crypto chessboard. As we navigate this rising channel, the road ahead holds promise, with the $50,000 mark gleaming on the horizon.
Adding to this momentum, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is showing both Bullish and Hidden Bullish divergence alongside the development of the rising channel. These signals align, painting a robust picture for Bitcoin's price increase.
Your support means the world to me! ❤️ Liking and commenting is a free, wonderful way to keep me motivated and help my work reach more enthusiasts like you.
Plus, I'm genuinely curious: which tokens/coins have piqued your interest lately?
Share your thoughts in the comment box below! Let's start a conversation!
Stay tuned!
W for a win - Good risk to reward - 2x - 3x Wayfair is not as big as it was but technically it's one of the heavily shorted name.
As the midcap/small caps started running, W has good entry here.
Started a long position yesterday. will add once I've enough cushion on pullbacks.
Stop loss - 45
Target #1 - 80, 89 then 100
Target #2 - 125
Target #3 - 148
ENPH - ready for a take off?ENPH is quite a volatile stock. It’s been a multi-bagger since the 2020 elections.
This has been hammered lately and looks like bottomed out.
Recent uptick in volume showing signs of recovery.
Long - around 100ish
Stop loss - 85
Target #1 - 175
Target #2 - 230
So much of supply ahead, won’t be a smooth ride.
And note- this one has political risk as well.
Manage your risk and position size carefully.
U - Unity + Apple Vision Pro, Can do the magic ?Unity got everyone’s attention when Apple announced its partnership with Unity to develop its VR glasses ‘Vision Pro’.
Apple is releasing ‘Vision Pro’ on Feb 2nd, and it’s not a coincidence this 3rd Wave aligning with its release date.
Started a starter position, but best entry would be around 30.
Stop loss - 24
Long Entry - around 30
Target #1 - 40
Target #2 - 55
Target #3 - 64, after a pullback to 50
L&T has 20% upside from CMP. New impulse wave in action.The weekly wave count for LARSEN&TOUBRO LTD. suggests that it recently completed a wave IV correction from the Jan 2024 highs, and now is all set to move higher in wave v.
The expected wave would be the wave V of 3. The target zone for this wave is projected at around INR 4100-4150 levels which is around 20% up from CMP.
INR 3400 is a support zone for the stock now.
INR 3330 can be used as a "SL".
APEUSD | ABC Pattern - Pullback Inv. Head&Shoulders TP +70%An inverted head & shoulders breakout in weekly timeframe, possible ABC wave pattern
Entry pullback trade position retracing at the inv. h&s neckline support - SMA20W
TP1 - 161.8% extension +70% @ downtrend triangle resistance
TP2 - 261.8%
SL - B wave lowest position
RRR: 3:1
AUDCAD in jeopardyAUDCAD shows bullish momentum on all TFs 8hs and lower (I´m not looking at minute charts). However, it is in my opinion trapped in between two (evtl 3 channels) as part of a bigger WXY. AUDCAD could have already finished the wave B of Y but I´ll give it more room to the upside to the 61.8 or 78.6 fib retracement before it continues down again. Two thresholds need to be taken out (purple line and minor white channel) in order to reach these two fib levels.
Please let me know what you think about my analysis!
Trade setup_nifty completes minor corrective wave ii.Nifty 50 is seen completing 50% retracement of the prior leg i of 3 with today's dip.
The wave ii has achieved a 50% retracement of the wave i.
wave iii of 3 should now take off by today after noon.
the target for wave iii would be approx 22500 from here.
Today's intraday low of 22075 should most probably be a crucial bottom.
22000-22100 currently is the strong support zone.