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Elliotwaveanalysis

Nvidia Elliot Wave AnalysisNvidia on hourly candles respecting elliot impulse wave pattern for year 2024. Wave 2 was a classic 3 wave elliot correction wave pattern. This then breaks into wave 3 and is respecting a very tight channel upwards. Expecting 1000+, back to 900s, then price target of 1100+ post July. Heavy chop in wave 3 due to broader market uncertainties and pressures. This stock trades with higher volatilities than others with its market cap. Trade weeklies with caution. Good long if you're 1yr+ long or 6M+ long option calls. My personal take: Nvidia will be the world's first 10T dollar company by 2027 and will be the world's most powerful and sought after company. Their technologies will ensure continued world peace (including in taiwan) and will be an industry leader for the next quarter century. Only invest money you can afford to lose, not investment advice. Goodluck everyone. *disclaimer: I have a May 17 955C position.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by JKOMOR
1
Long term NIFTY wave counts - potential downside ahead!I was reviewing long term EW counts of NSE:NIFTY and here is what I think. Overall, I can see potential 2 alternatives and have highlighted them in blue and red respectively. This is a monthly chart. Blue Alternative Let's start with blue counts first. Larger degree wave 1 (marked by square blue box) which started from Covid lows of March 2020, ended in October 2021. Wave 1 is the same for both blue and red alternatives since there is no confusion till that point. But from that point onward, things change. I have marked the correction in larger degree wave 2 (marked by square blue box) as a W-X-Y correction which ended in March 2023. From there, I am assuming a larger degree wave 3 started. Within the larger degree wave 3, we seem to be near completion of the minor degree wave (i) of larger degree wave 3. This is marked in black since wave (i) of 3 in the red alternative also ends at the same point even though counts for the red alternative are different. We can see the red bar forming for this month but this is too early to say if we'll get a negative close for this month. However, wave v of (i) has an ending diagonal look (more clearly visible in lower timeframes). Plus, we can see massive negative divergences in RSI and momentum oscillator which suggests that a correction is due. Make no mistake - correction will occur soon. If not this month, then maybe next month. For the uninitiated, ending diagonal (ED) is typically the last leg of a move. In this case, it should be signaling the ending of wave (i) of 3. Now, before we come to the size of the correction, let's take a look at the red alternative. Red Alternative Larger degree wave 1 remains the same in red alternative as mentioned earlier. However, in this alternative, larger degree wave 2 (marked by square red box) ended in June 2023 followed by immediate start of larger degree wave 3. In this alternative, we are taking all follow-up moves as i-ii-i-ii-iii-iv-iii-iv-v. Don't worry about this count, just understand that this move (first leg (i) of larger degree wave 3 ) also seems to be ending exactly where blue wave count suggests, i.e. possibly this month end or next. I can't confirm now since this month's candle is still forming. Conclusion Both wave counts suggest that minor degree wave " (ii) of 3 " (marked in black on the right most part of the chart) should begin soon, if not already started. Finally, coming to the size of this move, if we go by blue alternative, 38.2% retracement level is around 20500 and 50% is around 19800. And if we go by the red alternative then 50% retracement is around 19000, 61.8% is around 18100. At the minimum, I would expect 19200-19500 levels (38.2% retracement) if the red alternative is in play. So which one is going to happen? To be honest, I have no idea but we can go with the least of both alternatives at a tentative level and refine as the move evolves. That gives us 19800 which is still more than 2000 points correction from current levels. 20 month moving average is currently at 19675, and rising. This potentially makes 19800 a viable target in a month or two. Happy (wave) counting ;-)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by YetAnotherTA
📍Part #1, Elliott Waves: "Introduction. Classification".Hello! Dear colleagues, because I am constantly analyzing the markets with the help of wave analysis. Many colleagues ask me about it and I decided to make some tutorial posts to help you in this difficult task. I want to present this information to you in a simple and straightforward manner. Well, enough unnecessary text, let's get started! A bit of history from Wikipedia. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948), an American accountant, developed a model for the underlying social principles of financial markets by studying their price movements, and developed a set of analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." In simple words, human behavior is quite predictable. And since it is mostly people who trade on the markets, we can predict its movement with some probability. Well. Let's explore what these waves are. Let's start by categorizing them. The movements are mostly carried out by a five-wave structure. 📍 Modes: Motive & Corrective Waves unfold in two distinct forms: motive and corrective. Motive waves exhibit a five-wave structure, featuring both a five-wave model and its co-directional components—waves 1, 3, and 5. The term "motive" is attributed to this structure due to its inherent ability to energize and set the market in motion. On the other hand, corrective waves, prevalent in countertrend movements, follow a three-wave structure or its variations. The name "corrective" stems from their nature as responses to preceding motive waves, executing partial retracements or "corrections" of the prior progress. Hence, these two wave types stand apart not only in their roles but also in their fundamental construction. Motive 📍 Styles: Impulse & Diagonal. There are two types of motive waves: impulse and diagonal. As a rule, they alternate in the position of waves 1-5 impulses and waves A-C of the zigzag. 📍 Patterns: Impulse, Leading Diagonal & Ending Diagonal Five-wave action model. Creates forward progress.Motive waves are limited to three patterns: Impulse, Leading and Ending Diagonals. Corrective 📍 Groups: Simple & Combined The corrective mode has two groups, simple and combined. Combined corrections are subdivided into simple corrective structures. The group of simple corrections includes: flat, triangle and single zigzag. Combined group — multiple zigzag and combination. 📍 Styles: Sharp & Sideways There are two styles of corrective processes: sharp and sideways. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa. 📍 Patterns: Flat, Triangle, Single Zigzag, Multiple Zigzag and Combination 📍 Three-wave or five-wave (which have characteristics of both fives and threes) or their combination model of counteraction. Always produces a net retracement from the previous wave. Corrective patterns include: single and multiple zigzags, triangle, flat, combination. Variations 📍Divergences in Elliott Wave patterns manifest in two conditional categories: variations in form and variations in the quantity of simple structures. Impulses, diagonals, flats, triangles, and single zigzags are distinguished by the proportional length of their sub-waves, shaping the model uniquely. On the other hand, combined corrections, incorporating multiple zigzags and combinations, maintain a consistent shape, and their identification is based on the count of simple corrective structures they encompass. This was an introductory lesson on Elliott waves. Further we will examine each type and subspecies of waves in detail in a separate lesson! 🔔 Click on the links below this lesson! 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
22
📍Part # 8, Combination - Corrective Waves.👩🏻‍💻 Hello ! This time we're going to look at combinations. It may seem too complicated, but don't worry. In fact, any combination simply consists of two corrective patterns that you and I already know, only between these two patterns there is a connecting wave. Let's go straight to the rules and everything will become clear to you at once! ✅ Rules ✅ 📍A “double three” combination comprises two corrective patterns separated by one corrective pattern in the opposite direction, labeled 'X'. The first corrective pattern is labeled 'W', the second 'Y'. 📍A "double three" combination comprises (in order) a zigzag and a flat, a flat and a zigzag, a flat and a flat, a zigzag and a triangle or a flat and a triangle. 📍Wave 'X' appears as a zigzag or flat. 📍Wave 'X' always retraces at least 90 percent of wave 'W'. 📍Combinations have a sideways look. With respect to waves 'W' and 'Y' in a double three, only one of those waves in each type of combination appears as a single zigzag. 📍Combinations can occur in the same wave positions as flats and triangles (except for the triangle subwave) but cannot occur in waves 'W' and 'Y'. ✅ Guidelines ✅ 📍Wave 'X' is often 123.6-138.2% the 'W' wavelength, less often wave 'X' retraces 161.8% or more. Don't expect wave 'X' to be more than 261.8% of wave 'W'. 📍Wave 'X' is usually a single or multiple zigzag. 📍When a zigzag or flat appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave '4', the preceding wave '2'), a combination is likely. Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it! 🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
3
BTC minor reaction to Intermediate degree correctionBitcoin is oversold on time-frames below 6W and overbought on 1D. This means the current move up is a minor reaction on Intermediate correction. I think the price will spike the ATH once again, but the probability price go significantly higher ATH is lower than vice-versa. Maybe around 85k. The price action usually is moving in a channel boundaries. You can see the Primary trend lines on the chart. If to use Fib extension tool & apply it from 4 of April 2021 till the 12 of March 2024 top, the Intermediary correction target is matching with the channel boundaries it is between - 42075 - 29435. (0.382-0.618) I guess the bottom might be near 34k. Plus, we could use TVC, as an additional indicator: on a lower time frames - it was overbought and is not oversold on a higher TF. So in a short term, the probability TVC will continue decline, whiting a couple of next weeks is high. Good luck in your trading and have a massive profit !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dogecoin_chain
BTC simple trading strategy for scalpers using H4Finished bullish Elliot Wave. Sideways should take half of bullishtrend, top of recent bearishtrend, create weak bullish candles or pass resistance and crash down. Can form a triangle pattern. If not, it can do a cup pattern. tip: use a to e waves to know sideways structure end. You can start it from lowest peak and set two more for structure understanding. sideways should take around 25 candles but can reach lower if waves are small and shadows are big. Nothing changes if reaches more.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Ftradorex
Cryptocurrencies Making Deeper PullbackHey traders! The US dollar is advancing, make cryptocurrencies weak as stocks market turns south ahead of key economic data from the US. As you know, the Fed will release its latest decision on interest rate policy today, and there is increasing speculation that they will maintain their current stance for a longer period. This anticipation is driving the US dollar higher while stocks are declining, and cryptocurrencies are also turning to the downside. Looking at the total market cap, we are observing a potential breakout from the wave B triangle, after only a three-wave rise from the April 13th lows, indicating a correction, ideally it represented subwave (C) within a triangle. If our analysis is correct, then current thrust out of the triangle could still be representing the final leg of this whole correction from March. However, there is still room to drop even to 1.9 trillion before potential support is found. A reversal and a significant bounce back to 1.23 trillion would be necessary for bulls to wake up, which is crucial if you are a short-term trader.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ew-forecast
3
BTC Update leading diagonal 5-3-5-3-5The leading diagonal pattern is very similar to the ending one. It consists of five sub-waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. Its first wave is usually the longest, while the third wave cannot be the shortest among waves 1, 3 and 5, and waves 2 and 4 are always corrective. Waves 1 and 4 should overlap. There are, however, few notable exceptions. First, leading diagonals occur in the position of the first wave within a regular five-wave impulse or in the position of wave A of a simple zig-zag correction. Second, unlike ending diagonals, where each of the five waves is corrective in nature, the structure of the three motive waves of the leading diagonal – 1, 3 and 5 – can be corrective as well as impulsive.
by GuruWaveAnalysis
Where does the Bitcoin downtrend continue to?Hello dear friends, I hope you're doing well. Before delving into Solana and Bitcoin analysis, let me reiterate two important points for newcomers and myself: 1. If you haven't profited from market dips or experienced severe liquidation, take a few days off from the market. 2. Avoid entering the market for revenge, as emotional decisions could lead to further losses. As you can see, Bitcoin experienced an 18% drop from the $73,600 ceiling and reached a support level of $60,000. The question arises: Is the $60,000 range an attractive zone for market makers or major players? My answer is a resounding no, for several reasons. As I've mentioned before, the $60,000 range serves more as a psychological barrier than a significant support level. Market makers reinforce this range so you can comfortably take long positions at $20k, $40k, or $80k without worry, or even go full margin long. In my opinion, the $60,000 range is the biggest bull trap that market makers have set for us. Within less than a week before the halving, the $60,000 range has been strongly supported, but 8 to 10 days later, CZ's criminal sentencing area awaits us. Considering the current dominance of Tether and the breakdown of the rising wedge bearish pattern, we could look to open short positions in the $64,500 to 68,000$ range. The likelihood of this scenario playing out is very high. ------------- Here are the potential scenarios for Tether's dominance: 1. A move of 4.7%, breaking the resistance at 5% and reaching the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. 2. A correction to the 4.5 to 4.36% range to complete the upward pullback, followed by a move towards the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. Therefore, we conclude that Tether's dominance is very bullish. It's likely that the $60,000 support range will be broken, and the price will drop to $45,000 (the 5.85 USDT.D range). ------------- The Elliott Wave count I conducted in the previous analysis on the RSI indicator is nearing completion. Wave A has been completed. ------------- I'd be happy to share your opinion with me. Your likes, follows, and comments give me energy.
by Sadegh_Sh
10
Does Nvidia have the Strength to Get OMH in the target box?Nvidia has been weak as of the last month, after a major run-up in the stock. Since we have no catalysts on the short term horizon, I am forecasting a fall back towards $700. However, in the short term we can get as high as $927 before falling back towards my target of $700. To get this sort move in the stock I will remove the purple alternative path of the stock being in a wave 4, with a near term push into the $1,000 area. I will warn followers that my longer term target for Nvidia is closer to $400 as I am counting this as a cycle wave II decline. Best to all, Chris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
The ultimate guide on Elliott waves in crypto tradingMost of you have probably heard about Elliott waves and we are sure that you don’t use it in cryptocurrency trading strategy because it’s very complicated and subjective approach. Crypto trading for beginners is very challenging and stressful even without Elliott waves. To be honest when we first time tried to implement it to my crypto trading strategies it was a complete disappointment. We were sure that it does not suit for both trading bot and manual trades. Elliott waves were thrown into a garbage bin for almost two years and we developed our crypto trading algorithm using only linear programming approaches. While we have been trying to invent the best automated trading bot using only indicators and support and resistance levels, best crypto traders have been successfully using Elliott waves in their analysis. Finally we make a decision to have a deep dive in this popular crypto trading tool and studied in details all available literature. As a result we found that Elliott waves will ruin your trading if you use it without special indicators for confirmation. Now we have 2 years of experience in trading with waves and almost one year ago we implemented them into our algorithmic trading bot. Today we prepared the best ultimate guide ever on Elliott waves using best practices and our unique experience how to use them in developing your own profitable crypto trading strategies. Let’s go! Why it’s vital to use Elliott waves? Before answer this question, let me ask another one! Why is important to use map to reach the final destination? I think here is the obvious answer! Talking about Elliott waves it’s almost the same reason. This is the only one approach which gives you a map for a price chart. I think you agree that technical indicators or support and resistance levels will not give you the answer which direction the price will choose. When you have, for example Stochastic Oscillator crossover or RSI oversold area hit you just open long because this is the most common strategy. You buy asset like a blind kitten. We are not criticize this approach, because using proper risk and money management you will earn with almost every strategy, but understanding the Elliott waves concept will dramatically increase your profit even if you combine them with your ordinary strategy. Why it’s happening? The answer is easy, because Elliott waves in the underlying structure of the market. You will be aware when you shall use your signals and when it’s better to skip trade. Now let’s dive into the Elliott waves to understand how to find them on the price chart. In the first part we will give you all needed theory and after that we will show in the real charts how it works. Elliott waves In general, Elliott waves concept is pretty easy. All markets are globally moving up with the five waves formations and then show the pullback with at the reactive waves. On the Bitcoin price chart above you can see the most common picture for Elliott waves. We had the bull run which consists of five waves and then was the bear market represented with the ABC correction. Waves can be divided into two groups: impulsive and reactive. On the bullish phase waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulsive, 2 and 4 reactive. Impulsive waves consists also with five sub waves, while reactive have usually three waves (exception the triangle correction, will be covered later). On the bearish phase we have the opposite situation: waves A and C are impulsive, while wave B is reactive. Now let’s discuss each wave in details. What will stop every wave in 90% of cases? Before we will observe the wave it’s very important to understand what are the early signs that current wave is about to be finished. This is really crucial concept because without it almost impossible to use Elliott waves for profitable trading. We need four tools to make sure that our counting is correct. In this article we will not spend to much time for these indicators, we just show you in practice how to use them. These tools are: Awesome Oscillator, Market Facilitation Index (MFI), Fibonacci retracement and extension and Fractals. These four indicators produce five wave’s end conditions. Divergence with Awesome Oscillator. If you found five sub waves inside any wave and you can see that price set the higher high (or lower low for bearish case), while AO set lower high (or higher low) it’s divergence between wave 3 and 5. This is the most powerful signal that trend is over. Fractal at the top or bottom. When you see the divergence it’s just the first sign of trend weakness, we need confirmation with the fractal forming at the top or bottom. You can easily find this indicator in TradingView, it will show you all fractals. MFI squat bar. We will cover MFI in one of the next educational articles, now you just need to know that it has squat state - the last battle between bulls and bears. One of the three top bars will be the squat in 80% of waves end. You can also find this indicator in TradingView. AO momentum change. Another one confirmation that trend is over is when AO histogram changes color. It’s better to wait three consecutive columns of the other color or when AO will cross back the signal line, 5 period MA of the AO. Target area. Using Fibonacci extension and retracement we can find the area where the reversal is the most likely. We will show you this targets when talking about waves. Now you know the five basic rules and we are ready to discuss every wave using this concept. Wave 1 When the previous trend is over the impulsive wave 1 begins. We can define the wave 1 start only establishing the previous wave end. It could be wave 5, C or E. It does not matter. You just need to apply our five rules: divergence, momentum change, target area, squat bar and fractal. On the chart you can see how in theory wave 1 can be looks like. Wave 1 always consists of five waves. That’s why we can wait for the same five rules to complete between wave 3 and 5 inside the wave 1. When you anticipate the wave 1 finish you have two options: close trade and re-enter at the wave 2 bottom or hold for the entire cycle. Wave 2 When wave 1 ends, you will see pull back in wave 2. It’s important to catch wave 2 bottom because wave 3 will bring you a lot of profit. Wave 2 can be classical ABC zigzag, flat or irregular correction. 70% probability it will be ended inside 0.38 and 0.62 Fibonacci retracement range of wave 1, in rare cases it can ends higher or lower. That’s why it’s better t count waves inside wave 2 and do not miss when all five trend killing conditions are met in wave C inside 2. Wave 3 The most impulsive wave in the entire cycle is obligatory for trading. Here you can have the less risky and the most easy trading. Wave 3 has the great fundamental factors as a price drivers. For example, Bitcoin spot ETF triggered a huge pump recently. Let’s imagine you correctly entered at the wave 2 end. Now we have to define wave 3 targets. The target area using fibonacci extension can be found between 1 and 1.61. This is the most likely case. In crypto it’s very often when waves 3 are extended. To have the most precise target it’s highly recommended to count waves inside wave 3. Found five waves? Check our favorite trend killing rules to exit a trade at the top. We know it sounds fantastic, but we managed to buy the exact bottom and sell at the top many times, but to be honest, we have never caught the top of the extended wave 3. Need more experience for that. Wave 4 Wave 4 can be the most complicated because it has a lot of different variants: zigzag, flat, irregular or even triangle. But at the same time in wave 4 we can have the easiest setup. When you predicted wave 3 top, it’s time to setup the target for the wave 4. The most reliable one is between 0.38 and 0.5. This wave is not so rapid as wave 2 and takes much more time (up to 70% of all cycle). The very important tip here is to look at the price where wave 4 inside wave 3 has been ended. If this level coincides with the 0.38-0.5 zone it can give you much more confidence. We have never made a mistake using this technique. As usual you have to look for the five trend killing rules in wave C inside wave 4 as well. Another one thing we want to point out. You know the axiom, that wave 4 has not overlap wave 1 top. This rule can be slightly violated and we will show you the case. Don’t pay attention that much to this rule. Wave 5 Finally we are in wave 5. This is really vital to define it’s top because bear market will follow this wave and can destroy your deposits. The target area for the wave 5 is defined as the distance between wave 1 bottom and wave 3 top, measured from wave 4 bottom. Area between 0.61 of this distance and 1 Fibonacci level is our target. There you have to find trend killing rules as usual but this time for all cycle, not subwaves. Corrections The most dangerous place for trading is the correction. From our experience only wave C in zigzag is tradable. You would better to skip corrections and try to catch it’s end. We have four types of corrections, but the most important knowledges is that wave C and E are always consists of five waves. It means you can use the rules how to catch wave 5 end inside these waves. Zigzag ABC. If wave A consists of 5 waves the most like we will see zigzag. Wait when wave B reach 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci of wave A and be ready to trade in wave C. Flat. Wave A has 5 waves inside. Waves A, B and C are almost equal to each other. Irregular. Wave B top is higher that the previous impulsive wave. Wave A consists of 3 waves. Triangle. Consists of A, B, C, D and E waves. Wave E consists of five waves. Usually occurs inside waves 4 and B of higher degree. Now you have a theoretical description. It’s time to trade!
Education
by Skyrexio
19