Elliott Wave: USDJPY Moving Into 139-137 SupportUSDJPY slightly stabilized yesterday due to higher US yields following Powell's rate announcement and press conference. However, note that the rise from the most recent lows occurred in three waves and stalled at the previous swing high at 143.80 resistance. This suggests there could be new sellers attempting to push prices back to the lows. But keep in mind, this could be the final leg within the diagonal formation, which could lead to a bottom forming in the next few days. On higher time frame chart, the 137-139 zone remains a very important support area; 2023 swing lows.
GH
Elliotwaveanalysis
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.11587.Dear colleagues, in the last forecast I counted on the fact that wave “2” is completed, but now it is clear that it is not.
I think that the price will complete wave “2” in the area of 100% - 161.8% Fibonacci extension levels. This is the range of 1.09788 - 1.08690.
But from here I hope to see the beginning of the upward movement in wave “3”, because I still want to see an update of the highs and the nearest target is the resistance area at 1.11587.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BLUR: The prospect of increasing?As you can see, BLUR has created an ascending head and shoulders and is also located in the megaphone, which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the target (AB=CD).
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pump to $59,000==> Short termBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($55,780-$54,550) near the Support lines and 100_SMA(4H-TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $59,000 after breaking the Resistance line .
Note: We can expect more dumps if Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($55,780-$54,550).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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POPCAT : Why POPCAT Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential Movethe POPCAT is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD).
According to Elliott's theory, the triple combo waves have ended and it means that the price can increase.
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
The GOLD is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
From a different point of view!!!
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin FULL Analysis PART 2In a previous analysis, I discussed the relationship between Bitcoin, the Altcoin market and Bitcoin Dominance.
An important rotation exists between these three; and by using TOTAL3 together with BTC.D, you can get a clearer picture of where BTC is trading in the current cycle.
In this video, I make an important suggestion based off Elliot Wave Theory. This theory is backed up by the points mentioned but also by the Logarithmic view:
From the log scale, we can see BTC is still trading relatively low compared to previous cycle top-outs. So the question remains - the end... or just the beginning?
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COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
TESLA is looking to make a run for $345 during the 5th wave.Tesla looks like it might make a run to $345 in the 5th and final Elliott Wave over the next 2 to 3 months. This identical pattern appears to have already played out in an earlier instance, which makes it slightly more likely that the pattern will repeat itself.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
GOLD: Pullback in Short Term?Hi Traders!
Gold prices rose early on Thursday as the dollar weakened ahead of next week's expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cut.
Gold for December delivery was last seen up US$19.70 to US$2,562.10 per ounce. Hopes among gold bulls that the Federal Reserve's policy committee would offer 50 basis point rate cut at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday were dashed when data released yesterday showed the August U.S. Consumer Price Index rose by 2.5% down from 2.9% in July.
"Gold dropped back on Wednesday after US inflation data dimmed the prospects for a 50-basis-point cut next week, but underlying strength prevails, with daily higher lows signaling continued appetite from investors," Saxo Bank noted.
The dollar eased early, with the ICE dollar index last seen down 0.08 points to 101.61. Treasury yields were flat, with the yield on the U.S. two-year not unchanged at 3.648%, while the 10-year note was paying 3.658%, also steady.
From a technical point of view, on the daily chart the trend is bullish (but has not yet reached our Target at the moment). That said, once the harmonic structure is completed, we do not exclude an interesting mid-term pullback. What do you think? Please support our idea for future updates.
Thanks for watching
NVIDIA- Be patient, Correction Not CompletedNvidia has pulled back and touched the $100 level, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement of the rise from August. This could be an important support level, especially considering that a triangle pattern is one potential scenario here. We also believe that the overall stock market, along with major indices, could remain range-bound for another week until the Fed rate decision, after which markets may finally break out of this summer range.
For now, the ABCDE triangle remains a valid scenario if the $100 level holds. However, if this level is breached, be prepared for a further dip, possibly down toward $80, where the market may stabilize with a deeper and slightly different ABC correction, reaching the previous wave four level from April of this year. In either case, I believe Nvidia is still trapped in consolidation and may not resume its uptrend just yet.
GH
From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory:
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules:
1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves.
3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns).
4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C).
Wave Counts and Analysis:
On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding
We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows:
- Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed.
- Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase.
- Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move.
Characteristics of Wave 3:
Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are:
- The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension).
- A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves.
- An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Moving Averages Confirmation:
Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count.
Critical Level to Watch: 988
Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111.
Invalidation Level:
The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy.
Summary:
In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896.
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
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Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
USDCAD - More downside look likelyFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like more downside is probable on the USDCAD. We have two have count possibilities (white and red numbering) and both point to another leg lower that should take prices below the previous low of 1.3436. We could go short at the market with a stop above 1.3630 for a great R:R.
SPX500USD 2024/09/11one of the benefits of using Elliot Wave is that it can help traders to understand the psychology and emotions behind market movements. if can halp traders to avoid being influenced by fear and greed and trade with logic and objectivity.
-You can't control the market! But you can control how you respond it
# Planning is the key element of trading! Plan it - Follow it! Trade it!
BTC - TWO Theories - ELLIOT Wave vs FRACTALElliot Wave Theory is an absolute favorite of mine, combined with Wyckoff Method and chart analysis (trendlines and technical indicators). If you've been following; you'll know I've been speaking of a multi-month cycle, specifically a multi month corrective wave before the final impulse wave up (4-5).
Considering we're still in that corrective phase, let's take a look at TWO options from here:
Option 1 , is we retrace around -50%, same as last time. However, this would pose an issue - if we drop lower than (1), it invalidates the Elliot Wave Theory, and also invalidates the bullish cycle. The second problem, is that the previous cycle's increase (2-3) was MUCH bigger than the current 2-3 we are observing. This brings us to option 2.
Option 2 , is that we retrace around the same ratio as the previous cycle. To calculate the ration, we need to see what % we retraced and compare it to the % increase.
We increased 1533.92% (2-3)and retraced 55.25% (3-4). That means it's a 3.6% correction compared to the increase.
For the current cycle, we increased 357.27% (2-3) and retraced 33.76% (3-4). This gives us a 9,45% correction - three times as much as the previous cycle.
You can take this two ways - either we're following a 50% correction, OR we're not falling lower than the current point 4 which is around $49K.
Share your thoughts!
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
DUOL: Price structure (upd)
The corrective structure for wave (2) looks to be complete. Next important mid-term resistance area: 248-345 (0.382-0.618% extension of wave (1)-(2)). In this resistance zone price may form a potential handle in long CaH patter before breaking out into long term uptrend towards next macro resistance zone: 589-820 and beyond (if following support structure holds)
Proposed structure is valid if price holds above august's lows (144)
Previous idea from Dec 2018 with updates:
Thank you for your attention!
POLYGON - TOO EARLY FOR BUYS Polygon is approaching 2022 lows. Is it good time to buy now?
Based on Elliot wave theories and current price action on weekly timeframe, we are now in major wave 4 that is not completed yet. Expecting major wave 4 to be completed around the -0.27 ( 0.17 ) and -0.618 ( 0.08 ) Fibonacci levels ( Our buy zone ).
For the upcoming days, we'll be looking for short opportunities until we reach our buy zone.
If interested to see more setups and analysis, make sure to support our ideas by hitting the like button. :)
DXY - HIGHER TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here is the expected DXY path for the incoming weeks. We are working with a complex ABC pattern. We are currently in major wave B ( ZIGZAG Pattern ).
Zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5 ) is made up of 3 waves:
Wave A = 5 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves
Working with Wave C, we still have subwave 5 in order for major wave B to be completed. What we are looking for now is the completion of subwave 4 around 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels.
Watching the rejection of the 50 EMA to ride the final leg of wave C.
Will see price will react at the fib levels and update later.
EURUSD Higher Timeframe Analysis Looking at the higher timeframe analysis, we can see that EURUSD is moving impulsively in the last period of time.
Impulsive move is made up of 5 waves
- Wave 1 = Wave 3 = wave 5 = 5 waves
- Wave 2 = wave 4 = 3 waves
We are now in subwave C of wave 4. Expecting a move down to our buy zone where we'll be looking for buys targeting 1.13 level.
If interested in trading subwave c, watch for a pullback and ride the move down after the breakout.
Good Luck and trade safe!