ETHEREUM → Price can't break the bearish trend. False breakoutBINANCE:ETHUSD is facing selloffs. Technically, ETH is showing weakness on the background of growing sales. Any growth attempts are aggressively sold off. The price continues to test the support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown
Accumulation is narrowing. Ethereum is unable to leave the downtrend. The pressure formed by the bears is only getting stronger. Earlier there was a growth attempt, which became unsuccessful, after a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance 2717. The bears did not let anyone near 2817. On the background of yesterday's fall, associated with bitcoin correction in the 67K - 65K zone, the price tested the consolidation support and is forming a false breakdown.
From October 22: BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓
If the price does not start active growth, but returns to the support and starts to enter the risk zone, it can provoke the activation of orders and a strong impulse to 2100-1900.
Resistance levels: 2562, 2728, 2764
Support levels: 2392, 2318, 2111
It is not excluded that the price may return to the triangle resistance or 2728, but there are no hints for now. Emphasize on 2562 and 2392, two important zones from which a strong fall can be formed
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
Bitcoin Short: wave count update (wave 2 completed)I've updated the wave count to an old wave count for the previous upmove till mid month and the subsequent rangey move as the new wave 1 that is a leading diagonal (note that this was the original wave count until I changed it somewhere in Q3 of this year to cater for a potential strong down move, but the move up since 10th Oct has invalidated that count and this is the old-new count)
Based on this count, we have a very strong wave 2 that almost completed retraced wave 1 down and in a triple combination (a supposedly rare occurrence). Right now we should be going into a wave 3 and that will be consistent with all my other analyses (for nasdaq, s&p, gold). Everything is going down because in a strong down move, beta of all assets classes converges to 1 due to liquidity.
Bitcoin need correction before to break new ATH?Hey guys!
Here is fresh thoughts about current BTC situation.
For me, looks like we had Elliot Waves with all this growing movement and can have some correction before to continue move up. Also RSI showing us that is need some cool off.
But volumes are growing and the MA cross is bullish here. So this correction can happen, but the movement can be not that big.
Lmk your thoughts in the comments 👇
Bitcoin Analysis==>>New All-Time High(ATH) is Loading!!!For a better view of Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I suggest you read yesterday's post first.👇
As I expected, Bitcoin corrected to the Support zone($72,000-$70,820) and is currently moving in a descending channel(small) .
According to Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has completed wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin will touch New All-Time High(ATH) soon. (After breaking the upper line of the ascending channel).
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($72,000-$70,820), it may fall further.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Roadmap==>>Short term!!!The recent CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings reports are both pivotal indexes for gold’s market reaction. A lower-than-expected JOLTS report , indicating fewer job openings, suggests possible economic slowing, which tends to support higher gold prices as investors look for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, if the Consumer Confidence Index shows strength, it can signal economic resilience, potentially reducing demand for gold as risk-on assets may become more attractive.
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in ✅ yesterday's post ✅.
Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that we should wait for wave 4 of Gold in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,761-$2,756) and the Uptrend line .
⚠️Note: If Gold goes over PRZ, we have to wait for $2,800(at least)⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURNZD trade idea(1:15 RR) EURNZD has shown a strong impulse upwards and the 7 day bullish streak might be indicating to overextension, as we are currently facing a major resistance level on the daily chart. In the mid August the price hit 1.86(VWAP high) and since then the price has made a weekly 3 wave impulse downward. October gave us a retracement and now its time for another wave downwards. We are targeting the lows of the past week making it 1:15RR. Keeping stops above recent highs.
This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading.
Trade safely and expect the unexpected,
Mei
BitTorrent - Tron's AlphaBitTorrent is an old coin on the Tron's Network TRX.
I think the Tron's Network run didn't end for good and shall return in multiple tokens in this chain.
BTT or BTTC shall have a mega run that should pass above $0.00000250 in my opinion.
But first, I think a last dip around $0.00000050 : $0.00000060 shall occur first.
A soft cancellation of this idea is passing $0.00000097 without dropping first to the expected area above. Passing $0.00000220 is a final cancellation of this idea.
EURUSD_4Hhello
Mid-term Eurodollar analysis Elliott wave analysis style The market is in five downward waves And now the market is correcting upwards as wave 4, which is our main resistance at 1.09333. And after completing the correction and completion of wave 4, it can fall towards the number 1.06666 as wave 5.
GOLD → The calm before the storm. News ahead... FX:XAUUSD is at a strong resistance of 2790. Traders are getting nervous before the news. Risks as well as the price are rising. PCE, Initial Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI are ahead.
Traders have taken a wait-and-see stance ahead of the news. PCE along with NFP on Friday should give an insight into the Fed's interest rate outlook. Against the backdrop of a steady US labor market, a 0.25% cut is the most likely scenario. The metal is holding back any fall that could be seen as a correction due to election uncertainty. There is not much time left. As well as news from China and the escalated conflict in the Middle East.
Technically gold is in a range, the chart indicates stronger levels and liquidity zones. The most probable scenario is a retest of one of the support zones and further growth after liquidity capture. Targets in such a case could be 2789-2800.
Support levels: 2771, 2758, 2745
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
It is not excluded that there may be a strong shakeout on the background of the news. Market behavior at the moment will depend on the actual data. The reaction may be extremely aggressive.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
MATH - This is how you REALLY use Elliott WaveThis is a great example of a beautiful setup and how to lay out a low risk, high reward trade, especially for those that are still learning and wondering how to apply Elliott Wave. Or maybe you are unfamiliar with Elliott Wave or someone who thinks it's nonsense. Well let me show you how I do it and hopefully help you learn the best technical strategy. These are the setups I salivate on. And I don't care if I lose 8 out of 10, because the 2 that hit will more than pay off the losers.
Support box is clear. Below the September low and I'd be out as we'd be below the reliable 61.8% retracement. Breaking that fib retracement level means that it can do anything from bullish, to diagonal, to sideways, to bearish moves. And we don't want to waste our time with stocks that aren't trending. Nothing is reliable anymore - therefore, we don't want to trade it below that. Toss it away. Move on to the next one.
For this play, you could accumulate shares under $2.25 which is the previous high. I have it labeled as a Wave (1) but it could easily just be an (A) wave. As a quick refresher, trending impulsive moves happen in 5-wave moves. Since we don't know for 100% certainty that this will become that, we have to prepare for the other likely scenarios. We are already protected from significant downside with our stop below the 61.8% retracement, so I just don't care what might happen in a bearish count. So for bullish, I want to accumulate under the last high and catch the breakout. Once broken out, minimum target is $4.25. That's the 100% extension of (1) from the bottom of (2), the first resistance. If this ends up being a 3-wave (A)(B)(C), it would top out there at the 100%, so we want to make sure we have all of our money back by then. A full bullish follow through could take it anywhere between $12 (161.8% fib) and $22.50 (200% fib, which is where a standard impulsive 5-wave rally is expected to end with no extensions).
If you buy a stock like this with stop below the 61.8%, you can go net free (return of original equity) by selling however many shares are needed to get your original money back at the previous high around $2.25 which should reject at first try (as it is the most likely landing spot for Wave 1 inside of Wave (3). Once a higher low forms from there (Wave 2 of (3)) between $1.20 and $1.75, you could go in even harder, buying more shares, and moving your stop on all shares to that higher low, providing a very low risk scenario. By the time $4.25 is hit, you should be completely net free with plenty of shares left and maybe even take some good profits.
Remember, this is an outline NOT A PREDICTION. That's why we have a stop, a plan, and multiple targets. As it plays out, we gain more clarity and update our outline. Probably even find a trend channel. This is Elliott Wave. This is Fibonacci Pinball (the creation of Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader,net). It's not telling you what's going to happen. It's telling you what could happen, laying out the most probable path, limiting your risk, and telling you when it might be wrong and how to pivot. And don't go thinking this will happen all at once. Keep good notes of your entry and all sales. This likely takes 1-3 years.
Standard disclosures:
1. This is 100% my idea. It was not sourced from any other avenue.
2. I am not invested in this company, though I am likely buying shares soon.
3. I am not paid to post content nor do I receive any contributions of any kind.
4. While this is outlining a potential profitable setup, this article is not investment advice. You should do your own due diligence on any company you invest in and apply your own trading strategies.
5. I know nothing about the fundamentals of this company. I suggest doing your due diligence if fundamentals are important to you.
6. Readers should always remember that markets are their own creature made up of millions of individuals and institutions each following some combo of inherent bullishness, inherent bearishness, fundamentals, technicals, stupidity, and pure emotion. Elliott Wave, and specifically Fibonacci Pinball (developed by Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader.net and prominent Seeking Alpha author), merely provide a framework based on the observed price action to date. 7. I know that while my wave outline is based on years and years of data and application from not only me, but some of the best in the game, I also know that markets do not follow a set path and that sentiment can remain irrational far longer than I can remain rational. That is why you MUST consider the alternatives and manage risk appropriately. Know the pivot zones that could lead to the primary path failing.
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. My analysis outlines a potential scenario and provides risk assessments for multiple alternate scenarios. My analysis is purely educational.
Ending diagonal structureA couple weeks ago i have identified Diagonal at TOTAL chart 8d TF.
Now i managed to recognize it on BTC. Diagonal structures are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement. Ending diagonal often ends in a throw-over, ie, a brief break of the trendline connecting the end points of waves one and three.
A rising ending diagonal is usually followed by a sharp decline retracing at least back to the level where it began and typically much further. A falling ending diagonal by the same token usually gives rise to an upward thrust. Fifth wave extensions, truncated fifths and ending diagonals all imply the same thing: dramatic reversal ahead.
SPY 600+?According to Elliot Wave Theory, Chart Patterns, and Analysis of the option chains, SPY could potentially reach 600+ before long.
Looking at Elliot Wave Theory:
Currently price is in Wave #4. In EW, Wave #4 characteristics are opposite of Wave #2. Wave #2 in this cycle was short, so expect price to take a little longer to breakout, which brings us to the next observation:
Chart Patterns:
Price is starting to form an expanding descending wedge (or megaphone), a variation of a flag. Generally in these formations, price is volatile and the formation can hold in tact for a decent length of time. That being said, it’s the perfect scenario for a long Wave #4. When price touches the bottom trendline for the third time, look to go long a month out.
Option Chain:
January Contracts - neutral.
November Contracts - bearish (just a hedge for tech earnings)
In the options chain, a neutral or balanced chain means the market is bullish. When an inordinate amount of puts are bought, it generally means institutions are hedging their portfolios when markets turn volatile. (Earnings will definitely do that)
Recap: Looking to go long once this formation breaks upwards for the afore mentioned reasons. If something changes, I’ll update this. (We can’t be married to our opinions)
Ride Wave #5 with me.
US500 evening analysisUS500 technical analysis:
Price action since 17 October 2024 looks choppy and consolidative.
I'm looking at the possibility of an Elliott Triangle Wave (4), and in this analysis would be wave (4) of ((5)) to complete an impulse off 5 August 2024 low.
((1))>((3))>((5)), so in this case price should not go above 6062.1.