Elliott Wave
Silver Is Breaking Out Of A Wedge! Silver is coming nicely to the downside, reversing after reaching levels above 34 and 35 back in October. Notice that this top formed with a wedge pattern, which typically occurs at the end of an impulsive sequence. I believe an important top is now in place for silver, suggesting a much deeper correction may unfold, especially if the dollar remains strong following Trump’s election win. After any pullbacks, further weakness is likely, particularly considering that when an ending diagonal completes, price can often retrace back to the starting point of that pattern.
Grega
Corrective wave continuing in GoldGold is in corrective wave now gold should continue this move and give a good target for sellers.
5th impulsive wave has been completed and 2nd corrective wave also completed now 3rd corrective wave is coming, and this wave should be high sell in gold because it's 3rd wave of correction.
Alikze »» TAO | Ascending corner pattern - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending corner pattern - 1D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post , in the 4H time frame according to the direction of movement, after the short-term ascending channel was broken, a correction was encountered, which continued until the correction range of $217.
- Demand was met in the range of $217, which has continued its growth by forming a return pattern up to the range of $690.
- Currently in the supply zone, it has formed a bullish angle pattern.
- Therefore, I expect that after breaking from the bottom in the range of $500, it will face demand again and complete the 5-wave cycle up to the ceiling of the channel.
💎 Alternative scenario:
In addition, if the pattern breaks and there is no support in the range of $500, the correction can extend to the green box.
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BINANCE:TAOUSDT
S&P 500 Change of CountsThe new high made during this election day has made me change the count. A reader of my post did comment and share a link on this new count which I did have in a couple of my posts, but I have to admit a mistake as a mistake and a bias as a bias.
Now that S&P has made a new high, we must have a new target. Based on Elliott Wave, there IS A MAXIMUM target of 6208.5 based on Oanda CFD. This is because wave 3 is currently the shortest wave and that is not allowed in EW (the alternative is that this wave 3 is actually wave 1 of 3). But any price below 6208.5 is good as a peak. We have to wait until wave structure firms up before making another call.
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed.
The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly.
As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase.
The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044
Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25
The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The SMAs are hinting that it's about time ... News!FX:XAUUSD is forming a phase of correction, the reason for which is the change of fundamental background. The pressure from sellers is increasing, and the market is forming a key support at this time...
Disappointing NFP data was offset by hot wage inflation data. The U.S. labor market report failed to deter dollar buyers as it had limited impact on market pricing in Fed meeting expectations. Which had a negative impact on the price of gold...
All eyes are now on the US presidential election on November 5, and the outcome of the Fed meeting on Thursday. Markets believe that Trump's policy will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while if Harris wins, the dovish policy will continue.
Technically, traders are taking a wait-and-see approach. The price is forming a range, and most likely gold will trade inside this channel in the near term
Resistance levels: 2745, 0.5 and 0.7 Fibo, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
SMAs are tending towards each other, which could be a mixed reaction from traders. Markets are prioritizing a Republican victory, in fact, this could intensify gold's correction. But the denouement of the presidential race is tomorrow! For now, the focus is on the flat boundaries!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APEUSDT → Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistanceBINANCE:APEUSDT in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead!
The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ...
Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe...
I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE.
Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032
Support levels: 0.900, 0.875
Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news
NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election?
It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment.
Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy.
Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305
Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310
Support levels: 1.284, 1.281
The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election....
The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5...
If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend.
Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066
Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915
Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas...
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is FAILING! Why is Bitcoin the worst investment.Bitcoin is the worst investment. Where is the lambo? The price of Bitcoin in 2017 was $20,000 and the current price is $68,000 in 2024, so after 7 years, the profit is very poor - only +240%. So where is the lambo and where is the moon all the influencers are talking about? Clearly, you have been scammed. And I am not talking about altcoins, because the majority are down by 95% from their peak and will continue to 99% or to zero (rug pull).
Crypto technology is not new and nothing special. This technology was brought to earth by alien entities. Crypto technology is already used on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. In fact, crypto is another version of the fiat money printing system.
Where is the moon for Bitcoin? Clearly no where because the moon is a hologram and humans never landed on it. It's a hugs scam by NASA. The landing on the moon was recorded on Earth. It's not possible to physically leave Earth with current technology because the Van Allen radiation belt would burn your body. It's possible with advanced spaceships, but this technology is hidden and intentionally not available. It's also possible to leave Earth after you die or during sleep/meditation in non-physical form.
So is Bitcoin bad? Bitcoin is just another form of fiat money. If you like high inflation and money printing, then you can support Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a computer program, and as any program in existence, it can be modified or rewritten. There is no such thing as a fixed supply; they can increase the supply without any issues.
Why was Bitcoin brought to earth? It's part of the total control program. First bring electricity to earth, then microchips (computers), then the internet, then blockchain and AI. This technology is completely incompatible with the human body and causes major issues, which you can see around you - almost everyone is ill or has some kind of sickness. Maybe you didn't know that 100 years ago, there was no cancer, no diabetes, no anxiety, no common cold, almost nothing.
Why are those alien entities? You probably heard about Greys, Reptilians, Draconians, Mantis, and Insectoids. When you look at them, you will notice their ugly appearance. They are very ugly by nature. Their intelligence is extremely low compared to humans, and they take instructions mostly from the AI. That means they lost control over themselves. You may say that their technology is advanced, but this is a deception. Their technology is based on unsuccessful design and architecture. In core, they are outdated and actually very stupid. What they do is drain your life energy during sleep and use it to feed their AI machines. They also manipulate your dreams, causing nightmares at night, manipulating your thoughts, and causing sleep paralysis. For each like, one alien dies! Hit the like/boost button now. Thanks that you help humanity! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
Elliott Wave View Calling for S&P 500 (SPX) to Extend HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View on S&P 500 (SPX) suggests rally from 8.5.2024 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 8.5.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 5651.6 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 5402.6. Index then extended higher in wave 3 towards 5878.4 as 45 minutes chart below shows. Wave 4 pullback unfolded as a Flat Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave (a) ended at 5821.17 and rally in wave (b) ended at 5863.04. Wave (c) lower ended at 5762.4 which completed wave ((a)) in higher degree.
Bounce in wave ((b)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave ((a)), wave (a) ended at 5817.8 and wave (b) ended at 5784.92. Wave (c) higher ended at 5862.8 which completed wave ((b)) in higher degree. Index resumed lower in wave ((c)). Down from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 5802.17 and wave (ii) ended at 5850.94. Wave (iii) lower ended at 5702.8 and wave (iv) ended at 5772.5. Final leg wave (v) ended at 5696.06 which completed wave ((c)) of 4. The Index has turned higher in wave 5. Near term, as far as pivot at 5696.09 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher.
Amazon (AMZN): Approaching critical resistance!Amazon continues its impressive rise, moving out of our initial sharp Wave (2) scenario. Despite the bullish momentum fueled by last Thursday’s earnings report, we remain cautious and are still leaning towards a potential larger pullback. The company showed strong performance in key segments, with CEO Andy Jassy’s strategic focus on expenditure and cost-cutting delivering an 11% revenue increase to $158.9 billion, surpassing analysts’ expectations.
Now, Amazon has reached our second key turnaround zone, between $201 and $220. A move higher would invalidate our bearish outlook, but until then, we are preparing for a potential pullback and targeting lower entry points to capitalize on future upward swings. The stock has recently posted a nearly perfect equal high, alongside a bearish divergence, which could signal an upcoming correction.
The looming U.S. elections could inject significant volatility into Amazon’s price action, with potential wicks forming in either direction. While a move up to $220 would still be considered valid within this structure, we are closely monitoring these levels. As always, we will update you once the bearish scenario is confirmed or invalidated.
Airbnb (ABNB): Bearish Setup or a Bullish Surprise?After finding support at $113, Airbnb NASDAQ:ABNB is experiencing a rapid rise, efficiently collecting all the imbalances left behind from the previous drop. As we approach Airbnb’s earnings report this Thursday, the company is expected to post a year-over-year decline in earnings, despite higher revenues for the quarter ending September 2024. The sustainability of any immediate price changes and future expectations will largely depend on management’s discussion during the earnings call.
While we don’t base our strategy solely on the earnings outcome, it’s crucial to note that a favorable outlook from management could give the stock a short-term boost. Still, despite the potential for this optimism, our analysis remains bearish on NASDAQ:ABNB for the foreseeable future.
Technically, the 61.8% Fibonacci level aligns perfectly with the point of control from the past three years, offering a strong setup. If this level is reached, it would also complete the filling of any remaining price imbalances. This makes for a compelling hedge against our other swing-long positions.
We aren’t setting a limit order just yet. We prefer to observe the market’s reaction to the earnings report before making a move. This could mean placing the limit order the following day, depending on how NASDAQ:ABNB behaves during and after the earnings call. For now, we remain patient and prepared.
PGR (Long) (Weekly Income)Asset Class: Stocks
Income Type: Weekly
Symbol: PGR
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Down
Long Term: Up
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 246.66 (Confirmation Entry)
Stop: 234.70
TP 282.53 (3:1)
Trade idea:
A price pin into a daily demand zone , Buying the breakout on the 1H TF as the price pullback and the SL at the distal line of the DZ (Conservative) . The trade setup also use the Elliot wave analysis, where the price is likely to form wave 5 next. The setup has a 3:1 RRR with a potential for 4:1. The RSI is oversold on the 4H , showing divergence, and heading up.
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
-Split the TP to 3 orders at each TP
-when price hits 1:1 , consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback. So your trade is risk free.
-After TP2 hit, you might consider canceling the TP3 and trail the SL to maximize your profit.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.