$SPY November 20, 2024AMEX:SPY November 20, 2024
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY had a gap down.
But did not break the recent low of 583.86 which I have taken as the starting point for current move.
It took support at 200 averages in 60 minutes and started to move up.
Noe for the move 583.86 to 589.49 to the fall 584.02 the first target is 592-593 levels as in box.
In 15 minutes, we have 9,21,50 and 100 averages consolidated.
So, for the rise 584.02 to 591.06 holding 586-587 levels, we target for 592-593 levels.
592-593 is important because it is also 61.8% retracement for the fall 599 to 584 levels.
It is also 20 averages in 15 minutes.
Hence, I expect a consolidation to happen between 591-593 levels today for a move tomorrow or Friday.
Elliott Wave
$NIO Coming to terms with new primary elliot wave count..The weekly RSI on NIO and the structure of the HSI over the past few years have had me worried since the $7.78 top, and what we have seen since then supports this as my new primary count, unfortunately. I had been stubbornly holding on, but now I need to consider cutting some of the position after the approaching bounce on smaller timeframes. However, if I must hold all of it and go scuba diving, I will.
#ROKU Elliott-Wave UpdateROKU bullish scenario:
Chart could eventually establish a bottom in the pricerange of the yellow box.
I have slightly adjusted my count since the last post. After further analysis of the pattern, this count aligns best if youre comparing price movements with the most important indicators.
I’m quite bullish on ROKU in the short and mid-to-long term.
In a very bullish scenario, I see $160 as a possible target within the next year or so.
#PNUT ~8X bottom to topI still see plenty of upside Potential on this one.
These priceranges could still be an attractive to open a position.
Crypro-Momentum was going crazy over last week.
I believe this could be a potential indicator of significantly higher prices in crypto over the coming weeks, and possibly even months. Well have to see.
PNUT seems to be one of the new leading Memecoins for the anticipated move to the upside.
(caution very speculative!)
Alikze »» ALGO | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of the first cycle bullish wave 3 or C - 1W
BINANCE:ALGOUSDT In the daily time frame, the ascending channel is moving.
- In the analysis presented in the previous post , after reaching the dynamic trigger, it faced selling pressure and, after a correction of 0.23 Fibo of the previous wave, it was able to continue the upward movement to the supply area.
- Considering the previous movement structure, which had an upward cycle to the 33 cent range, after which it made a three-wave downward correction cycle.
💎After that, by forming a Double Bottom, it was able to touch the middle of the channel and the neckline by creating demand.
💎Considering the momentum, this movement cycle can continue to the ceiling area of the ascending channel and the supply area, and then with a temporary correction in the middle of the channel, it can continue the upward path to the second supply area.
⚠️In addition, if the price enters the Invalidation LVL range during this upward phase, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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PayPal (PYPL): New Features and Market ImpactPayPal NASDAQ:PYPL is currently up 44% from our initial entry, demonstrating strong performance within a developing trend channel. While not entirely symmetrical, the addition of a smaller trend channel on the upper side showcases nearly perfect alignment, highlighting this stock’s potential for growth.
Last Thursday, PayPal announced a new feature allowing customers to collect money from friends and family for shared expenses, available in the US, Germany, Italy, and Spain. While innovative, this announcement led to a 4% dip in PayPal’s stock, likely due to profit-taking by investors.
From a technical standpoint, we expect a three-wave correction to finalize wave (iv). Currently, the key support zone lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $76, which aligns with the last level before a low-volume node. If this support fails, the 50% Fibonacci level becomes the next likely target. However, NASDAQ:PYPL should avoid prolonged trading below wave (i)’s range of $70 to maintain its bullish structure.
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone.
Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave.
For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability.
The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory.
The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround.
We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
ayPal (PYPL): New Features and Market ImpactPayPal ( NASDAQ:PYPL ) is currently up 44% from our initial entry, demonstrating strong performance within a developing trend channel. While not entirely symmetrical, the addition of a smaller trend channel on the upper side showcases nearly perfect alignment, highlighting this stock’s potential for growth.
Last Thursday, PayPal announced a new feature allowing customers to collect money from friends and family for shared expenses, available in the US, Germany, Italy, and Spain. While innovative, this announcement led to a 4% dip in PayPal’s stock, likely due to profit-taking by investors.
From a technical standpoint, we expect a three-wave correction to finalize wave (iv). Currently, the key support zone lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $76, which aligns with the last level before a low-volume node. If this support fails, the 50% Fibonacci level becomes the next likely target. However, NASDAQ:PYPL should avoid prolonged trading below wave (i)’s range of $70 to maintain its bullish structure.
Chevron (CVX): Bottom in Sight?Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) has maintained a wide range between $167 and $137 since March 2022, with one notable push above this range likely corresponding to the completion of wave 3. The focus is now on identifying the wave 4 bottom, which we anticipate to form between the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, or $128–$113. This range is supported by key technical indicators, including a High Volume Node Edge and a Point of Control (POC) within this area, adding significant confluence.
From a macroeconomic perspective, Chevron faces challenges from declining crude oil prices, which is impacting investor sentiment. Despite a brief surge in oil-and-gas stocks following Donald Trump’s victory, this momentum has not sustained across the sector. Broader bearish factors such as weak Chinese demand, global overproduction, and OPEC’s indecision on further cuts add to the uncertainty. Bullish bets on oil due to geopolitical tensions have largely underperformed over the last two years, further pressuring the commodity and Chevron.
Should NYSE:CVX reclaim the range high at $167, it could signal a trend reversal, suggesting the wave 4 bottom may already have formed at $135.55, the last significant low. However, if the resistance holds, further downside into the targeted area seems likely.
We will continue monitoring how global tensions, oil price fluctuations, and broader market conditions impact Chevron’s performance. Until then, patience is key as we await a clear signal.
DOGE leading Diagonal in 1w position, rare figureHere is my alternative waves count. Diagonal in this position is rare figure in both scenarios, a bear and a bull. The ratios are matching for labeling variants.
In this situation an external indicators may help us to decide which side is right.
A Diagonal is only five-wave structure in the direction of the main trend, within which wave 4 almost always moves into the price territory of wave one and within which all the waves are "threes" or can be labeled 5-3-5-3-5;
A Diagonal appears occasionally in the wave 1 position of impulses and in the wave A position of Zigzags. An ending diagonal occurs primarily in the fifth wave position at times when the preceding move has gone "too far too fast". A very small percentage of diagonals appear in the C-wave position of A-B-C formations.
In all cases, they are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement. Ending diagonal often ends in a “throw-over,” i.e., a brief break of the trendline connecting the end points of waves one and three.
Have a fat profit!
Gold Analysis==>>Bearish Bat Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,606-$2,584) and near the Resistance line and the Upper line of the Ascending Channel .
It also seems that Gold can potentially form the 🦇Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern🦇 .
According to Elliott's wave theory, Gold seems to be completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure is a Zigzag correction(ABC) .
I expect Gold to continue falling after breaking the Lower line of the Ascending Channel to the lower targets .👇
🎯 Targets of falling Gold :
🎯 First Target : $2,571
🎯 Second Target : $2,560
🎯 Third Target : Around $2,536
⚠️Note: If Gold goes above $2,620, we can expect Gold to rise further.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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$SPY November 19, 2024AMEX:SPY November 19, 2024
15 Minutes
for the rise 574 to 600 it retraced back 61.8% to 584 levels.
For the fall 595 to 583 it retrace 61.8% levels to 589.5 yesterday.
The range give earlier buy above 583 for 589 590 is done.
For the last rise 583.86 to 589.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 50% to 587 levels.
So, holding 586 we will have a target 589-592 levels now.
In 15 minutes 9,21,50 all is consolidated so I expect a move Upwards to 590 levels.
Also 588.5 is 200 averages in 5 minutes.
What is the next move in gold! Read chart and captionTVC:GOLD has completed its 3rd impulsive move now it will take a ride to 2581 once again to complete its 4th wave. fundamentally gold is still bearish so we can see more sell trades on 2581 if we got any good entry with fundamental and technical confirmation for now i am bearish in gold.
like my idea and follow me on tradingview for more updates on GOLD and BTC
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Ben today!
Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day.
However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks.
Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials.
Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline.
Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure.
However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Gold price suddenly reversed and increasedOANDA:XAUUSD surged after the US dollar paused its rally and Russia-Ukraine tensions escalated. Spot gold ended the trading session on November 18 up $48 to $2,611/ounce, ending a six-session losing streak and escaping a two-month low.
Sellers held back as US President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons supplied by the United States to strike deep into Russian territory. This was clearly a major driver of strong safe-haven demand, pushing gold prices higher.
This move not only marked a turning point in the gold market but also signaled that investors were looking for opportunities amid increasingly tense geopolitical conditions.
However, in the medium and long term, we still think sellers still have the upper hand technically!
DIS another stab at this for long tradeI'd a small long trade and it has long way to go. Not sure we would see strength this time.
If you've FOMO on this move, Long anywhere now with small position.
Best longs would be between 89-92
Stop Loss - around 85
Target 1 - 100
Target 2 - 108, after a pullback to 90's
Target 3 - 114