SPY/S&P500: in the mid-term resistance zonePrice has approached the upper border of the mid-term resistance zone: 598-612.
Until price closes bellow 612, I am preparing for the start of a correction to mid-term support: 564-540.
If price moves confidently above 612, than next resistance target is at 635 level.
The macro-structure of the uptrend from 2022 lows is well intact until price holds above 540 level and assumes higher targets for 2025 at 635-640-670 levels.
I wish everyone Merry Christmas and successful and profitable 2025!
Thank you for your attention.
Elliott Wave
GOLD TODAY VIEW
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AUDUSD→At Critical Support Level's Could It Drop Further ?OrNot!FX:AUDUSD
The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions.
Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment.
Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range.
USOIL CLEAR TRIAGLEThe outlook for USOIL is extremely bullish as it is potentially completing the Elliott Wave B as a contracting triangle. This pattern often signals a powerful continuation toward the primary trend once Wave C begins. The Ending Triangle structure indicates that the market has been consolidating in a compressed, corrective pattern, and we are likely nearing the final stages of this consolidation. As Wave B nears its end, it sets the stage for a strong breakout to the upside.
Given that oil experienced substantial upward momentum nearly 2 years ago, the market is positioned for a significant surge once Wave C unfolds. The key to this bullish outlook lies in the fact that Ending Triangles often lead to sharp moves in the direction of the dominant trend, which in this case is upward for USOIL. Once Wave C begins, it could propel prices toward new highs, potentially breaking through key resistance levels and establishing a fresh bullish trend.
Moreover, the wave structure suggests a well-organized market, with, I believe institutions building large positions in the energy sectors for a larger move. The completion of Wave B indicates the final corrective phase before an explosive rally, providing an excellent opportunity for traders to position themselves for a breakout. The market is poised for a major upward thrust, and the overall sentiment is aligned with a potential rise in oil prices.
Nifty FMCGNifty FMCG cmp 56480
Looking at the chart it seems the fmcg is in wave b of its corrective wave upside...
as per this,
Nifty fmcg could touch levels of 59700 in coming days as wave C of its corrective wave upside...
but until than , we will wait for confirmation of wave c of wave B being completed
Just a View!!
Vedang!
Disclaimer: Chart is for study purpose only!!
Palantir UpdateI have been going over this chart for a while now. Looking at the most recent price action, and the MACD, I have decided to alter my count slightly. It doesn't change any targets, but I believe this more accurately reflects the structure. I moved the wave (iii) & (iv) higher suggesting that the wave (iii) extended slightly. I primarily did this due to the MACD reading, and the strength we saw from 4-11 November. As mentioned above, this does not change any targets.
Looking at the recent price action, you can see price came $0.04 cents shy of the yellow $2.236 and then got rejected hard. We still cannot say with any kind of certainty that a top is in though. I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if it was. The reality of the matter is, though, no key levels have been broken. Until price can get below $58.85, the upside is still intact. Thats almost a $15 correction from current levels. We do have more neg div as you can see on the MACD at the bottom, which is a start. We need this downward bias to continue though. Should price continue higher, I believe it will tag the 1.382 @ $94.03 or at least come very close. If the top is in, we would ideally be headed for the $43 region next, for the completion of wave 4.
Alikze »» ROSE | Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario
📣 BINANCE:ROSEUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier, the Rose currency encountered demand after correcting to the 0.23 Fibo area, which continued to grow in accordance with the movement path to the supply area.
🟢 In the daily updates, it was also mentioned that a bullish flag was formed, which had a growth of 74% as much as the flag bar.
🟢 Currently, in the daily timeframe, it has also had a movement cycle to the supply area of 13 cents, considering the current momentum.
💎Therefore, considering the momentum, it can continue to the red box area (supply area) with a pullback to the green box area.
⚠️In addition, if the price enters the LVL Invalidation area, the bullish scenario will be invalidated.⚠️
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GOLD → Resistance Retest. False breakthrough?FX:XAUUSD lingers inside the consolidation and channel 2660 - 2615. Technically, speculators are confused. The fundamental background is mixed. What's next?
Focus on the escalating conflict in Syria, which has led to the overthrow of the Assad government and the end of the long-running Civil War. Risks regarding the Middle East are still quite high despite the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.
Fundamentally, despite Friday's better than expected NFP, markets are 80% likely to expect a 0.25% Fed interest rate cut. In the week ahead, all eyes are on economic data such as CPI and PPI.
Technically, I don't see any reason for the price to break out of this consolidation. Accordingly, I expect a false breakout with a high degree of probability.
Resistance levels: 2655, 2660, 2667
Support levels: 2636, 2615
The price has passed 0.85% since the opening of the session. There are no reasons for the resistance breakout. There is also no potential for a breakout. Accordingly, based on the available data, there is a high probability of a decline from the key resistance zone.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Alikze »» SUSHI | Reverse head and shoulders pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern - Reversal Motivational Wave
- According to the analysis presented before , after filling the FVG gap, wave 3 continued up to the 0.47 range of the 100 Fibo zone.
- After creating demand in the range of 100 Fibo, it has encountered a motivational wave.
- It is currently in an uptrend, which has faced a temporary correction after breaking the supply zone.
Due to the upward trend, it can encounter the bottom of the channel and meet the demand again and continue its upward trend until the next supply area.
- This upward trend can continue in the range of 1.56.
💎 Therefore, by breaking the supply area (red box) and after pulling back to it, it can continue its ascent to the next supply area.
⚠️ Note: In addition, if this modification touches the "Invalidation LVL" area, the ascending scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT
Classic Elliot Wave Reversal?NFLX is on my short radar and given today's pullback candle after a divergent 3rd wave up. I'm expecting further pullback on any weakness in the market this week; perhaps after a bad inflation data.
Looking for a drive below $900 and lower ultimately around $865 region in the coming week(s).
Gold H1 (XAU/USD)The 1-hour XAU/USD chart reveals a potential corrective Elliott Wave (A-B-C) pattern following a completed (W-X-Y) structure.
Expected Corrective ABC Pattern:
Wave (A): The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone.
Wave (B): A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,662 resistance level.
Wave (C): The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $2,662
Support Zones:
Middle support: $2,605-$2,620
Lower support: $2,560-$2,580
Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
Gold's Battle: EW Analysis Points SouthGold is waging a battle to clear out short positions before a major decline. The news about China's gold purchases appears to be part of this strategic market manipulation. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the 4th wave must exhibit an ABC structure, and we haven't yet observed a clear C wave formation. Therefore, we should anticipate a downward movement, using 2721 as our invalidation level.
Currently, the C wave's second wave is nearing completion. Under these conditions, the minimum target zone for the decline lies between 2450-2400.
XAUUSDElliott Waves must be proportional in both price and time. This means that the wave patterns within the Elliott Wave Theory—whether they are impulse waves or corrective waves—should maintain a degree of proportionality to align with the theory’s principles.
For example:
Price Proportionality: The lengths of waves often adhere to Fibonacci ratios (e.g., wave 3 is commonly 1.618 times wave 1 in an impulse wave).
Time Proportionality: The duration of each wave should also exhibit a sense of balance, though time is typically less rigid compared to price.
This proportionality helps traders identify and confirm wave patterns accurately in market analysis.
Based on this theory we can learn that from the higher degree waves, the formation of wave (3) might still be in form to be completed at the projected level. While at the same time, the correction of wave (3) to form wave (4) may be expected as an alternation for wave (2). So we are either in for a longer correction to wave (4) or wave (3) is not yet complete.
Tesla At $400; More Gains After PullbackHey traders, hope everyone is doing well.
Today, I will looking at Tesla stock, which as you know has impressive gains for the last few weeks, due to speculation surrounding Trump's US presidential election win and connections with Elon Musk. This has fueled expectations of easier regulations for self-driving Tesla cars.
But loking at the structure, the current rally from 340 appears to be coming out of a triangle and has now reached the 400 area. Its the key swing high from 2022 and 2021, suggesting the potential for a pullback in the coming weeks.
So I think its better to wait for the next wave (4) retracement rather than chasing the market at these levels. If a wave four pullback occurs, support could be found between 311 and 350, especially if the decline unfolds in three waves.
GH
ROSE, by any other count...If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
In at 0.082.
Idealized Count.
Want to break above and flip the
0.137 level it has had some trouble with in the past.
0.10467 break complicates the Elliott.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
VANRY Uptrend CountWe seem to have reached blue wave 3 in this uptrend movement.
Wave 4 correction is a buying opportunity.
The 50% pullback level (at 0.1362) is where I'll look for reversals in smaller timeframes for long trades.
The 0.22-0.23 zone (in gray), is the next major resistance, and would be a good target for wave 5.