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Elliott Wave

Tesla UpdateIf y'all remember, I was originally counting the raise off the $101 bottom as the primary wave ((5)) of cycle wave I. Due to the price action we carved out from the April 24' low, I changed that to the cycle wave I as already completed. All I have been seeing / able to count from that low are 3-wave moves. This hardly seems like an impulsive pattern to me. Also, MACD says that cycle wave I ended Nov 21'. With the recent price action, I am forced to reconsider / revisit my long-term analysis. This leaves only an ED as a viable option should it not be corrective. If this is corrective, it is way over extended and border line invalidated. Yes, an abc pattern can extend above the prior impulsive wave high, and no rules dictate by how much. However, at some point you have to call it what it is and look at other possibilities. That is what I am doing now. Should it not be corrective, which I am extremely doubting, the only other viable option following EWT is an ED. Should it be an ED, then that means price will be required to revisit the high $200's for wave (4). What could cause that kind of a fall in value followed by another larger move higher is anyone's guess. There technically is one other option. This option cannot be predicted by EWT and there is no way to account for it. That is if some huge news that is unexpected from insiders and retailers' alike drops changing the trajectory of a stock. In this case, for whatever reason I cannot understand, many people thought President Trump was going to lose the election. Before he won, Musk had tied himself very close to the president elect. Did this alter the pattern? We cannot yet know. However, we can boil this stock down to three possible options. Option #1 - This is a way over extended abc pattern that will be concluding soon. (Least favorite option personally) Option #2 - This is an ED and we're currently within wave (3). This suggests that price will come down sub $300 to overlap with wave (1) before moving to new ATH's. (My favorite option) Option #3 - The stock has changed its trajectory / structure due to the election outcome and is now in a very bullish pattern much higher. Option #1 suggests that price is topping and will head down any time now (again, least favorite option). I have drawn a turquoise box on the chart tracking the Option #2 possibility. Option #3 will follow the turquoise count but not fall as low on the retrace. We will know in the next couple weeks what price has in mind.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
5
GOLD → Correction before a possible fall FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid last week's economic data. The price is returning to the channel and in general confirms the bearish character on the market. Markets are ready for a 0.25% interest rate cut, but traders are waiting for hints on the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will continue to cut rates, go into a wait-and-see mode, or hint at a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. The gold price is also receiving support from renewed tensions in the Middle East and political turmoil in South Korea. Technically, after the false breakout of 2721 a deep correction is forging, which generally develops into a localized downtrend. The price is approaching the panic zone 2615-2600. At the Asian session a correction is forming and it is worth paying attention to the key resistance zones Resistance levels: 2667, 2675, 2685 Support levels: 2646, 2633 The price is heading towards the imbalance zone within the correction. A quick approach and retest of resistance could trigger a rebound. Traders may enter the phase of profit taking before strong news Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
4
EURUSD → Consolidation before Fed Interest Rate DecisionFX:EURUSD is in a consolidation phase, as is the dollar index. The outcome could be decided this week. Traders are waiting for the FED meeting on US interest rates Globally the trend is neutral, but the price is consolidating near the key support that has been holding the market for two years. Aggressive interest rate cuts in Europe are putting overall negative pressure on the currency pair. The dollar may go into a downward correction if the decision to cut interest rates is made on December 17-18. But any hint of hawkish policy on the part of the Fed may strengthen the dollar, which will intensify the decline in EURUSD Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.065 Support levels: 1.045, 1.033 Based on interest, amid the downtrend, the price has not yet reached the key liquidity zone. Before important news, the market may reach 1.0607. But based on the technical and fundamental background, the fall may continue, and a breakdown of 1.0448 will strengthen this fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
ADAUSDT Short Idea / Elliot Wave Principles / Fib AnalysisWhen analysing the market, I noticed this potential Elliot Wave setup on ADAUSDT. For a number of reasons, I suspect that this pairing is forming a good opportunity to achieve a ~5.5 R:R short. The process taken to get to this idea is as follows: Macro view of the support / resistance flip zone on ADA between $1.20 and $1.30. Clean chart showing the interaction with the support / resistance zone. Validation of Wave 1 Rules Validation of Wave 1/2/3 Rules Validation of Wave 4 Rules Validation of Wave 5 Rules Correction Wave and Short Area of Interest
Short
by DoryFish
3