Elliottwaveforecasts
BTC in accumulation from 4/2021. Long-term bullish triangle!Today I want to present my main scenario. As long as 37400 holds I give this scenario the highest probabillity. I have identified an expanded triangle in the WB of the triagnle. Foundation for this scenario is WB which made HH and WC which has corrective nature and was unable to make LL thus it made HL. Now we are moving up in WD which is a complex correction with heavily overlapping structure. It is however still making HHs and HLs. As long this is the case we should be bullish. We have already seen some bullish indications such as D engulfing and swept liquidity below 39k. The probabillity of this scenario increases if we manage to get the confirmations labelled on the chart. If this scenario is correct we should finished the triagnle by summer and ultimately move to ATHs towards the end of the year (and perhaps reached the mythic 100k).
We are forming our gameplan based on the indentified patterns which give us higher probabillity (they have been proven statistically significant) which in the long run should give us an edge (alfa = overperformance) in the markets. However, we should also be prepared for the alternative scenarios with lower probabillity so that we dont suffer large losses or get wiped out, even if it means limiting our profits and cutting losses when we are proven wrong. As TWC says, the only thing you can control in the markets is how much are you going to lose.
Unconfirmed bearish scenario for BTC. Watch out!Today I present to you inverted W chart of BTCUSD. We can see clear impulse down. Because we can count five waves we should form a scenario where PA will correct the impulse. So far we have gotten a reaction from lows and a HL which is the first indications of reversal. To confirm this idea we should see break of wave B of the recent correction in the channel and break of W4 of the large impulse. Moreover, this break would also confirm a Head and shoulders formation. When this happens, we should adopt this idea as a main scenario. Until then we should prefer bullish scenarios which will result in trend continuation. The move from the lows also doenst look that much impulsive and I tend to indentify it as a corrective move which supports the bullish scenarios.
We are forming our gameplan based on the indentified patterns which give us higher probabillity (they have been proven statistically significant) which in the long run should give us an edge (alfa = overperformance) in the markets.
AUDUSD WAVE AND PATTERN ANALYSIS TRENDThis post is just a personal idea and analysis should not be the criterion for buying or selling
It seems to be in the g-wave and based on confirmation from other currency pairs such as eurusd, which has a negative correlation with this currency pair and the euro is bullish, this currency pair will probably fall to the specified range in the long run.
It may form in the same diametric microwave
The range I consider for the target is 0.47780
In the rectangles on the chart, the patterns formed in the past in microwaves are labeled in different time cycles and can be used for teaching and learning.
On the chart, I tried to segment as much as possible the educational tips related to the classic Elliott and Elliott in neowave style in the rectangles I drew and the formation patterns in different time cycles. I hope my efforts will be useful for educational materials.
My prediction is that the price will reach this level in the next 4 to 5 years
LTC/BTC showing the path for Litecion?After further analysing the BTC pair of this altcoin, I found out that it loves to tag the golden pocket before turning lower.
Putting this knowledge to practice - we can trade LTC while looking at the LTC/BTC pair, as well as BTC, to time our entries perfectly.