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Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W43/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market is expected to stay within a tight range leading up to the election, with the potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. A bullish scenario may lead to a significant rise, while a bearish scenario could result in a correction. Both possibilities are on the table. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : It’s October 22nd, 2024. Based on the 8-hour chart, we are likely correcting or staying in a tighter range until the election. Assuming results are available on election night, that’s a key point to watch. 🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : The price may drop, correct back up, and then decline again. After that, it could go either way—bullish with a potential one-two sequence signaling a strong upward move, or bearish if it completes a three-wave ABC pattern, preparing for a drop. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : Both bullish and bearish outcomes are valid. The price may push up to take out the high, especially if this is a wave four, forming either a WXY or a leading diagonal. If it’s a leading diagonal and the high remains intact, we could see a decline. 🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : The wave structure suggests either a bullish move or further consolidation. RSI shows hidden bearish potential on shorter timeframes, but it’s unclear if this move has more room to the downside before continuing upward. The current five-wave formation is almost textbook in appearance. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): An initial wave up, followed by a drop, is likely. The move appears to be too clean to ignore. We may see further upside with volume peaking at the top of the current wave. A complex correction could follow, potentially stalling the move until after the election. Price action could remain range-bound, giving time for the election to pass before a more decisive trend emerges. In the next two weeks, we’ll see how this plays out. Up today, then potentially down later, remains the best guess for now. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : It’s October 22nd, 2024. The chart shows a corrective phase, likely to remain range-bound until the election. If the election results trigger a move, we’ll see a clearer direction. 🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : Expect a drop, correction, then another move down. A one-two sequence could signal a bullish breakout, but if it’s an ABC pattern, we may be preparing for a drop. 🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : Both bullish and bearish outcomes are possible. The price may retest highs but could fall if it forms a leading diagonal. As long as the high remains untouched, a downside move is expected. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : The wave structure indicates a potential move down after the current five-wave sequence. RSI suggests bearish pressure on short timeframes, but the exact timing is uncertain. 🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : The market may consolidate, form a complex correction, and then begin impulsing downward. The overall trend could remain bearish after the election. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): A move up followed by a correction could take time to fully develop. The market may stay range-bound leading up to the election. The next two weeks will be critical in determining the longer-term direction. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market is expected to remain in a tight range until the election, with potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. A significant rise is possible under a bullish scenario, while a bearish scenario could lead to a correction. Both scenarios are valid.
by AlgoFyre
Golden opportunity for gold! The Fibonacci channel has been drawn, and Elliott waves can be observed on the chart. Currently, the price is in the fifth Elliott wave. We have two scenarios for the future of gold: 1)The first scenario is a bullish scenario. Given the geopolitical tensions and conflicts between Israel, Iran, and Lebanon, as well as China's threats against Taiwan, which have all contributed to a further increase in gold prices, if these trends continue, it could complete wave 5 at the 1.414 level of the Fibonacci channel. 2)The second scenario is a bearish scenario. If we witness a hawkish stance from the FED or a reduction in geopolitical tensions, then we should expect a price reversal from the previous high of 2687. In this case, the 0.618 Fibonacci channel level would serve as strong support. Considering the geopolitical tensions, I believe the first scenario and a breakout above the previous high are more likely. In that case, we should watch for a breakout above the previous high and then enter a long position after confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market-Analyzer
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W42/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market shows a bullish scenario with potential for an impulse wave up after a correction, possibly surpassing the all-time high post-election. However, two bearish scenarios suggest a major drop to 20K in the long term, highlighting significant downside risk. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : The green lines on the chart represent the completion of the leading diagonal, which is the first wave of a larger impulse (wave 1). Leading diagonals often occur in the first wave of a new trend, indicating that a bullish trend is beginning. This is particularly important because it sets the foundation for a stronger upward movement that could follow after a corrective phase. 🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : After completing the first wave, we are now expecting a corrective structure. The red lines represent a potential ABC correction, a typical 3-wave corrective pattern in Elliott Wave theory. This correction could retrace some of the gains made in the leading diagonal, potentially finding support near key Fibonacci retracement levels (like the 0.25, 0.5, or 0.75 levels) drawn in orange on the chart. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : The chart indicates that this ABC correction may take place leading into the US election, which is often a period of increased market uncertainty and volatility. It seems that the correction is expected to conclude before or around this event, setting the stage for the next major move. 🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : After the correction, the chart projects a strong bullish impulse (the large green arrow), which would be the beginning of wave 3. In Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulsive structure, often leading to significant gains. The breakout above previous highs around the 67,000-68,000 level (marked by the green wave 5 in the diagonal) would confirm the start of this impulsive wave, which could target much higher levels, possibly into the 70,000+ range. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): The leading diagonal in green (wave 1) suggests that a new bullish cycle is underway. We are currently expecting a 3-wave corrective move (ABC) before the next leg up. The correction could end around key Fibonacci levels, potentially coinciding with the US election. After the correction, a powerful wave 3 impulse is expected, likely driving prices significantly higher. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : The market is in the midst of a larger corrective pattern. The current movement is within the B-wave of this ABC structure. 🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : The B-wave is forming a flat correction, which typically indicates a sideways consolidation with a final leg up before a downward movement. 🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : After completing the B-wave, we expect a C-wave to the downside, targeting around the 52K level. This drop represents the completion of the B-wave within the larger ABC pattern. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : Following this drop, the final C-wave to the upside is projected. While this wave could potentially retest or even exceed the all-time high (ATH), it's not guaranteed. The key idea is that a significant rally is expected after the corrective B-wave down. 🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : After this anticipated rally, a substantial downtrend is expected in the following year, potentially driving the price down to 20K or lower. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Completing a B-wave flat correction within a larger ABC structure. Expecting a C-wave down to around 52K before a potential larger rally. After the larger C-wave up, a significant decline is expected, leading to 20K or lower in the following year. 🔴 Mid-Term Outlook (Next Few Months to Year) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal Completed (Red) : The red structure shows the formation of a large leading diagonal to the downside, suggesting that a strong downtrend has already been established. 🔸 Corrective ABC (Green) : After the diagonal, a corrective ABC pattern has formed. This correction has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a common level for corrections to complete before resuming the primary trend. 🔸 Major Move to the Downside : Following the completion of this corrective phase, the chart is signaling the beginning of a significant bearish move, potentially leading to a price target near the 20K level. This aligns with the broader bearish outlook. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Finished a leading diagonal to the downside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. Correction reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Expecting a major bearish move from this point, with a potential target of 20K. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market presents both bullish and bearish possibilities. The bullish scenario suggests that after a leading diagonal (wave 1) completes, a short-term ABC correction will occur, followed by a powerful wave 3 impulse to the upside, potentially pushing prices beyond the all-time high after the US election. On the other hand, the bearish scenarios indicate a significant downturn: one expects a C-wave drop to around 52K before a larger rally, followed by a steep decline to 20K or lower next year, while the other points to a completed leading diagonal with a corrective ABC reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci level, signaling the start of a major move down to 20K. Despite the potential short-term upside, both bearish scenarios ultimately point to a substantial long-term decline.
by AlgoFyre
NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook Timeframe: Weekly NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details. Timeframe: Daily On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3. Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market. We will update further information soon.
NSE:NIFTY
by Trade-Technique
4
#Silver bearish counter trend opportunityAs seen in the chart, silver has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and has since begun a bearish move, which could be labeled as wave A. As we know, corrective waves typically occur in three waves. I believe we are nearing the completion of wave B, which could lead to another bearish leg to complete wave C. This entire 3-wave bearish move could then form wave 2 of 5 on a higher degree. Therefore, while we might be looking at a short-term bearish move, according to Elliott Wave theory, there is still significant bullish potential in the coming weeks.
TVC:SILVERShort
by mohemati
BTCUSD: Key Levels and Projections Based on Elliott WavesBTCUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the daily timeframe, identified as a W-X-Y structure with seven distinct waves. The price found support at the 200 EMA, reaching a low of 49,577 before bouncing back. The sub-waves within this structure are clearly visible, with wave (1) and wave (2) completing at 62,729 and 52,546 respectively. Currently, BTCUSD is encountering strong resistance at the upper boundary of the corrective channel, posing a significant challenge for bullish momentum. Although wave (3) has managed to rise above wave (1), it has not yet confirmed a strong bullish breakout. To establish a decisive upward move, wave (3) needs to hold above wave B and breach the upper boundary of the channel. The breakout can help the price to get 100% of the whole correction. Failure to break out of this resistance zone could result in the corrective structure extending into an X-Z formation, leading to a prolonged consolidation phase. This would suggest more time is needed for the pattern to play out, causing frustration for traders looking for a clear bullish trend. We will provide further updates to our followers soon. - Trade technique by KP
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trade-Technique
1
BANKNIFTY CORRECTIVE RALLY OR IMPULSEBased on the chart analysis, the following observations can be made: A double correction in the form of a wxy pattern was completed near the price level of 49,650 on August 14, 2024. Subsequently, Wave 1, consisting of five subdivisions, was completed. Wave 2 concluded on September 9, 2024, at a price level of 50,370. A smaller degree five-wave pattern was completed on September 11, 2024, with a price level of 51,420. Currently, it appears that we are in the third wave on a smaller time frame, with support at 51,754. Given the current trajectory, the price level of 52,639 may be achieved soon. Disclaimer : This analysis is based on historical price data and technical patterns and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Regards
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by imkhushal
2
From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory: Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules: 1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. 2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves. 3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns). 4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C). Wave Counts and Analysis: On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave. Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows: - Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed. - Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase. - Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move. Characteristics of Wave 3: Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction. Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are: - The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension). - A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves. - An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Moving Averages Confirmation: Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count. Critical Level to Watch: 988 Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111. Invalidation Level: The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy. Summary: In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:JINDALSTELLong
by RK_Chaarts
3
Spotting the Trend: The Birth of Wave 3Technical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on exampled chart of SBI Cards (Daily Time Frame) This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or trading advice. Market movements are inherently uncertain, and the analysis is based on one possible interpretation of the Elliott Wave structure. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles: Elliott Wave Theory is an analytical framework that helps traders and investors understand market psychology through price movement patterns. The theory suggests that market prices unfold in waves, which are driven by collective investor behavior. The patterns consist of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. Understanding these wave patterns allows us to anticipate future price movements with greater accuracy. Key Elliott Wave Principles: 1. Five-Wave Impulse Pattern: The primary trend unfolds in five waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective. 2. Three-Wave Corrective Pattern: After a five-wave sequence, a correction typically follows, consisting of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the primary trend. 3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios play a crucial role in Elliott Wave analysis, often governing the length of the waves. 4. Wave Characteristics: Each wave has its own set of characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is usually the most powerful, showing the strongest price movement, while Wave 5 may signal the final push before a significant correction. Current Elliott Wave Analysis on SBI Cards Wave Structure Overview: - The analysis focuses on the daily time frame of SBI Cards, where we can identify a completed corrective pattern and the beginning of a new impulsive wave structure. Wave Count Details: 1. Primary Count: - The chart indicates the possible completion of Wave ((2)) in black, marked by a complex corrective structure, ending near the 493.30 level. - The price has likely begun unfolding Wave ((i)) of Wave 1 in red of the larger Wave ((3)) in black. 2. Current Daily Structure: - Wave ((2)) seems to have completed with a three-wave corrective move, labeled as A-B-C. The final wave C (marked in red) appears to have ended at 493.30, representing the termination point of Wave ((2)). - Following this, the initial sub-waves of Wave 1 (red) have begun forming, with Wave ((i)) currently unfolding. - The nearest Invalidation Level for this wave count is 647.95. A break below this level would invalidate the current count, requiring a re-evaluation. Wave ((3)) Characteristics and Projections: - Wave ((3)) Characteristics: As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave ((3)) is often the most dynamic and extended wave, reflecting strong momentum in the direction of the main trend. It’s typically the longest and most powerful of the impulsive waves, often reaching or surpassing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave ((1)). - Target Levels: For Wave ((3)) in black, potential targets could be calculated using Fibonacci extensions from Wave ((1)) & ((2)), projecting prices towards 161.80%, hear possibility for short to medium term could be 960.00 and beyond if Invalidation level is not Triggered, depending on the strength of the momentum. - Invalidation Level: If the price drops below 647.95, it would invalidate the current wave count, indicating that Wave ((2)) may still be in progress or that an alternative structure is developing. Conclusion: The analysis suggests that SBI Cards may have completed a major corrective wave and is now in the early stages of a new impulsive sequence. The focus should be on the development of Wave ((3)) in black, which has the potential to drive prices significantly higher if the wave count holds true. As always, this educational analysis is not intended as trading advice, and one should consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SBICARDEducation
by RK_Chaarts
7
Decoding the Final Wave: An Elliott Wave PerspectiveTechnical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on example of Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (Hourly Time Frame) The analysis presented is purely for educational purposes, demonstrating the application of Elliott Wave Theory. It is not intended as trading or investment advice. Markets are unpredictable, and all analyses have a degree of uncertainty. Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles: Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders and analysts to decipher the underlying structure of market price movements. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, this theory is based on the idea that market prices unfold in specific patterns known as "waves." These waves are driven by collective investor psychology, moving in predictable cycles of optimism and pessimism. The theory is broken down into two main phases: the impulsive phase, which moves in the direction of the main trend, and the corrective phase, which moves against it. Key principles to remember: 1. Wave Structure: An impulsive wave (motive wave) consists of five waves (1-2-3-4-5) in the direction of the trend. A corrective wave is composed of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the trend. 2. Wave Personality: Each wave within the Elliott Wave structure has distinct characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is often the strongest and longest, while Wave 5 tends to be a final push before a trend reversal. 3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios are frequently observed in wave relationships, providing potential price targets and retracement levels. 4. Validation and Invalidation Levels: These levels help in determining the accuracy of wave counts and projections. If price breaches the invalidation level, the wave count is reassessed. Current Elliott Wave Analysis on Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Upon analyzing the hourly chart of Larsen & Toubro Ltd., we can observe the following wave counts and structures: Wave Structure Overview: - The chart shows a complex corrective structure following a significant impulsive move. The price action seems to be in the final stages of a larger wave pattern. Wave Count Details: 1. Primary Count: - We are potentially in the 5th Wave (red) of the final (5)th Wave (blue) on the daily time frame. - The 5th wave, according to Elliott Wave Theory, often exhibits certain characteristics such as declining momentum, signaling the end of the trend. 2. Current Hourly Structure: - Wave (4) in Blue has been completed at the price level near 3175.05, marking it as the last corrective wave before the final impulsive wave. - The chart illustrates a five-wave sequence emerging from this level, indicative of the development of the 5th wave. - Within this structure, we can identify sub-waves: - Wave 1 peaked around 3720. - Wave 2 retraced back near 3460. - Wave 3 is anticipated to push towards higher levels, with Wave 4 and 5 completing the sequence. Wave 5 Characteristics and Projections: - Wave 5 Characteristics: [/i ] Typically, Wave 5 in a motive wave structure can be either strong and extended or show signs of divergence, where momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD might not confirm new highs. - Projection Target Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions, potential targets for Wave 5 lie around 4141.30, 4352.60, and even possibly towards 4400.00. - Invalidation Level: If the price breaks below 3175.05, the wave count would be invalidated, necessitating a reassessment of the entire structure. Conclusion: The analysis indicates that Larsen & Toubro Ltd. is in the final stages of a larger wave pattern, specifically the 5th wave of an impulsive sequence. As this wave unfolds, it’s crucial to monitor the target and invalidation levels closely. This educational analysis serves to illustrate the application of Elliott Wave Theory, with no intention of providing trading advice. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:LTEducation
by RK_Chaarts
6
DXY: 14 AUG, 2024U.S. Dollar Index: 14 AUG, 2024 - 4H Chart © Master of Elliott Wave Analysis: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M The main trend is Bear market, wave C-grey seems to be opening to push lower, it is subdividing into wave (iii)-orange, it may continue to push lower. It is now subdividing into wave iv-grey, and it just ended at 103.546, and wave v-grey is being opened to push lower, targeting the immediate target around 102.160. While price must remain below 103.028 to maintain this view.
TVC:DXYShort
by ShaneHua
ULTRACEMCO: Wave ((iv)) Correction and Future ProjectionsTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of Ultracemco Using Elliott Wave Theory As always, this analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Proper risk management and consultation with a financial advisor are recommended before making any trading decisions. Understanding Elliott Wave Principles Elliott Wave Theory is a robust tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements by identifying repetitive wave patterns. One of the core principles of Elliott Wave Theory is that markets move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (Impulse Waves) followed by three corrective waves (Corrective Waves). These waves are labeled numerically as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for impulse waves and alphabetically as A, B, C for corrective waves. A few key rules and guidelines include: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is usually the longest and never the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5. Wave 4 should not enter the price territory of Wave 1 (in a standard impulse wave). Additionally, corrective waves come in various forms like Zigzags, Flats, and Triangles, and these patterns provide insight into the market’s corrective phases. Current Wave Count and Analysis On the daily time frame of Ultracemco, the price action has been unfolding within an Elliott Wave structure, and as of the latest data, the market appears to be in the process of completing wave ((iv)) in black. The chart shows that the recent price action likely represents a corrective wave ((iv)), unfolding as an (a)-(b)-(c) structure, where wave (a) has been completed, wave (b) has bounced as a corrective upward swing, and wave (c) is currently progressing downward. Key Observations for Wave ((iv)): Depth of Correction: The retracement level of wave ((iv)) typically spans between 38.2% to 50% of wave ((iii)). The current retracement indicates that wave ((iv)) could find support around these levels, aligning with typical Elliott Wave corrective behavior. Equality of Waves (a) & (c): One common characteristic within a Zigzag pattern is that wave (c) often equals wave (a) in terms of length. This potential equality provides a target zone for the completion of wave ((iv)). Retracement of Wave ((iii)): The analysis of wave ((iv)) should also consider the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave ((iii)). A significant support area is found near the 50% retracement level of the prior wave ((iii)), which could act as a pivot point for the next upward move. Potential Outlook for Wave ((v)) Once wave ((iv)) finds its completion, the next expected move is an upward swing as wave ((v)), which should unfold in an impulsive manner. Wave ((v)) often represents the final thrust in the direction of the trend and is typically characterized by strong momentum and breadth. Characteristics of Wave ((v)): Extension: Wave ((v)) may extend, particularly if wave ((iii)) was relatively short. In such cases, wave ((v)) could push the price higher than expected, sometimes exceeding the previous high established by wave ((iii)). Fibonacci Projections: A common target for wave ((v)) can be projected using Fibonacci extension levels of waves ((i)) through ((iii)). The 61.8%, 100%, and 161.8% extension levels serve as potential price targets. Volume and Momentum: Increased volume and momentum usually accompany wave ((v)) as it represents the final push in the direction of the prevailing trend. Traders should watch for any divergences in momentum indicators, as they often signal the end of the impulse wave and the start of a corrective phase. Conclusion In summary, the analysis suggests that Exampled chart of Ultracemco is likely completing wave ((iv)), with potential support zones emerging as the market corrects. Following the completion of wave ((iv)), the price is expected to rise in an impulsive wave ((v)), targeting new highs. However, it's crucial to remember that Elliott Wave analysis involves multiple possibilities, and traders should consider these insights as part of a broader trading strategy rather than standalone advice. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:ULTRACEMCO
by RK_Chaarts
2
$SVM | Allocation | Market Exec & Buy Limit |Technical Confluences: - Elliot wave seems to be in the middle of a Wave 3 count. Completing the Wave 3-1 and Wave 3-2. Next, should be the beginning of Wave 3-3 - Price action is close to an Interest Zone and is also at the 200MA Fundamental Confluences: - SilverCorp Metals focuses on Sustainable Silver. Both words that delight financial investors. Silver being a precious metal and sustainable being the bank's new hype. ESG-story. - Their project involves themselves in the green energy sector and it gives you the exposure of precious metals in the portfolio as well - Both retail and industrial sectors have solid demand for Silver and Gold and SVM has got it both ________________________________ AMEX:SVM will give me some exposure to Precious Metals in my Long-Term portfolio and is in the direction of sustainable green energy. Will green energy be the future? We shall see. In the meantime, 1st allocation into $SVM. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
AMEX:SVMLong
by weekendanalyst
$SPY | Watchlist D1 | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences: - Recent Elliott wave count shows that we are now in a Wave 4 retracement - Price action seemed to have topped out at the 50% Fibo Extension for now (Ending Wave 3) - Price action may test the Supply Zone again before retracing downwards towards the Horizontal Trendline and the 38% or 50% Retracement Fibo Fundamental Confluences: - US economic outlook is weak currently and valuations needs to normalize before we make a new high - Businesses are suffering from high interest rate environment and for the FED to cut, growth needs to show definite weakness, which we are starting to see. - A FED cut will not instantly improve business prospects again as interest rate changes takes time to seep into the economy - Investors will also be wary about the upcoming elections as government policies may affect business activities ________________________________ Watching the Demand Zones as levels to begin some of my portfolio allocation into AMEX:SPY Will place my Buy Limit orders for the it. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
AMEX:SPY
by weekendanalyst
4