How to Count Waves Using Chart Patterns?We can count waves using traditional patterns like Head and shoulders, Double Top and Bottom,
Triangle, cup & handle, etc. This article is about how you can count waves by identifying chart patterns.
I have covered Three chart patterns in this article,
1) Triangles
2) Head and shoulders
3) Double Top and Bottom
1) Head and shoulders:
In addition, the two lows formed when the price failed to rise and fell back down were basically at the same level. The horizontal line is often referred to as the "neckline" When the price fails to fall back for the third time neckline will break. So "head and shoulders" was officially established.
Changes in volume with head and shoulders:
During the formation of "head and shoulders", the left shoulder has the largest volume, the Head has a slightly smaller volume, and the right shoulder has the smallest volume. The phenomenon of diminishing trading volume shows that when the stock price rises, the chasing force is getting weaker and weaker, and the price has the meaning of rising to the end.
Operation plan after the Head and shoulders appear:
When the head and shoulders formed, you can decisively follow up the short order. The formation of the head and shoulders indicates the beginning of a new round of decline in the market, and the minimum drop is the distance from the head to the neckline. The profit is very substantial. Therefore, studying the formation of the Head and Shoulders is also a necessary analysis process for band enthusiasts.
Wave Count:
The left shoulder: wave 3/A.
The first touch on the neckline: wave 4/B
Head: wave 5/C
The second touch on the neckline: wave A/1
The right shoulder: wave B/2
The ending point of the right shoulder: wave C/3
2) Triangles:
These are the most commonly used triangle patterns. In this motion, we are going to understand the triangle in terms of the Elliot wave. We'll be talking about the classical triangle pattern in an upcoming educational series.
Wave Count:
A triangle forms in corrective waves. There are Four corrective waves in Elliott wave theory. The corrective waves are 2,4, B, and X.
There are four waves in a triangle which are A, B, C, D, E.
The starting point of wave A of the triangle is the ending point of impulsive wave 1/3/A/W. After the completion of wave E of wave 1/3/A/W, the Impulsive wave will initiate.
3) Double Tops and Bottom:
In the chart, you can sometimes see the stock price fluctuations. The stock price fell back after reaching the highest price. After some sorting, it rose again to near the previous stock price level and then fell back. Two "normally highs" The high point is formed on the circuit diagram and will not be seen again in the short term.
Wave Count:
In a Bull market, The first Top of the pattern represents the completion of the impulsive wave. The ending point of the Impulsive wave is the starting point of the corrective wave.
I started the wave count from the first Top and labeled it as A, B, and C waves.
In a Bear Market, The first Bottom of the pattern represents the completion of the impulsive wave. The ending point of the Impulsive wave is the starting point of the corrective wave.
I started the wave count from the first Bottom and labeled it as A, B, and C waves. After wave C is complete, we can ride the impulsive waves.
Elliottwavecount
Equinor (EQNR) Roadmap 2023Equinor is showing clear signs of Elliott Wave structure from it's ATH.
Tracking this as wave 4 still in progress, and will be looking for a correction of this downtrend upon completion of the fifth wave.
All in all, a simple roadmap on what to expect for the rest of the year.
Predicting the bottom of AvalancheAVAX/USDT.P on BYBIT
Looks like the W-X-Y pattern is coming to an end and we will try to predict the bottom as best we can to catch a swing trade of wave C or even a 3 and a new rally.
If the count is right and the weekly support level at 13.910 does not hold, a one to one (of the W-X-Y) price target will be next. We could speculate the weekly level then will serve as a SR flip to confirm the start of the last wave 5.
Watch out for the weekly bar ending as a spinning top or doji for a bullish reversal up to wave 4 of 3 of C of Y in the last zig zag.
Risk
For me the stop level would be either right under weekly level at 12.180 or at the low of 10.535 also giving a double bottom setup. If we se it go all the wave to the high of wave A we could se a Risk/Reward ratio at a proximally 6.
Targets
First target for locking in profit would be the weekly level at 13.910 then we have the point of control for the whole correction at 17.285 and the high of A or 1 at 22.795.
Avalanche Market Cap
Avalanche market cap is now ricing to $4,741,712,576 and as of writing the trading volume (24h) is $132,773,075.
Conclusion
I will continue watching the price action on Avalanche and if it will continue to decline and unfold in way similar to the predicted pattern. It could be an interesting swing trade to the upside for a low risk.
💸U.S.Dollar Index, 1792 to date●● Preferred count
◉ U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY), 🕐TF: 1M
Fig.1
The counting of long-term waves has not changed. I still think that there is still a possibility of a correction to the area of the previous wave (IV) . On the other hand, of course, it should be understood that the fourth waves in most cases form lateral corrections with an overlap and do not always reach the area of the previous fourth. And is it a wave ((IV)) at all? I am sure that as the structure develops at lower time intervals, hints will appear and the least likely scenarios will be cut off.
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◉ TVC:DXY , 🕐TF: 1W
Fig.2
In the meantime, we can make an assumption that the wave structure of wave c becomes more complicated to a double zigzag with a triangle in the sub-wave Ⓧ , but the combination and the flat are also not excluded.
On the six-hour chart, the sub-wave Ⓧ in the form of a flat will be marked in black .
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◉ TVC:DXY , 🕐TF: 1D
Fig.3
We were able to predict the completion of wave (B) and the subsequent reversal in wave (C) with high accuracy.
Wave (C) is expected to take the form of a single zigzag subdividing into diagonal A and impulse C . The target may be the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
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◉ TVC:DXY ,🕐TF: 6h
Fig.4
For you, my dear readers, I can suggest a few trading setups that will appear in the near future:
The completion of diagonal A is a signal in favor of fixing a short position. Aggressive trading setup for opening a long position with a protective stop loss at the level ((v)) > ((iii)) .
The completion of the subsequent wave B (preferably in the form of a triangle) is a trading setup for opening a short position.
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●● Alternative count
◉ TVC:DXY ,🕐TF: 1W
Fig.5
The option of counting wave Ⓧ in the form of a flat ( color marking) we have already discussed earlier. On this chart, it would be more correct to focus on an alternative marking, which suggests considering wave (b) of the supercycle degree from the position of the completed running flat a-b-c , in which wave c is an impulse ①-②-③-④-⑤ . A confident breakdown of the upward channel down can serve as a good signal in favor of this hypothesis.
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📚 Elliott Wave Guide & Ellott Wave Archive ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
Elliott wave 2nd of 3rd wave has just started On a monthly chart, wave 1 and 2 are complete and we are in the third wave.
In 3rd wave, the 1st wave is about to be over. If it will retrace a good level (61% of wave 1, inner 4th wave of wave 1), then a nice bull run is expected.
Short-term analysis - You can short it at some good level while managing risk.
Long-term analysis - If wave 2 confirmation is good, A big move is ahead with a very minimal stop loss.
Happy Trading!
Price predictions for MATIC. Are you Bullish on Polygon?My primary expectation for Matic is one more low in a wave five of the wave c. However it has done a lower low so we could technically go up up from here and nearly hit the 50% fib which is an ideal retracement for a lager wave 2. If we are in the wave 4 still before wave down in the wave C. We could comedown between 0.6867 all the way down to 0.4587 in a wave 2. If we come down any further I will be laddering buy orders down to 0.45 cent. Just remember it reversing in this area is not guaranteed but I think its very likely. If we do reverse to the upside the wave 3 targets would be 1.41 to 1.86 which is 90 to 150% from where we are now. :)
🪙Gold: triangle in wave X●● Preferred count
● XAUUSD (OANDA) , 🕐TF: 1D
Fig.1
The wave count on the quarterly and monthly timeframes has not changed. You can refer to the previous review for clarification in determining the current market position. Here .
Wave X of (3) within the diagonal Ⓒ of I will probably take the form of a contracting triangle . In the triangle, growth is expected in the form of a single zigzag ⓓ .
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● XAUUSD (OANDA) , 🕐TF: 6h
Fig.2
Wave ⓒ of X is at the final stage of development of zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) .
The critical level of the preferred wave count is the top of the intermediate wave (2) , "invalid." level . The breakdown of this level will exclude the counting of wave X in the form of a triangle, and an alternative count will come into effect.
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● XAUUSD (OANDA) , 🕐TF: 20min.
Fig.3
It is expected that the wave v of (c) of ⓒ will take the form of a ending diagonal .
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●● Alternative count
● XAUUSD (OANDA) ,🕐TF: 1D
Fig.4
The alternative count advocates a deeper correction within wave (2) . The down wave, which originates from the August high of 2020 , can be represented by wave A as an initial expanding diagonal, followed by wave B as a double zigzag ⓦ-ⓧ-ⓨ . If this assumption turns out to be correct, then we expect a further decrease in impulse C with a target in the blue channel.
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● XAUUSD (OANDA) ,🕐TF: 6h
Fig.5
Before opening a short position, it is necessary to wait for the completion of the upward correction in (ii) of ((iii)) . Perspective trading setap — on breakdown of top b of (ii) , in case the wave (ii) will take the form of a single zigzag or flat.
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LINK/USDT Elliott Wave CountChainlink can start something from here?!
I think we have a leading diagonal for wave A or 1 , zigzag correction for wave B or 2 that bounced 0.618 fib retracement of wave A or 1.
Let's see how the market develop from here. I will update count later.
I am long for short term also I am into this trade for at least a C wave.
If you like my analysis please give it a like and don't forget to subscribe for my future counts. Thanks!
BTC bottom in or more blood?BTC looks like it hit a bottom after LFG cleared out its $BTC reserves to defend its stability.
The momentum indicator if continues to curl up may produce a bullish momentum div, not yet confirmed. BBWP reading about to top out, no confirmation yet either upon crossover of its MA. EWT corrective target hit ~$30.7k from 1.272 fibs measured from late Jan. bottom to late March top. Not to mention we've hit the bottom of a fork
There are risk factors of this idea not playing such as:
BTC continues to correlate with trades/sp500 and drops alongside it as QT continues, and interest rates get risen from the fed.
BTC has not retested the 200W MA
Cyber security risks w/ regard to complete shutdown of power grids mining BTC and hosting/running many DeFi/L1/L2 services, with nations like RU/CN engaging in non-kinetic warfare. We've already seen RU disconnect intercontinental cables in the Atlantic. As the EU holds out on gas during winter, we could see more desperate measures/retaliation through new avenues in 5th Gen. warfare .
Shanghai lockdown fails to prevent the spread of bird flu , potentially inducing another global lockdown
If the trade does get stopped out, the next areas of interest for entry would be 23k if we close under $29.2k on the daily, invalidating bull impulsive Elliott wave since late June. The on-chain bottom is ~$27k, and 200W MA is ~$21K, both are also entries in the event of an invalidation.
Trade:
Entry:$30.7k
SL: $26.6K
TP: Hull MA ~$36k, ABC PoC ~$39k