APE 3 NEXT MOVES PREDICTION BASED ON ELLIOT WAVEIf there is one thing I love about APE it is the way it respond to Elliot Wave analysis.
Wave 1 ending at $17.298, wave 2 respected the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.786% at $9.505 then consolidated forming the a,b,c,d,e corrective Elliot wave 2.
After breakout we see the 1.00% Fibonacci Extension perfectly at $19.580. (now this is where the trap occurs most time this level are not perfectly respected they tend to poke out a bit) and that is why I have set a tight stop loss above $19.580 but I am confident based on how APE has been respecting these levels perfectly.
And yes this is what I love about APE!
Furthermore the next retracement downward (you can take a short position at set target at ($17.150 - .120). If APE continue to behave nicely as it has been doing then we will see upward movement from ($17.150 - .120).
Elliottwavecorrection
GBPJPY Trade Idea - Elliott WaveLet’s discuss the price chart of the GBPJPY currency pair based on the 480 minute timeframe.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, GBPJPY has completed a 5 wave impulse up of two degrees, specifically, Minor Wave 5 and Intermediate Wave (5). The price has recently broken below the bullish channel of Minor Wave 5. Most momentum oscillators are also forming a bearish divergence pattern.
From the Hurst Cycles perspective, the composite model line which measures the combined cyclical pressure, topped on April 18 (red vertical line), and is projected to form a bottom on June 28.
Based on this, we can expect prices to head lower to at least the 38% Fibonacci retracement level of the prior impulse. This will serve as the first area of support, but price should move beyond this level at some point thereafter to test the 50% Fib retracement level.
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GBPAUD Trade Idea - Elliott WaveLet’s discuss the price chart of the GBPAUD currency pair based on the 480 minute timeframe.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price has completed the 5 wave impulse sequence down on April 5. From that point, we have been trading higher in a corrective formation which appears to be carving out a W, X, Y pattern.
From the Hurst Cycles perspective, the composite model line which measures the combined cyclical pressure, bottomed on April 3 (green vertical line), and is projected to form a top on June 17.
Based on this, we can expect prices to move higher after the minor X (circle) is complete, which should be within the next few days or so at the latest. The price should continue until it reaches a distance equivalent to that traveled in wave W (circle).
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Unconfirmed bearish scenario for BTC. Watch out!Today I present to you inverted W chart of BTCUSD. We can see clear impulse down. Because we can count five waves we should form a scenario where PA will correct the impulse. So far we have gotten a reaction from lows and a HL which is the first indications of reversal. To confirm this idea we should see break of wave B of the recent correction in the channel and break of W4 of the large impulse. Moreover, this break would also confirm a Head and shoulders formation. When this happens, we should adopt this idea as a main scenario. Until then we should prefer bullish scenarios which will result in trend continuation. The move from the lows also doenst look that much impulsive and I tend to indentify it as a corrective move which supports the bullish scenarios.
We are forming our gameplan based on the indentified patterns which give us higher probabillity (they have been proven statistically significant) which in the long run should give us an edge (alfa = overperformance) in the markets.
Elliott Wave Theory - Corrective WavesThe Elliott Wave Principle at its core consists of motive waves, movement in the direction of the larger trend, and corrective waves, any correction against the main trend. Market prices alternate between a motive phase, and a corrective phase on all time scales of trend
Please refer to Elliott-Wave-Theory - Motive-Waves post covering rules and tendencies of motive waves, participants psychology at every stage of an motive wave and how to identify/forcast them using both fibonacci relations as well as channeling technique (price action).
This post is about Corrective waves . Corrective waves have a lot more variety and less clearly identifiable compared to Motive waves and are an important component of the Elliott Wave Theory. Corrective waves needs more attention and to be mastered to become a successfull Elliott wave practitioner
Corrective Waves
Corrective waves, consist of three—or a combination of three—sub-waves that make net movement in the direction opposite to the trend of one larger degree
There are many corrective patterns ranging from simple to complex yet they are just made up of three very simple easy-to-understand formations
Disclaimer: below presented figures displays guidelines that elliott waves may form. Guidelines are tendencies, not set in stone rules
a - ZigZag Corrective Wave (5-3-5)
Consist of three sub-waves against the main trend and labeled as ABC. ZigZag is a 5-3-5 structure internally
b - Flat Corrective Wave (3-3-5)
Consist of three sub-waves against the main trend and labeled as ABC. The labelling is the same as ZigZag, the difference is in internal structure. Flat is a 3-3-5 structure internally and differs from ZigZag in the subdivision of the wave A.
There are three different types of Flats: Regular, Running and Expanded Flats.
c - Triangle Corrective Wave (3-3-3-3-3)
Triangle formations are corrective patterns that are bound by either converging or diverging trend lines. Corrective structure consist of five sub-waves labelled as ABCDE, subdivision of a triangle is 3-3-3-3-3
Triangle corrective waves types can be listed as : Ascending, Descending, Symmetrical, and Expanding Triangles
d - Complex Corrective Waves - Double (3-3-3) and Tripple Three (3-3-3-3-3)
Double three is a sideways combination of two corrective patterns, labelled as WXY
Triple three is a sideways combination of three corrective patterns, labelled as WXYXZ
Please refer to Difference between ABC and WXY , for further details and structures of Complex Corrective waves as well as the differences between Simple corrective structures
The Elliott Wave Theory provides constructive insight that can help technical analysts monitor and understand the movements of financial asset prices over the short and long term.
Please note that these patterns do not provide any kind of certainty about future price movement, but rather, serve in helping to order the probabilities for future market action. They can be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis, including technical indicators, to identify specific opportunities.
Technical Indicators
Ocsillators to detect divergencies (includes 15 different ocsillator) : OSCs
Elliott Wave Oscillator : EWO
Auto Fibonacci Retrecment/Extentions : Auto Fib Retrecment-Extentions
Volume Profile : Volume-Profile-and-Volume-Indicator
Other indicators that are referred among elliott wave practitioners
Pitchforks ( how to apply ), Pitchfans , FibFans ( how to apply ), FibChannels ( how to apply ), FibTime , Linear-Regression-Channel ( what it is ), Raff Regression Channel ( what it is )
APE ANALYSISAPE is interestingly forming a corrective Elliot wave 2 pattern on the 4 hours timeframe.
The "d" is the next resistance target after which a retracement to "e" (support) will occur before we could see a new "ALL TIME HIGH".
You can buy around $12 - 12.25, set your stop loss at $11.82 and take profit at $13.10 - 13.4 for quick profit.
If all analysis fails, (which is very, very unlikely) then we will see a retest of the 0.78% Fibonacci retracement level around $9.4.
Bitcoin chart analysis - still in huge correction until 2023I think these 3 Elliot scenarios could be real deal. It really matters how the market will behave, if there will be more selling pressure we will se another low around 27k area, then uptrend towards 40-45k and there will be decided if we are going for expanded or running flat. I hope in expanded so we could sell our BTC:)
im not financial advisor btw
EURNZD Trade Idea - Elliott WaveLet’s discuss the price chart of the EURNZD currency pair based on the 120 minute timeframe.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price action is moving in a corrective channel within Wave (iv). It is approaching a critical Fibonacci retracement level of .618 which should act as resistance.
From the Hurst Cycles perspective, the composite model line which measures the combined cyclical pressure, topped on April 1st (red vertical line), and is projected to form a bottom on April 25th.
Based on this, we can expect prices to break below the corrective channel and head lower from there. Beyond that the low of Wave (iii) will act as an important support level, however, this leg down which would be wave (v) should ultimately break below this level.
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MSFT: Sell Zone is 325-330MSFT is finishing up its 4th wave pullback. Mega caps don't typically experience deep retracements, so the .382 retracement is the perfect buying zone. In the next day or two MSFT will resume its uptrend to complete its 5th wave up to the $325-$330 region. After that, MSFT will experience a 2nd wave pullback to approximately today's levels.
US30 Dow JonesDow jones looks like we have completed the 1st impluse wave , so i feel we need some correction towards my target then we will be moving towards the upside high highs boom !
Elliott Bitcoin Analysis1- Bitcoin has entered a correction wave.
2- Wave B was a triangular wave that had ended.
3- Wave C has started and the price is expected
to move as much as the wave A (PRZ 2) .
4- In the most optimistic case, the price of ABC
correction wave is expected to correct as much as
61.8% of all 5 previous uptrend waves, which will
be exactly in line with the floor of the long-term
uptrend channel for several years (PRZ 1 ) .