Electricvehicles
TESLA Is this a W-shaped recovery?Tesla (TSLA) held Support 1 (160.50) last Friday, in fact it touched it and rebounded immediately making a technical Double Bottom formation. Yesterday it broke and closed above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 04, providing s serious bullish continuation signal.
The most important development however, is that this Double Bottom has strong probabilities of giving a W-shaped recovery pattern. A break above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) will technically confirm that, as it will be the first time above it in 3 months (since January 09).
We can already see the 4H RSI on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which favors these probabilities. Our short-term Target is 205.00 (marginally below Resistance 2).
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TESLA Can it break the 1D MA50 and sustain an uptrend?Tesla has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone pattern since the July 19 2023 High. The recent Low (March 14 2024) came very close to the 152.50 Support, which is the April 27 2023 Low. This shows just how strong the current bearish structure is.
Medium-term traders/ investors can expect a sustainable uptrend only when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, which has been the Resistance all this time since January 09 2024 (almost 3 months). If it does break above it, we expect a +41.50% rise from the bottom (+5% more than the previous Bullish Leg), targeting $225.00. That is considered conservative based on the margins of the Bearish Megaphone as the previous two Lower Highs were priced on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
The fact that the 1D MACD has already formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 level, favors statistically the upside case, as in the past 12 months such a signal failed to break above the 1D MA50 only once out of 4 times in total.
Until it does break it though, the trend remains bearish short-term towards Support 1 (152.50).
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75: Exploring the Electric Vehicle and Copper ConnectionIn the ever-evolving landscape of the financial markets, the intersection between Electric Vehicles (EVs) and copper presents a compelling narrative. As interest in EVs surges, propelled by advancements in technology and a global shift towards sustainability, the demand for key components such as copper intensifies.
Recent market dynamics have seen a lack of enthusiasm for EV stocks, prompting car manufacturers to implement price reductions to stimulate sales. However, this move signifies a strategic pivot rather than a sign of weakness, as companies aim to bolster revenues for further investment in the burgeoning EV sector.
Crucially, the production of EV batteries heavily relies on copper, emphasizing its integral role in the industry. Consequently, a resurgence in copper demand is anticipated, driven by the expanding EV market and the broader digitalization trend.
Technical analysis reveals copper's struggle to breach the 4.12 level, hinting at potential downside movements. Key support zones are identified around 3.37 and 2.83, where increased buying interest in copper is expected. These levels coincide with opportune entry points for investors eyeing the EV sector, as copper targets new highs, with an ambitious target of 6.49.
We can see that the convergence of EVs and copper presents a compelling trading opportunity. As the EV market continues to evolve, savvy investors can capitalize on the interplay between these sectors for potential gains.
Institutional purchase at $165 : I hope I'm not mistaken.I bought earlier because I couldn't manage my emotions hahaha. Since it was at 210 or 215, I had placed my orders at $165, but I couldn't resist FOMO during the drop lol.
Earnings are forecast to grow 10.62% per year
Earnings grew by 19.2% over the past year
Worldwide misunderstanding for Polestar 😄Trading at 87.5% below our estimate of its fair value
Revenue is forecast to grow 35.64% per year
Trading at good value compared to peers and industry
Risk:
Negative shareholders equity
Has less than 1 year of cash runway
Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years
Volatile share price over the past 3 months
Polestar has tried everything. Collaboration with Renault to "sublet" production plants (future plant in South Korea). Breakaway from Volvo. Lower prices for Polestar 3 and 4 cars. But nothing worked. The stock continues to sleep, brain-dead.
The shorts keep piling up, day after day after day...
As a huge investor in this stock, I myself look away. I start buying a China ETF, Porsche, European stocks like Nestlé or Swatch or Zalando or Kering... no one in my entourage can hear about Polestar anymore haha
TESLA just set the new target down to $100 - Problems for EVsTechnically we see an M Formation on Tesla.
The price broke below the neckline and the price is both below the 20MA and the 200MA.
The nature of this analysis is HIGH probability.
We, can set the first target to $100 and then next to $80. And if it breaks further we are talking $60....
But let's see.
There is fire in the EV space. With crashes, glitches, malfunctions, issues with snow, unable to track correctly objects on the streets and identifying.
There are also issues with having parts reordered when they breakdown.
And Elon is focussing more of his attention on X and SPace X. So this is not convincing and promising to shareholders to keep holding.
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche P911 (still long)Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations
Full year 2023 results:
Revenue: €40.5b (up 7.7% from FY 2022).
Net income: €5.16b (up 4.2% from FY 2022).
Profit margin: 13% (in line with FY 2022).
Revenue was in line with analyst estimates.
Revenue is forecast to grow 5.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.9% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Germany.
NIO BACK TO 10 BY 2025 !!NIO’s stock has potential for growth in the coming years due to several factors:
Analyst Predictions: The 8 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for NIO Inc. stock have an average target of 11.31, predicting an increase of 95.67% from the current stock price1.
Earnings and Revenue Growth: NIO is forecasted to grow earnings and revenue by 55.5% and 22.4% per annum respectively2.
Competitive Positioning: NIO is a significant player in the electric vehicle market, which is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years. It has been able to position itself as a strong competitor, even causing disruptions for established players like Tesla
TESLA can start a new rally to $300Last time we looked at Tesla (TSLA) was two weeks ago (February 15, see chart below) when we called for the bottom of the Channel Down pattern on a standard Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern:
This time we switch to the longer term 1W time-frame where the stock is making a rounded bottom below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 6-month Lower Lows trend-line. The last time we saw a rounded bottom like this was during the December 2022 global market bottom. In fact, the sequence from Tesla's ATH to that bottom is quite similar to the price action from the July 2023 High to now.
A common dynamic on both patterns is the ATH Lower Highs trend-line, which has 4 rejections so far. Since however the stock made a +112.48% rise on the 2022 bottom and then on the next bullish leg a +94.91%, we expect it to initiate a new such rally of +75% (if each rally is weaker by 20%) and target the July 17 2023 Resistance. As a result we have a medium-term Target of $300.
Notice also how symmetrical the 1W RSI sequences between the two are. Right now we are below the Support level which in 2022 priced the bottom.
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Nikola how low can it go?I think we have a nice double bottom with 30-50% possible down side and huge upside. It's a gamble, but I am stock gambler. I took a very small position. I like the chart and suspect this could under accumulation. Lots of analysts have much higher targets than here. Nikola sold off the Badger line to a close friend. Will this allow them more time to focus on electric / hydrogen trucks and gain edge again??? Not financial advice, DYOR.
NKLA Nikola Corp Nikola Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2023
February 22, 2024 at 09:01 am EST
Share
Nikola Corporation reported earnings results for the full year ended December 31, 2023. For the full year, the company reported revenue was USD 35.84 million compared to USD 49.73 million a year ago. Net loss was USD 966.28 million compared to USD 784.24 million a year ago.
Basic loss per share from continuing operations was USD 1.08 compared to USD 1.67 a year ago. Basic loss per share was USD 1.21 compared to USD 1.78 a year ago. Diluted loss per share was USD 1.21 compared to USD 1.78 a year ago.
TESLA Inverse Head and Shoulders formed. Is this the bottom?Tesla (TSLA) appears to have completed the Right Shoulder of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is technically a bullish reversal structure that is formed on market bottoms. We have already talked in our previous analysis about the IH&S formed on the 1D RSI and as you can see by the circle drawing, this is consistent with the all previous Right Shoulder formations since December 2022.
As you can see, the long-term pattern since the July 19 2023 High is a Channel Down and this IH&S is the Lower High formation that should technically start the new Bullish Leg towards the pattern's top (Lower Highs trend-line).
As a result, our technical target is $245.00, which represents a Lower High level slightly lower than a projected +41% rise (last Lower High was +36%, the one before +31%, so we estimate a +5% progression). We will book the profit earlier though if the 1D RSI hits its Resistance Zone before the price reaches $245.00.
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TSLA Recovery to $4001D Chart
From a technical viewpoint, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is setting up for a short-term recovery to the $200-210 range before another steep correction. Should significant support be met around the $100 range, a sharp recovery back to previous highs near $415 will be in sight. The following patterns are visible on the 1D chart:
Impulse and Correction Waves
Because the 1, 3, & 5 Impulse Waves were in the down direction, then according to Elliott Wave Theory, the Correction Waves (ABC) should see the beginning of a rally. Wave A will move opposite of Wave 5 and should lose momentum between $200-220 which are 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement levels respectively. Wave C would develop a double bottom setup that could propel TSLA back to $300.
Head & Shoulders
If the Elliott Waves do not prove valid then a H&S pattern is likely with a right shoulder peak meeting resistance between $200-220 before sending share prices back to a low of $100. I am less confident of this pattern as it appears a premature recovery is about to begin. The neckline rests around $150 but Money Flow Index is already in severely oversold territory and the On-Balance Volume has an overall positive slope.
Double Bottom
In the unlikely event that the H&S comes to fruition then I believe it will serve as the setup for a larger double bottom pattern. Stepping back for a better bird's eye view, the On-Balance Volume has a healthy positive slope and Money Flow Index is in oversold territory. However this pattern will take months to develop so it is too soon to begin loading up for this particular trade as a swing or day trader.
Tesla - Is It A FakeoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After Tesla broke out of a long term triangle formation in 2019 we saw a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Tesla is currently once again forming a (bullish) triangle pattern but broke short term support towards the downside. If we see a retest of the bottom of the triangle which I mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for longs to capitalize on a potential bullish rejection.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
RIVIAN Low risk buy opportunity at least on the short-term.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) hit the $21.00 Target following our November 29 2023 (see chart below) buy call but even though it confidently broke above the Bearish Megaphone, the price corrected aggressively back even below the Higher Lows Zone:
The price is at the moment coming off an oversold 1D RSI Double Bottom, naturally below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though the long-term pattern remains a Channel Up (blue), we have to consider the possibility of the (dashed) Channel Down breaking below it and establishing a new long-term trend. Until that happens, this is a short-term buy opportunity, with our Target being $23.00, right at the top of the Channel Down, on the (dotted) median of the Channel Up, representing a +62.17% rise from the Channel's bottom, similar to the December 26 2023 Lower High (peak).
If then we get a 1W candle closing above the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line), which will be the stock's first time to do so, we will buy the bullish break-out and pursue our long-term Target of $35.50, which will represent a +142.79% rise from the bottom, similar to the last Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Up that peaked on July 27 2023.
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Fisker $FSR : Buying zone for a speculator?Technical Analysis: Buying Zone for a Speculator! No reversal volume yet, and no previous higher levels have been regained...
All my technical analysis is still telling me to wait... however, my slightly 'irrational' emotions are urging me to take a position here and now, haha.
Planning to invest 30% of the desired capital in $FSR... another 40% once we enter the 0.93 zone...
If the price explodes upward, at least I'll already be in position. If the price falls further, I can DCA (Dollar-Cost Average) on the initial 30% already invested here.
I don't like the look of the current chart at all; however, the EV speculative bubble will return, much like the current semiconductor bubble. By 2030, most cars will be clean energy vehicles. By 2035, the first EVs using only recycled cobalt will roll out of Northvolt's factories in Sweden. In short, all of this to say, EVs are the future.
Buying today in NASDAQ:TSLA NYSE:FSR NASDAQ:LCID NASDAQ:RIVN NASDAQ:PSNY is like buying NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT in 1999. I'm not joking. Don't listen to the skeptics and have confidence.