NIO closing on top of the 20 day SMA, could fill 20% gap UPNIO closing on top of the 20 day SMA, could fill 20% gap UP
EMAs trying to punch thru the 20 day SMA and breakout
Recently announced promising earnings and deliveries are up 125% year over year for July
Tesla is also trying to breakout upwards, and can help boost $NIO as EV hype returns
First sell at $50.50, Second at $52 or overbought RSI
Electricvehicles
ARVL - Arrival Group - Gaps can be filledARVL
ENTRY = 10.50 - 11
Cost Avg Down = 6.50 - 6.75
1st Target = 236fib 18.44
2nd Target = Bear Gap Fill 20
3rd Target = 382fib 22
Hodl Target = 618fib 28+
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This content is for informational, educational and entertainment purposes only. This is not in any way, shape or form financial or trading advice.
Good luck, happy trading and stay chill,
2degreez
Elliott Wave Analysis: TESLA Is Still Looking For Wave CHello traders!
Today we will talk about Tesla, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective.
As you may already know, we have been looking for that wave C decline for a while, but seems like it's temporary on a pause as price action is slow and sideways, so wave B correction looks to be bigger and longer, ideally as part of a bearish triangle formation. Well, we are still expecting TESLA to drop into 500-400 support zone, but probably once a bearish triangle pattern is fully completed as subwaves "d" and "e" are still missing.
After Tesla stocks split last year from $2,213 to $444, price can retrace to similar levels, a year later as A-B-C correction seems incomplete.
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
BUY Tesla (TSLA) for a breakout above $700Tesla's stock has demonstrated an extremely positive share price performance throughout the last two and a half months. The stock bottomed at around the $550 mark back in May, as the strong support there managed to stop the volatile stock price decline.
The company was under severe pressure at the time following their sub-par Q1 earnings announcements, where it became clear that if it was not for the BTC sale that Tesla completed and the huge profit that it made from it, the company would have reported a Net Loss for Q1. In addition to that, many people started to realize that Tesla was receiving large government decarbonization credits and subsidies, which were the primary reason for the company's profitability. Furthermore, with the rising competition from the likes of Ford, General Motors in the electric vehicle market, investors have started to worry whether or not Tesla would be able to turn a profit in the event of a drastic decrease in the number of government decarbonization subsidies that it receives. The more companies there are that participate in the electrification of the Auto industry in the US the more candidates there will be for these government subsidies, thus Tesla will no longer be "the only show in town". However, we believe that in the short term most of the negativity has already been priced in, and the stock is about to reverse very soon.
So basically, these have been the major company related reasons as to why the stock has been trading in the $550-700 range for few months now. This is way off its all-time highs of $900 that it reached earlier in the year. We've seen a strong pickup in the bullish momentum for the stock and everything points for a breakout above the $700 resistance mark, within the next few trading sessions. Once that resistance is broken, then the stock will be easily headed towards the $800-900 range heading into September.
As you can see on the chart, all of the moving averages that we follow, as well as all of the key indicators that we use to define relative market strength and momentum are pointing higher. Thus, we would be opening a LONG TSLA position on a clear break above the $700 level and would be interested in potentially collecting a portion of our profit at around $890 for a 27% ROI.
Li Auto Inc. Delivered Record 8,589 Units in JulyLi Auto added more than 10,000 orders in June, a record high, the company previously said.
Li Auto delivered 8,589 units of the Li ONE in July, the first time deliveries exceeded 8,000 units in a single month, up 251.3 percent year-over-year and 11.4 percent from June.
Li Auto currently has only one model, the Li ONE, on sale, with total deliveries of 38,743 units in the first seven months of the year, bringing cumulative deliveries to date to 72,340 units, according to data released by the company on Sunday.
"Before the end of the year, we will also launch a heavy-weight OTA upgrade that will take Li ONE's competitiveness to a whole new level," said Li Auto co-founder and president Shen Yannan.
Li Auto's direct retail system construction is accelerating, with plans to have 200 direct retail centers covering more than 100 cities in China by the end of 2021, the company said.
As of July 31, Li Auto had 109 retail centers in China, covering 67 cities, and 176 after-sales repair centers and authorized sheet metal spraying centers, covering 134 cities.
Li Auto released the 2021 Li ONE on May 25 with a starting price of CNY 338,000 (USD 52,300), CNY 10,000 higher than the previous version. Deliveries of the new Li ONE began on June 1.
Notably, despite the popularity of the 2021 Li ONE, owners are now beginning to complain about problems with the vehicle.
Several Weibo users have recently reported that their Li ONE vehicles are making unusual noises at high speeds, suspected to be emitted by the generator.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
Xpeng Delivered Record 8,040 Vehicles in JulyThe company plans to have the P5 officially available in the third quarter of 2021, with deliveries expected in the fourth quarter of 2021.
XPeng Motors delivered 8,040 vehicles in July, its highest monthly delivery record, up 228 percent year-over-year and up 22 percent from June.
The company's flagship sedan, the P7, delivered 6,054 units in July, the highest monthly delivery record since its launch, XPeng's data released Monday showed. Cumulative deliveries of P7 reached 40,612 units since its launch in July 2020.
XPeng's compact SUV, the G3, delivered 1,986 units in July.
As of July 31, the company's total deliveries for the year reached 38,778 units, up 388 percent year-over-year.
XPeng previously said the P7 sedan with lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries has seen strong demand since its launch in March this year. Deliveries of the model began in May, with sales increasing 27 percent in that month compared to April.
In March, XPeng announced the launch of the P7 and G3 with LFP batteries, with deliveries of the former starting in May and the latter in April.
The new P7 is available in two variants a combined range of 480km.
The new P7 is equipped with Xmart OS in-vehicle intelligence system, with the lower-priced version equipped with XPILOT 2.5 + automatic driving assistance system, priced from CNY 229,900 (USD 35,600).
The higher-priced version is equipped with XPILOT 3.0 automatic driving assistance system, priced from CNY 239,900.
Together with the newly released model with LFP battery, the XPeng P7 is now available in four models: rear-wheel drive standard range, rear-wheel drive long-range, rear-wheel drive extra long range and four-wheel-drive high performance. Their price range covers CNY 229,900 to CNY 339,900.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NIO Delivered 7,931 Vehicles in July, Up 124% Year-over-YearNIO's local counterparts, XPeng Motors and Li Auto delivered 8040, 8589 vehicles, respectively, in July.
NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July, up 124.48 percent year-over-year and down about 2 percent from June.
The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, 3,669 ES6s, and 2,560 EC6s. NIO has completed the delivery of 49,887 units in 2021, exceeding last year's full-year delivery.
NIO's 100kWh battery pack is deploying to every battery swap station and the delivery of the 100kWh battery pack will significantly ramp up in the coming months, the company said.
At the same time, the first batch of ES8 for user delivery has been officially shipped to Norway and is expected to open for ordering and delivery in Norway in September this year, it said.
Ahead of the July delivery data was released, a team at Hong Kong-based financial services firm CMB International raised its price target on NIO earlier today, citing marginal improvement in chip supply and the prospect of continued growth in deliveries in the second half of the year.
The team raised its price target for NIO by 13.6 percent to USD 52.60 per share, maintaining a buy rating. NIO closed up 4.83 percent to USD 44.68 on Friday and the price target implies an upside of about 18 percent.
CMB believes that in the short term, NIO expects to drive sales growth through increased density of battery swap stations. In the long term, NIO's unique business model of separating the vehicle from the battery will contribute to vehicle sales as it focuses on providing quality service to its customers.
Local tech media 36kr reported on Friday that Ai Tiecheng, former general manager of WeWork Greater China, has joined NIO to take charge of the company's mass-market-oriented sub-brand, and that a new model could be released in the first half of next year at the earliest.
NIO is the only local Chinese brand that has a firm foothold in the high-end market, with a minimum price of CNY 358,000 (USD 55,400). If customers choose its BaaS battery leasing service, the purchase threshold can be lowered by at least RMB 70,000, but they will need to pay a monthly battery rental fee.
The latest data from China Automotive Technology and Research Center shows that the average price of NIO vehicles in May was CNY 432,900, higher than BMW's CNY 391,000 and slightly lower than Mercedes' CNY 435,600.
The high-end positioning means that NIO's sales could hit the ceiling earlier than its local counterparts XPeng Motor and Li Auto, and the launch of a mass-market-oriented brand is expected to make that ceiling higher.
The so-called sub-brand, a mid-to low-end brand independent of the NIO brand, is expected to be priced in the CNY 150,000 (USD 23,200) - 250,000 market, the 36kr report said.
"Li is also factoring in the positioning of the Wuling Hongguang Mini EV (priced at around CNY 30,000)," the report said, citing an unnamed source.
The Mini EV is the top-selling EV in China, with sales of 29,143 units in June, up 12.56 percent from May, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.
NIO's sub-brand will follow the battery swap technology, but will operate through a separate system that includes channels, communities and an app, the 36kr report said.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
2022 Might Be a Winning Year for Xpeng – and the Stock Is FinallOn July 7, 2021, the company was listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the code '9868.'
We estimate Xpeng's 2022 revenue to show the value of the stock.
The methodology includes the forecast of sales of P7, G3&G3i and the upcoming P5 and SUV models.
The results indicate that the stock is currently fairly priced
Risks primarily come from supply chain and market regulation but remain controllable.
With the current global chip shortage, most major auto OEMs have suffered from a lack of electronic supplies. Amid these concerns, China's EV sales are burgeoning, with light EV sales hitting 241,000, or 15% of total light vehicles sales in June, 2021. Among the country's EV pioneers, Xpeng (XPEV:NYSE) has recently presented some positive results: its half-year delivery number has surpassed last year's figure. This article presents a forecast of the company's EV sales in 2022 and evaluates its stock by analyzing each model of Xpeng and using the valuation multiples.
Model-level breakdown
P7 is Xpeng's hit product. Simplifying the modelling, we project the sales of P7 to increase by 184, 100 and 50 units month-on-month until 2023; 184 is the average monthly increase since the model's launch, while the incremental decrease is due to the upcoming P5 and 2022 SUV models. The average selling price will be around CNY 250,000, the same as in 2020.
G3&G3i are the oldest models of Xpeng. The updated version G3i transformed into a more unified family design and attracted more sales. We estimate G3 and G3i will keep lifting sales volume by 46 per month during the same period. The average selling price will be around CNY 150,000 per unit.
P5 will shoulder the company's expectations to become a family sedan. We estimate P5's first-month delivery number in October will be at around 1,000, referring to P7's data. Then the delivery figure will increase by 143 units per month, of which 100 will be at the cost of P7 sales declining, as the two models compete with each other, and 43 is organic growth. Based on the official price starting from CNY 160,00 to 230,000, we predict the ASP will be at CNY 190,000.
Xpeng is planning to launch a new SUV model. The SUV has a family design 'X' logo that brings its length to 4,800 mm. The car design shares the same platform as the P7, the Edward platform. In addition, it will be equipped with premium specifications like XPilot 4.0 and air suspension. Some industry experts predict the price will be around CNY 300,000. We assume Xpeng will finish its launch day by September 2022. The first-month sale will be 300 units, which will increase by 145 units per month similar to the sales trajectory of NIO's ES6.
Apart from EV sales, other services will account for 5% of total revenue. The 2022 EV sales won't be significantly impacted by the chip shortage.
To sum up, Xpeng's 2022 revenue is projected to reach USD 4.3 billion (CNY 28 billion). Specifically, the company will sell 122,253 vehicles to make USD 4.1 billion topline, and USD 0.25 billion will be from other services. According to the Street's expectations, the stock is priced at 16, 8.8, 5.6, 4, 2.9 forward PS ratios by 2025. We select 9x as the 2022 multiples. Thus, the market cap will be USD 38.7 billion, around 10% up from the market cap on July 27, 2021.
Risks
Although the expectations for Xpeng are rather bright, the whole industry is facing the chip shortage problem – that is also the biggest threat to Xpeng. For NEV companies, production is challenging while orders are packed. Through our research, we found that most auto stakeholders in China expect the imbalance to last through 2021, affecting the global light-vehicle sales by 2.5-5.0%, but recover slightly in 2022.
The edtech sector's regulatory update drove the recent sell-off in Chinese concept stocks. However, this crackdown won't be a long-term issue for EV innovators like Xpeng. According to Bloomberg, the government's motivation is to cut family workloads to turn the declining birth rates up. On the other hand, the 'Made in China 2025' scheme supports EV development radically. So the policy will rather play a positive role in the new energy vehicle market in the long term.
Conclusion
Up to the present, Xpeng has been on the right track, leveraging business through unified family designs, new stores opening, capacity boost and charging facilities build-up. The company's 2022 revenue would be a realistic basis for stocks to start. The most significant potential risk at present is the capacity problem caused by supply chain shortages. Investors should keep an eye on this topic in the company's upcoming Q2 earnings conference.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
EV's - SOLOThere's been some buzz around EV's lately, thinking they gain some traction soon. I took a swing trade position in SOLO earlier this year and got caught on the move down, Sold it now looking to rebuild position and retry this one. Accumulating shares in here.
Tesla's Revenue Nearly Doubles in the second quarter of 2021On July 27, Tesla released its financial report for the second quarter of 2021. According to the latest financial statements, in Q2 2021, Tesla achieved a revenue of USD 11.96 billion, up 98% year-on-year and a net profit of USD 1.62 billion, surging 258% year-on-year. Its revenue increase nearly ten times that of the same period last year, which was the first time its net profit exceeded USD 1 billion. Its automotive business contributed USD 10.21 billion to all the segments, with a gross profit margin of 28.4%.
Tesla delivered 201,300 vehicles in the second quarter, including 1,895 Model S/X and 199,400 Model 3/Y. Tesla expects the deliveries amount will grow by more than 50% in 2021.
In terms of factories, the company plans to carry out limited production of Model Y in Texas and Berlin later this year. Model Y produced by Tesla's factories in Texas and Berlin may use 4680 batteries in the future. However, Tesla said that due to limited battery supply and challenges facing the global supply chain, the application might be postponed to 2022.
In addition, the Tesla Shanghai Super factory has become its main automobile export center. Although slightly affected by the supply chain and factory upgrading, the capacity of the Shanghai Super Factory is still strong. Owing to the strong demand in the U.S. market and global cost optimization, Tesla has completed the transformation of the Shanghai Super factory.
On the day of the release of the financial report, Tesla's share price rose 2.21%, and its current share price reaches USD 657.62 per share, with a total market value of USD 633.5 billion. It is worth noting that Musk said that unless there is something very important to report, this is his last time to participate in Tesla's financial report teleconference.
XPEV price targetsEven though i consider XPEV to be the real Tesla of China, because of the cheaper cars and the technology "stolen" from Tesla, i still think it will revisit the 29usd support short term.
Remember that this is not a profitable company and is still dependent on raising capital for its cars.
in 2020 XPEV revenue was 5.84B, but the Earnings were negative, -2.73B. They also missed the Q3 and Q4 earnings estimates last year.
Jim Cramer (Mad Money) on China's tech crackdown: You can't own Chinese stocks!
ARK Invest dumps Chinese stocks.
It seems dangerous to hold Chinese stocks right now.
US-listed Chinese companies have three years to comply with US accounting oversight, to comply with the rules of accounting and transparency that American public companies must follow, if not they will get delisted.
This looks like the beginning of China`s stock market crash.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about this!
Don’t Forget About CopperCopper had a dramatic run coming out of the pandemic, more than doubling between March 2020 and May 2021. Now, after a period of consolidation, it may be ready for more upside.
First consider the ascending triangle that’s formed with a top around $4.35. It’s currently attempting its highest close in six weeks, which could result in a breakout. Traders may now focus on the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) as the next resistance line.
Second, CUUUSD also made a lower low this week, which means you have a bullish outside candle on the weekly chart. It follows a small inside candle the previous week. Price action like that suggests that the phase of tightening is near an end and prices may be ready to expand again:
Third, notice how MACD has been steadily rising all of July.
Copper’s fundamentals are also interesting because the red metal benefits from the spread of electric vehicles. (This stands in stark contrast to the other global-growth commodity, crude oil.) There are also supply constraints, especially with politicians in Chile and Peru looking to invest less in mines.
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CHPTWouldn't mind picking up some shares here for the long term hold. CHPT is deciding where to go and recently fell due to the secondary offering which closed yesterday, but CHPT and EVs are the future... especially when you have a US President like Biden who is pushing spending for building infrastructure and when climate change is really starting to take a toll (I'm looking at you, 120F degree temperature in Portland.. flood in Germany.. CA yearly wildfires.. and this one hits close to home, snowmageddon in TX earlier this year.)
Also, biggest charging station infrastructure in Europe.
TSLA 1 Year Fib Retracement Levels In TactThe 1-year breakdown on the TSLA chart shows that the Fib levels remain consistent for the most part. This current level around the 382 fib line has been a decent support shelf over the last 12 months. It tested the 50 Fib a few weeks ago, which held as the retracement ended up bouncing back to where it's at right now. I'd like to see more volume, though. But something tells me that without an industry catalyst, it might tread water here for a minute. More importantly, we'll get to see what Q2 performance figures look like next week. Tesla just announced:
"Tesla will post its financial results for the second quarter of 2021 after market close on Monday, July 26, 2021. At that time, Tesla will issue a brief advisory containing a link to the Q2 2021 update, which will be available on Tesla’s Investor Relations website. Tesla management will hold a live question and answer webcast that day at 2:30 p.m. Pacific Time (5:30 p.m. Eastern Time) to discuss the Company’s financial and business results and outlook."
Depending on the outcome, it could be something to keep track of for the broader EV space including some of those "lovely" EV penny stocks .
Simple Support/Resistance Levels ADOMADOM has been a fun stock to watch. It finally tested its lower support level a few weeks ago. Now it's approaching another pivot point on the chart that has been support and resistance. It will be interesting to see if we get another boost to EV stocks again before the end of the month.
"On July 7th, Envirotech received a $400,000 purchase order from Joseph Holdings for five vehicles. CEO Phillip Oldridge said, 'This order is a promising start to our FAR relationship with Joseph Holdings and we’re pleased to have this opportunity to begin providing our innovative, high-quality, conventional and special purposed electric vehicles to the Caribbean market.' The past one-month of momentum with ADOM stock has been high to say the least. On June 10th, ADOM’s stock price was at $0.25 per share on average. Now on July 9th, the company’s stock price is over $0.38 per share. ADOM’s volume is also much higher than its market average right now. There are a few possible explanations for this. The market for electric vehicles is rapidly growing at the moment. We’ve all seen how companies like Tesla Inc. ( TSLA ) have gone up significantly in the past year or so. This momentum affects smaller EV companies like Envirotech as well. Whether this makes ADOM a part of your watchlist right now, is up to you."
Quote Source: 7 Industry Leading Penny Stocks To Watch in July 2021
SGBX Building Blocks For Which Direction?SGBX has had a great run so far, can't argue with that. But now that volume is a bit lighter, is it building blocks for new highs or for a failure at resistance again? The .50 Fib line has been a relatively consistent area of resistance over the last few weeks. Meanwhile, .618 seems to be an area that SGBX has bounced from after a pullback. As it approaches the 50 again, volume could play a key role. Also, any industry influence may be something to pay attention to as well. For instance, it has exposure to several popular niches including EV:
"SG and Blink Charging Co. (NASDAQ: BLNK), an owner/operator of EV charging equipment and services, entered into an exclusive Master Development and Production Agreement last year. Blink’s EV charging solutions will be deployed along with SG Blocks’ container-based modular building structures. Essentially, the two will create EV charging containers providing charging solutions for EV drivers. While this isn’t the only industry SG focuses on, it does give them some exposure to one of the newer tech niches to watch in 2021."
I think as this continues to consolidate, the $5.70 area may be the closest to pay attention to for it to either break and hold above or fail. Also, depending on the volume (and it isn't on the chart right now), the 50DMA is starting to curl up toward the 200DMA. Volume would need to pick up to confirm any possible golden cross however. We'll see what happens.
Quote Source: Best Penny Stocks To Watch If You Like Tech? 7 For Your List In 2021
$TSLA on the road back to $900?*Before reading the information in this please understand the risks associated with both the stock market and investing as a whole. ALWAYS do your own research; invest with conviction, rather than emotion.*
*Please understand I am in no way a professional and offering investment advice, all ideas shared are simply opinion.*
*I work with a team of individuals that does research into potentially undervalued publicly traded companies. We use a mix of fundamental and trend analysis to formulate a trading plan for our securities.*
My team and I undoubtedly agree that Tesla ($TSLA) has incredible potential and upside, both short and long term. Having someone as renowned as Elon Musk at the helm of operations adds a sort of "social equity." At its founding, Tesla took a large risk by attempting to cultivate and advance the electric vehicle scene. The company has ramped up operations in recent years, and appears to be ahead of its competitors in the electric vehicle space. This paired now with its current operations in the solar energy/energy alternative industry, Tesla is attempting to shift the market's normal consumer demands. These shifts are presently altering some trends that have been apparent for over one hundred years; i.e. the gas/oil automobile industry, as well as thermal energy powering many residential and commercial buildings in the United States.
Tesla has been going through a correction from a $900 price point hit earlier this January. Based on its chart, it appears that there is a support level at $550. Past that, there doesn't appear to be much structure on the charts, simply due to Tesla's huge run from $70 since March 2020 has not allowed for a clear trend and/or structure to emerge due to its huge value increase. The only trend that appears at Tesla's current price level is a bullish trend started in the middle of this past May. Tesla is at a resistance point on the charts currently, it has pushed to a $700 price point, and has bounced off of this resistance level 3 times. Regardless of this resistance, Tesla has clear bullish sentiment, and could break through this $700 price point in the next few weeks. Through its current pattern, this company has potential to hit a $1,000 price point. This price point will not be reached anytime soon, but the company could see itself in the $800-$900 per share price range before the end of 2021.
At its current price point under $700 per share, we believe this stock is undervalued. This price point could be a "golden-egg" entry for people wanting to hold Tesla for years to come. Whether attempting to hold $TSLA for the long, or wanting to turn some profit in the short, seeking an entry in $TSLA in its current state appears to make sense.
MY ENTRY: $610
STOP LOSS: $575
TAKE PROFIT 1: $775
TAKE PROFIT 2: $900
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