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6 simplest and most effective forex trading methods!Popular forex trading methods Typically, strategies for forex trading are primarily founded on fundamental and technical analysis. Hence, astute traders possess the skill to creatively merge efficient trading techniques to identify the most appealing gains. 1. Day trading Day trading is a trading strategy where traders, known as day traders, do not hold any trades overnight and close all orders before the end of the trading session. Day traders commonly use technical analysis to assess and capitalize on price changes by observing time frames or trading volumes throughout the day. Typically, day traders keep trades open for a few minutes to a few hours. - Advantage: By effectively managing risks, traders can secure monthly profits without having to worry about prices moving unfavorably due to news or paying overnight fees. Additionally, closing positions at the end of each session can help avoid potential risks. - Defect: Monitoring the market throughout the day can be both stressful and time-consuming for traders. Failure to do so could result in significant losses if the market experiences a decline or deviates from predicted movements. 2. Scalping Scalping, a technique utilized by investors known as Scalpers, involves short-term trading wherein orders are held for just a few seconds or minutes at most. This approach entails buying and selling multiple times a day to capitalize on minor price movements within short time frames in order to gain small spreads. Scalpers execute numerous orders during trading sessions due to the brief trading period. With adept use of financial leverage, a trader can typically earn 5-10 pips per trade on average. However, choosing a broker with low spreads and commissions is crucial for maximizing the benefits of the scalping approach and minimizing trading costs. - Advantage: There are always plenty of profitable trading opportunities every day. Overall income is quite high. - Defect: Always have to watch forex charts for hours. The mind is always tense and pressured. 3. Swing trading Swing trading is a strategy used by traders to take advantage of oscillations in the market. It involves holding positions for a few days to weeks, typically averaging two to four days. This approach relies heavily on technical analysis, including candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicator lines, to identify suitable entry and exit points. Since it is a medium-term strategy, traders usually analyze forex charts on 1H (1 hour) and 4H (4 hours) time frames. - Advantage: You don't have to constantly monitor the market like scalpers and day traders, which frees up time for other important tasks. This allows for a more relaxed mental state and less pressure. The rate of return is still quite appealing. - Defect: Take the risk for holding orders overnight. It is not possible to get a large profit when the market has strong fluctuations in a bad trend. 4. Position trading Position trading is a trading strategy that involves holding orders for a prolonged period, ranging from several weeks to even years. Consequently, forex charts of position traders are viewed over days or weeks. Unlike scalpers, position traders rely more on fundamental analysis rather than technical analysis to make informed decisions regarding future price trends and determine whether to buy or sell currency. - Advantage: No need to spend a lot of time "watching" the market. The sentiment is relaxed and not under great pressure because position traders are not affected by short-term price movements. Profit margins can be huge if the market moves according to your expectations. - Defect: Requires traders to have a solid background in fundamental analysis and technical analysis, especially when it comes to regularly monitoring economic and political news in the world. The capital requirement is quite large as the stop loss is usually deeper. Profit is calculated on an annual basis because the number of trades is very small. 5. Price action Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing previous price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Fundamental analysis is seldom used by price action traders, who instead rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. Price action trading is applicable to short, medium, and long-term timeframes, and investors are advised to analyze prices across multiple timeframes for a more comprehensive and precise overview. - Advantage: Trading is relatively simple because mainly just using candlestick charts. Therefore, the price action method is very suitable for new traders. Cultivate analytical thinking ability. - Defect: For intensive use is very difficult. It is highly subjective, depending on the assessment and experience of each trader. There are many risks such as strong price fluctuations or the market being manipulated by the makers. 6. High-Frequency Trading Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing past price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Unlike fundamental analysis, price action traders rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. This approach is suitable for various timeframes, and investors are advised to consider multiple timeframes for more precise analysis. - Advantage: Contributing to stabilizing the market to avoid strong price fluctuations. From there, helping traders limit big losses. Make full use of the price difference and make a profit. - Defect: Trade with fast speed and large volume, so it is easy to have a strong impact on the market. No broker involvement due to complex algorithms applied. Easy to cause virtual transactions. How to choose the right trading method for you 1. Determine the purpose of forex investment. 2. Determine the transaction time. 3. Consider some other factors. Conclude: The article mentioned six successful forex trading methods along with their benefits and drawbacks. This comprehensive guide will assist you in selecting an investment plan that aligns with your objectives and vision. By skillfully combining these trading methods, you can increase your chances of successful transactions. Good luck in achieving your investment goals!
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Sphyn-Trader
5
6 Short term Forex trading tips.To succeed in short-term forex trading strategies such as scalping and intraday, there are six key secrets that must be understood and implemented. These secrets are essential to success and have been proven effective. 1. Trading capital Many traders aim to grow their small account from 10$ to $100 by frequently trading small orders, and some may even turn it into $100,000. However, it is not a guaranteed outcome for everyone. Short term trades require sufficient capital as they involve frequent opening and closing of positions. Failure to understand concepts such as Lot determination, pip valuation, and capital management may result in significant losses. Having low capital increases the risk of losing the account quickly, especially if the trader has poor control over their gains and losses. 2. Determine leverage It's important to keep in mind that leverage has both positive and negative effects in Forex trading. Traders often suffer losses not because of their trading abilities, but rather due to two primary reasons: Do not know how to use leverage, or abuse leverage Lack of funds When you use full leverage to trade, you are putting your account at the highest risk. 3. Transaction costs All businesses have to bear transaction costs, and in the case of the Forex market, these costs are in the form of Spread, Comission, and Tax. The frequency of transactions directly impacts the escalation of costs, which can be pretty significant, especially for accounts that incur high Comission charges. However, if you avoid Comission, you may have to bear high Spread costs instead. If you are interested in scalping or intraday trading, it is advisable to select a broker that offers low commission and narrow spread. But make sure that you are using an ECN account, as it will only require you to pay the commission fee. Moreover, it is suggested that you enroll in an IB account to receive additional commission rebates. It is crucial to consider these factors while choosing a broker for scalping and intraday trading. 4. Fluctuations of market trends For traders who engage in Intraday and Scalping, it is crucial to select the appropriate position for trading. The initial step involves assessing the overall market trend, followed by recognizing significant price levels. You should then analyze the underlying factors that influence short-term fluctuations within those price levels. Lastly, you must opt for a Forex trading timeframe that aligns with your trading approach. 5. Scalping and Intraday Trading Strategy To effectively track and analyze the shorter time periods M1 and M5, it is important to identify the four factors and key rate areas that can lead to errors. After doing so, it is recommended to backtest and determine if any of the trading frameworks are suitable. An effective intraday and scalping strategy is to utilize the breakout trading strategy, specifically targeting psychological zones such as support and resistance zones. 6. Trading Psychology When it comes to short-term trading, traders face greater psychological pressure and must exercise more patience in order to achieve maximum profit while minimizing risk. Compared to long-term traders, those who engage in short-term trading experience more pressure. Additionally, it is important for traders to maintain a high level of trading discipline by entering trades quickly, placing accurate and timely orders, and avoiding greed. These factors are essential for success in short-term trading. Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you ❤️
Education
by Sphyn-Trader
12
The Philosophy of Selling Technical IndicatorsWith a rather odd & convoluted history, the industry of selling access to technical indicators goes back further in time than most traders & investors are aware of. A rather large majority of investors perceive the act of selling access to technical indicators as being in most relation to selling 'snake-oil'. While this is true for many vendors who unfortunately market indicators as a 'get rich quick' scheme for trading, it's not true for every vendor. In this article we are going to do a deep dive exposing what makes a bad vendor, going through the history of indicator vendors, and outlining how vendors can actually have an overall positive impact for the community. Disclaimer: LuxAlgo is a provider of technical indicators (mostly free, but some paid), however, we will try to be as un-biased as possible in this piece. This article is purely for informational & educational purposes for the greater community. 🔶 WHAT MAKES A GOOD VENDOR? We could summarize this as a vendor who first & foremost follows TradingView vendor requirements , develops quality products, cares about the community, truly acknowledges that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and has good business practices. A step by step ruleset to follow of how to be a good vendor could be as follows: 🔹 1. Publish open-source scripts Aside from the paid scripts, vendors should be easily able to contribute other publications with open-source code for the greater community. Come on, let the world see that code! There shouldn't be any hesitation to contribute open-source scripts if a vendor is deeming themselves good enough to sell private indicators, right? Well, there's not many other ways to immediately tell if their products are "quality" if a vendor has no open-source publications to show for themselves as a developer. If someone is going to sell indicators, we believe in our opinion that they should be able to contribute to the community with open-source work as well in a notable way. This can also be a vendor's way of "giving back" or at least just a way to show they care about the community. Many vendors completely disregard publishing open source as a means to building a community & also being contributive to the great platform with a userbase they're building a business on top of, while in fact, it does all of this in an extremely productive way. A possible reason why many vendors do not prioritize publishing open-source scripts could be that they don't know how to do so in any case, so they stick to private script publications mostly (or entirely) to avoid having to be in the public eye of the broader TradingView / Pine Script community. 🔹 2. Don't use misleading marketing practices Indicators can be marketed as quality, efficient, comprehensive, educational, and supportive tools for traders / investors. There is a balance a vendor must have when it comes to marketing a technical indicator as a product. To be clear, of course, it is only logical & common sense to display a product as 'good', and there's nothing wrong with that. However, if a vendor goes too far, such as saying, "Our indicator has an 89% win rate!" or "How to turn $1k into $100k!" or even "Revealing the game-changing secret weapon that made trader $1M on 1 trade!" - then a vendor is simply using bad practices to acquire customers. A great analogy can be an advertisement for a food company such as Pizza Hut. Of course, they want to make the pizza look great with excellent visuals, good lighting, & shiny cheese, however, they don't tell you by eating the pizza it will get you a 6-pack rock hard abs. The same can be applied to marketing technical indicators as products. Of course, a vendor can display their product functioning well in good market conditions primarily, however, by claiming it has any sort of "win-rate" or guaranteed profits, a vendor is being misleading. The only difference between the Pizza Hut ad & the technical indicator ad being it pertains to the analysis of financial markets, so, in general there should also be proper disclaimers where fit to address consumer expectations using such products. 🔹 3. Don't be misleading in your branding, either. This goes hand-in-hand with the point made above on marketing. If a brand itself is in relation to generating profits like "Profit-Bot" or a product / feature is called "10x-Gains-Moving-Average"... the vendor is likely en-route to problems in the long run with the business (bad reviews, business disputes, poor community, etc). A great business is made on transparency, providing value, caring about customers, and making a difference within an industry for the better. The more a business does good by customers, the healthier the business will be, & the longer the business will last. Within the space of technical indicators as products, no matter how transparent the marketing / website is, many customers will still have the impression that they will use these products to help themselves 'make profits'. While this is of course mostly everyone's goal being involved in financial markets in the first place, it calls for a good balance in the presentation of the indicators as well as setting expectations clear by communicating realistic expectations to customers as best as possible. One thing vendors can easily do to be transparent, honest, & an overall good actor in the industry is to provide a generous refund policy to ensure consumers who may still have the wrong idea about the intended usage have the opportuntiy to move on with a full refund. Executing on a good refund policy tends to be the most successful strategy for vendors opposed to free trials even for managing expectations because free trials can attract even less experienced traders who don't want to take the time to learn the product itself no matter how many times they have directed to not follow indicators blindly. There are many instances of where this is seen as similarly true within digital products in general such as plug-ins, educational programs, etc. 🔹 4. Create unique products This should be a given, however, it's something we thought we should mention as many vendors tend to impersonate or completely mimic other products already existing in hopes of theirs attaining the same level of attention. The reality is most technical indicators as products have already seen a high level of adoption from the broader community and it universally is known to them that there are knockoff products existing already. Joining forces with the knockoffs is not a good bet in any endeavor and we believe that originality can go a long way in this industry as well. 🔶 WHAT MAKES A BAD VENDOR? Well, this can be easily summed up in 1 image of course. You know what they say, if something sounds too good to be true... it isn't. If someone is standing in front of an exotic car, flashing cash, and telling you they got this rad lifestyle by using their trading indicator... it should immediately raise 1,000 red flags for you. There's no such thing as getting rich quick, especially based on the functionality of a technical indicator. Period. This type of malicious marketing is extremely harmful to people as it directly gives them false hopes, plays into desperation, and is from a common-sense perspective; a deceptive marketing tactic used by charlatans. Bad vendors do not publish any open-source contributions and primarily just stick to marketing indicators in misleading ways that overall harm the community. There are many potential reasons as to why vendors market indicators in misleading ways: 1.) They don't understand indicators & they are actually snake-oil salesmen (image above). 2.) They do understand indicators, maybe have something decent developed, but just don't know how else to market indicators other than promising profits. 3.) They may have tried marketing in non-misleading ways before, found that misleading marketing is producing the most sales for them, so they became fueled with greed & doubled-down on the misleading claims when marketing their product regardless. (Instead of trying to build a reputable business). 🔶 WHY & HOW VENDORS CAN BE GOOD FOR THE COMMUNITY Vendors have the power to reach more people, since at the end of the day, there is a business established behind them with marketing efforts. We believe that people will buy indicators no matter what and that this is a real established market as products for traders, regardless of what the majority of investors think of it. So, as long as there are good actors primarily at the top of the industry, this is what's best for the community overall, and possibly the overall perception of indicator vendors can change eventually. Good acting vendors with the right practices as listed earlier in this article are able to educate more people through marketing their products, community growth, & open-source contributions that they publish as well. All in turn, growing the broader interest in the scripting community which helps grow technical analysis further by having a larger number of users provide feedback to each other & further improve the space over time. In the case of LuxAlgo as a provider for example, it would not have been possible to grow a TradingView following of 200,000+ without the marketing efforts outside of TradingView on platforms like YouTube, Instagram, and even TikTok for all indicators we have created (free & paid). Which has certainly grown into a large community, which over time has meaningfully contributed to the interest in custom technical indicators & the scripting community overall in general. In the case of a bad acting vendor, this is the exact opposite & bad for the community overall because they do not make any good contribution to the community and just merely exist to try & sell access to their private indicators. 🔶 DO PAID INDICATORS "WORK" BETTER THAN FREE INDICATORS? If you are defining the word "work" as "make more profits", then the answer is a hard no in all cases. If you are defining the word "work" as in "being more useful", then it truly just depends on how comprehensive or unique the indicator is. We believe that indicators are best used as supportive tools for decision making, so it's important to be asking this question in the right context & with this understanding when considering a product. In the context of LuxAlgo Premium indicators specifically, we believe the answer is yes due to how the indicators were designed as all-in-one toolkits that include presets, filters, & various customization/optimization methods specifically designed to help traders embrace their trading style. The position for paid indicators to exist under a subscription model is primarily done since indicators can be frequently updated / improved over time based on the user's feedback. There are, however, other aspects of paid indicators which could be legitimately more useful than anything you can find for free in some other cases such as unique volume-based tools, extensive market scanner scripts, etc. Although, it is quite limited when it comes to traditional technical indicators such as moving averages or signal-based indicators to make a strong argument that one is better than another in any meaningful way. In most cases, you can take one indicator and overfit it to appear "better" or "more accurate" than another indicator by finding more specific market conditions or settings that has an advantage over another. As a technical analyst, you begin to understand this once you have experimented with vast amounts of technical indicators with different use cases and have thoroughly reflected on its actual benefits to you. It's truly impossible to make an alternative argument in all cases, including debatably all paid technical indicators in existence right now. 🔶 THE REAL VALUE PROPOSITION OF PAID TECHNICAL INDICATORS Since we can conclude in mostly all scenarios that paid indicators don't "work" better than free indicators in a technical sense when referring to its accuracy or direct visual aid to a trader, it begs to question what the actual value proposition can be for a vendor selling access to indicators. A large part of the alternative value prop for a vendor may fall under the community & education that it provides under the brand, or additionally, the prospect of a vendor making paid indicators more interoperable with other applications such as large-scale alerts systems or cross-platform functionality. Many vendors may try to create value propositions for their paid indicators by hosting a signal group where analysts callout trades using their paid indicators, however, this typically will be done in misleading ways over-hyping the usage and is not generally a good practice for vendors or users in our opinion. With all of this mentioned, it may seem that the entire industry is full of charlatans at times, however, we do not believe the space will remain like this forever. 🔶 SHOULD THIS BE A MORE LEGITIMIZED INDUSTRY? The history of paid indicators goes all the way back to the 1980's with John Ehlhers & Mark Jurik being two notable figures providing paid tools through websites on various charting platforms. There was also a rather strange ecosystem of products with generally 'awkward' branding existing on older charting platforms since the early 2,000's. Some of which on these platforms still exist to this day. While interestingly enough, practically none of these brands ever grew past being considered small plug-ins. Some considerably large educational programs / memberships throughout the 2,000's (& some existing still to this day) have implemented indicators as a part of their offerings, although they typically tend to integrate indicators only to add on to their sales funnel styled websites in hopes to add unique value to their "life changing online course" positioning, so we won't mention any names. Additionally, while most new traders are likely unaware, TradingView had an app-store marketplace themselves in the 2010's called "marketplace add-ons" where users could purchase indicators from various vendors within their indicators tab alongside the Public Library now called Community Scripts. Likely as the TradingView platform & Pine Script was mass-adopted on a larger scale, this marketplace was discontinued for various reasons with the adoption of invite-only scripts, where anyone with a premium account can manage access on these types of script publications. This pivotal shift leveled the playing field for the industry whereas it created a new ecosystem of vendors who all could leverage their ability to manage access to users without appearing as "just another marketplace add-on", but rather, actual brands themselves. While keeping this piece as un-biased as possible, this is where LuxAlgo was born, & generally speaking, was primarily the inspiration for the hundreds of "Algo" brands popping up all over the internet trying to sell TradingView indicators due to our notoriety in this environment. In this current landscape, we believe there is an established ecosystem that has potential to mature further into a 'healthy' industry, so to speak... as mentioned earlier, just as long as there are more good actors leading it than bad. We are also hopeful for platforms to recognize this evolution themselves & directly support the ecosystem to grow more efficiently with stronger operations over time while still allowing these brands their own independence as they have now. It's very optimistic considering the realization of how popular the ecosystem has become & with the prospect of vendors within it to lead it in positive ways, which overall brings more people to TradingView & grows genuine interest in the Pine Script community from all over the internet very effectively. 🔶 CONCLUSION We strongly believe indicator vendors will always exist in some capacity considering the 30–40-year history, the rise of digital products on the internet, as well as the growing popularity of indicator vendors in this current landscape. Considering this, it's important to ensure the brands leading the space are good actors so the space itself can mature long-term. As a prominent figure in this industry, we hope from this article to have provided a lot of transparency for the broader community of traders & investors who may not have been aware of this space in such detail, as well as for any aspiring vendors to hopefully look to us and what we have outlined as a good role model / checklist for the sake of making this industry more legitimized in the future. Thank you for reading! - Sean Mack (Founder @LuxAlgo) Credits Alex Pierrefeu (TV profile @alexgrover) for being a massive leader in LuxAlgo since the beginning & going deep all the time creating theories w/ me about technical analysis & the industry with genuine fascination. John Ehlers for being what we call the grandfather of this entire industry dating back to the 1980's with MESA Software. Mark Jurik as a serious 'wave maker' with Jurik Research and for leading the way in the early 2,000's as a provider of unique tools. @ChrisMoody for being a real "OG" in the TradingView community & for some cool discussions about the history of the industry early on. All of the amazing users of LuxAlgo Premium since early 2020 and the entire community who provide us feedback to improve our indicators over time. Everyone in the Pine Script community who follows us on TradingView & enjoys our contributions. The @PineCoders team for being extremely helpful moderating the platform & for listening to our feedback / dealing with us throughout the years. And lastly @TradingView for being the greatest platform for traders / investors and for making all of this possible in the first place.
SP:SPXEducation
by LuxAlgo
74
The Power of Compound InterestIntroduction Compound interest, often referred to as the eighth wonder of the world, is a financial concept that has the power to transform small investments into large fortunes over time. It is the key to building wealth, securing financial independence, and ensuring a comfortable retirement. In this essay, we will explore the underlying principles of compound interest, its benefits, and real-life examples. Additionally, we will discuss strategies for maximizing the potential of compound interest and managing its impact on debt. The Basics of Compound Interest At its core, compound interest is the interest earned on an initial sum of money (principal) as well as on any interest that has previously been added to the principal. In other words, it is interest on interest. The key factors that determine how much your investment will grow are the principal amount, the interest rate, and the time period. Compound interest allows money to grow exponentially, which means that the longer the investment period, the more significant the growth. Real-Life Examples of Compound Interest Let us consider a simple example to illustrate the power of compound interest. Suppose you invest $1.000 at an annual interest rate of 5%. After the first year, you will have earned 50 USD in interest ($1.000 * 0.05), resulting in a new balance of $1.050. With simple interest, the earnings would stop here, but with compound interest, the process continues. In the second year, you will earn 5% interest on the full $1.050, which means you will earn $52.50 in interest, for a new balance of $1.102,50. This cycle repeats itself, with the balance and interest growing each year. Over the course of 30 years, a $1.000 investment at 5% annual interest compounded annually would grow to $4.321,94. The exponential growth over time demonstrates the incredible power of compound interest. The frequency of compounding can also significantly impact the growth of an investment. Many investments compound interest daily, monthly, or quarterly. The more frequent the compounding period, the faster the investment will grow. For example, a $1.000 investment at 5% annual interest compounded quarterly over 30 years would grow to $4.486,98, demonstrating the benefits of more frequent compounding. Maximizing Compound Interest Potential There are several strategies for maximizing the potential of compound interest. Firstly, start investing as early as possible, as the exponential growth of compound interest accelerates over time. Even small, regular investments can lead to substantial gains over time. For instance, investing $100 per month at a 7% annual interest rate compounded monthly from age 25 to 65 would result in a balance of $262.481, even though the total contributions would only amount to $48.000. Next, invest consistently and seek out investments with higher interest rates, which can significantly boost the growth of your investments. Finally, opt for more frequent compounding periods to accelerate your investment growth. By adhering to these strategies, you can make the most of compound interest and build substantial wealth over time. Compound Interest and Debt Management While compound interest can work wonders for wealth-building, it can also have negative consequences when it comes to debt. Credit cards, loans, and other forms of debt often compound interest, causing debt to grow rapidly if not managed properly. It is crucial to stay vigilant and make regular payments to prevent the negative effects of compound interest on debt. Conclusion In conclusion, compound interest is a powerful financial concept that can significantly impact your financial future. By understanding its principles, harnessing its benefits, and applying effective strategies, you can maximize your financial potential and secure a prosperous future. The key to success with compound interest lies in starting early, investing consistently, and being patient. Remember that small, consistent actions today can lead to enormous results in the future. It is crucial to research available investment options, assess your risk tolerance, and choose financial vehicles that align with your goals. By making informed decisions and leveraging the power of compound interest, you can make your money work for you and achieve financial success. As a final note, it is essential to consider the impact of compound interest on debt management. Proper planning and disciplined payment schedules can help you mitigate the negative effects of compound interest on your financial well-being. By staying diligent and actively managing your finances, you can ensure a healthy balance between your investments and debts, paving the way for a bright and secure financial future. Whether you are a seasoned investor or just beginning your financial journey, understanding the incredible potential of compound interest is invaluable. Embrace this financial marvel and harness its power to achieve your financial goals and secure a prosperous future for yourself and your loved ones.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by financialflagship
16
Reasons and Effects of RecessionHi everyone, Today, I am here with informative content. Let me start by saying that it will be a bit long, but let's learn what "Recession" means in detail. 🚩Recession can be defined as an economic downturn period. It is generally characterized by a decline in the gross domestic product (GDP) of a country in one or more quarters. Recession is associated with a series of economic indicators, such as rising unemployment rates, a decrease in consumer spending, and a general slowdown in economic activity. 🚩Recessions usually occur as part of the economic cycle and move with periods of economic growth. Some recessions may be shorter and less severe, while others may be longer and more severe. Recessions are generally attempted to be alleviated through economic incentives such as monetary policy, tax cuts, or increases in government spending. 🚩During a period when the economy slows down in general, financial markets are also affected. Recessions affect the prices of assets such as stocks, bonds, and commodities. Below are some examples of how recessions affect money markets: 🏳️Stocks: Stock prices usually decline during recession periods. Since the profitability of businesses decreases, investors tend to sell stocks as they expect a decrease in the company's future earnings potential. Therefore, during recession periods, there are often declines in stock markets. 🏳️Bonds: During recession periods, bonds usually have more demand. This may be due to investors turning to a safer investment. Bond interest rates may decline, and some investors may turn to safer but lower-yielding bonds from higher-risk assets. 🏳️Gold and other commodities: Gold and other commodities usually have demand during recession periods. This may be due to investors looking for a safer haven. Gold is a widely used "safe haven" asset worldwide, and its price usually rises during recession periods. 🏳️Currencies: Exchange rates between currencies can also change during recession periods. For example, currencies of countries with slowing economies usually decline, while currencies of countries with stronger economies usually become more valuable. 🚩The 2008 global financial crisis was triggered by a collapse that began in the US mortgage market. This collapse started when mortgage lenders turned high-risk mortgage loans into high-risk debts by commercializing them. Mortgage debts were then packaged with various debt instruments and sold in financial markets by investment banks. The collapse of debt instruments resulted in unpaid mortgage debts, a decline in house prices, and more homeowners facing financial difficulties. This situation turned into a mortgage crisis that began in 2007 and lasted until the middle of 2008. 🚩FED made several statements in the early 2008 indicating that there was a "mild recession" in the US economy. However, the FED failed to take necessary precautions for the collapse of the mortgage market to turn into a crisis. One reason why FED could not take necessary precautions for the collapse of the mortgage market to turn into a crisis was due to the loose regulations of financial institutions in the US and permission to finance risky debts with high leverage. Therefore, the statements made by FED in early 2008 could have been made to maintain market confidence. 🚩However, towards the end of 2008, the mortgage crisis deepened and turned into a global financial crisis, which resulted in many financial institutions going bankrupt, unemployment rates rising, and a significant decline in the world economy. As a result, the statements made by FED in 2008 were based on the assumption that the mortgage crisis would result in a less severe recession. However, this assumption did not come true, and the mortgage crisis turned into a global financial crisis. These events have shown that regulatory institutions need to closely monitor risks in financial markets and complexity in debt instruments. Similarities and Differences: 🚩We can say the following about the similarities and differences between the 2008 global financial crisis and a potential crisis: Similarities: • Both the 2008 crisis and a potential crisis could begin with a collapse in financial markets. • Both crises can affect many economic sectors and countries. • Crises usually cause a decline in economic activity and a rise in unemployment rates. • Both crises may require central banks to intervene through monetary policies by lowering interest rates. Differences: • The 2008 crisis began with the collapse of high-risk loans in the mortgage market. The start of a potential crisis may depend on a different cause or event. • The 2008 crisis resulted in the bankruptcy of many financial institutions. In a potential crisis, the situation of financial institutions or the structure of financial instruments may be different. • The 2008 crisis turned into a global financial crisis. The magnitude of a potential crisis will depend on how widespread the crisis is, which sectors are affected, and whether the crisis has a global impact. • In a potential crisis, countries' economic structures and policies before the crisis may have a different impact on the severity and duration of the crisis. 🚩In conclusion, any economic crisis cannot be predicted in advance, and we cannot know its definite results beforehand. However, by looking at the causes and consequences of past crises, we can say that uncertainty and fluctuations in financial markets and economic activity are significant during crisis periods. Possible Impact on Cryptocurrencies: 🚩Predicting the impact of a potential recession on cryptocurrency assets and Bitcoin is a difficult issue. However, in case of uncertainty in financial markets and investors avoiding risky assets, it is possible for cryptocurrencies to lose value. On the other hand, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may act as a safe haven asset, especially in times of economic turmoil, and may increase in value. Differences Between Technical Recession and Real Recession 🚩Technical recession is a situation where the economy has a declining growth rate for a certain period (usually a quarter or more). In this case, a country's economy shows a decline for two consecutive quarters. Technical recession is generally considered an indicator of an economic downturn period. 🚩Real recession, on the other hand, is an economic downturn period where economic indicators such as rising unemployment rates and decreasing consumer spending sharply decrease. One of the most important determinants of a real recession is the unemployment rate in an economy. When unemployment rates rise in an economy, the purchasing power of the unemployed people decreases, and as a result, consumer spending declines. 🚩The difference between the two terms is that technical recession only refers to a two-quarter economic downturn period, while real recession refers to more extended, usually more severe, and more serious economic problems such as an increase in unemployment. Let's Take a Look at the 2001 and 2008 Crises 🚩In the past, the US economy entered a technical recession several times, but also experienced real recessions. For example, in 2001, the US economy shrank for two quarters, and technically, a recession occurred. However, the main reason for this economic downturn was the burst of the high-tech bubble. Therefore, the contraction in the economy was only caused by a temporary factor, and there was no significant change in other economic indicators. 🚩However, after the 2008 financial crisis, the US economy went through a more severe recession. This crisis was caused by subprime mortgages and other risky financial instruments. The crisis led to significant losses in financial markets and the bankruptcy of major banks. As a result, economic growth slowed down, unemployment rates increased, and consumer spending declined. This situation was evaluated as a real recession, and the US economy struggled to recover for a long time. 🚩The Fed has taken various steps to address technical and real recessions in the US economy by regulating interest rates and using monetary policy tools. For example, after the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed reduced interest rates to zero and tried to support financial markets using monetary policy tools. These steps helped the economy to recover, and the US economy started to grow again. If you've read this far, you probably liked this content. Don't forget to use the like button, and if you feel like it, you can even leave a comment. Moreover, sharing knowledge is powerful, so you can share this content with your friends who you want to strengthen. Goodbye. 👋🏻👋🏻👋🏻
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Bullfighterr
6
Patience in Trading Hello traders, Patience in trading is ability to wait to take the right action, if you have not enough patience you will have bad trades bad decisions and cause you to take action too soon. 3 things you should avoid if you want to become a better trader and improve your patience in trading. 1) Don't Rush : Market is there not going anywhere so don't need to rush in bad trades stick to your best trade setups and always looking for an opportunity don't rush into normal trades. So don't need to rush just relax and take things step by step, enjoy the journey of your trading. ''If you need to hurry, you are already too late'' 2) Over Confident : Over confident is a very worse thing especially in trading when someone overestimates their own skill and knowledge which can lead to them making mistakes. There are some types of over confident like wishful thinking, over ranking, and illusion of control etc... These all of types over confident can lead to big losses in trading. Some of things that you can do to overcome your over confidence in trading is : > Don't believe too much in your skills > Always use stop loss > Don't thinking just only for today > Create your trading rules and don't break stick to it > Always stay in the middle line don't go to the extreme which cause you over confident and don't go to the slight which cause you depression. ''We can never reach a stage where we can say, i know everything and i have nothing more left to learn'' 3) Believe : Believe in yourself if you don't have enough believe in your trading system or any kind of decisions you take in trading you can lead to big losses like comes in fear and try to close running trades and don't have enough believe in your taken trades. Try to believe in yourself, try to believe in your decisions, try to believe in your trading system and be patient with your taken steps and wait for the outcome either it will bad or good doesn't matter just continue the process and learn from your previous mistakes and be better next time. ''Trust yourself, you know more than you think you do'' These are 3 things that you should need to do for patience in trading. If you have any advice to be patient in trading please let me know in the comments. I wish you good luck and good trading. If you like the post, please support my work with like, thank you!
Education
by TheLoserMan
DLF- WEEKLY TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
NSE:DLFLong
by Tradelikemee
Factor Investing: An IntroductionThe concept of factor investing has garnered significant attention in recent years as an innovative approach to portfolio management. The idea behind factor investing is that it seeks to uncover the primary sources of return in investment portfolios, and to explicitly target these sources, known as factors. By systematically identifying and targeting these factors, investors can achieve improved portfolio diversification, risk management, and potentially, enhanced returns. Factor investing can be traced back to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965). The CAPM was a groundbreaking theory that posited that a security's expected return is directly related to its level of systematic risk, measured by the beta coefficient. The concept of beta provided an early example of a factor in investing. In recent years, factor investing has evolved and expanded considerably. Researchers and investment managers have identified numerous factors that drive investment performance, such as quality, low volatility, and liquidity. Primary Factors in Investing Market : The market factor represents the overall market return and is the core factor that drives investment performance. The market factor, or beta, is the exposure of an asset to the general movement of the market. Size : Size is the factor that focuses on the market capitalization of companies. Small-cap stocks typically offer higher potential returns than large-cap stocks, although they also tend to exhibit higher volatility. Value : Value investing targets stocks that are considered undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. Value stocks generally have low price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and price-to-cash-flow ratios, and they tend to outperform growth stocks over time. Momentum : The momentum factor captures the tendency of stocks that have recently outperformed to continue to do so. Momentum investing strategies aim to capture this trend by buying recent winners and selling recent losers. Quality : Quality is a factor that focuses on financially stable and well-managed companies. Quality stocks typically have high profitability, low leverage, and stable earnings growth. Low Volatility : Low volatility investing aims to identify stocks that have exhibited low price volatility over time. Low-volatility stocks often deliver better risk-adjusted returns than high-volatility stocks Benefits of Factor Investing Factor investing offers several benefits to investors, such as: Improved diversification : By targeting specific factors, investors can diversify their portfolios across various sources of return and risk, thereby reducing overall portfolio risk. Enhanced risk management : Factor investing enables investors to better understand the underlying risks in their portfolios and to manage those risks more effectively. Potential for outperformance : By systematically targeting well-established and robust factors, investors may achieve higher returns than traditional market-cap-weighted indexes. Cost efficiency : Factor investing strategies are often implemented using rules-based approaches, such as smart-beta or quantitative strategies, which can be more cost-effective than traditional active management. Transparency : Factor investing strategies are typically more transparent than traditional active management, as they rely on well-defined, rules-based methodologies that are easier for investors to understand and monitor. Potential Risks of Factor Investing While factor investing offers many benefits, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with this approach: Factor timing : Just like market timing, attempting to time factor exposures can be difficult and often leads to underperformance. Investors should be cautious about trying to predict when a particular factor will outperform or underperform. Overfitting : The process of identifying factors can be susceptible to overfitting, where a model is tailored too closely to historical data and may not perform well in the future. Crowding : As more investors adopt factor investing strategies, the potential for crowding in certain factors may increase, leading to diminishing returns or increased risk. Model risk : The effectiveness of factor investing strategies relies on the accuracy and stability of the underlying factor models. If the models are not robust or if they become less effective over time, the strategy's performance may suffer. Diversification risk : While targeting specific factors can help diversify a portfolio, it may also expose investors to concentrated risk if those factors underperform or experience periods of heightened volatility. Factor investing has revolutionized the way investors approach portfolio management, offering improved diversification, enhanced risk management, and the potential for outperformance. By identifying and targeting the primary drivers of investment performance, factor investing provides a systematic and transparent framework for constructing and managing portfolios. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
AMEX:GSLCEducation
by financialflagship
Fibonacci Levels and How They Can Be Used in TradingGreetings, @TradingView community! This is @Vestinda, bringing you a helpful article on the topic of Fibonacci Retracements and how to effectively utilize them in your trading strategies. Fibonacci retracement levels are helpful for traders and investors in financial markets. They're horizontal lines on price charts that can show where price may reverse direction. These levels are based on the Fibonacci sequence, which is a series of numbers that occur in math and finance. Use case: The first thing to understand about the Fibonacci tool is that it is most effective when the market is trending. In an upward trending market, traders commonly use the Fibonacci retracement tool to identify potential buying opportunities on retracements to key support levels. Conversely, in a downward trending market, traders may look for opportunities to short sell when the price retraces to a Fibonacci resistance level. Fibonacci retracement levels are regarded as a predictive technical indicator because they attempt to forecast where the price will be in the future. Based on the theory, when trend direction is established, the price tends to partially return or retrace to a previous price level before continuing to move in the direction of the trend. How to Find Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels can be found by identifying the key Swing High and Swing Low points of an asset's price movement. Once these points are established, you can use the Fibonacci retracement tool, which calculates the potential levels of support and resistance based on the ratios between the key points. To apply the Fibonacci retracement tool, click and drag from the Swing Low to the Swing High in a downtrend, or from the Swing High to the Swing Low in an uptrend. This generates a set of horizontal lines at predetermined Fibonacci ratios, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Are you keeping up with me? ;) Now, let's explore some examples of how Fibonacci retracement levels can be applied in cryptocurrency trading The Uptrend: In this instance, the Fibonacci retracement levels were plotted by selecting the Swing Low and Swing High points, which were observed on January 8th, 2021 at a price of $41,904. The Fibonacci retracement levels were $33,521 (23.6%), $29,197 (38.2%), $26,114 (50.0%*), $23,356 (61.8%), and $19,925 (76.4%), as shown in the chart. Traders anticipating that if BTC/USD retraces from its recent high and it will likely find support at a Fibonacci retracement level. This is due to the tendency of traders to place buy orders at these levels as the price drops, creating a potential influx of buying pressure that can drive up prices. While the 50.0% ratio is not officially recognized as a Fibonacci ratio, it has nonetheless become widely used and has persisted over time. Now, let’s look at what happened after the Swing High occurred. Price bounced through the 23.6% level and continued to fall over the next few weeks. Two times tested 38.2% but was unable to fall below it. Subsequently, around January 28th, 2021, the market continued its upward trend and surpassed the previous swing high. Entering a long position at the 38.2% Fibonacci level would have likely resulted in a profitable trade over the long run. The Downtrend Next, we will explore the application of the Fibonacci retracement tool in a downtrend scenario. Here is a 4-hour chart depicting the price action of ETH/USD. As you can see, we found our Swing High at $289 on 14 February 2020 and our Swing Low at $209 later on 27 February 2020 The retracement levels are $225 (23.6%), $236 (38.2%), $245 (50.0%), $255 (61.8%) and $269 (76.4%). In a downtrend, a retracement from a low could face resistance at a Fibonacci level due to selling pressure from traders who want to sell at better prices. Technical traders often use Fibonacci levels to identify areas of potential price resistance and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Let’s take a look at what happened next. The market did make an attempt to rise, but it briefly halted below the 38.2% level before reaching the 50.0% barrier. The placement of orders at the 38.2% or 50.0% levels would have resulted in a profitable trade outcome. In these two instances, we can observe that price positioned itself at a Fibonacci retracement level to find some temporary support or resistance. These levels develop into self-fulfilling support and resistance levels as a result of all the people who utilize the Fibonacci tool. All those pending orders could affect the market price if enough market participants anticipate a retracement to take place close to a Fibonacci retracement level and are prepared to enter a position when the price hits that level. In conclusion: It's important to note that pricing doesn't always follow an upward trajectory from Fibonacci retracement levels. Instead, these levels should be approached as potential areas for further research and analysis. If trading were as simple as placing orders at Fibonacci retracement levels, markets wouldn't be so volatile. However, as we all know, trading is a complex and dynamic process that requires a combination of knowledge, skill, and experience to succeed. We are truly grateful for your attention and time in reading this post. If you found it insightful and beneficial, we would be thrilled if you could show your support by clicking the <> button and subscribing to our page. We are excited to share that our upcoming post will showcase what occurs when Fibonacci retracement levels do not perform as expected. Stay tuned for an informative and professional read.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Vestinda
22
Navigating the Uncertainties of Fibonacci Retracements in CryptoHello, @TradingView community! I'm @Vestinda, and I'm thrilled to share an informative article with you today about Fibonacci Retracements. While they can be useful tools for traders and investors in financial markets, it's important to note that they are not infallible and may not always produce the desired outcomes. As discussed in our previous post, Fibonacci support and resistance levels are not infallible and may occasionally break. It is essential to remain vigilant and use these levels in conjunction with other technical indicators and market analysis to make informed trading decisions. While Fibonacci retracements can be a useful tool in technical analysis, it is crucial to exercise caution and not solely rely on them as the sole basis for trading decisions. Unfortunately, Fibonacci retracements are not infallible and may not always work as expected. Let us examine a scenario where the Fibonacci retracement tool proves to be ineffective in technical analysis. To make a prudent trading decision amidst the ongoing downtrend of the pair, you make a strategic choice to leverage the Fibonacci retracement tool. With meticulous attention to detail, you designate the swing low at 3,882 and the swing high at 10,482 for precise determination of a Fibonacci retracement entry point. The BTC/USD Daily chart is shown below. Upon careful analysis, it is evident that the pair has rebounded from the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level for multiple candles. As an astute trader, you recognize this crucial pattern and conclude that it is a viable opportunity to enter a short position. You thoughtfully consider, "This particular Fibonacci retracement level is showing remarkable resilience. It is undoubtedly a lucrative moment to short it." You may have been tempted to take a short position in anticipation of profiting from the downtrend of the pair, while simultaneously daydreaming of cruising down Rodeo Drive in a Maserati. However, if you had placed an order at that level without proper risk management, your hopes of profit would have quickly dissipated as your account balance plummeted. Observing the price action of BTC, let's examine what occurred next. Indeed, the price action of BTC demonstrates that the market is constantly evolving, and traders must be prepared to adapt to these changes. As shown in this specific case, the price not only climbed close to the Swing High level, but the Swing Low marked the bottom of the previous downtrend. This serves as a prime example of the significance of flexibility in the dynamic realm of cryptocurrency trading. What can we learn from this? In the world of cryptocurrency trading, Fibonacci retracement levels can be a useful tool to increase your chances of success. However, it's important to understand that they are not foolproof and may not always work as intended. It's possible that the price may reach levels of 50.0% or 61.8% before reversing, or that the market may surge past all Fibonacci levels. Additionally, the choice of Swing Low and Swing High to use can also be a source of confusion for traders, as everyone has their own biases, chart preferences, and timeframes. In uncertain market conditions, there is no one correct course of action, and utilizing the Fibonacci retracement tool can sometimes feel like a guessing game. To improve your chances of success, it's crucial to develop your skills and use Fibonacci retracements in conjunction with other tools in your trading toolkit. Thank you for taking the time to read our post. We sincerely appreciate your attention and hope that you found it informative and helpful. If you did, we kindly request that you show your support by clicking the "Boost" button and subscribing to our page. Your support helps us create more valuable content for our community.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Vestinda
6 month hold on $GTN with tight risk 80% upsideGTN has amazing fundamentals in Broadcasting sub industry compared to its peers, technically at the bottom of an expanding long term wedge, and we're going into political ad season and its market is in many swing states that will see high political ad spending; this has a tight risk stop loss at 18% and easy upside of 80%; I will take a measured long position in this soon at 2%-4% of portfolio and hold for 6=12 months. I do not have a position in this currently but will likely go long this week
NYSE:GTN
by dilille010
2
Easy-to-Spot Bullish Forex PatternsHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 For the biggest part, I prefer to trade reactive rather than predictive. Chart patterns really come in handy with this strategy. Here are my top easy to spot chart patterns, specifically focused on bullish chart patterns today. The green highlight dots are to help identify the margins of the pattern and the purple highlighted dot is where a long entry can be taken. While you're here 👀 See this related idea on EURUSD from the monthly timeframe: _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
44