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S&P 500 Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For September 13, 2021 Technical Analysis and Outlook The Spooz is currently in a downtrend. Forecasting a drop to Mean Sup $4,385 : a strong buy providing ample opportunity for loading-a-boat for resurgence to retest Mean Res $4,4 80 and follow through to Key Res $4,537. The subsequent significant outcome is Outer Index Rally marked at $4,626 to follow. See the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For September 13, 2021" page at the usual site for the rest of the market story.
TVC:SPX
by TradingSig
FITCH NEWS - TRADABLE MAINLAND REAL ESTATE INDEX - HKG - DAILYCool down on big news as we can see, by zooming out, that the increasing price have found strong resistance and started a durable wide range. The range is clear in this chart, the top is illustrated by the blue line and the bottom by the black line. The bleu line is a resistance tested multiple times , repeat failed attempts leading to a price fall and possibly weakening the uptrend chances believes. The red arrow shows probably where the biggest failure has happened. Mega high volumes and a nice wig. The black line represents a probably super strong support. Beware of fake breaks, it has happened in the past. The little dotted line shows possibly how the price is evolving trying to get out of the range. Fitch news has created an interest about what impact this could have globally. For the moment zooming out we can see that it is just lot of noise for not much as this level have been reached several times before and was expected. Now it is probably more convenient to observe this black line level and see what happen. High volumes involved would show a clear direction. Daily, Weekly, monthly : yes, but not to be observed in hourly. ______________________________________________________ Thanks for the like and shares, really appreciated! This idea is not a financial advice but just a sentiment.
SSE:H11143
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
S&P 500 Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For August 30, 2021 Technical Analysis and Outlook Our Inner Index Rally of $4,545 was hit on Thursday. The Spooz is currently in a tight trading range, and we are awaiting intermediate confirmation of the trend. However, a drop to Mean Sup $4,469 is a strong buy and provides ample opportunity to load the boat for resurgence to retest undeveloped key resistance and completed Inner Index Rally. The subsequent significant outcome is Outer Index Rally marked at $4,626 to follow. See the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For August 30, 2021" page at the usual site for the rest of the market story.
TVC:SPX
by TradingSig
SPY vs Money Supply 2000-2021Pivotal events of the last two decades compared with the S&P and the money supply. M2 is a broad indicator that includes cash, checkings, and liquid assets such as money market securities and cash equivalents. Although M2 exploded 42% during the COVID pandemic, much of this money is locked up in FED REPO agreements and artificially inflated on the Fed balance sheet as indicated by the velocity. Velocity is an indicator of the speed at which a unit of currency is exchanged in the broader economy.
AMEX:SPY
by btimdunn
3
USDCAD Short by Chief MacroLikely a very unpopular call, but I think USDCAD ultimately fails here. My quick summary view of the dollar follows, but I will note that there is some event-driven opportunity to make some money in a USDCAD trade, with Hurricane Ida approaching Oil Production in the Gulf of Mexico (likely causing oil to spike). I have had the view for a couple of months that the dollar looks relatively weak ("accommodative") against the rest of the market. Despite a few bebe squeezes and the expected psychological volatility that comes with $DXY, I think the evidence suggests a lower dollar ahead.
Short
by ChiefMacro
USDCAD Short by Chief MacroLikely a very unpopular call, but I think USDCAD is a short. My quick summary view of the dollar follows, but I will note that there is some event-driven opportunity to make some money in a USDCAD trade, with Hurricane Ida approaching Oil Production in the Gulf of Mexico (likely causing oil to spike). I have had the view for a couple of months that the dollar looks relatively weak ("accommodative") against the rest of the market. Despite a few bebe squeezes and the expected psychological volatility that comes with $DXY, I think the evidence suggests a lower dollar ahead.
Short
by ChiefMacro
S&P 500 Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For August 16, 2021 Technical Analysis and Outlook The S&P 500 fell 2.5% on Monday, at one point in the week, and on Thursday provided us with Rinse and Repeated buying opportunity ( Mean Sup $4,368-Mean Sup $4,385 zone ). As specified on Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For August 2, 2021, the main target is Outer Index Rally $4,483 and newly created the Key Res $4,480 . The very low downside scenario is revisiting the ''Rinse and Repeat'' buying zone. See the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For August 16, 2021" page at the usual site for the rest of the market story.
TVC:SPX
by TradingSig
1
The inflation trade is not dead! It has just started.The inflation trade is not over. People's lives, in particular in the US, are about to deteriorate significantly. Or rather improve, with food getting more expensive and people forced to live more simple lives, more in touch with nature. The official measures and consensus will say deteriorate. Traders positions have bottomed in the strict sense, with the price "bottoming" but not really as the price bounced. If you look at the charts there was a similar price pattern recently You might say the price hasn't already taken into account the wage costs and workers not going to work because they get welfare. Or you might say maybe it has. At the same time maybe farmers are getting undeclared workers with all the migrants? Either way you know what? The majority of institutions and their economists have an irrational bias in favor of the government and I don't think they are fully pricing what they should be pricing. And since the dramatic events in Afghanistan that irrational bias in favor of has been hit very hard, so maybe now they can stop being emotional and start actually pricing things more correctly. Plus on top of that if the issue of minimum wage has not fully impacted the price well it will add additional fuel to the rocket ship. The US has reduced its oil output but recently it has begged the OPEP+ to increase their production and keep prices low. Maybe it will beg the farmers soon? There are a lot of farmers on below living wage here in west Europe especially France where the state says no no to scaling up "we want only small family businesses" but yes yes to cheap imports from huge industrial complexes in Romania. The price of Soybeans is close to ATH, but nowhere near inflation adjusted ATH. Maybe our local farmers will be able to have decent profits (the average is 14,000 a year I think, not even minimum wage, and not counting debts, and it's not a 9 to 5 job obviously there are no weekends), I will be glad if the price goes up. Not sure about how much they make they might be lobbying I don't know. And stdev is big of course. Volume is also at its lowest, was, until this week. The inflation trade has been forgotten, the herd has been reassured by the FED. No one is paying attention. This is the typical bear market bottom. Maximum opportunity. The herd (pros) will join when there is a breakout and certainty in the move and it's almost over (or not who knows). The herd of retail will never buy because they don't trade this so don't expect a bubble like sugar in the 70s, but who knows... The price of the lumber christmas tree has fully retraced! Maybe people that were holding off their house purchases are going to buy now. One the info reaches them I guess... The liars can continue their nonsense reassuring speeches, and gullible fools will eat it up, but factually the printing is way more important now than it was before. Before M1 went up 50% in 7 years, about 5% a year, and that was already a bit crazy and alarmed the perma bears such as Peter Schiff, it even alarmed bankers and bureaucrats writting reports for the government. But now it's going up 20% in just 1 year! Not counting the big covid increase here, I'm just measuring the small line at an angle of 37° shown here: The promises are wind carrying waves. The chart is where the real info is. It has been going up faster and faster for 20 years. It will continue until it goes vertical and collapses like the bubbling pyramid scheme it is. Peter Schiff called it! Their only way to get out of this mess is to print EVEN MOAR. Until it all blows up. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by MrRenev
Russell 2000 at a key point. Where is the market going next?The Russell 2000 (RUT) is at the lower support area of a bound trading range since February. Two key indicators already broke down this week. 1) The index dipped below its 200d moving average today. 2) The index is made up of small-caps, and the ratio of performance between small and large caps broke down this past week as well. It's either time for small-caps to head back up, or this could be the start of a lower move. Bullish: The US dollar strengthening for small caps is bullish. The 10y Treasury Yield remains low, keeping borrowing rates low for small, but growing companies. Employment data continues to strengthen, showing companies of all sizes, but especially small-caps across recovery sectors are hiring back employees to meet demand. Bearish: The Fed is talking about a possible start to tapering this year. There are indications that the economic recovery is slowing. Retail Sales were lower than expected. Manufacturing Indexes showed a slow down this week. Small-caps are the most sensitive to changes in direction for the economy.
TVC:RUT
by drewby4321
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For August 9, 2021Technical Analysis and Outlook It seems there is no stopping Bitcoin after the cryptocurrency surged past our psychological Mean Res $46,580 mark, which held the coin captive for four sessions from passing this barrier. Next is our target Inner Coin Rally of $50,130, coinciding with a significant $50,000 Maginot Line . Will the price of Bitcoin increase to $50,000 this weekend? See the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For August 9, 2021" page at the usual site for the rest of the market story.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingSig
The Crisis every investor is waiting for. What you gonna do?There are several factors in the market that raise concerns. Each of which could have a huge negative impact on the economy and the stock market. Lets take a look at it to clear our vision. At least that is what I am doing. What factors could that be. Inflation Wage Inflation Money Supply Money circulation Housing bubble China Regulations China Currency Manipulation China Delta Variance of Covid/ The Warren Buffet indicator In this episode I only will throw my thoughts in for a few things The other items will be explained at a later time. I have a lot of other things to do. Trading is 90% research and only of 10% mouse clicking. Inflation . CPI, the consumer price index, and the PPI, the producer price index. Certain stocks do better than other in an inflationary environment. If inflation hits too high consumer spending decreases and hence the demand shrinks and hence the economy starts to stagnate. We can see that the inflation rate is slowing (red), and the y/y rate (blue) is flattening. But we will see next month. This is something to watch out for. Feds might start tapering earlier than next year. Image missing The Producer Price Inde x is at high a level and sitting there. This will only decrease when transportation, sea ports, can keep up with demand and if raw material and commodity costs will decrease. But this can take a while and I expect the PPI staying at this level for a while and hence costs will be past on to the consumer. Hence the Consumer Price Index will follow. Image missing Wage Inflation . We should also take a quick look at the Wages and what they say.We can see that wages increased dramatically since May 2021 There is a shortage of labor. Labor is a commodity as everything else and the price follows supply and demand. But do not kid yourself. A company has to make profit and the labor is part of Cost of Goods sold, COGS. The company MUST increase prices to balance the wages increases. Thus, you wont make anymore money when you have to pay more at the till for what you buy!!! Wages increases mostly never benefit anyone, not the worker and not the company. The company become less competitive and the Worker pays more afterwards. The ONLY method to increase wages is by cutting taxes because taxes are NOT part of COGS and has no negative impact on companies. Just the opposite. With more money in the pocket the consumer starts more spending and that benefits the companies and they will produce more and hire more people. You see? Think about it. Your wage increase is not worth a dime with inflation. And wages increases drive inflation up! Thats why we advocate for smaller government, less regulations and less government spending. Image missing Money Supply , M1, is the amount of Cash circulating the system. It includes the "Free Money" printed by the FEDs given out to people due to Covid. "Stimulus check". The day-to-day money like cash, coins and checking deposits. We can see that since Covid the money made a huge jump and supply still is increasing. There is an enormous amount of cash in the system but does it circulate? Also keep in mind that when people spend money and do not produce the demand increases but the supply decreases. Add to it the sea ports, transportation bottlenecks and the open jobs, and you know why inflation is increasing dramatically. Image missing M1V is the velocity of Money . This is the speed of money in the circulation of the system. The day-to-day money like cash and coins. How many times a Dollar changes hand in a certain time period. A higher circulation rate or money flow indicates a greater economic activity, money is changing hands quicker. A slower rate of velocity indicates a sluggish or declining economy. Interesting to observe is that with Covid the money circulation fell out of the sky. Yes everybody was laid off. But when you take a closer look the change q/q is still negative, which means the circulation of money in the economy is still slowing down even though at a slower rate! This means that with an increase in money supply at hand of people, we will see a decline in spending!! Not good for the economy. Give me the Retail Numbers. Image missing M2 Money Stock includes M1 plus savings deposits, money market securities, mutual funds. This is one way the FEDs trying to keep the cocaine going. They buy MBA (Mortgage Backed Securities) and Bonds from banks in order to create more demand in order to keep bond prices up and the yields down. The 20 year Treasury Bond ETF, TLT from Barclays, i.e. With this the FEDs keep the money in the stock market. The bond prices are going up when the FEDs keep on buying. But with buying Bonds the yield (interests) are going down since you pay more for the fixed interest rate, which means the percentage of return per bond is shrinking because the yield stays the same but the price for the asset rises. It is an inverted relationship to the TBT. Image missing In the M2SL supply we can see that with Covid there was an money injection. After the Covid the money injection accelerated and is increasing fast, more inflation. And we can assume that lot of this money is with the bank. You can walk into any bank and get a personal loan, because money is a liability for the bank, loans generating profits. We can further assume with all the said before that even the banks do not know in what tangible projects to invest. Where is the infrastructure bill going? There is nothing so far. It is all warm air from the Biden administration. Further reading at investopedia dot com Conclusion Inflation is on the rise and will stay. Wages wont go back to before pandemic levels. Costumers also will get use to paying more for some items, like gasoline, energy and transportation, vacation. The Producer inflation for raw material and transportation is also going up and will stay high for a long time. Inflation cannot grow for ever and at such pace. The Feds have to start tapering soon. Then they will firstly reduc3e buying Bonds and MBA, which will drive the yield up. This also will cool the housing bubble a little since the banks are now required to carry the risks they could push to the FEDs by selling them MBAs. Mortgages will be harder to acquire. When the Feds starting to taper, they will reduce the flow of money, which is not yet increasing anyway, as we can see, they will battle inflation. What is your wage increase of 5.5% this year worth when the inflation hits 6%? Nada. You lose money. At the point of tapering the institutions will start moving money out of the stock market due to risks! And they will put it into bond and or Gold. If there is a crises developing that will include China and the Euro Zone they will also start buying US bonds the USD will rise. This conclusion is preliminary. The housing bubble and other indicator will follow. Please be advised, I am not a financial adviser. I am not recommending any trades. I am just a crazy guy with a wild brain. If you want to see the picture to the story, you have to go to hedgingstocks.blogspot dot com
SP:SPXShort
by Option_Crusader
4
Special edition news n°33: RevoltsThere is a lot here so this special ed only has 3 parts and I've tried to mostly list bullet points. The west as it is declining, and just dropped below 50% of world GDP, is going through a historical turning point. There is no boiling frog anymore, hopefully the flame grows even bigger and it's finally all over soon. The faster the better, I always hated long boring prolonged "uncertain" bear markets. I am just not patient. Just get it over with already. > Major countries start enforcing strict covid measures, that some have called tyrannical *********************** NYC mayor said about vaccines "we've been nice, the voluntary phase is over" Also now centers throw $100 at who enters and gets a shot France introduced the most strict covid pass in the world 2 days before the national celebration, where people sing "let's kill the tyrants" (it is the national anthem). At the same time China outlawed forced vaccinations and sanitary passes, that they considered too anti-freedom. China. Other countries in the west, such as Italy, want to follow France example. China is considered a terrifying dictatorship because they do not allow crowds to go out naked in the street with children and do golden showers while "normies" tell them how stunning and brave they are. Mass hysteria: some countries (UK...) have been buying millions of body bags, enough for over 1/3 of the population. They're planning the zombie apocalypse? The CDC tells the vaccinated to wear masks indoors and adds "The delta variant is showing everyday its willingness to outsmart us ". You can say that again. They also found that people that had covid had lower intelligence? How does that work? France president, while giggling (reminds me of Elon Musk "it's really not that complicated tihi"), anounced he would not take the vaccine because he already got covid (ages ago, more than 6 months). Ah, France will have zero tolerance covid passes (you lose your job without it no warning no second chance) but there are some exceptions. First the government will not require those passes. No vaccine, or pass, or pension reform for them. The other ones not impacted by vaccines, covid passes, or pension reforms are the police, gendarmery, armée de terre, armée de l'air, marine. Basically anyone with a category A weapon or that protects the government (garde républicaine, Brav M) is above these laws. Courageous. In other words you either need a covid pass or an assault rifle. If you do not have your pass but are holding a rifle, you can pass. In burgerland, Biden required 5 million federal workers to get a covid pass. Once again, they cannot force vaccinate people as it is against at least 10 international laws. But how fortunate, the injections temporary authorizations I heard were about to become permanent! Wow, science is amazing, this will be by far the fastest this ever happened right? Very self-aware billionaire Larry Fink also threw oil on the fire and just after we learned US min wage couldn't afford rent anywhere in the country - while hedge funds are buying houses - he said "you'll have to work longer and take more risk". The take risk part obviously does not apply to 99% of the population that are now wageslaves. Lots of unpopular laws are being passed. The US just gave feminists some equality, and now women can get drafted too if the government judges it useful. Israel recently appointed far right PM has decided it was time to force vaccinate the population. > There are big protests/uprisings and business killing boycotts all around the globe *********************** In many countries millions of people in the middle of summer have gone out to protest the restrictive measures. The media said they were 110,000 in France, government said there were only 160,000. This is ridiculous as hundreds of towns had protests, all the major ones, and even relatively small sized cities visibly had thousands of people. In a parisian square alone there was visibly close to 100,000 people. When confronted the government said "they were in the square, they did not move around, hence it was not a protest and we did not count them". This actually makes me laugh. As I explained countless times, the useful idiots have no soul. Many "celebrities" such as gay "model" Samuela Górska have given their support to antisemitic and anti-LGBT groups that are getting popular in Poland (as a result of the west pushing for wokeness). See? In the west they support jews and lgbts and virtue signal, in the east they do the exact opposite - even gays - and virtue signal about it. Mindless useful idiot sheeps looking for browing points. In 3 towns in the south of France were found guillotines with death threats and lists of names of officials that support the sanitary pass. The french don't mess around. They say it's a tiny minority but my town was empty during the big protests day, they all went to Paris. And the tiny minority of people that do not bother voting is 70%. They want to make voting mandatory now :D The country has not even seen a referendum for 16 years, ever since there was a EU one the result of which the government did not like (or respect). The public does not care if who gets elected is Macron, or Macron 2, or hell even Macron 3 for that matter! The owner of 400 signs (the big signs near roads) displayed one showing french president as Adolf Hitler and the sign reads "Obey and get vaccinated". US senator Wendy Rogers saying to ignore White House mandates Calls to disobey are being made all over the place People have nothing to do because doors are closed and even if they could open them with a pass they won't, many people are boycotting the pass, and many just don't have one even when vaccinated. There is one activity left: go out and break government buildings. I'll add to this that California and a few other states have banned gaming PCS (to "save the planet"). So hardcore gamers are joining then? There is a rumor onlyfans will remove porn content (?????????), genius move. Can simps protest? > Governments are afraid (panicking even) and are using control measures and repression to fight back *********************** Calling everything a conspiracy theory is not working anymore. Back in the old days they called everything "that's just speculation", now this sentence has morphed into "bla bla conspiracy theory" which sounds a whole lot dumber. I don't have spies in Italy, Germany the UK, but in France I can tell you that the current protests have the government very worried (they were already afraid before that but it is escalating) and the secret services sent an alarming report to the executive about the popular uprising. In France specifically, the powers that be did a great job at shutting down the yellow vest revolution with the help of the virus. But it is back. Last year there was a very scary news in Australia that "normies" ignored (and also they laughed at "conspiracy theorists"), that news was the Australian government unironically signed to allow the chinese military to "maintain order" in the country o.0. I am the last bear alive and while everyone is getting agitated and it would not even cross their mind covid is behind us, I think covid is over (as a deadly disease). This could be part of why they accelerate the anti-freedom stuff (they know covid might be over). France president is suing the owner of 400 signs that displayed him as Hitler and supports the yellow vest movement. A president suing like this is not something we are used to. The owner answered that is was fine to make fun of the backside of the prophet but it was blasphemy to satire about the president. France lower house refused to implement an amendment to the sanitary pass laws that would prevent blocking voting access to unvaccinated people because "it is obvious we won't do that". ... The US government is judging the "january 6 capitol coup", they got police officers crying on stage, they'd make the USSR blush, and I have even seen journalists and college professor (dumbest people alive) say that "they did not punish Hitler in 1923 so bla bla bla that's why etc". This is of course pathetic as he is famous for literally writting Mein kampf and getting big while in jail. I have a screenshot of the NYT saying Hitler got tamed in prison nice one. Elected officials that are standing up to the strict measures, get kicked out of their group or party, and sometimes thrown lawyers at too The Australian government started waging war on the population, they said they wanted to send the regular army on the ground to crush the revolt, and in the meantime their police was stalking the end of the protest crowd, looking for weak and isolated protestors and violently attacking them. The ones that get caught will suffer harsh penalties to make an example. This works great if your goal is to anger the population. France has been puncturing eyes and ripping hands off and making "zero tolerance very harsh punishment" speeches and now the police every day take their helmets off and walk with the protestors. Australia will go beyond anything done yet and require ID, passport or driver's license tied to your social media account. You need "100 points of identification". Wow didn't see that coming! "Conspiracy theory". Other western government obviously also want to use drones and other "what is human rights" measures as they are aware their time is running out. Paypal announced they would block funds to "extremists groups" as central banks continue to move towards full control, centralized digital currencies, and a cashless society. Paypal is teaming up with the ADL that a lot of people know of. And they did not just say "white supremacists" they literally said "and anti-government organisations". Do moronic zombies still call it a conspiracy theory if they LITERALLY openly say it word for word? Ye they're so stupid they probably do lol. Vaccination centers in France were burned and vandalized and ministers made their usual show "we need the harshest possible sentences". Lmao when a few retired generals wrote a letter to the french government they went into full panic mode "omg algiers putsch date omg I want them all thrown in jail the harshest possible examplary sentence". A few of them probably poo'ed their pants. In the US pardonned Michael Flynn that just got an AR said he'd love to find someone in the white house. Cares given = ??? I thought he was a democrat? No longer? Or a rebellious one maybe. Officials in the west are breaking ranks. A french general on tv said without flinching, like it's the most normal thing in the world, that the media was controlled by a certain community. Tunisia government has fallen apart but they are not part of the G7 so let's skip that; it might have some influence; it might spread to MENA so let's skip but let's keep an eye open. More focussed on the US and France, Italy and Australia a bit too. That's all folks. Maybe the EU falls apart. Bringing the Euro down with it. Maybe the USD falls too, soon. What should happen to the USD value if 1/3 of the country leaves the union and declare their own currency? I have news about USD reserves being liquidated but this, like other things, will have to wait for another post there is too much in that one already.
by MrRenev
3
The boomers didn't have enough kids trendThe london area and some countries are ordering millions of body bags. They are super bearish. At the bottom. As usual. Covid is over. There were 2 deadly waves and there won't be a third. I hope I'm not offending anyone too much. I know that to big brains going against the fear narrative - which changes everyday - makes you a conspiracy theorist that believes jewish lizards control the world. I believe reptilians control the world and this is my right. Look at this chart: Do you not think that governments are ran by reptilian brains because I think they are. They made illegal buying masks and told us they were useless. Then they forced us to wear masks and used strict police repression to enforce this rule. They locked healthy people at home, even in middle ages they didn't do that. Scientists proved it was useless AND showed that for the first time ever, entire families (locked together) died! They are always wrong about everything. They are reptilian peasants. Covid passes, just like retirement reforms, are rules made by boomers for boomers. And these rules apply to everyone except the police and military. Democracy. It's like literally everyone is ultra bullish on covid but they are all wrong. This is the top. They are going to panic with the violent 2023 flu pandemic but it's just the start of wave 1 in the new uptrend. And 2022 will be "back to normal hurrah". After 1 century of exceptional progress, S&P growth, life expectancy, the trend will reverse. Good times create weak men etc. These weak zombies will panic it's going to be funny. When a very violent bubonic ebola plague hits it's possible that the zombies get the zeal of the convert: They believed in covid fear, they will change their mind once it's over and they slowly learn restrictions were for nothing. Redpilled. And so, when the plague hits they will brush it off. I'll be in my bunker in the middle of nowhere watching natural selection take its course. Deaths will actually go up for several reasons: - Massive obesity, in particular in the young (that are getting older and fatter) - Massive old population with very little replacement And also: - Weak chinned low T drug addicts - Hypocondriacs with weakened immune systems - Being stuck at home and other small reasons Medical institutions have done a lot of campaigning to get people to avoid using antibiotics all the time. Some fear penicillin resistant bacterias pandemics and mutants. This will not happen, not on a large scale. Bacterias have been at war for BILLIONS of years. Using penicillin or other antibiotics for millions of years. Zambia is a country with a population of 15,000,000. The west stole almost all their doctors. They had 1600 and that number dropped to 400. This obviously really screws the country beyond belief but a few thousand doctors for the west is not enough. They have a few hundred per 100,000 and as the population age they will need more, perhaps as much as 500/100,000. But their doctors are retiring, so the number goes down. In France the number now is 330, stagnating, but the number of patients is going up. And that 330 number will decline. France alone might need 100 doctors by 100,000. So in total 67,000 doctors (the population is 67M). That is more than 50 times the number of doctors that were stolen from Zambia. And that's France alone. Plus the "brain drain" has been going on for decades so Africa has little left to leech. Maybe they are now letting in refugees because they hope some of them will turn into doctors? For context at least 70% of refugees are women and children. The revolution already started, but during the 2023 flu pandemic where thousands of old people are waiting in makeshift beds in tents because hospitals are full, and the government runs out of options (they might lock people at home again, out of despair again), a hard paradigm change will be necessary. There are a lot of variable. For example if the anti covid injections have side effects, pharma companies, that already have scandals way too often, will lose the public trust. And the biotech period will not happen, or be delayed, or be very secondary. We are changing of paradigm & period (50-75 years), but also of era (200-300). The period in France is 1968-2021 so 53 years. Or you could say since the 1946 NWO, 75 years. It is not an exact science. The past 50-75 years was the period of neo-liberal pleasure seaking, tech religion, etc. It's ending. That was for the period (50-75). The era (200-300) is industrial revolution/wageslavery/capitalism/socialism. We were born just in time to witness some of the greatest change in history. Worth it. All of Africa does not have enough doctors and nurses to take care of the hundred of millions of obese and old patients. Not even close. The only half valid hope is technology but it won't magically save people. Deaths will go up, like it or not. And governments can crush revolts, but they can't crush the underlying fundamentals. If Louis XVI had put an end to the tax revolt of 1789 (Like Macron put an end to the yellow vest tax revolt), monarchy would still have ended. The trend, and what to expect is clear. I believe not 1 in a thousand knows this. It is mathematically impossible the welfare state continues, government guarenteed pensions will vanish. And it is mathematically impossible that our generation (Z to X) lives better than boomers. For the first time the kids will not be better off than their parents. Not only that but even much worse off. I will add another call, gold, easy one: I hate explaining the obvious but I have the intention to throw this at the face of dum dums. Here I am so clear even a zombie should be able to understand: Months ago me said covid-19 wave was over, and me said if other wave it would be other variant. Which was the case. That call aged well. Now me say covid deaths any variant is over. I no care media say "ooga booga many case". Me say death spike covid any variant over. No more big spike. No third deadly wave. Understand? Death. Not case. Regardless vaccines. All country same.
TVC:GOLD
by MrRenev
1
Personal Savings Rate - Consumer Spending to DeclineAs the Pandemic progressed, Consumers began to spending on Durable Goods, Home Improvement, Electronics and a host of additional Products to improve their nesting conditions. This dynamic applied to Americans who remained employed through "Stay at Home" Measures. Lower Income Consumers paid down Debt and began Investing via WeBull, CoinBase and Robin Hood. Online gambling began to increase markedly. Rents were abated through moratoriums on Real Estate. Stimulus measures provided Income substitution effects, why work when you are assure $600 per week for one year. Demand was brought forward for a number of Sectors. It is now declining. Consumers purchased new Computers, Phones, Tablets and peripherals. White goods and Construction Materials were extremely strong for 16 months. Demand has been sated, the Economy has been contracting for a number of months. On sector Watch: XLE XLU XLK XLB XLP XLY XLI XLC XLV XLF XLRE Breadth should be closely monitored in each of these Sectors as it is in decline once again.
FRED:PSAVERTShort
by HK_L61
2