Alibaba Breaking OutAlibaba is a leader in eCommerce in the People's Republic of China (China's Amazon). The growth there is two fold, eCommerce much as it is in the United States is a bullish and growing trend, but China also has a growing middle class with rising discretionary income. As a result, Alibaba is experiencing growth not many companies ever see and they are sustaining it. They are becoming players in many different industries as well, including mobile electronic payments and cloud computing. The stock recently broke out from a period of consolidation on above average volume. Watch for the trend to continue higher, but exit the position if the stock closes below its breakout line. Updates to come...
Ecommerce
Shopify Breaking Out once againShopify is a SaaS company providing eCommerce solutions to businesses of all sizes. They allow retailers to set up websites for fractions of what it cost to build a full blown eCommerce platform from the ground up. The company is showing explosive revenue growth due to the proliferation of online retailing and the ability to provide a better and cheaper solution to many of its customers. The stock recently went through a period of consolidation from mid September until now after Andrew Left made it a short target of his. The recent breakout was on above average volume. Watch for the stock to continue to rise, but be quick to exit if it closes below the breakout line shown on the chart. Updates to come...
EBAY Long 2-6 Weeks Technicals and valuation support a bullish rebound. Supports at 35 from the channel it has been trading in since June. PE of 5.2 is a steal in this market where the S&P trades at a PE of 25. Excellent margins support their profitability. There should be enough space in e-commerce for both Ebay and Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN allowing both to continue to grow.
JD potential buy opportunitybuy point ~ 39
stop loss ~ 37
target ~ 45
risk ~ 5-6%
potential gain ~ 15-18%
1:3 risk to reward ratio
take this with a grain of salt. feel free to raise the stop loss instead of selling given that you believe JD will benefit from the growth of ecommerce in China. check them out.
AMZN, leading the way (while catching up?) to e-commerceIt's hard to say that Amazon has never been a leading indicator of e-commerce growth as this chart might suggest, but it will be interesting to watch how the relationship develops as AMZN charges ahead. On one hand, Amazon continues to diversify outside of e-commerce (ironically dipping its toes into brick-and-mortar while single-handedly destroying the model). Yet this pair is inextricably linked, as for the time being one cannot survive without the other. Correlations remain high and the runway for e-commerce is long.
Ebay Bearish Trade due to normal pullbacksIt is normal for the market to make corrections when things get to high up and for people to start profit taking once earnings are announced. I know ebay as a stock that is volatile when it comes to earnings. So due to the big upswing this has been in it is natural to expect a downward swing to come bring others to reality. It can always go against me, that I do know. But I believe the chances of me winning out weight the chances of me losing on this trade which is a bearish credit spread with a credit taken in of $105.01 after commissions with this particular trade I went ahead and loaded up twice on the same trade so I took in around $209. With a risk of around $188, and max return of $209. Wish me luck. This strategy will set the precedent for the Macy's trade I have outlined in my "ideas" section on tradingview. I told my significant other that I am a bit afraid of this trade going against me because it is ecommerce, and I believe so much in ecommerce that I find this risky to bet against. BUT in the short term (which is what i'm doing) I would believe this can go down on earnings.