Ecommerce
Fiverr Crushing Call TargetsI recently was bullish on Fiverr, even implementing it in my own personal test strategies. While, it is too early to say I was right, my bullish call seems to be quite accurate. As always, this is on opinion basis and don't take anything I say seriously, as I'm not trying to solicit any financial advice. That being said, the revenues per share and losses per share were BETTER than expected. I had a bullish call prior, and don't be surprised if the stock continues to rise as with most of my predictions. Not claiming to be Nostradamus here, but look there are patterns and real math. I am wrong sometimes, but the calls been on a high streak recently. It is interesting to see how other online and e-commerce like sites such as Shopify, Etsy, may perform. (Though I consider Fiverr some weird cross between freelance, pro and amateur services and the e-commerce market). I think it is closer to an internet retail metric than a data processing category, however.
Short Target for Etsy at $70First off, please don't take anything I say seriously. As always, this is on opinion basis, and not financial advice. That being said, let me get into a few key points I want to make. Right now Etsy seems bullish and many analyst are giving it buy and hold ratings. I believe for a quick profit turn over with mitigated risk for day traders, a $70 short target should be quite reasonable as your next move.
$AMZN forming a pretty nice inverse$AMZN is forming a pretty clean inverse head and shoulders on the daily, look for it to pullback to form the right shoulder pretty soon, as it is currently sitting at its would-be neckline should it pullback into the right shoulder.
GL
Amazon getting power for the uptrendAmazon just crossed 200 EMA on 17th December 2019 and On the other hand Amazon announced to launch its services in Germany. So this Ecommerce Giant is growing more and more. So I am going Long on this stock.
EBay: Channel Breakdown UnderwayE-commerce stock eBay reported earnings last week. The backward-looking results were ok, but forward guidance wasn't so hot. The resulting drop is creating some bearish chart patterns.
First, EBAY formed a tight channel between $34.50 and $36.60 since October. It's now breaking the bottom of that channel.
Second, the channel began on October 24, when EBAY gapped lower on weak guidance. Its recent drop on January 29 wasn't technically a gap (because there was some price overlap with the previous session). However, you have a gap down, consolidation and further downward pressure. The direction and high-volume price moves have been negative.
Third, EBAY has formed something of a head and shoulders since last March and April. That pattern follows a failed breakout attempt in early 2018. Nothing bullish in that.
Finally, EBAY has gone almost two years without making a new 52-week high, unlike the broader S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 indexes. A steady lack of relative strength like that is also a sign of underlying weakness.
A year ago, EBAY had a bullish gap between $31.02 and $32.73. It may now come into play as a downside target. Given the market's recent fears, traders looking to get bearish may want to start with weaker names already under pressure. EBAY could fit that bill.
Amazon.com: Pausing at Support Before EarningsThe major indexes have been rallying to new highs, but one of the most important companies in the market hasn't participated: Amazon.com .
The e-commerce giant spiked the day after Christmas thanks to news of a " record-breaking " holiday season. That ended a three-month imprisonment below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). It also established AMZN back above the $1,850 area where it peaked in mid-September.
The shares seemed overbought at the time of the breakout in late December. They were not only pushing the top Bollinger Band, but stochastics were also well above 90.
Now that it's worked off the overbought condition and some of the other moving averages are rising, AMZN could be ready for continuation to the upside. There's also a catalyst for a potential move because earnings are due on January 30.
Finally, Alphabet just crossed $1 trillion of market cap yesterday. AMZN's about $69 billion away from that big number. How long before that becomes a point of conversation?
High Basing Pattern as Wal-Mart Takes Market ShareIt's hard to say which traditional big-box is doing a better job adapting to the digital age: Wal-Mart Stores or Target . Both have successfully used online strategies to keep shoppers in their brick-and-mortar locations. That's helped avoid the kind of painful downsizing sweeping other retailers.
It's paid off recently for WMT, which beat profit estimates all four quarters in 2019. The shares got a little ahead of themselves the last time it reported on November 14, resulting in five weeks of consolidation.
During that time WMT formed a high basing pattern, or a very tight cup-and-handle. The December low of $117.42 was just slightly higher than the late-October low of $116.83. Plus, it held the 50-day SMA.
Fundamentals in WMT also remain healthy, with observers seeing the potential for its online grocery push to keep driving market share.
In conclusion, few people view WMT as a "growth" stock. But it's starting to act like one. And now it has a cup-and-handle, the classic growth-stock pattern from William O'Neill's classic How to Make Money in Stocks .
NASDAQ:AMZN
SHOPIFY Going deepMAxive correction ahead. Earnings delisional.
This was my and also many other's best pick in 2018. Long term I still believe in the business. As Square they support small retailers instead of replace their logistics (Amazon).
p.s. This H&S is not regular. Neckline is not parallel to the abscissas. The slopes goes towards the leftS. Completion mean the price level to surpass leftS level.
Expecting more downside on ShopifyThis looks like a massive falling wedge forming. ER is next week and i’m expecting volatility. Very possible it hits the bottom of this wedge at least one more time around the 200sma
ALIBABA resistance breakoutBABA is breaking an important resistance, tested 4 times since late July.
It Opened above resistance, and is growing with above daily average volume .
Great risk reward ratio entering position entering a position at $181, sell around $195.
Alibaba testing heavy resistanceAs shown in the chart, we are testing a heavy resistance tested multiple times.
Technical indicators are showing mostly consolidation.
If I were thinking of getting into a position, I would wait. If I had Alibaba stock, I would strongly consider taking profits (selling 50% +)
Obviously breaking this resistance would be an important step towards a strong uptrend.
BABA is cheap - below all analysts targetsTechnical analysis (daily chart)
RSI(10) @62
OBV on steady uptrend along with the RSI
CCI(10) @100
MACD > MACDsignal
Fundamental analysis
BABA is a buy right now @$177. Well below analyst price average targets of $225. (Over 25%)
Fair value Morningstar note
Our fair value estimate is $240 per ADS incorporates management's full-year fiscal 2020 outlook calling for over CNY 500 billion in revenue (representing 33% growth year over year).
* Meaning... If they achieve this growth, the price target will make sense.
Good luck!
dorfmanmaster
Alibaba FractalsLet's say you are going to trade it, are you short or long? For me it's screwed up, I pass this one.
AMZN: News from India Could Help Complete the Top After a BounceAmazon was in the pre-market news today. India has put heavy restrictions on the e-commerce retailers, AMZN and WMT and others. The ruling affects many products that Amazon sells. India’s rules will bar retail e-commerce companies from engaging in an exclusive partnership with a seller. This could hurt Amazon’s expected revenues from India. This dominant e-commerce company hit Market Saturation in many of its primary global markets and was relying upon massive growth from Indian customers as a new revenue source. This new ruling from the Indian government changes Amazon’s plans abruptly.
The stock is in a topping formation that has still not completed yet. The stock dropped through support levels and then rebounded in a bounce up along with most big-name companies yesterday. HFTs are likely to react to this news soon. Support levels are shown as black lines in the attached weekly chart.
JD thoughtsI feel this company has a good future and agree with their focus on expanding their logistics to bring better services to their clients. Without a good logistics group the system will fall apart. I would be looking for a similar pattern of a double bottom it had from April to Early June. Could last a bit longer this time as earnings are set for sometime in November.
Alibaba long with the Market wide dropAlibaba's price dropped in the first hour alongside the market because of the trade fears. I took that as an opportunity as Tmall owned by Alibaba is also participating in the 618 mid year festival. The key difference is that Tmall has extended their sales to the region namely Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and Australia.
This means that in addition to China consumers, consumers across APAC will be able to access products at deep discounts online and offline during the event.
This year Tmall is working with over 70 shopping malls and commercial districts across mainland China and Asia to open pop-up stores that will offer consumers a seamless online and offline shopping experience. New Retail is a key element in this year's promotion, combining online and offline elements.
I expect Alibaba to also release a report of their positive sales across APAC + China after the 618 Festival closes. A study on their offline popup store performance should also be expected.
JD.com Trading China's 618 eCommerce shopping day15 June JD.com had risen along side all major technology stocks including the NDXT. The Dow Jones however had dropped and this lead me to believe that people were exiting other categories and entering into technology as a safe haven. This could also be because of the trade wars chatter between US & CN that has lead to people leaving categories that had a reliance on commodities.
I also found out that the 618 Festival that ends on the 18 June. This festival in 2017 lead to JD to achieving a record US17.6Billion in sales. A report of the 2018 sales results i'm sure would be released after the 18 June and this will drive JD's stock price up.
16 June saw the enter Technology index dropping and JD stock saw a huge drop within the first trading hour. I quickly entered as it was a better price that what I was looking at and I believe the drop was a market reaction and given that both the 15 June and 16 June were aligned with the market. I made the assumption that the potential 2018 618 result had no been factored in the existing price.
Let's see how next week goes! super excited
