$PINS | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 10/17Pinterest has been consolidating in a long drawn-out bull flag since February 2021. I believe we are nearing the end of this corrective phase and have developed a shorter term wedge indicated on the chart.
I am looking for a break above that wedge aka the $54 level to go long. Targets above are $58 and $61. It's important to note we have quite a large unfilled Daily gap above from roughly $61-70.
Ecommerce
XLP - Consumer Staples Ponzied - Made in China - Stuck at SeaCOGS/PPI etc. is through the roof. Shipping a product? Good luck. Atleast #cannabisreform is going on. $KERN- the CANNABIS DATA Software!!! GO USA MSOSs!!!!
Multi State Operators! #thegem #jobsandjustice *rising rates environment.
Go Small cap gems. #valueinvesting
Broken Correlation Amazon/Alibaba, only an Evergrande thing?Alibaba is off the road...
looks like total crash, like Bayer after the Monsanto deal...
But Alibaba got no endless billion dollar legal proceedings!
Alibaba got a protected billionen chinese market plus a growing part of the world....
The problems with the allmighty Xi Jingping dont making so much noise...
The user data part is under political control, so the ecommerece part can go on
First thing I'm thinking about is the chinese real estate crisis.
But the correlation between Amazon and Alibaba disconnected in june... in My mind the Evergrande thing came to late.
Please let me hear your opinion... Im totaly new to this game. Its so amazing! :-D
Going Long, Its a temporary thing... Ali ist lower then march '20 and the world wont stop because of Evergrande or so...
Pinduoduo: Stellar Performance Reinforces Industry PositionChina's largest e-commerce company is transforming its development strategy.
Pinduoduo turned losses into gains in the second quarter of 2021, defending its leading position in the Chinese e-commerce area with 849.9 million annual active buyers.
Pinduoduo mainly focuses on lower-tier cities' customers and follows a 'universal social welfare' way to expand its business.
Agricultural products and reinforcing networks among farmers and customers may become the next profit points for the company.
Dazzling financial results
On August 24, 2021, Pinduoduo (PDD: NASDAQ) held it's Q2 2021 earning call, showing rather impressive financial results. Its stock surged over 20% at the beginning of that trading day.
Pinduoduo turned losses into gains for the first time in the second quarter of 2021. In Q2 2021, the company achieved revenue of CNY 23.05 billion, up 89% year-on-year. Its operating profit reached nearly CNY 2 billion (with non-GAAP operating profit of CNY 3.19 billion), compared with an operating loss of CNY 1.64 billion. In the remarkable quarter, the company received gains (net income attributable to ordinary shareholders) of CNY 2.41 billion, which is a big move compared with a net loss of CNY 0.90 billion in the same quarter of 2020. The company's basic earnings per ADS increased to USD 0.30, and diluted EPS reached USD 0.27. At the same time, its annual active buyers reached 849.9 million as of June 30, 2021, and average monthly active users (MAUs) increased to 738.5 million, accounting for 87% of its annual active buyers, defending its leading position in China's e-commerce area.
Analyzing the financials, we found that Pinduoduo's cost control contributes the most to the result. Due to increased promotion and coupon expenses, the company's sales and marketing expenses only increased 14% to CNY 10.39 billion. In comparison, general and administrative costs only increased 10% to CNY 0.43 billion, compared with the same quarter in 2020. Its operating margin and the net margin reached a historical high in the past three years, accounting for 8.7% and 17.9%, respectively. Notably, its sales and marketing expenses ratio has been cut to 45%, compared with 81% and 73% for the same quarter in 2019 and 2020, showing its consistent cost control efforts.
When dissecting its revenue structure, we found online marketing services still act as the primary resource of its revenue, which reached CNY 18.08 billion, up 64% year-on-year. According to the earnings call, this was due to the continued increase in merchant activities while merchants are exploring new ways to engage with users. Meanwhile, revenues from transaction services reached CNY 3.01 billion, surging 164% year-on-year, owing to the fulfillment and services provided in the new Duo Duo Grocery platform. As for the revenues from merchandise sales, as a temporary way to meet user demand for specific products, the income from this section was CNY 1.96 billion.
Agriculture may become the key to its future
As one of the fastest-growing e-commerce companies globally, Pinduoduo has focused on lower-tier markets' consumption demand, becoming famous for value-for-money goods. Consumers can purchase products at a lower price as a group on its merchandise platform. In this way, consumers are allowed to share feedback regarding products on their social media accounts, further amplifying the advertising influence of the company at the same time. Pinduoduo only needed two years to gain CNY 100 billion GMV (in contrast, Ali Group and JD used five and ten years, respectively). The company went public on Nasdaq in July 2018. Then in March 2021, it became China's most prominent e-commerce giant in terms of MAU.
The company is infamous for some of its products' poor quality. Even though most of them are cheap, the quality is often worse than it's desired by consumers. To resolve this issue, here are two solutions: the company could build a higher quality sub-platform, or a more 'universal-type social welfare' platform, with which it can gather profit from a broader population. Pinduoduo chose the second one. In April 2019, the company launched a critical transformation, building the Duo Duo Farms platform to help farmers in China's impoverished counties create new online sales channels. In traditional ways, farmers sell primary products to dealers, and dealers trade themselves. When customers purchase the product, the price has been increased much higher than its cost, which harms both farmers and customers. Then, when PDD becomes the mediator, it connects farmers directly with consumers across the country and applies customer-to-manufactory (C2M) to help them build their brands, forming a win-win situation. By the end of 2020, the platform has helped over 1.13 million farmers to sell over 2.06 million tons of agricultural produce.
We think Pinduoduo's transformation had a positive impact on its business operations. Before 2020, Pinduoduo had adopted a low-cost publicity model to convert the advertising fees payable to the media into rewards for users who introduce new customers. However, at this stage, we believe that since user numbers are gradually approaching the ceiling (as over half of the people in China are Pinduoduo's users), the model of wildly attracting new customers may no longer be suitable for the company and is difficult to bring profit growth. Facts have also confirmed our idea that the growth rate of the company's MAUs has been gradually slowing down since 2019. So Pinduoduo turned its developing direction to retain its users and add more value instead of attracting more users. Focusing on China's most prominent supply side is a good strategy – after all, it is a blue ocean with few competitions.
Hence, we are optimistic about the long-term development of Pinduoduo and believe that its agricultural focus might generate new opportunities.
Valuation and bottom line
We used EV/revenue and P/B ratio to value the company. Considering that the company has been able to turn losses into profits and its competitors have much lower ratios, we decided to use the adjusted historical average method. From the chart, it is obvious that the ratio is at a low level, which we think is mainly caused by the regulation changes in China recently. Based on its current financial performance, momentum, and competitive landscape, we calculated that 13.5x EV/revenue and 17.5x P/BV is an appropriate valuation for Pinduoduo in 12 months, which corresponds to a target price of USD 141.52.
Key risks
1. Pinduoduo's largest risk comes from possible conflicts with registered merchants. The company provides a favorable discount at the expense of downtrodden platform merchants. Besides, the merchants are the primary resources that benefit most of Pinduoduo's promotion activities. Small-scale merchants find it difficult to survive on this platform. In the long run, we think it will lead to the weakness of the supply side and harm the whole platform.
2. Another risk is that the problem of low-quality products still exists. Since the Pinduoduo platform has more razor-thin margins than other platforms, many merchants chose to sell defective goods in Pinduoduo while selling better goods on Tmall and JD.com. We think it is not conducive to the original impression transformation of the company in the long term.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
Shopify $SHOP nearing pivot pointThe e-commerce giant is been behaving very well since its first breakout from the $1,290 resistance. Now is working its way to make a new ATH with higher lows and respecting its $1,500 support. To confirm the buy zone between $1,650 and $1,730, the MACD is making a buy signal with a bullish crossover. Also the relative strength of NYSE:SHOP against AMEX:ARKF is really good, it needs to breakout from the peanant patern it formed to be even better. I'd like to add that the IBD RS rating is 83, that means that its performance is in the top 83% of all stocks over the past year.
So, there are two ways to play this. One would be just to wait for the breakout from the $1,650 resistance or, to buy 1/2 of the position today and add the rest when that breakout happens. The bad thing for the second approach is that the buying volume for today is not that great. So, I'll wait for the closing price to see if its really worth to be agressive.
McDonalds Ponzied - Rising Rates Environment - Volume MIAAlways up. Buys only. Bla Bla. The MCD in our town just upgraded to a double lane drive thru. Is that a clue? Large caps gobbled up all the smalls. I liked our mom n pops too. Shame. MCD ate them all. So sad. Time to pay their fair share! Corporate tax rates will get the hike they deserve.
*Revenues from abroad. Shipped from abroad. Expenses abroad. wow. Milkshakes on backorder from where??? Shame.
Large cap Stonks. Hold for broke in a rising rate environment.
Go small Caps!! #MSOgang
Vipshop Announces Q2 2021 Financial ResultsIn Q2 2021, the company generated CNY 29.6 billion in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 22.8%.
According to Vipshop's Q2 2021 financial announcement:
- Revenue rose by 22.8%, reaching CNY 29.6 billion.
- Net profit hit CNY 1.1 billion, representing a year-on-year decline of 26.7%.
- As of June 30, 2021, Vipshop had cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash of CNY 16.5 billion.
- In Q2 2021, the company had a total of 51.1 million active users, showing a year-on-year growth of 32%, and the size of its VIP paid membership increased by nearly 50%.
- Moreover, GMV exceeded CNY 48.1 billion, representing a rise of 25%, while the number of orders reached 222 million, showing an increase of 30%.
- The firm's total operating expenses were CNY 4.8 billion (up 26.3%), accounting for 16.4% of total net revenue compared with 15.8% in the same period of 2020.
- Among them, its fulfillment expenses hit CNY 2.1 billion (an increase of 23.5%), marking up 6.9% of total net revenue compared with 7.0% in Q2 2020.
- At the same time, Vipshop's marketing expenses reached CNY 1.4 billion (up 40%), taking up 4.8% of total revenue compared with 4.3% in the previous year; technology and content expenses were CNY 370 million, increasing 21.3% year-on-year; and its general and administrative expenses hit CNY 1.0 billion (a growth of 24.2%), accounting for 3.4% of total net revenue compared with 3.3% in the same period in 2020.
$JMIA Time to WatchJumia is an interesting stock and was a pennystock until they got new management while back. It has recovered, but now it's markcap shows it returning back into a pennystock. At current levels I see an opportunity that you may want to build a position.
News
-Missed on ER, but they have 600mil in cash
TA
-Since I been watching, Jumia has about a 7-8% downside to $17.66 which was resistance back in Aug-Nov 2020. Next point of interest is 28.07 bringing a 45% unside move.
-RSI is oversold leans bullish
-MACD is still bearish and leans more bearish
-Below the EMAs, which is bearish but could have an upside of 7% to try and turn bullish again.
-High vpvr levels at $22 area
Final Thoughts
Overall it's a stock I would buy on speculation, but I'm in ASTR atm so I'll be watching it closely while I look for another trade after I make my gains in ASTR. Jumia has major investors supporting it and its a bet on the African Economy, so maybe do some research on Africa of Covid19 and see how much is being impacted. For myself I don't hear anything about Africa on this matter, so its one piece of news I'm unknown on. Overall I told my friend before it crashed it would hit $50, but now with its MC below $2bil I think its a major steal with a massive upside protentional by years end and maybe the short term.
Make a $WISHTechnical:
The has recently been on a downward trajectory. A strong descending triangle pattern is forming. If the stock finds the strength to push through to the upside the stock could reach its previous stock price of the high 20s or low 30s. Good risk-reward to the downside as lower support is in the mid 7 range.
Fundamental:
E-commerce is the future. Powerhouses like Amazon have paved the way for the growth of the industry but there are new players in town. WISH has set up infrastructure to directly source products from China and other low-cost manufacturers. This makes them significantly cheaper than the alternative, a direct competitive advantage. Furthermore, the e-commerce industry is booming. COVID-19 has only accelerated the rapid pace of technological change as next-day delivery and contactless delivery become the standard.
All Star Managamnet Team:
Piotr Szulczewski - Founder and CEO
Mr. Szulczewski is our founder and has served as our Chief Executive Officer since July 2010. Prior to founding the Company, Mr. Szulczewski served in various positions at Google, Inc., a technology company, including as a technical lead and senior software engineer.
Jacqueline Reses - Executive Chair
Ms. Reses was appointed Executive Chair in May 2021 and has been a member of our Board since December 2020. Previously, she served as Executive Chair of Square Financial Services LLC and Capital Lead at Square, Inc., a publicly traded financial services company that provides payments, point of sale, and cash flow management services to small businesses and consumers, from October 2015 until October 2020.
Farhang Kassaei - Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Kassaei has served as our Chief Technology Officer since July 2021. Prior to joining the Company, he served as Senior Director of Software Engineering at Google where he oversaw the development and roll-out of commerce capabilities across its core product suite, including Search and YouTube. Mr. Kassaei previously spent more than 10 years at eBay Inc. where he held multiple leadership positions, including Chief Architect for the core marketplace.
Tarun Jain - Chief Product Officer
Mr. Jain has served as our Chief Product Officer since August 2021. He served as Director of Product Management at Google from 2017 to 2021. At Google, he incubated and led the development of Discovery Ads, bringing inspirational and engaging commercial ad experiences to YouTube, Gmail and Discover.
Devang Shah - General Counsel and Secretary
Mr. Shah has served as our General Counsel since February 2018. From August 2010 until April 2017, Mr. Shah served in various positions at Zynga Inc., a game development company, most recently as General Counsel, Secretary and Senior Vice President.
Breakin Ranges on AMZN, can we expect a repetition?Today, we will speak about the current situation on AMZN
- The price has been trading inside a range from September 2020 until July 2021 where we observed a Breakout.
-Currently, we can see that the price re-entered the broken range. What can we expect from here?
KEY IDEAS:
-From a technical perspective, it's extremely common that after daily breakouts (structures with a duration higher than 100 days), we observe a throwback (or a retest). As you can see on the previous range, we saw the same sequence.
-It's commonly accepted that the target of broken ranges is at least the size of it on the broken direction (we can see some notes of this idea on Wykoff Theory). That is the minimum target that we should expect.
With all that clear, let's go to the interesting thing, what is our view on this?
IF the price breaks the descending trendline of the current throwback and reaches our green activation line, we will take that as a confirmation of the bullish movement towards the minimum target, of course. At those levels, you should be protecting your capital by moving your stop loss to the entry-level (that is what we do). From there, we want to let the price keep going up towards the final target at 4700
Let's speak about the stop loss and risk:
-IF the entry is executed, we always set our stop loss below the throwback, and we use a risk between 1% to 2%, never more.
-IF the entry is never executed and the price keeps falling, and we lose acceptable risk-reward ratios, we will cancel this idea.
-IF everything goes as expected, we think this movement can last 150 to 200 days
Thanks for reading!
Grocery App Dingdong Maicai: Sky-high GMV, High Costs amid IncreThe popular fresh on-demand e-commerce platform has built its competitive strength in just three years.
Dingdong Maicai has maintained a high growth over recent years, achieving the largest GMV and user base in the sector.
High fulfillment and marketing costs, increasing competition between top players and a somewhat fragile business model are the main challenges facing the company.
Impacted perhaps by Missfresh 's bad performance on the IPO day, Dingdong reduced its ADS offering amount, with some investors turning bearish on the newly listed shares.
We deem the stock undervalued.
On June 29, 2021, Dingdong listed its shares on the New York Stock Exchange with the ticker of 'DDL.' Just one day before the IPO, Dingdong submitted a new prospectus, reducing the size of the offering by 73.5% (from 14 million to 3.7 million ADSs), which was far lower than the funding it raised in Series D and D+ in H1 2021 (USD 87 million vs. USD 1.03 billion). On the first day of listing, the stock rose by more than 19% to break through USD 40, but the momentum disappeared rapidly. As of July 7, the share price had fallen below the level of USD 27, showing a lack of investors' confidence.
Launched in 2014 as an app, Dingdong was transformed into a food logistics company that provides fresh on-demand e-commerce services, building an efficient supply chain. When a user places an order, the goods are distributed by frontline fulfillment stations (warehouses) near the user and delivered within 29 minutes, as the company claims.
To date, the company has accumulated a huge user base – 30 million accounts nationwide. According to its latest prospectus, as of March 31, 2021, Dingdong had set up 950 frontline fulfillment stations in 29 cities in China and developed over 12,500 Stock Keeping Units (SKUs).
The CEO, Changlin Liang, is a serial entrepreneur. In 2003, he founded parenting discussion platform iYaya.com, which achieved an annual net profit of over CNY 26.5 million, attracting over 70 million mobile users by 2016.
Since 2017, Dingdong Maicai has raised over USD 1.75 billion and has been supported by several famous institutional investors, such as SoftBank and Tiger Global Management. Before the IPO, the CEO and other board members held 58.9% of the firm's shares. Now, Tiger has become the largest institutional investor, holding 5.7%, while SoftBank has 5.6% of the grocery platform's shares.
Financials: an outlook typical for a growth-stage company
Dingdong maintained a growing momentum over recent years. According to its prospectus, Dingdong achieved revenue of CNY 11.34 billion in 2020, surging 192% year-over-year. Its gross merchandise value (GMV) increased from CNY 740 million in 2018 to CNY 13.03 billion in 2020, with a CAGR of 319%, indicating a grandiose expansion.
Meanwhile, Dingdong has been suffering from substantial losses. In 2019, the net loss of Dingdong was CNY 1.87 billion and continued to increase in 2020, hitting CNY 3.18 billion. The net profit margin improved over the same period from -48.3% to -28.0%. In the first quarter of 2021, the company reported a net loss of CNY 1.38 billion or more than five times of that reported in the March quarter of the previous year. The company's expansion in the community group buying field pushed the margin back to -36.4% in that quarter.
The company's high expenses are an apparent bottleneck. According to its prospectus, the cost of goods sold (COGS) and fulfillment cost are two categories showing the highest figures. The latter, for one, reached CNY 4.04 billion in 2020, up 109% year-on-year: while Dingdong is expanding its business, its operating cost is also rising rapidly. Nevertheless, the fulfillment-expense-over-revenue ratio decreased from 50% in 2019 to 36% in 2020, showing a slight improvement.
Money-burning business, intensifying competition
On-demand e-commerce businesses in China usually rely upon two primary modes of fresh products distribution: the so-called 'community group buying' and instant delivery. The former type allows to cut logistics costs but is mainly focusing on the frozen products due to the time lag between the wholesale and individual purchases.
By contrast, delivery through frontline fulfillment stations is well suited for working with fresh products. Along with the consumption upgrade, delivery through frontline fulfillment stations attracts more and more users. According to Chao Sun, a Strategic Investment VP at Red Star Macalline, the penetration rate of online fresh food in the Chinese market was less than 10% in 2020, indicating a great potential in the sector.
Dingdong is implementing a frontline fulfillment, station-based model. Providing cultivation standards for upstream agriculture, this mode is a prerequisite of building an ecosystem foundation of the supply chain. Such a system allows farmers to optimize their production, meeting the market demand.
Dingdong's competitive edges are valuable for maintaining a steady position in the market. Also, the processing centers and frontline fulfillment stations now have expanded offerings from fresh produce to other daily necessities, including ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat and ready-to-cook (3R products), plants and home/personal care products. The company's product scope is likely to further expand in the following years.
But the new lucrative sector attracts other players. Since 2011, the number of newly registered fresh e-commerce companies has been climbing at a 20% CAGR, reaching 4,103 in 2020.
At the same time, the competition among the top players is becoming sharper. One of Dingdong's main competitors is Missfresh, a company following a similar business model. Dingdong's larger SKU figure (12,500 vs. 4,300) and broader clout in China (29 vs. 16 cities covered) puts the company at an advantage over its nemesis. Dingdong's strategic moves have also proven to be more to the point. For instance, it almost immediately started focusing on China's third- to fifth-tier cities in early 2020, as the epidemic began. Owing to this and other strategic decisions, in the first quarter of 2021, Dingdong's revenue increased by 46%, while Missfresh 's decreased by 9% year on year.
While there are a few other rivals in the field, competition is not the largest of Dingdong's concerns. Its complex supply chain requires well-coordinated but flexible operation mechanisms to facilitate rapid expansion. Small errors in these mechanisms can lead to considerable losses to the company.
Valuation
Though the stock, along with those of many other Chinese tech companies, has been recently dumped by some investors, we remain optimistic about the company's potential. The average EV/revenue ratio of its five industry peers – MF, PDD, KR, GO, and MPNG.F – is 5.23x, indicating a 12-month target price of USD 38.11. Enhancing profitability and reducing fulfillment fee rates will be key in achieving further progress.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
PINDUODUO Inc. (PDD) | Chinese E-commerce Inside a Buying Area!Hi,
Pinduoduo Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. It operates Pinduoduo, a mobile platform that offers a range of products, including apparel, shoes, bags, mother and childcare products, food and beverage, fresh produce, electronic appliances, furniture and household goods, cosmetics and other personal care items, sports and fitness items, and auto accessories. The company was formerly known as Walnut Street Group Holding Limited and changed its name to Pinduoduo Inc. in July 2018. Pinduoduo Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Technically speaking, the price of PDD has landed inside the possible rejection area. Quite strong criteria matching each other around $81 to $106:
1. Fibo 62%
2. Minor trendline
3. 50% from the ATH
4. Role reversal
5. Round number
Do your own fundamental research and if it looks attractive then you have the technical confirmation from my side to buy it!
Regards,
Vaido
Global-e Online: Strong Price Action in Recent IPOA lot of recent IPOs have struggled, but strong price action has stood out in one particular firm: Global-e Online.
GLBE went public for $25 on May 11. That doesn’t provide much price history to analyze, but some patterns stand out.
First, the stock ripped to new highs in late June, then pulled back to hold its rising 21-day exponential moving average (EMA).
Second, notice how it bounced slightly above $51 on July 6 and 8. That was the high on June 16, which suggests old resistance has become new support. Previous stair-stepping occurred around $33.25, $35.75, $39.50 and $45.
GLBE is closely associated with Shopify , helping smaller businesses compete globally. Revenue more than doubled in the last year. The growth story could be especially interesting, given its access to this immerse but fragmented market.
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$AMZN breakout @ $3500?*Before reading the information in this please understand the risks associated with both the stock market and investing as a whole. ALWAYS do your own research; invest with conviction, rather than emotion.*
*Please understand I am in no way a professional and offering investment advice, all ideas shared are simply opinion.*
*I work with a team of individuals that does research into potentially undervalued publicly traded companies. We use a mix of fundamental and trend analysis to formulate a trading plan for our securities.*
I hope everyone is enjoying their 4th of July weekend, you know everybody at the @SimplyShowMeTheMoney team is.
Nobody is arguing with Amazon's performance in the market in the last several years, the multi-facet company is continuing to dominate the industries they touch in 2021. Amazon ($AMZN) has a lot to look forward to in the next few weeks, most especially this coming week. Current CEO Jeff Bezos is expected to step down tomorrow, July 5th. Bezos is expected to maintain a large roll in Amazon's operations, moving to the roll of Executive Chair; Bezos will act as a special advisor to incoming CEO Andy Jassy.
Knowing Bezos will remain at large on Amazon's Board of Directors allows the corporate giant to turn a new leaf as a company with this transfer of leadership. It is no surprise Amazon broke through a $3500 resistance this past Friday with this news trending, but the company also has quarterly earnings reports to look forward to July 29th. They are expected to achieve a 12.21 EPS, but investors know that Amazon has a tendency to smash expected earnings; this trend being true these past four earnings reports.
The breakthrough of a $3500 gives Amazon room to run the rest of this year. A long term bullish trend is apparent, this trend started in March 2020 when Amazon was trading at a share price of $1500. Jassy taking over as CEO paired with another expected smash-hit earnings report could give Amazon momentum to smash through
the still-seen $3500 resistance level, and eventually push a $4000 share price.
My team is seeking an entry this coming Tuesday, July 6. Our price points are as follows:
ENTRY: $3500
STOP LOSS: $3150
TAKE PROFIT 1: $4000
Be sure to follow me @bigshotrob for future updates and posts.
Check out my team over at @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Members of our team are followed there.
AMZN the no-brainer stock.In today’s post, I will be covering Amazon($AMZN). I am sure you all have heard of the company due to do its reign in e-commerce. However, that is just a drop in the bin. I believe that cloud computing, AWS, is the main driver of its net income. I will not get into specifics but they are powering big-name players like; Netflix, Twitch, Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, etc. Along with their e-commerce and cloud computing, they offer one of the best streaming services that will soon be broadcasting global events such as NFL, Premier League, and more. Additionally, they own a large market share in gaming and audiobooks through Twitch and Audible. Did I forget to mention they own Whole Foods, an outlet for retail distribution?
They are revolutionizing everything they do while providing low prices to consumers, one of the main reasons I think they will not be broken up. However, today’s headline, “Biden Weighs New Executive Order Restraining Big Business” (WSJ), brings some skepticism. Regulation in various facets is their biggest headwind. Nonetheless, even if they are broken up, you would still want to own the previously mentioned businesses in isolation.
As seen in the image, the company has been trading in a range from 2900-3500 (Red/Blue horizontals) for about a year now, while the rest of Mega-Cap Tech (Microsoft, Apple, Google, Facebook) has steadily made all near all-time highs. I think it is on the verge of a technical breakout (breaking out of the previous trading range) as they continue firing on all cylinders and growing the business vertically and horizontally.
In the world of finance, I often do not like to make decisions in isolation. That being said the conjugation of all previous factors provides a decent investment thesis. It is currently around $1. 74T. I think it will, sooner than later, cross the $2 trillion market cap, (+12%) that competitors Microsoft and Apple smashed. Could you imagine a world without Amazon? It wouldn’t be better in my opinion and I do not see that changing in the near future. In the long run, the companies growth will slow and the company will transition away from reinvestment to shareholder distribution (dividend).
Con: Regulation + Tech Drawdown + Treasury Rate Increases
Pro: Businesses + Technical + Smart Money
Alibaba warms the engines for a full-bodied climb ?According to algorithmic advisor Market Miracle $BABA is ready to rise again.
In fact, an input signal was produced at a price of USD 211.06 for a target of USD 235.59 or a potential profit of 11.62%
According to the reference sites that I follow for the fundamental analysis, Alibaba is a healthy, well capitalised company that has no particular risks and is below the fair price of about 32 %.
Both the reasons of which I am have made me interested to the Stock and analyzing it from the graphical point of view I would expect a price action similar to that one from me imagined on the diagram.
I will definitely take positions on the title in the next few days.
This idea is based on the signal generated by the Marketmiracle advisor whose link you can find by scrolling at the bottom of this page.
BABA - 1D candle - Long Above 220$ BABA can interest me for a cute swing.
This stock is a strong company, with good Revenue, future prospects and technological innovations.
China’s e-commerce is testing a critical point in the graph as it reaches its rising trend line, outlined from the start of its IPO.
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Recent News (Fundamental):
* It announces that it will produce robots that will enter the Chinese economy.
* It announces that it will start producing electric trucks.
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The average analysts' rating by "TipRanks" is positive.
With a consensus of 25 buy recommendations right now!
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technical analysis :
Above price 220$ it will prove that it breaks the descending triangle
Under 195 I would less recommend holding it
PT1 - 268.50$ (Conservative)
PT2 - 297-300$
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* For traders who like to measure price levels with Fibonacci, it appears for you in the graph, from the highest price to the price at which the stock is currently
* There is no recommendation, you are big kids, do your research .. I just share with you my trading ideas
* Let me know what you think, your opinion is important to me !