DXY, M30 | Potential bounce?We're seeing price drop towards our major support at 104.49 which is a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap support. Price could make a bounce from here to rise back up to 104.78.
If price were to break that level, though, it could drop the 104.30 which is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Dxylong
DXY Elliott Waves Analysis (midterm Expectations)Hello friends.
Please support my work by clicking the LIKE button👍(If you liked). Also i will appreciate for ur activity. Thank you!
Everything on the chart.
Nothing has changed from my last analysis, everything according plan.
We got downward impulse, like for me very soon should start correction with target zone 106.5 - 108,after that our downward movement will continue with minimal target zone ~98, maybe even 93, for wave of (C).
Good luck everyone!
Follow me on TRADINGView, if you don't want to miss my next analysis or signals.
It's not financial advice.
Dont Forget, always make your own research before to trade my ideas!
Open to any questions and suggestions.
DXY H4 ZONE MARKINGWe have an analysis of DXY H4 zone marking
According to this analysis, we have found that Dollar is a bullish move because of price is moving above the (200MA & 50 EMA) golden cross-over price also tested the trendline 2 times for more information we marked the Demand & supply zone which is mentioned in the downside
Demand zone1@ 104.563 to 104.397
Demand zone2@ 103.676 to 103.492
Demand zone3@ 101.863 to 101.519
Demand zone4@ 100.962 to 100.761
Supply zone @ 105.536 to 105.738
With this analysis, you will be able to find your most profitable trade. EnclaveFX does not recommend that you buy or sell this assist. We do not take any responsibility for your profits & losses. EnclaveFX believes in enhancing the knowledge of our clients & followers
dxy !!dxy is here at a key level once again a break here we could see another push down to that 104.4 level first then 104.200 area and if it fails to break back up we could see continued downside
on the flip side if it holds here we could see the dollar get strong
but at the moment its still a bit bearish so there will be some nice usd trade setups
Dollar, Ready to break 20 year high level! Dollar Index is ready to break 125 level which hasbeen the high of last 20 years ...And all of this is going to happen in this year...Yes..The more rate hikes are coming and Inflation is again going to go up...My guess is that it will happen in next 10 months...
DOLLAR CURRENT SITUATIONSo, right now we don't have any reasons for selling
dollar at least this week.
We got so many economic indicators and all of them
positive for dollar.
Next interest rate decision might be also positive for
dollar. So, we can buy dollar when we got nice pullback every time till next FED pivots.
Last economic indicators.
NFP 517k better than expected
CPI 6.4 better than expected
Unemployment rate better than expected
PPI coming today...
dxy deciding areai want to see how dxy plays out but if the 104.800 level holds we could see a nice move to the upside if not we will see a test of bigger time frame order block which would a nice pull back for a possible move up either way im waiting on price development market is getting ready for some nice size moves
dollar index update!I am super bullish with dollar index.
Wallstreet corporation banks are fighting with FED despite that Powell's pessimistic speech afterward.
Fear and Greed index became GrEEEEEEED now :)
Extreme greed will appear soon.
then
Extreme fear will begin.
USA CPI data was low as expected. but we have to watch oil price and China's re-opening.
Inflation is a beast that we can't kill at once.
MSCI EM and DXYDollar and EM markets.
A non Brainer with 1:1 correlation.
The DXY (black line) is inverted to show the coorelation with EM.
Strenthening Dollar means weaker EM and vice versa.
Soince with rate ris eback inti the limelight, the DXY should rally an dEM would be under pressure. The weakness of Chines Equity markets which makes up 31% of MSCI EM would also be a factor.
dollar index possible dobule bottomI was very bullish with dollar since 100-102 point
I was expecting it to reaches to 106 immediately but the chart seems want to make more remarkable pattern to stabilize the bullish movement.
So I analyze that major will make some doble bottom before it goes up and smash the above 106 point :)
so I am short term bearish with dollar and long term bullish.
MACD needs more power to create bigger move.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - ( 23 FEB 2023 )
For weeks we have been emphasizing on dollar dominance and gold bears and have been adapting to clean sells with our key levels. Last night during FOMC meeting minutes , there was a slight hawkish tone which led gold to do a shot squeeze down. Will be playing the bearish bias as there is no shift in fundamentals just yet.
HRHR SELLS AT 1832ish region
MRMR SELLS AT 1828 region
SAFEST SELLS BELOW 1820
However if the whole move from FOMC meeting minutes gets corrected , i will only look for safest buys above 1848 which we may potentially see gold retest greater sell side liquidity zones. Till then scalp buys are valids but my bias will be shorts.
We have GDP data releasing tonight whereby its a good indicator of overall economy. As forecasted , we are expecting to see an improvement in US economy which can give DXY strength and potentially create a new high this will then be in line with our gold shorts possibly to 1812-1800.
If data release above forecast or as forecasted is good for the dollar, is data is bad , expect deeper pullbacks on gold but the market sentiment that holds more weight is still dollar dominance. What this means is we may see deeper pull backs above 1848 to possibly 1855 before heading back down again.
USD rally stalls at resistance, pullback and breakout pending?The US dollar index (DXY) posted three solid days of gains between Thursday and Monday. I cannot say I am overly surprised to see A Doji formed yesterday given the resistance cluster around 103.50 which includes a previous support zone, trend resistance and the 50-day EMA. But we also had a change in sentiment for markets yesterday that were eager for a decisively hawkish message from Jerome Powell, which was not delivered. Therefore I suspect the US dollar needs a pullback or period of consolidation before its next leg higher. And I maintain my view that the US dollar remains oversold, and there is more upside on the horizon after its initial pullback is complete.
USD Index Targets 104.820 After US Federal Reserve Meeting?We have learned that almost all US Federal Reserve officials backed a 25-basis-points rate hike at the last FOMC meeting held on January 31 to February 1.
Only a few officials favored a larger 50-basis-points hike at the meeting or said they "could have supported" it. Even so, many more dovish sentences were spoken in the latest meeting than compared to the December meeting. Although, officials did not go as far to consider a pause in rate hikes. The only time this topic was broached was in reference to foreign central banks and their potential strategies.
Of course, the meetings also showed the obligatory note that, although the rate hikes have started to ease inflationary pressure, officials agreed that there was much more work to do to get inflation under control and were definitely aware of the risk of not doing enough, so the drip of dovish language will likely continue for some time before a dovish outlook overtakes a hawkish. Especially, because the meeting took place before the release of the hotter-than-expected jobs and retail sales data from January. This might go some way in supporting the USD in the short to medium term.
Looking at the DXY after the release of the minutes, it looks to have helped the USD index push into the mid 104s, where it is encountering some resistance. The index only has to break into 104.700 to eclipse its recent one week high and return to its month high. A target above this range could include 104.820, which aligns with the 200-EMA and some peaks reached in January.
EXPECT STRENGTH IN DOLLAR PAIRSI spotted a bullish flag chart pattern and a fake out on Dollar index. once dollar index is bullish expect other dollar pairs to gain strength, like: EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, XAUUSD, USDJPY, NZDUSD etc.. currently I'm short in EURUSD and USDJPY I'm in long position. Please becareful, reduce your position percentage when trading correlated pairs.
DXY Potential for Bullish Rise to recent swing high Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DXY is bullish, as the current price is above the Ichimoku Cloud. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 103.775 where the overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci line are, and the stop loss is at 103.189 where
50% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.