DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of the DXY (US Dollar Index). Our focus lies in deciphering the pronounced bullish trend observed on higher time frames. Throughout the video, we explore prospective price targets and trading opportunities, delving into trend assessment, price action, market structure, and a conceptualised trade proposition. Please be reminded that the content herewith is designed solely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is crucial to acknowledge the substantial risk associated with currency markets, emphasising the necessity of implementing astute risk management techniques in your trading endeavours.
Dxyanalysis
DXY Daily Chart Analysis - Will DXY Return to the Bull Channel?DXY finally broke out of the bull channel it has been in since July of this year. A strong bull response off of the 30EMA brought the price back to the bull channel. We are now waiting to see if the price can re-enter the channel, or if it fails and confirms a breakout to the downside.
Key Points:
1. Bear breakout of the Bull Channel, waiting for confirmation
2. Strong bull response on 30EMA below the channel
3. Price is currently testing the channel
4. RSI is near 50 and is not supportive of either direction
5. Before trading DXY, wait to see if the price confirms or denies a breakout
Since we are in a bull trend, the probability of a confirmed breakout to the downside is less than the trend continuing to the upside. I think it is best to wait for a Daily close within the bull channel before entering a long or a bear candle closing near its low below the 30EMA before shorting. The bias ought to remain bull until we have confirmation of a break to the downside.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " A " Corrective Wave , It will Complete its " B " Corrective Wave at Daily S / R Level. Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retest
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Completed Reject the Falling Wedge or S / R Level
DXY US INDEX LONGhi traders as i can see a very simple view on Dxy chart
that the bullish move is still going to complete the given level
if we watch deeply in the chart the DXY holding a strong support zone with a strong data of CPI & NFP with FOMC meeting minutes then its an easy target for incoming days
Kindly share ur thoughts via comment session...
stay tuned for new updates
US-DXY SELL AFTER BREAKOUT !!!HELLO TRADERS ,
Double-Top Patterns Indicate Market Rally Could Be Nearing End
as i can see the chart DXY is holding a support zone and trading under the trend line so
outer middle east tensions are increasing day by day no ceasefire happen soon in coming days war is spreading to other nations that not good for $ it had still not touch 107.40 level in this volatility this just an idea i personally enter in sell if it break the support as it is drawn in chart with a small risk and higher rewards
Stay tuned for updates on chart
US Dollar Soaring with US Yield - Let's Long DXY!US dollar is currently on the rise, dancing in perfect harmony with the surging US yield!
The US dollar has been flexing its muscles lately, gaining strength against several major currencies. This upward trajectory has been propelled by the impressive rise in US yields, which have been climbing to new heights. It's a fantastic opportunity for us to capitalize on this bullish trend and potentially reap some significant rewards.
Now, you might be wondering how we can make the most of this incredible situation. Well, my dear traders, I would highly encourage you to consider going long on the US Dollar Index (DXY). By taking a long position on DXY, we can align ourselves with the current market sentiment and potentially maximize our profits.
Here's why I believe this is a golden opportunity:
1. Strong US Economy: The US economy has been showing remarkable resilience, with positive economic indicators and robust recovery efforts. This strength is attracting investors, leading to increased demand for the US dollar.
2. Rising US Yield: The surge in US yields has been grabbing attention worldwide, making US bonds more attractive to investors seeking higher returns. This influx of capital further bolsters the US dollar's position.
3. Technical Indicators: By analyzing technical indicators, we can see a bullish pattern emerging in the US dollar. This pattern, combined with the positive fundamentals, reinforces our confidence in the potential success of a long position on DXY.
So, my dear traders, let's seize this opportunity and ride the wave of the rising US dollar together! I urge you to carefully evaluate your trading strategies, assess the risks involved, and consider initiating a long position on DXY to potentially capitalize on this exciting market movement.
Remember, success in trading often comes from recognizing opportunities and acting upon them swiftly. The US dollar's ascent, coupled with the soaring US yield, presents us with a chance to make profitable trades and elevate our trading portfolios.
DXY - DXY trading trend todayIn a year when the US economy beat all recession forecasts, budget ferocity has nearly doubled, and weak budget guidance has been found to be almost more lethal than interstate budget wars. faction in Washington.
The government decimated $2.02 billion in the fiscal year through September, after adjusting to remove the impact of President Joe Biden's student debt forgiveness program, which was struck down by the Supreme Court. This level is 1.02 USD rate higher than the previous year.
The extent of this increase could lead to financial statements that economists, politicians and agencies have previously warned against credit warnings. That also explains why long-term bond yields are hitting their highest level since 2007, with the government needing to issue more bonds to offset the blip. Yields on 10-year notes exceeded 5% on Monday.
Republican lawmakers have faulted President Biden for out-of-control spending, even though they are so firm on how to handle the budget that they have not yet agreed to elect a new speaker of the House of Representatives. . Meanwhile, spending needs continue to grow, with the White House calling for $106 billion in emergency funding for Israel, Ukraine and the US-Mexico border.
Yet for all the politics of spending, the main source of growing evil in 2023 is actually revenue. Much of the rest is due to the spoils of battle, another force that also causes fierce debate among the zodiac signs.
According to JPMorgan, the fire as a percentage of GDP increase represents the weakest three years since 1950. But fiscal 2023 sees strong economic growth, with more than 3 million people adding jobs jobs at My.
DXY short term Shorts to 105.200SCENARIO 1 - This is my bias for the dollar index (DXY) which gives us extra confluence for my two GBPUSD & EURUSD temporary longs that I have recently posted. As they have a negative correlation between them it gives our trade ideas more confirmation. Im currently expecting price to react as it's in a 8hr supply zone and distribute to eventually sell off towards 105.200 or even lower possibly to 104.700. Once price reaches there we will then expect the dollar to push back up again from those POI's below ( 6hr or 4hr demand zone.)
My confluences for dollar (DXY) shorts are as follows:
- Price changed character to the downside on the higher time frame as well as broke structure indicating the shift in trend has become bearish.
- Price entered an 8hr supply zone that has caused this break of structure to the downside.
- Momentum has slowed down (a good sign that price wants to go back down.)
-Wyckoff distribution taking place to liquidate any previous buyers that was in profit to then allow us to enter the best possible sell position down towards the designated target.
- A few Imbalances have been left below that it must come back and fill.
- Lots of liquidity below as well to target in the form of untouched Asia lows and engineering liquidity.
P.S. Obviously as this is not the only possible scenario, price could also go higher and react off the 6hr supply zone above current price and mitigate that extreme zone to then sell off from there. Either way we are anticipating a drop to follow the bearish trend that has been formed.
Dollar Show Signs of Flat Price Action until Year-End
Here is an important update regarding the current state of the dollar and its potential price action for the remainder of the year. It is crucial to approach the subject with caution and consider the implications for your investment decisions.
Over the past few months, the dollar has exhibited signs of flat price movement, showing limited volatility and a lack of clear direction. This trend is likely to persist until the end of the year, as various economic factors and market uncertainties continue to influence its performance.
While it is tempting to engage in active investing in the Dollar Index (DXY) during such periods, it is important to exercise prudence and carefully evaluate the potential risks involved. The lack of significant movement in the dollar can make it challenging to achieve substantial returns within a short timeframe.
Considering these circumstances, I encourage you to pause your DXY investing activities and reassess your strategies accordingly. It is crucial to remain vigilant and closely monitor market developments, as sudden shifts in global economic dynamics or geopolitical events could potentially disrupt the current flat price action.
As traders, it is essential to adapt to the prevailing market conditions and adjust our investment approaches accordingly. This period of relative stability in the dollar can provide an opportunity to diversify our portfolios and explore alternative investment options that may offer better potential returns.
I urge you to consider this cautious approach and take the necessary time to evaluate your investment strategies. By doing so, you can ensure that your capital is deployed wisely and in alignment with the prevailing market dynamics.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you continued success in your trading endeavors.
Unveiling the Bearish Momentum: DXY📈 Technical Analysis of DXY: Key Support Break and Bearish Momentum
In this technical analysis, we explore the recent price movements of the DXY (US Dollar Index) on an 8-hour chart, with a focus on the short direction. Discover the key support break, formation of lower highs, and projected path for the DXY.
🔑 Title: Unveiling the Bearish Momentum: DXY Technical Analysis and Projected Path
1. Key Highlights:
Key Support Level Test: DXY tested the critical support level at 105.262 on October 12th, which historically influences price movements.
2. Formation of Lower Highs: After the support test, DXY formed a series of lower highs, suggesting a potential bearish bias as each subsequent high is lower than the previous one.
3. Break of Swing Low: On October 18th, DXY breached the swing low at 105.65, indicating a possible continuation of the bearish momentum and raising the likelihood of breaking the key support level at 105.262 in the upcoming week.
4. Projected Path: Analysis indicates a potential further drop in DXY, with a projected decline towards the support line at 105.08 in the next two days. A subsequent rebound towards the key level of 105.66 may occur, forming a lower high and confirming the continuation of the downtrend towards the next key level at 104.30.
5. USD Currency Pairs Analysis: Among USD currency pairs, EURUSD exhibits the strongest upward momentum, followed by GBPUSD, presenting potential risk-to-reward opportunities for swing trades in long positions.
6. Gogo Trend Scalper Indicator🔍: Gogo Trend Scalper, our trend indicator, shows the moving average (MA) in red, currently turning downwards, further supporting the bearish outlook for DXY and suggesting a potential decline in the index.
💡 Stay tuned and closely monitor the technical analysis of DXY. The break of key support, formation of lower highs, and confirmation of downward momentum indicated by our trend indicator suggest a potential bearish bias. Adapt your strategies accordingly and make informed trading decisions based on the analysis provided.
🔔Remember, market conditions are subject to change, so stay updated and be prepared to adjust your approach as needed.
🔔Don't forget to like and share to friends this post to stay informed about future technical analysis and Forex trading insights. Let's navigate the Forex market together and make informed trading decisions.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed the Breakout of the Daily Descending Trend Line But it hasn't Completed the Retracement. Making Corrective Wave " B " in LTF and STF. Break of Structure , Broke and Retraced Previous Resistance. Divergence - RSI
Entry Precaution :
Israel / Palestine War is affecting the Market , It is unstable so be careful and Use Proper Risk Management
DXY - Fed Chairman: 'Inflation is still too high'Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that although inflation has cooled, the Fed remains committed to achieving its 2% target.
In a speech in New York on October 19, Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tightening policy had brought inflation back under control, but stressed that the Fed must remain cautious in pursuing its goals. .
“Inflation remains too high. A few months of positive statistics are just the beginning of giving us confidence that inflation will return to target. But it remains to be seen how long these positive numbers will last, or how inflation will fare in the coming quarters. I don't know yet whether that will happen." He reiterated that Fed officials are "unanimously committed to bringing inflation down to 2%."
The speech raises questions about the Fed's future policy after a series of consecutive interest rate hikes. The Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022, and the current interest rate is 5.25%. This is the highest level in 22 years.
However, Chairman Powell believes that current interest rates are not too high. "Are the guidelines too strict? I don't think so," he said, but acknowledged that "rising interest rates are making things difficult for everyone."
The Fed also highlighted recent good progress on its goals. The inflation rate as of September was 3.7%, a significant drop from over 9% in the middle of last year. "The latest figures show progress on both our goals of maximum employment and price stability. The economy remains in very good shape."
But the comments came on the same day as reports showed the number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week was the lowest since the start of the year. This indicates that the labor market is tightening, which could put upward pressure on inflation.
In recent days, a number of Fed officials have said the Fed may temporarily pause rate hikes. Even the most pro-tightening members expect the Fed to wait for further economic impact from its last rate hike. The market now expects the Fed to halt rate hikes, at least for now.
The question is when will they start cutting interest rates? “If the environment remains risky and uncertain, we will be more cautious. The Fed will make decisions based on upcoming data, prospects and risks,” Powell said.
All eyes are on the Fed's keynote speech
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a major policy speech on October 19th. The aim is to convince the market that the relevant central banks will continue to keep the inflation regime in check, but perhaps not, and that there will be some "easing" going forward.
The first monetary policy plan was submitted to the New York Economic Club as the U.S. economy faces many pressing issues.
Inflation has improved recently, but U.S. Treasury yields are rising, sending mixed signals about the direction of monetary policy. While most markets expect the Fed to keep interest rates on hold, they still expect Powell to confirm and clarify officials' views on the current situation and long-term trends.
Luke Tilley, chief economist at financial services firm Wilmington Trust, said Chief Executive Officer Powell continues to talk about inflation risks given the strength of the economy and unexpected consumer spending in the third quarter. I predict that.
Essentially, chief economist Tilley expects Powell's message to be divided into three parts. First, the Fed had to raise rates quickly, and they did. Next, the Fed needs to set a maximum interest rate, which is at the heart of the debate. And finally, we need to figure out how long interest rates need to stay at this high level to bring inflation down to our 2% target level.
DXY (dollar)Hello dear traders
I think we are nearing the end of the rising wave... Is it time for correction?
There are 2 scenarios to start price correction with tecnical and fibou extention
and there are many reasons for fundamental : In a recent tweet, Kiyosaki sounded the alarm bells, pointing to a conversation he had during a podcast with journalist Dr. Nomi Prins, who has delivered a simple yet impactful message: "Get money out of banks."
Did a pod cast with Dr. Nomi Prins. She is a Fed insider author of Collusion & her latest book Permanent Distortion. Her message is simple, get money out of banks. She reports FDIC has over 725 banks on watch list. Be wise. Be smart. Stay ahead of crashing banks
— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) September 28, 2023
Kiyosaki's concern stems from the alarming Prins' revelation that the FDIC is monitoring over 725 banks, hinting at potential instability within the banking sector.
good luck
DXY - The US dollar index is showing signs of slowing downEconomists said the Fed had completed its monetary tightening cycle, reducing the chances of the U.S. going into recession.
In the Wall Street Journal's latest quarterly survey, economists and business leaders lowered the odds of the U.S. going into recession next year from an average of 54% in July to a more optimistic 48%. This is the first time since the middle of last year that the probability has fallen below 50%.
He mainly attributes his optimism to three factors. Inflation continues to decline, the Federal Reserve has finished raising interest rates, the job market is strong, and economic growth is well above expectations. The survey was conducted October 6-11 among 65 economists. Doug Porter and Scott Anderson, economists at BMO, say the odds of the U.S. going into recession continue to decline as the banking sector crisis eases and the labor market and incomes recover strongly. Rising real income supported consumption.
DXY HOW I LOOK AT THIS CHART The last two analyzes that I will mark below showed that I was bearish below the weekly level. After that, a bullish divergence appeared and the shorts were manipulated.
Therefore, this zone was retested and if it is only 1 hour of the saint, we got a strong reaction. Zones that I watch, below the weekly level 106 - bearish, the last price for me.
Above closing if possible daily 106.7 for me the door is open for 108 and the deviation is not yet confirmed.
Below, see my predictions since the beginning of this manipulation
Any move for DXY todayGold prices fell on Monday, but reversed after rising safe-haven demand led to a series of strong gains in the yellow metal as attention remained focused on the potential impact of the crisis. War between Israel and Hamas.
The yellow metal saw some profit-taking after rising more than 5% last week as the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war sent investors to safe havens.
Markets are now focused on whether the conflict between Israel and Hamas will spread to the Middle East as Israel prepares for a ground offensive in the Gaza Strip.
Prospects of rising US interest rates limit gold's appeal
Better-than-expected U.S. inflation data released last week signaled continued tightening by the Federal Reserve, and interest rates are likely to remain high for an extended period of time.
This view has weighed heavily on gold prices over the past year, and with US interest rates remaining high, any significant price gains for the yellow metal are likely to be limited.
Gold has seen some significant gains due to demand as a safe-haven asset, but primarily the dollar has remained the safe-haven asset of choice. Capital inflows into the dollar pushed it near a 10-month high last week.
Rising interest rates are bad for gold because they increase the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal. This thinking has capped the yellow metal's strong rally, even as deteriorating global economic conditions have increased demand for safe-haven assets.
How is the USD when the Middle East is"on the edge of the abyss"At least 30 US citizens died in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
According to CNN, on October 15 local time, a US State Department official said at least 30 US citizens were killed in the conflict between Palestinians and Israel. The official said the United States is "cooperating with the Israeli government on all aspects of the hostage crisis, including sharing intelligence and deploying experts from across the U.S. government to advise Israeli government regarding hostage rescue efforts."
The US expressed concern about the risk of war between Israel and Hamas spreading to the region and the possibility of Iran directly participating in the conflict.
Iran, a power in the Middle East, has provided much support to Hamas. Iran also supports Hezbollah, an armed Muslim force in Lebanon that is threatening to open a "second front" targeting Israel.
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on October 14 announced the deployment of a second aircraft carrier "to prevent hostile actions against Israel or any attempt to expand this war after the attack by Hamas." ".
The Iranian delegation to the United Nations on the same day warned that the Hamas-Israel conflict would escalate beyond control and "cause far-reaching consequences".