DOW JONES: Still bullish inside the Channel Up.Dow Jones has turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.990, MACD = 135.700, ADX = 29.049) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and is on a lengthy consolidation phase inside the two month Channel Up. The 4h RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, which doesn't mean much unless the 4H MA200 breaks, as the very same divergence emerged during the December - January consolidation. If the 4H MA200 breaks, we will prepare our short under the S1 level and target the top of the S2 zone (TP = 37,200). Until then, the Channel Up favors buying (TP = 39,500).
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EURUSD - Another Expanding Correction ??EURUSD is still in a downtrend, experiencing expanding corrections along its path. Watch for a rejection at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, then move to lower timeframes for entry. Once entered, your stop loss should be placed above the rejection candle, targeting the recent lows and the -0.27 level.
US30 - Perfect Zigzag Pattern ZIGZAG Pattern is made up of 3 waves were Wave A has 5 impulse waves, Wave B has 3 corrective waves, and Wave C has 5 waves. Our main focus is riding Wave C once wave B finishes its retracements to fibonacci levels. Ideally, Wave A = Wave C. This means if Wave A made 20% move, Wave C should do the same.
Nasdaq 4 hour = mini crashI predict Nasdaq will go to Fino 64% , strongly advice put SELLSTOP in last low 17544 ( break it mean down trend will start)
save in mind.long term = Nasdaq weekly chart target is 21000 so be carefull from sell(use 50% low size)
only for Nasdaq and gold =keep monitor AC indicator on daily chart
can Nasdaq go upper? yes if last high 1873 break ,up trend can continue, so 100% put sl on last high
wish you big,stable profit
US30 Analysis: Eyes on USD Strength Amid CPI DataHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 38570 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out. If we get dips below the 38570 support we will be looking for a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
The recent release of CPI data showing a higher-than-expected increase in inflation has bolstered expectations for USD strength. With inflationary pressures mounting, there's growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more hawkish stance, potentially leading to a stronger USD. Furthermore, the negative correlation between USD and US30 suggests that a strengthening USD could weigh on the performance of US30.
Improved CPI, but Market Collapse – What is Happening?Just about 1.5 years ago, inflation reached the highest point in recent decades. The January inflation number for 2024 was released on February 13th. Its CPI has improved from 3.4% for December to 3.1%. However, the major US stock indices collapsed more than 1% on the same day. Why is there such nervousness surrounding improved inflation, and what are its implications?
Mirco E-minin Dow Jones Futures & Options
Outright: 1.0 index points = $0.50
Symbol code: MYM
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TARGET REACHED - And ongoing to Target 2 - 40,0042The trade analysis we had for Dow Jones couldn't have played out better.
On paper and theory, this just rocked to its first target 37,242.
But then, it entered into a trending market. This is where it's very tough for breakout traders to get in.
This is very tough for reversal traders to trade.
This is very tough for range bounded trades to buy and sell.
So, all we can do is wait for the trend to continue up and form a new pattern. Or continue holding and raising the trailing stop loss each week.
But it looks like the next target is set for 40,0042.
I'll wait and observe as it feels top heavy and I don't really have a good strategy to get in right now.
us30 sellsUs30 reached resistance and started to show BOS to the downside on 5mins and 15mins.
Upon seeing this I waited for retracment and rejections at entry zone of 38490.000 with sl@ 39520.00 (30pts).
TP1: 38400.000 TP2: 38350.00 TP3: 38330.00 TP4:38150.00
* Where has the market moved since I entered my trade? Slight profits
* If I looked at the market now, would I take the same trade? yes
* How do I feel about my trade? nervous & unsure but optimistic.Glad it let the trade play out
* What do I like about this trade ? My entry was good & stayed calm when price retraced up
* What do I dis-like about this trade now? Price Was so choppy and still is but trust my analysis
* On a scale of 1 to 10, where would I rate this Trade now? 8/10
* If I were not in a trade now, would I take the opposite trade ? No
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Diagonal
Support – 38,135, 37,135
Resistance – 38,810
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 on the daily chart.
What a solid run we have seen till yesterday's CPI data. After US CPI came in hotter than expected, this shocked the market and led to heavy selling on stock indexes and risk currencies with a flight to safety (USD).
We have broken down price action, price patterns and levels we are watching. Is this nothing more than a buying opportunity, or is this a potential momentum change?
Good trading.
EURUSD - Missed NFP Move?? Get Ready for CPI 🧨Hello Traders,
We are still expecting EUR weakness for the coming week.
SHORT Entry:
- Once we get into 61.8% - 78.6% fibo. Jump down into lower timeframes and search for a break of structure or break of trendline for entry ( Refer to the example below ) .
- STOPLOSS: Above NFP high.
- TARGET: Recent lows and -27% fibo
Will keep you updated as price get closer to our area of interest.
As always, trade safe.
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to 61.8% Fibo 39259.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the price is in an upward movement and will continue its movement in wave 3. I suppose that a small correction is possible, after which I expect that the price will come at least to the area of 61.8% Fibonacci extension level 39259.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to 100% Fibo 38931.Dear colleagues, I suppose that the price will continue its upward movement. Now I see the formation of wave 3 and it may reach the area of 100% Fibonacci extension level 38931. Before this movement a small correction to the 38186 area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Dow Jones March Futures looks Great to Slide lowerHello Everyone.
Forex market seems to be stuck in a mud and we seems to be in a highly manipulative environment. but soon market is going to be normal and we will have alot of setups forming but as of now i have a Dow jones YMH2024 March contract for short..
the Current model is 2022 Model as per inner circle trader concept which is my personal favorite and the most easy one. as per this we can see the Dow has taken out the buystops and given a market structure shift for the downside and market reprised higher in the Entry zone which is generally known as Fair value Gap. so therefore i am expecting price to go lower and target 38490 level.
This is a very clean and clear setup which has a higher probability to hit the target. but due to weekends there could be a shift if some news come out. otherwise its good to go
DOW JONES Channel Up with the 4H as the key level.Dow Jones (DJI) is trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 4H time-frame with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting since the January 19 break-out, being right on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As long as the price action is closing candles above it, we remain bullish, targeting a Higher High at 39100.
If it closes a 4H candle below the 4H MA50, we will take the loss and sell instead, targeting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 37800. Note that the last medium-term Support has been the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on January 18 and being overbought for too long on the 1D time-frame while the 4H RSI is on a Bearish Divergence throughout the index' whole Channel Up, a short-term correction to the 1D MA50, would technically be quite likely here.
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"DOW: Expert Predictions on Where DOW Prices are Heading Next!⭕️Technically, the Dow Jones index in the one-hour time frame has the support interval of the bottom of the ascending channel in the range of 38470-38551, and on the condition of maintaining and not registering any close candle time of four hours below it, the rate can aim to complete the BEARISH CRAB harmonic pattern up to The resistance range should increase in the range of 39027-39135.📌🎯
DJI, Elliott wave analysisOutlook for DJI on 4h chart.
There has been no changes since the last update.
I think we are on sub-wave 5 of wave (5).
If this scenario is correct, Upper-degree wave (b) of c will complete.
next phase is upper-degree wave (c).
It will probably crash.
Last time my idea.
■Jan 27, 2024. middle-term analysis.
Dow Jones Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)