DowJones (US30) Bearish patterns and signsIn this 1-hour chart of DowJones (US30), we observe a significant bearish pattern forming after the price action. The market hunted the highs of both the Asia and Euro sessions during the NY session, which typically signals a liquidity grab. This maneuver often leads to a swift reversal, as is evident by the price dropping back down after touching the resistance zone.
The index has broken down from a rising wedge pattern, a bearish reversal signal. This suggests that after the false breakout to the upside, the DowJones is poised for a considerable decline. Traders should anticipate further bearish momentum, potentially leading the index down to lower levels. The break below the wedge confirms that the upward momentum has weakened, and sellers are likely to dominate, pushing the price down further.
Keep an eye on support levels for any potential slowdowns, but the overall trend appears to be bearish for the immediate future.
DOW
US30 (Consolidation Zone )Technical Analysis
The price is expected to consolidate between 38,790 and 38,580 until a breakout occurs. The bullish pressure remains, especially if the price can break above 38,790, indicating a move towards 39,050.
Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 will initiate a bullish trend, targeting 39,050. Breaking this level could lead to further gains, reaching up to 39,350.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38,580, it could decline to 38,400. Sustained trading below this level may result in a further drop to 38,050.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 38,790
- Resistance Levels: 39,050, 39,350, 39,700
- Support Levels: 38,580, 38,400, 38,290
Today's Expected Range: The price is expected to move between the support level at 38,580 and the resistance level at 39,050.
US30 Dow Jones Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaRecently, the US30 has experienced downward pressure. A bearish pattern is evident on the 4-hour chart. At present, it has traded into a key support zone and there’s a strong possibility we see it pullback. The video discusses the Dow Jones prevailing trend, recent price movements, overall market structure, and presents several trading ideas for your consideration.
Please remember, the content provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, highlighting the importance of consistently applying strong risk management strategies. 📈🚀📊
How to pick trades in different market conditionsIn the video I look at two different markets and the resultant setups which yielded the prime trades. The two markets had to be approached in different ways, especially early in the session.
I look through the price action on the DOW and then the Nasdaq. The DOW proved to be more clear cut and a trend style approach while the Nasdaq was very choppy and warranted a range or reversion style approach to the trades.
Still, both were tradable and produced some good scalps although the action had to be recognised early.
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DOW JONES The bleeding may not be over. How low will it go?On our last Dow Jones (DJI) analysis (May 24, see chart below), we called for the high probability of a bearish break-out below the Channel Down, following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross (similar to April 02):
As you can see, Dow delivered, so our 38350 Target got hit, with minimum losses on the buy position at the bottom of the Channel Up. Yesterday's rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) though, is far from ideal and opens the way for more downside.
The chart shows DJI's long-term pattern, which has been a Channel Up since the October 03 2022 market bottom. The periodic corrections through Bearish Legs have both declined by -9.25%, a striking resemblance indeed. Yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection basically resembles those of the past Bearish Legs on March 06 2023 and October 17 2023.
Ahead of the 1D MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross, which could be completed by tomorrow, there is high probability for a deeper Low, at least as Low as Support 1 (37250). This would be ideal as it would also make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 7 months (since November 03 2023)!
After that though, we will turn into long-term buyers again, even though that wouldn't complete the -9.25% decline of the previous Bearish Legs, but in terms of R/R would be acceptable enough to aim for 40000 before the Channel Up goes for a Higher High.
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US30 (Consolidation zone) Technical Analysis
The price increased by approximately 1.95%, perfectly reaching our previously mentioned targets.
Today’s Outlook: The price is expected to consolidate between 38,580 and 38,790 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38,580, it could decline to 38,400. Sustained trading below this level may lead to a further drop to 38,050.
Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 indicates a potential bullish trend, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38580
Resistance Levels: 38790, 39050, 39350
Support Levels: 38410, 38020, 37820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38400 and the resistance level at 39050
previous idea:
US30 (Looks like bullish confirmation)Technical Analysis
The price dropped and reached our weekly target of 38,050, as mentioned at the beginning of the week.
Now, the price will likely attempt a retest up to 38,190 and 38,400 before potentially dropping again. The bearish trend will be activated by stability below 38,050, targeting 37,820.
A bullish scenario will be triggered if the price breaks above 38,790, aiming for 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38,675
Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350
Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 37,820 and the resistance level at 38,400.
previous idea:
US30 (Toward Support Zone...)US30 Technical Analysis
The price dropped from the pivot line at 39,050, as we noted at the beginning of the week. It is currently heading towards 38,500 and 38,400. If the price stabilizes below this support zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue towards 38,020 and 37,820 for the week. Today, the price is anticipated to consolidate between 38,500 and 38,790 until a breakout occurs.
A bullish scenario will be activated if the price breaks above 38,790, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38,675
Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350
Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38,400 and the resistance level at 38,790.
Previous idea:
DOW JONES: Correction completed. Time for a new High.Dow Jones may have turned red on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.469, MACD = -17.010, ADX = 38.217) but it is only neutral on 1W (RSI = 52.498) suggesting that on the long run, these are strong buy levels from a R/R perspective. Two weeks ago we called the current pullback to 38,550 as a possibility but now it is time to turn bullish again. As you can see, on the 1W timeframe, there are striking resemblances with the Channel Up of March 2023 and in today's terms we are on the May's 2023 corrective wave. We expect at least a +13.67% rise from the recent bottom and our target sits slightly under that level (TP = 42,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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US30 - 15m Buy OpportunityThe recent price action in the Dow Jones (US30) shows a potential buying opportunity after a significant drop. To manage risk effectively, it's essential to make this buy position risk-free by moving the stop-loss to breakeven or into profit. This approach ensures that even if the market reverses, you will not incur a loss on this trade.
With the current setup, wait for price action signals to confirm the next movement towards the target levels. Watch for bullish signs such as higher highs and higher lows, or bullish candlestick patterns that indicate continued upward momentum. By doing so, you can maximize profits while minimizing risks.
US30 (Technical and Geopolitical Weekly Analysis)Technical and Geopolitical Analysis:
The previous weekly chart indicated a strong upward movement, but the market is now poised to react to geopolitical pressures, particularly the tensions between China and Taiwan, expected to intensify this week and continue into next month.
Technical Analysis:
Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above 38,700, it is likely to move between 38,700 and 40,050. Any sustained stability above 40,005 will signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially reaching 40,970. A retest at 40,005 could occur before the bullish trend resumes.
Bearish Scenario: The bearish trend will be confirmed if the price closes below 38,700 on at least the daily chart, targeting 37,990. The next significant support level is 36,460, which is strong support for this year.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 38,700
Resistance Prices: 39,500, 40,005, 40,970
Support Prices: 38,300, 37,990, 36,460
The expected trading range will be between the support at 37,990 and the resistance at 40,050.
DOW JONES Should this Bearish Cross worry us?The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 40000 Target that we set on our May 06 idea (see chart below) and after that experienced a sharp pull-back:
So far this is within the lines of a natural technical correction correction towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which during uptrends tends to be re-tested as a Support. Notice also that this is where the 0.382 Fibonacci level is, an important technical Support during pull-backs.
As long as it holds, the Channel Up has the much needed Higher Low that can enable it to move to a Higher High. We expect that to be around 41500 (+6.30% rise, similar to the previous Bullish Leg).
On the other hand, since the 1D MACD completed a Bearish Cross yesterday, we need to consider the possibility of a deeper pull-back, as the last 1D MACD Bearish Cross (April 02), delivered a -6.88% decline. As a result, if the 1D MA50 breaks though, we will take that small loss and go on a short-term sell instead, targeting 38350 (0.618 Fibonacci level).
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US30 (DowJones) - 4H a bearish correctionThe Dow Jones has recently captured liquidity above the previous high, as indicated by the sharp move and subsequent rejection from the highlighted resistance zone.
This failure to consolidate above the resistance suggests that the bullish momentum has temporarily exhausted, and we could see a retracement.
The price is likely to pull back to the green support zones marked on the chart before attempting another bullish push.
Traders should watch for potential buy opportunities at these support levels, anticipating a bounce and continuation of the upward trend after this correction.
US30 Forecast US30 New Forecast
Nasdaq and S&P 500 Futures Rise on Chip Stock Rally Following Nvidia’s Positive Revenue Forecast
Futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq and the benchmark S&P 500 climbed on Thursday as chip stocks rallied, bolstered by Nvidia's optimistic revenue forecast, which strengthened investor confidence in the rapid growth of artificial intelligence technology.
Traders anticipate the U.S. central bank will reduce interest rates by nearly 40 basis points by year-end (FEDWATCH). Additionally, markets closely monitor economic data scheduled for release throughout the day, including weekly jobless claims, S&P Global flash PMIs, and housing figures.
Technical Side:
As noted in the previous chart, the price corrected to the support line at 39,540.
Now, it will remain in the bullish zone as long as it trades above 39,540, targeting 39,790 and potentially 40,005. However, if it stabilizes below 39,540, the price is likely to drop to 39,360.
Pivot line: 39650
Resistance Prices: 39850, 40005, 40130
Support Prices: 39360, 39070, 38790
The movement range will be between support 39360 and Resistance 40130
US30 (Sensitive Consolidation Movement )Dow Jones New Forecast
You should see a few more months of inflation data that appear to be falling (before any prices are lowered)
The price corrected to their support line as we mentioned in the previous chart,
so now still has a consolidation between 39790 and 40005 till breaking, from this support line will try to start a bullish trend toward 40005, and above it will get 40130 and more
otherwise closing 4h candle under 39785 means will drop to get 39580
Pivot line: 39790
Resistance Prices: 40005, 40130, 40420
Support Prices: 39570, 39360, 39070
The movement range will be between support 39790 and Resistance 40130
Previous idea:
US30 (Rally Movement...)Nvidia Reports on the Horizon, Wall Street Gains Pre-Bell; Asian and European Markets Up
Wall Street futures indicated a slight rise pre-bell Monday as traders processed the final stages of the earnings season.
Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is scheduled to announce its earnings after the market closes on Wednesday. This week will also see financial results from Lowe's ( NYSE:LOW ), PDD ( NASDAQ:PDD ), and Intuit ( NASDAQ:INTU ).
On Wednesday afternoon, the US Federal Reserve will publish minutes from its most recent policy meeting.
Wix.com ( NASDAQ:WIX ) shares increased by 7.8% pre-bell following the company’s report of higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.
In futures trading, the S&P 500 increased by 0.1%, the Nasdaq rose by 0.2%, and the Dow Jones remained steady.
Overnight, Asian markets mostly traded higher, while European stocks turned positive by midday.
Technically :
The Dow Jones has reached a new all-time high.
Stability above 40005 suggests the bullish trend will continue towards 40130 and 40420. Conversely, if the price stabilizes below 40005, it is likely to drop to 39790.
Pivot line: 40005
Resistance Prices: 40130, 40420, 40730
Support Prices: 39820, 39540, 39360
The movement range will be between support 39790 and Resistance 40420
Trapped traders provides a great Short opportunity on DOW The plan for the session was to trade short off resistance on the DOW after an initial opening drive higher. The short side was the play and paid out nicely for patient sellers.
In the video I talk through the key Price Action for the move and prime trade areas on the DOW Index.
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Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures Short-Term Video Idea#DJIA EASYMARKETS:DOWUSD
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DOW JONES: Two levels to buy.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.964, MACD = 188.520, ADX = 55.476) and has completed three green 1W candles in a row. Having reached the 0.786 Fibonacci level, the last confirmation left to see in order to call for a continuation of this uptrend is for the 1W RSI to cross over its MA. The moment it does, we will buy again and target the Channel's top (TP = 42,000). Until that moment, we will wait for a more comfortable buy lower at 38,550 (TP = 42,000 again).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DOW JONES made 1st 4H Golden Cross in 6 months!Dow Jones (DJI) gave us a solid bullish break-out signal after it broke out above its 1D MA50 last week (May 06, see chart below):
As you can see this gave way to a new Channel Up, which we view on the current analysis on the 4H time-frame. That is because on Friday it formed the first 4H Golden Cross in 6 months (since November 08 2023)!
This is on its own a very strong bullish signal but it gets even stronger if we consider the fact that the last 4H Golden Cross was formed while the index was in a similar pattern, recovering from August - October correction.
Dow then entered a very aggressive uptrend/ Channel Up that never broke even its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) before January. As a result, we move our short-term Target even higher, on a symmetrical +3.45% Bullish Leg at 40300, which will be a new All Time High (ATH) for the index.
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DOW JONES ANALYSISChart : 4Hour
Overall Trend : Bullish
Current Market Structure : Consolidation
Scenario 1 :
Price has been respecting the 39600 level as it did reject from that level with a heavy push to the downside on Friday .
We can look for short term selling opportunities in the market targeting the imbalance in the market . Or targeting the 4hour demand levels
DOW JONES Broke above its 1D MA50. Is it bullish finally?Dow Jones (DJI) broke on Friday above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 10 and even though it failed to close above it, today has already established the price action above it. This is a strong first bullish signal but isn't enough by itself.
Even though the 1D RSI has already turned its MA from Resistance to Support, we need to see a 1D candle closing above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, as we pointed out in previous analyses. If that happens, we will turn bullish again, targeting the 40000 High. Until then, having low risk on this strategy being so close to the invalidation level, we are bearish and targeting 37900 (the 0.236 Fibonacci level).
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Gartley and a Cypher brotherhood - short DOWDespite the cluttered chart I think we have a Fib confluence area build around two common harmonic patterns - Gartley 222 (Redish area) and the Cypher (Blue area).
Whether you sold the 88% retracement ()In the CYpher scenario or the 78% retracement ()the Gartley scenarioI think we have a good scenario for a short trade.
Protecting stop at 1 to 1 then and aiming for some runner that really needs to drop to make our RR interesting.