YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 FEB 20
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 FEB 20
Finally we see some movement from Dow.
34605-34432 rotational play based on 06 Feb's analysis garnered.
Possible scenarios:
1) Rotational play: Trades can be executed at boundary of rotation
range 34605 / 32789.
Note: 34605-34432: If market trades toward the upper boundary =
possibility of breakout
2) Rotational breakout/breakdown:
- If price breakout, long when price retraces and finds support
Volume Analysis:
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close below middle = minor supply
Daily: Ave vol up bar, demand overcoming supply = demand
H4: Ave vol up bar close toward high = minor demand
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
35750 35228 34432-34605
33624 33037- 32789
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DOW
DOW JONES Take advantage of this excellent channel!Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Up for the past three weeks. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel we clearly see the heavy varience levels within 0.236 - 0.786. We will buy low and sell high for as long as the pattern remains valid.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current 4H candle.
2. Sell at 34300.
3. Buy at 33900.
4. Sell at 34400.
Targets:
1. 34300.
2. 33900.
3. 34000.
4. 33950.
Tips:
1. The 4hour RSI is inside a range that matches perfectly the highs and lows of the Channel. Use it for additional confirmation of entries/ exits.
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DOW JONES: Simple buy low, sell high inside the Channel Up.Dow is bullish on both the 4H (RSI = 52.865, MACD = 54.270, ADX = 29.792) and the 1D (RSI = 53.777, MACD = 101.160, ADX = 20.876) time frames but not on a wide margin. This is because it has been on a rather controlled rise inside a Channel Up since December 20th (only broken once).
For the past 3 weeks every 4H MA200 pull back has been the most optimal buy entry, so use the next one near 33,750, as close to the RSI's range bottom as possible, and TP = 34,600.
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Dow Disbelief RallyIt has been over two years since the COVID crash and despite people sharing 2008 fractal patterns, traders' expectations of a stock market crash have yet to be realized. In fact, recent chart patterns for the Dow Jones and NAS100 suggest that bottoming patterns are emerging. For further technical analysis of the NAS100, please refer to:
Notably, the Dow Jones has recently given a buy signal on stochastic momentum, though it is advisable to wait for monthly closure to confirm.
Historical analysis indicates that whenever both signal lines close above the 40 level, some sort of bull market emerges. This signal has fired off 13 times since 1995, producing an average 24% move to the upside, with an average time frame of 276 days from signal to local top. Assuming a 24% move from current levels, the DOW is expected to reach 1.618 42268.
Based on the chart evidence, it appears that the probability of a rally to the upside is higher than that of a 2008-style stock market crash, at least not within the next six months, barring any unforeseeable black swan event.
DOW30- Will CPI data trigger a break and a push above 35k?After the double bottom under 29k and a break above descending trend line resistance, Dji has started to consolidate (as if it was waiting for Nas100 and SP500 to catch up, and now are all aligned:) ).
Technically, the picture is bullish and crystal clear, with a price waiting for a trigger to break above the triangle's resistance.
CPI could provide this trigger and, in such an instance, bulls could push Dow above 35k.
P.S: I don't think we are out of the woods and this optimism will last, but I've learned to now argue with the market
DOW JONES Still ranged. Keep scalping for maximum profits.Dow Jones (DJI) followed the exact trading plan that we published last Wednesday as it rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and today reached the Resistance Zone of 34300 - 34370(August 16 and January 15 Highs respectively). This keeps it neutral as we expected within the rough 33640 - 34180 Scalping Range:
The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has assumed the role of the Pivot and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) that of the Support (all candles closed above it). Our short-term trading plan remains scalping this range for as long as the price remains/ re-enters inside it. On the more medium-term, above the green Pivot Zone we are buyers targeting 34300, while below the Higher Lows trend-line we are sellers targeting 32700 (above the 32480 Support). Similarly, we will take the buy break-out if the price breaks the 34370 January 15 High and target the 34910 December 13 High.
Keep in mind that this Higher Lows trend-line is what helped us take this accurate buy entry 4 weeks ago as you can see on the chart below:
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US30 (DOW JONES) The idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. The current upward move is to be marked as wave X correction which means a wave Y will unfold driving the prices much lower. The wick at 34895 can be marked as Invalidation for this analysis.
DOW JONES Channel Up. Strong buy, two targets.Dow Jones is rebounding on its 4Hour MA200, having been ranged effectively for the past 2 weeks. The pattern is a Channel Up since December 20th and the 2 week consolidation is similar to the one at the start of the Channel Up. It ended up to an aggressive Higher High wave. We have a first Target at 34150 and a second at 34550. Further confirmation is needed for higher prices as the Resistance Zone A above rejected the November rally.
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DJI potential for bullish rise to previous highLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 33704.98, where the support is. Stop loss will be at 32948.93, where the recent low is. Take profit will be at 34712.28, where the previous high is.
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DOW JONES Triangle trades and breakoutsDow Jones is trading within a Triangle pattern that starting forming on November 3rd.
So far we have have several rejections within its Lower Highs zone and rebounds within its Higher Lows zone.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the price touches the Higher Lows zone.
2. Sell when the price touches the Lower Highs zone.
Targets:
1. The bottom of the Lower Highs zone.
2. The top of the Higher Lows zone.
Tips:
1. If the price breaks above each Resistance, buy and target the next one. Vice versa, sell if the price breaks below each Support and target the next one.
2. The RSI is trading within its own Triangle. A breakout can be a leading indicator as to where the price will break as well.
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DOW JONES Scalping range emerged and our medium-term plan.Dow Jones (DJI) got rejected yesterday following Powell's speech as the Resistance Zone of 34300 - 34370 held (August 16 and January 15 Highs respectively), we expect it to turn neutral for a while and trade sideways within the rough 33640 - 34180 Scalping Range illustrated on the chart.
The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has assumed the role of the Pivot and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) that of the Support. Our short-term trading plan is to scalp this range for as long as the price remains/ re-enters inside it. On the more medium-term, above the green Pivot Zone we are buyers targeting 34300, while below the Higher Lows trend-line we are sellers targeting 32700 (above the 32480 Support). Similarly, we will take the buy break-out if the price breaks the 34370 January 15 High and target the 34910 December 13 High.
Keep in mind that this Higher Lows trend-line is what helped us take this accurate buy entry 3 weeks ago as you can see on the chart below:
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DOW on a bullish price action 🦐The Dow Jones Index is currently facing resistance at the 34,200 level, and the recent speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has created a bullish sentiment in the market.
The trendline for the index appears to be ascending and if the index were to break above the 34,200 resistance level, it could signal a buying opportunity for investors according to Plancton’s strategy.
The market's reaction to Powell's speech and the potential for a break above the resistance level are important factors for traders to consider in their decision-making.
DOW JONES: Triangle break showing the directionDow Jones is supported on its 1D MA50 but the Triangle pattern since December is keeping it neutral. This is evident both on the 4H (RSI = 45.787) as well as the 1D technicals (RSI = 50.080, MACD = 100.970, ADX = 28.781). As all candles, even the two instances that broke above, have closed inside the Triangle, we will go long or short when it breaks out and closes.
The Resistance and Support levels/ zones are clear on the chart. A price cross closing over the Triangle is a buy (TP = 35,350) just under R1 and a price closing under the Triangle is a sell (T{ = 32,550) just over S1.
Pay attention to the 1D RSI which is within its own Triangle. A breaking may be a leading indicator to the price break out.
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US30 SELLI am currently in a us30 sell
Reasons:
-I see a failed W
-Market already filled gap on febuary 3rd at 23:03
-Market broke current 5 min and 15 min support levels
-Market is respecting 5 and 15 min resistance
-We are in supply zone on 15min, 30min and 1 hour time fame
-My brain subconsciously recognizes a high probability pattern
Trade at your own risk.
Use low risk
US30 Outlook 2/5US30 price action hasn't been pretty over the last week, I still see reasons for it to appreciate, but I think the low of last week could be taken out first. Either way I don't love the PA and probably wont be trading it in the short term.
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 FEB 06
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 FEB 06
No trades taken for Dow last week as price stayed away from the
boundary of the rotation zone. We now have a rotation within
a rotation zone 34432-33624 :)
This is about 800pt range.
A modest upward trendline has formed, but but but demand is
is showing effort no result.
The 800pt range, although attractive, will unlikely be easy to trade.
Possible scenarios:
1) Rotational play: Trades can be executed at boundary of rotation
range 34605 / 32789.
- 34605-34432: Consideration - will market trace Nasdaq & SnP
for a breakout?
- Short if rejected at 34605-34432
2) Rotational breakout/breakdown:
- If price breakout, long when price retraces and finds support
Volume Analysis:
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close in middle = indecisive
Daily: Higher vol down bar close of low = some demand
H4: Ultra hi vol level bar, S>D = Supply coming in
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
35750 35228 34432-34605
33624 33037- 32789
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
DJI - The Stock Market Enters Wave 5: Blow-Off Top Then CRASH!Although the sentiment is incredibly bearish and the world expects the stock market to underperform, it has left thin order books, low liquidity and volume, and an overly emotional state of the market. Considering how certain most analysts, traders, and investors are that a recession is already here, most are in cash, short, or sidelined. This state of the market will lead to FOMO and a rapid chase of prices higher in the most emotional and hated rally ever. It happens fast, sucking in people very late into the wave, and ultimately ends faster than they are prepared for. Many people will take on debt to buy more very close to the top. Just as sentiment switches back to ultra bullish, everyone will be blind enough for the real recession and markets will collapse. This is really how Elliott Wave works - it is a socio-economic phenomenon based on investor sentiment and human behavior.
I'm publishing to be able to look back and see if this trajectory was correct at all.
Nasdaq-100 Index (US100) Important Breakout
After the yesterday's rate high, US100 index broke a key daily structure resistance and closed above that.
The broken structure turned into support.
The index will most likely keep growing.
Next resistances: 12769 / 13130
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DOW 1 HOUR : UPPER TARGET IS 35300 AND DOWN TARGET IS 31111we have 3 angeel on dow and look like want go to fibo161%(nasdaq too,,have buy ) dont pick sell more ,,,for sell we need dow break RED TREND LINE
buystop on high + buy above green arrow near EMA200 1hour is best action for now
if you have old sells, 100% put hedge buystop on last high and never never close it (main trend is up) , break 3angel will flyup dow ,,,,, then in next low close your sells frist,then in high close hedge buy
ALERT = INDEX LIKE NASDAQ,DOW,DAX ARE VERY COMPLEX,HARD NEED MINIMUM 5 YEAR PRACTICE ON DEMO ,if you dont have 5 year practice dont trade it in real money
good luck
DOW JONES A mix of patterns ahead of the Fed!The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has made a strong medium-term rise since our buy signal 12 days ago:
Still within the High Volatility region, hence neutral long-term, the price is rising today after finding Support within the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). The medium-term pattern is a Triangle, the short-term a Channel Up.
However the price needs to break above the 2 day Channel Down (red) in order to test the top of the Triangle and if broken extend the Channel Up into the medium-term to test the 34910 December High.
A break below the Channel Up, should extend the red Channel Down towards the bottom of the Triangle again.
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