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Ultimate Catalyst : Interest Rates NewsWe saw our increase on Eurusd Halted after the Fed raised rates 3 weeks ago. Now we gain more information on the reasons for their decision. The market has had time to digest the rates and resulted in a substantial decrease for the month of May. We must now observe how the market reacts to their reasons for an increase in rates and the cost of money. Will the dollar continue it's momentum and we see a Eurusd decrease, or will Eurusd pivot bullish in the short term as it digests the Fed's reasoning's. Bear Targets for the rest of May and the month of June are - 1.06654 Weekly Zone - 1.05426 Weekly Zone Bull targets for the rest of May are - a return to Daily level 1.08725 Bull targets for the month of June are - a return to 1.1024 weekly level - a push to 1.14655 Weekly level
by ShrewdCatfx
DXY: It won't happen, but if it does... 😱More than 97% of analysts say the FOMC won't raise interest rates tomorrow, but what will happen to Dollar Index, FX:EURUSD , TVC:GOLD and FRED:SP500 if Powell decides to hike interest rates by 25bp instead? Most likely, tomorrow's announcement will be our driver at least for the whole summer, because this event will have a strong impact on the market. So we just have to wait 24 hours, and we will have the verdict! ...And you? what do you think?
TVC:DXY
by TheAnonymousBanker
Sustainable Trend? / Eurusd Longs 🐂As price rejects our weekly Level 1.066 which began on May 31st, we map a possible scenario in which we may jump on the train with long positions. I am anticipating the new weekly candle to pullback first and create a bottom wick as most weekly candles contain. Price has arguably been in a range for the past 2 weeks. The Last 2 red folders news events last week assisted in the increase of price. I am anticipating the same sort of price action this week with CPI ( which is expected to decrease and in theory pump risk assets liek EUR) and Interest rates to be catlalysts for a further increase in price. I idea is that the general consensus for interest rates being held at the same rate supports our preceding trend to the upside. Because it will be priced in and the status quo maintains. The trend is developing to the upside and some news releases will act as a catalyst for a continuation or an excuse to pullback for lower price opportunities. If this bias blows over we may simply obersve a contiued rnage on Eurusd between Support level 1.06902 Daily Support level and 1.0776 (averaged) Daily resistance level. This range scenario or descent on Eurusd will occur if we observe risk off sentiment as crypto continues to plummet and we observe a correction on the U.S. stock indices. Institutions and other large players will crowd into buying the dollar and our ascent to 1.078 will look nothing more than a pump to lure in Late long liquidity as we fall back to 1.066 weekly level.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
The Eagle eyes a ( Risk on ) Inflation report 🦅The market is going up for asian session and I'm anticipating a correction of this price action during lodnon session. With USD CPI data during New york session it is possible price could just fly to the next daily resistance zone 1.0813. This will likely occur if the 4.1% forecasted inflation rate isn't met and inflation decreases at a slower rate than what is expected. I think this to be the more likely scenario because a .8% decrease in inflation seems like a bit much to me. I'm not anticipating that EURUSD will take it's lovely time increasing. It will be abrupt and cutthroat as the market blows through Investors's ***** ... Okay I will stop there because I don't want to make things to explicit. That's whats happening when price fluctuates 50 pips in the blink of an eye anyways. It's not what you want to hear but it's the truth. The unprepared will be taken to the slaughterhouse. I will implement my trading system as it allots. Risk management / Position sizing and capital preservation are especially significant during times like this. CPI data releases have acquired an important role in the last 2 years due consistently high inflation. If Eurusd continues it's downtrend on Higher timeframes and last week's bull candle was just a dead cat's bounce, then we may anticipate that price will spike at or above 1.0782 Daily resistance level or even go touch 1.0813 Daily resistance level before returning to the downside as the current daily candle closes back underneath 1.0782 Daily level and goes back down prior to FOMC interest rate news on Wednesday. Price has estalbished a new Daily support level at 1.0746
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD -Swing Trade 'Short Opportunity'- Swing Short Trade opportunity for $EUR/USD Short trade within Ascending Triangle, which is a Neutral Pattern that can be broken either to Bulls or Bears. Demand yells for lower $EUR/USD. Even on Volume Profile ; 4Hr* (TF) Stay Sharp ! Until the next one .. TRADE SAFE *** NOTE that this is not Financial Advice Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea
by Mr_J__fx
$DXY -Wave 'B' Completed- It seems TVC:DXY found temporary Support on the Bullish Cross Over in the last Week, by testing it thrice and jumping around. Concerning is the Change of Character (CHoCH) in Wave A of A-B-C correction ; by violating the last Higher High of 103.3 (where fibb is taken). However, this may only be a small issue regarding Higher Time Frames Uptrend. Zones to watch the weekk ahead for TVC:DXY ; - Support to hold at 103.3 ; (1 Fibb' level + S/R + EMA's Area - Wave B Continuation completion after Impulsive Wave A *Resistance at 0.618 Fibb's Golden Zone (or a bit Higher zooming in on Smaller TF Order Block) - Wave C continuation putting TVC:DXY @ 102.6 fibb level and trendline
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
US DOLLAR INDEX ____ SHORT-TERM BEARISH LONG-TERM BULLISHHello Traders, As expected last week, the dollar was bearish (see my previous DXY analysis below) but what you may notice is that Friday's candle close was bullish. I expect this week to rally the go bearish to takeout the lows of Friday's candle, after which, the long-term bullish move will commence. I will post my analysis on dollar-related pairs and how I will trade them according to my view of the dollar index. Follow me for more updates. Here's my previous DXY analysis which played out as speculated. Cheers, David
FX:USDOLLARShort
by jabariofafrica
$DXY - A Big Range (100.8 - 105.9) - The Dollar Index TVC:DXY has a very interesting short to mid term time frame ahead regarding its Price Action and Decision Making Time ticking . Currently TVC:DXY is bouncing around a Big Middline S/R area of 100-106 Range. Both 'ANIMALS' have their fair share of Case, while for now, Bulls are more dominant on medium term while Bears have taken total control of short term *Hourly Time Frames by CHoCH impulsively and having a realif bounce (completion of Wave (Bulls) - - -> Break out & Retest + Bull Flag formation pattern post break-out (Bears) - - - > Fakeout ; Wave C Headed Lower
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
DXY - Ready to skyrocket buying!This is DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) MONTHLY ANAYLSIS.. DXY Imminent Skyrocket Price is buying from Panic Zone (0 -382%) INSIDE MONTHLY DEMAND ZONE (PREVIOUSLY SUPPLY ZONE) We expect price BREAK 0% AREA (WEEKLY SUPPLY ZONE) and continue buying to TP1 A AND TP 2 B AREAS. TRIGGER: WAIT PRICE BREAK 0% AREA (104.620) When it's triggered, I suggest to open BUY POSITIONS on USD parallel pairs (USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF) and SELL POSITIONS on opposite (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, BTC/USD) BULLISH INTERNAL CYCLE - WEEKLY ANALYSIS. - TP 1 - AREA A: 50 - 61.8 % (109.719 - 110.923) - TP 2 - AREA B: 100 % (114.819) - FINAL DESTINATION: MONTHLY SUPPLY ZONE (RED AREA ABOVE)
TVC:DXYLong
by imktads
$DXY -Ballads of Dollar $- Monitoring The Dollar Index TVC:DXY and constantly keeping an eye on its Price Action packed with Stories to Tell , is very important in your Trading Journey. TVC:DXY its ; The best Strategy, the best Signal the best Indicator Why ? Because it's a Dollar Story ! As the phrase goes : 'Paper Rules the World' And so it does, to the average man working 9-5 having no aspiration to know the dark valleys of this World. And so it does, regarding us that are involved in Trading Financial Markets. While the most valuable of fiat currencies out there is The Mighty Dirty Dollar to whom the whole Economic System is based upon, it's a must to be diligent and vigilant over The Dollar Index's TVC:DXY price action stories. TRADE SAFE *** This is not Financial Advice ! Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor before partaking in any trading activity based solely on this idea
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
Creation of the Top wick / Weekly Candle / End of WeekThere are only two things that can happen on Friday's Daily Candle 1) Price may continue to create a larger weekly candle body or 2) the weekly candle will form a larger wick and retrace This week we are observing the latter Price is pulling away from the High prices created during yesterday's New York Session If the Daily candle closes beneath 1.0762 then we have returned back into the range and will be eyeing out potential short setups to begin next week. For Buys I would've preferred that we would have held 1.07615 Daily S/R Zone as we can see it played a key role in pivoting on 6/2, 5/19, and 3/27 Now we continue the range as far as Im concerned. We may pullback to the highs ( 1.0774 and 1.0786) early next week ( Monday/Tuesday ) then dive back to support at 1.069 Daily Support.
by ShrewdCatfx
DXY formed a MACD Bearish Cross and eyes April's lowThe US Dollar Index / DXY is pulling back after the rejection on the Falling Resistance. The completion of a 1day MACD Bearish Cross yesterday is enhancing the rejection with a stronger sell signal as on March 10th. Sell and target Support A at 101.000. If however a 1day candle closes over the Falling Resistance, buy on the short term and target the 1day MA200 at 105.000. New sells can be added there. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:DXYShort
by TheCryptagon
5
$DXY -Debt Ceiling Scenarios *2W All Eyez on TVC:DXY ! The Fate of other Financial Markets is to be decided on X Date of Debt Ceiling Important Candlesticks prints on *2W and *W Dollar Index seems to been having stuck between the range of 100.8 - 105.9 so far speaking of 2023's Price Action However, with the incoming decision of Debt Ceiling this range can very well be violated on it's borders ; wether to the downside or upside that has yet to be seen : - Bearish case'C' wave on ABC Correction) - Bullish Case Impulsive Wave1 from 1-2-3-4-5 Elliot Waves) Moreover, With the breakout of Red Trendine Resistance, wave one is about to come in to fruiton while yet needing to clear the last Lower High of the downtrend to create a Change of Character of the Donwtrend. Breaking above last LH and holding support (Wave B) also confulences with the Golden Zone of Fibb taken from 114.7 High to Lows of 100.8 (Wave A) TRADE SAFE *** Note that this is not Financial Advice ! Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor before partaking any trading related activities based soly on this idea.
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
$DXY - Close up 1HR Downtrend-Surveying TVC:DXY on 1 Hourly (tf) and it's series of Higher Lows. Breaking the Structure of recent previous x2Top and Resistance Trendline would nullify the 1H* Downtrend (Rounding Top) in terms of Price Action, with TVC:DXY heading Higher. A-B-C correction would Break Structure of Uptrend on more broader picture (higher tf) TRADE SAFE *** Note that this is not Financial Advice ! Please consult your own Financial Advisor and do your own Research before partaking on any Trading Activity based upon this Idea
TVC:DXYShort
by Mr_J__fx
DOLLAR INDEX - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS2023-2024 Exchange Rate Forecasts From MUFG US Dollar: US Economy Set to Deteriorate According to the bank; “While the impact is modest, the fiscal restraint will still be impacting at a time when substantial monetary tightening will also be feeding through to the real economy. It will strengthen expectations of weak recessionary economic conditions emerging later in the year.” The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish underlying stance. Although there is an important element of uncertainty over the near-term policy decisions and whether rates will be hiked again, it has pushed back strongly against the notion that rates will be cut this year. MUFG still expects that the Fed will shift its stance as the economy deteriorates. It notes; “We still expect much clearer evidence of slowdown to emerge in H2 that sees the market re-price monetary easing by year-end. This will likely start to emerge in Q3 fuelling a more pronounced period of US dollar selling.” A significant element in recent dollar gains has been renewed doubts surrounding the Chinese and global growth outlooks. MUFG expects these concerns will ease; “We also see scope for global growth fears to ebb given our view that China economic activity is set to pick up in the second half of the year.” The bank notes that there has been a deal to raise the debt ceiling with the Administration pledging to restrict government spending. MUFG is still concerned over the US debt profile with the US eventually needing to tighten policy which will undermine growth. Overall, it adds; “The US dollar cyclically and structurally looks like it has peaked with the high from September 2022 the high of one of the largest and longest US dollar bull runs in the floating exchange rate era.”
TVC:DXYShort
by thunderpips
EUR USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISEuro: End of Negative Rates Will Support the EUR Exchange Rates As far as the ECB is concerned, MUFG expects that the ECB will increases interest rates at least two further times to combat inflation. The bank considers that the underlying ECB shift away from negative interest rates and the selling of bonds will have an important impact on the currency. According to MUFG; “The removal of negative rates we believe is somewhat under-appreciated by the markets and at these lower levels in EUR/USD we suspect strong support will emerge. It would take a notable shift in relative macro expectations for EUR/USD to break further lower towards parity.” Although the near-term EUR/USD forecasts have been revised lower, the bank still expects medium-term gains, especially as the Euro-Zone growth outlook will improve again.
Long
by thunderpips
NQM2023 SELL -first full we are in the deep premium, and in the opening of the month we see a juda swing to the upside to take the previous month's high wish is buyside liquidity (14569.50), and we seen a big reaction after taking it and go back to the opening price of this month (14288.00). -secondly, (ipda concept) if we take the last 20 days, we will see a sellside ( 13570.00) we will take it as a target -Third, if we do the standard deviation of the juda swing we will get the tp's I've noted in the chart.
CME_MINI:NQM2023Short
by NizarBenzin