Distribution
XRE (ETF owning REITs) at risk as rents may not be paid.The ETF holds Real Estate Investment Trusts. These leveraged vehicles will soon be strapped for cash as tenants refuse (or cannot) to pay rents, but mortgage holders and bank lenders will continue to demand payment. It is increasingly likely that some distributions will have to be cut which will make prices of the trading units suffer.
BIGGER picture of GOLDThis is the bigger picture of gold. We are in the distribution phase. The next move will break the previous lows. Target will be near 900$. We can only trade in a smaller timeframe. Its little upside will be huge. If you are buying physical gold as an investment this year than you are making a mistake.
Hit the like button if you find it helpful and informative and follow to catch every wave correctly.
EURCAD SELL (WYCKOFF)Last point of supply was the final point to the upside where it tested BC. We will see more correction and fall pattern in EURCAD. This pattern is the theory of WYCKOFF which is called as distribution schematic #2.
Hit like for support and follow for many more upcoming accurate pips.
Time To Bail? Distribution Megaphone At Top Of ChannelEuro is at top of a number of downward channel trend lines and is printing a megaphone pattern. This looks like distribution as the larger traders dump positions into the order book and widen its range.
Selling from the top of the day here could be a very good swing position short. I also have a short bias intraday.
Long term short campaign entry: $BAConsidering years of range-bound PA, awful financial situation and crumbling fundamentals, I'll be shorting this stock at POE. Price objective: $80.
BYND- Bullish continuation or distribution?Whether you like it or not, BYND is the first mover in the alternative meat industry.
There is just way too much upside and growth to be captured in this nascent industry.
Future trend toward green environment and sustainability will only push this industry higher.
Three scenarios-
#1. Test the local resistance one more time and break out of the bull flag pattern. Third time is the charm!
#2. Retrace first, then trapped shorts cover their shorts which propel the price higher. Swing long opportunity.
#3. Key support lvl broken. Long at the second key support lvl. Positional long opportunity.
Click like & follow me if you find my analysis useful. Much appreciated!
BTC/USD - Distribution before collapseShort term is grim for bitcoin, which looks like to follow a distribution pattern.
I expect a drop until 9k but if it's not absorbed, then we will go to 8.2k or lower before trending bullish again for halving(assuming is not priced in).
A golden cross has happened and historically bitcoin has dropped signficantly after such event just to rise stronger and reach new highs.
USDCAD short Exact Explained (Market Phase, Compression, S&D)Hello Traders !
I decided to post USDCAD with an exact explanation.
Market Phase:
1) Accumulation Phase - Smart money, experienced traders and institution join the market
2) Re-Accumulation Phase - Here, more and more investors are joining the trend and ensuring higher prices.
3) Distribution - Is the origin and the initial phase of a bear market, at this stage, the market is often overbought
Compression:
It shows us the power of the Supply and Demand Zone. This is is typically a Uptrend or Downtrend till the next Supply or Demand Zone. From there the price will reverse.
Let me now in the comment section below your view on USDCAD and what you think about my Analysis.
Please leave a Like
Thank you and we will see next time
- Darius.
BITCOIN going through DISTRIBUTIONif you are familiar with Wyckoff distribution, you will see here that BTC is following the phases perfectly.
We are very likely to see more downside action before any upside.
This not financial advice, please do your own research before opening a position.
Hey everyone, if you enjoyed the idea please give me a like and a follow, many more ideas to come :)
Thanks for your support!
AMZN : Let's assess risk/rewards for bullish & bearish biasesHope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Facebook inc We are in Distribution zone weekly on Facebook inc . The distribution is the cause of future trend short
BITCOIN 2019-01-17 - Bearish Divergence on 4 HourBitcoin may be in a Distribution Stage of the Market as Price has tagged the $9,000, but momentum of the RSI is decreasing in power.
This is Bitcoin, so it can just pump to $9,400 out of nowhere. I'd be safe and trail your stop loss tighter.
MCD Attempting to BottomMCD is struggling to form a short-term bottom at a non-support level. The stock had been under heavy distribution which triggered High Frequency Traders selling short as well as Pro Traders selling short, even while new Retail App Broker Investors were buying into the downtrend. Buy on the Dip strategies are in play, but the large lots overwhelmed the retail small lots. There is no Dark Pool Quiet Accumulation in this bottoming attempt.
JPM Dark Pool Quiet DistributionJPM has been running well over the past quarter. However, as the fractional and odd lot new investors buy, the giant Buy Side Institutions are selling. The white candlesticks over the past few days reveal just how heavy the Dark Pool large lot selling is, as the gains are below the previous highs. The risk is that the new investors may run out of capital, which could create a sell down at least temporarily.
AAPL Dark Pool DistributionAAPL has reached new highs recently, moving up due to new investors buying fractional shares of this stock. However, Dark Pools are selling large lots as AAPL moves up. If the fractional investors stop buying, the sell side pressure will increase at least temporarily.
$NOC or Notice of change, we are heading down!Northrop Grumman Corp
Technicals
1# 20 Crosses 50 Moving Average in a downwards fashion. Stayed under since October 19th.
2# Price close to 200 Moving Average
3# Lots of distribution within the Descending Triangle, aka bearish formation and Big selling blocks!
4# Higher Bullish volume the recent days, could lead to a false breakout to 360$
Relevant
# Received recent upgrades from Morgan Stanley 449$ PT
# Consensus Analyst Price Target 400$ Based on 7 analysts.
# Insider SELLING, lots of it throughout the year.
For Hodlers : Distributional Buy Signal for This WeekThis week can be a nice opportunity to lower your average.
Especially those with a higher buying average than 268.34 should watch this week very carefully.
If you missed under 268.34, don't buy and watch because parity may fall more.
But I do not recommend buying on the first day because the price may become cheaper, it should be carefully monitored.
But I would recommend buying if 10-20 percent of hot money from outside . ( My suggestion : %15 of hot money from outside .)
No one can guarantee that prices will not fall further.
Good week to all investors and traders !
Note : This trade contains no leverage and most suitable for heavy load ( current price <= average cost ) investors.
Or it is suitable for investors who have a lot of hot capital more than the size in that position.
In related ideas, you can see the logic of this trade.
S&P 500 STRATEGIC OVERVIEWStrategically the support resistance levels in S&P 500, the channel entered the index,
and here we can observe the distributional sell signal from last week for this week (current bar).
Do not forget to read the notes in the presentation.
In summary, this week has been affected by distributional sales and I think it will continue until the closing.
We have been under the influence of the positive trend since October 21st.
There is no mention of a bear market.
JSE:AFT Afrimat DistributionIt looks like Afrimat is being distributed. Following the Wyckoff logic, we have likely seen an upthrust of distribution (UTAD), a test to the UTAD and am now looking for the markdown in phase D. The distribution started after a throw over of the overbought line forming a buying climax (BC), automatic reaction (AR), secondary test (ST) in phase A. Some volume of the highs and divergence on the volume RSI gives some indication that this is distribution. Looking for a break of the upward stride to go short.
History is a guide, NKE needs to dropFrom Nike's history we see that almost all gaps get filled on this stock. Three randomly chosen shaded horizontal rectangles represent three gaps (there are many more) that all got filled eventually. Recently price action has been "sloppy" with wide gaps being made which will surely be filled sooner or later, there is also one at 84.83 which I have labeled which never got filled. Further we see that a recent Cup and Handle that has formed has almost reached it's target price in the low 98s and I will probably be shorting there unless there is strong volume supporting any move higher. Last but not least from the angled trend lines we see relatively string divergence indicating that institutional investors are more likely than not disposing of the stock. Earnings on Dec. 19th will be interesting. Please leave any comments or ask questions.
Improved Version : How Do "Whales" Trade ? CAUTION : EXPERIMENTAL
Hello friends.
Whale trading system has been developed and placed on a more reasonable ground.
So this publication is an improved version of the educational idea : How do "Whales" Trade?
Before Starting
In related ideas, you can see the first version and the script I used to create this idea.
And there is an intermediate version that shows the logic after separating the bull - bear zones.
RULES
First of all, there is absolutely no short position to reduce the risk of this system.
Negative regions are sales regions. (Not short position)
Position sizes are shown in the presentation.We split our capital 100 . (Or you can accept your entire position size 100.)
We certainly don't try with all our capital.
It can be tested with reasonable capital allocated for instruments.
At each change of region, we dispose or purchase all of our position size.
And the values in the presentation are our graded position amounts .
Now that we've benefited from regional changes, I found 10 levels reasonable.
Let's write our position sizes here too :
STAKES
Pos Size 1 : % 0.4329
Pos Size 2 : % 0.8658
Pos Size 3 : % 1.2987
Pos Size 4 : % 2.1645
Pos Size 5 : % 3.4632
Pos Size 6 : % 5.6277
Pos Size 7 : % 9.1
Pos Size 8 : % 14.719
Pos Size 9 : % 23.81
Pos Size 10 :% 38.52
Note : Position size ratios are formed by coefficients based on gold ratio to provide a logical example.
Let us now examine the region from January 22, 2018 to August 26, 2019.
I'm doing trade and distributional trades for 1 bar after eye decision and signals to be fair.
TRADES AND TRICKS
After the sell order arrives on January 22, we wait until distributional buying points arrive.
First distributional Buy Signal was on 7 May 2018 (close ) , so it means : Our first Distributional Buy was between 7 - 14 May 2018.
Let's start :
Distributional Buys :
1.Buy : 8572.5 Position Size : %0.4329
2.Buy : 7847 Position Size : %0.8658
3.Buy : 7456.5 Position Size : %1.2987
4.Buy : 6563.5 Position Size : %2.1645
5.Buy : 6786.5 ==> Rejected , because price is higher than last Buy.
5.Buy : 6507.5 Position Size : % 3.4632
6.Buy : 6396 Position Size : % 5.6277
7.Buy : 5837.5 Position Size : %9.1
8.Buy : 3940 Position Size : %14.719
9.Buy : NET Long Signal : 3493.5 Position Size : The Rest ==> (100 - All) = %62.328
Distributional Sells
1.Sell : 10919 Position Size : %0.4329 (May be higher than the amount of earnings. For example : % 25
Here we are improvising according to obligatory market conditions.
I wrote the first rate in order to follow the example rule, but I would sell between 25% and 40% in live trade.
Because the profit is too high.)
2.Sell : 10146 Position Size : %0.8658 ( Normally I shouldn't have sold it because it was lower than the first sale.
But the profit is still very high, but it is decreasing, so I sell.
A much higher quantity can be sold here, as is the same on the top.
I'm writing the next rate to keep the rule.)
3. Sell : 11376 Position Size : % 60 ( Now profitability is at its peak , I ignore the stake rules and going to improvise.
Instead, the first 3 - distributional sales: 10% - 20% - 40% with values such as making it much more reasonable.)
4.Sell : NET Sell Signal : 9970.5 Position Size : The Rest ==> (100 - All) = %38.8
Note : I could have gone a lot more profitable than my earnings, but to avoid stretching the template, I applied the first 2 ratios.
A professional could have been more profitable here: Example: 40 - 60 and close.
So I'm going to calculate these rates.
CALCULATIONS ( For 100 unit = Full Position Size )
Average Cost : (8572.5 * 0.4329 + 7847 * 0.8658 + 7456.5 * 1.2987 + 6563.5 * 2.1645 + 6507.5 * 3.4632 + 6396 * 5.6277 + 5837.5 * 9.1 + 3940 * 14.719 + 3493.5 * 62.238) / 100 = (3711.04 + 6793.93 + 9683.76 + 14206.7 + 22536.8 + 35994.77 + 53121.25 + 57992.9 + 217428.5 ) / 100
Average Cost = 4215
Average Sell : (10919 * 0.4329 + 10146 * 0.8658 + 11376 * 60 + 9970.5 * 38.8 ) / 100 = (4726.84 + 8784.41 + 682560 + 386855.4) / 100
Average Sell Price = 10829.27
SUMMARY
Percentage of net earnings per unit (Full Position Size): ((10829.27 - 4215 ) / 4215) * 100 = %156.92
In doing so, commercials provided liquidity to the markets and did not have the problem of not finding buyers.
Stoploss here means emptying the whole position, for me 4 bars means stoploss in all directions.
More importantly, increasing rates will not harm us in non-trend areas.
Because we start with low rates.
Although comments and improvisation are very important, I tried to explain the system outlines by linking them to certain rules.
Now we have gone more systematically than the first version !
Accumulation is waving bye byeHere is my personal opinion, this is a wave of accumulation by those who see the real use case of XRP, and those who enter now can reap the best profits. Im all in LONG til end of next year, where i should be just fine.
-All the best saith the guy on the ferry leaving the dock, either we sink and i swim out or eaten by the whales, and i just go JONAH on them...
.2221 is ok, but ill be looking for anything below that
Thank you for liking, but commenting is best, either in or against this thought
Some informational videos to see on youtube showing good use cases and news others dont want you to see
I have no affiliate but just sharing some common sense logic and research by some good people
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