DIS ShortNice H&S formation on DIS now. Could lead to a nice drop if it breaks the support in yellow.
Seeing a few nice H&S patterns in bigger names that have been leading the overall market higher during the last year or so, right as the Fed announces planned slowdown in QE.
Still bullish on many names with nice bases but seeing some topping signals in some big high-moving stocks from the last year or so.
*Not financial advice -- opinion only*
DIS
Walt Disney Company | Fundamental Analysis - Opportunity ? 🔔he Walt Disney Company ended the second fiscal quarter with 103.6 million subscribers to its streaming service Disney+. Although that was more than double the number in the same quarter last year, analysts had expected Disney+ to have 109 million subscribers at the end of the quarter.
The stock has dropped sharply since the earnings report was released and is now down 4.3 percent year-over-year. Investors are probably questioning if Disney is still a good investment.
Here are some important points from the Q2 results that hint that the House of Mouse is doing well and the current decline could be a good buying opportunity.
Disney was already actually set to frustrate investors after Netflix missed its own subscriber forecast in the quarter ended March. There was a strong surge in subscribers to streaming services during the pandemic, which may take a quarter or two to level off.
Nevertheless, there were lots of aspects in the earnings report meaning that Disney+ is still on track to meet its long-term subscriber goal. For instance, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney "grew subscribers faster in the last month of the second quarter than in the first two months." And that's in spite of the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.
Covering the near-term outlook, CEO Bob Chapek said: "We're on track to reach our forecast of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of the fiscal year 2024."
Even after price increases last quarter, Chapek said that "we haven't seen a significant increase in subscriber churn after price increases in region."
The company anticipates subscriber growth to be greater once content production returns to full capacity. Chapek said that "the anticipation for the new Marvel series "Loki," which will be released June 9, is off the charts."
Don't forget that Disney has racked up more than 100 million subscribers without using the deep pipeline of Star Wars and Marvel content that company executives announced in a
December presentation to investors. As the company adds more content from these powerful franchises, the number of subscribers should increase.
Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter. It, of course, contrasts with Netflix's 6% annual growth in the last quarter. But there's more to it than that.
The drop in ARPU is due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which brings in less revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets. Excluding Hotstar, Disney+'s ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.
"As we move into the rest of the year, we should start to feel the positive effect on Disney+ ARPU from the price increases we have undertaken around the world," McCarthy said.
Of course, theme parks are still an important part of Disney's business, with revenue of $26 billion in fiscal 2019. Revenues from Disney's parks, attractions, and products fell 44 percent year over year this quarter. But that's an improvement over the 53% drop in the previous quarter.
Company executives said more good news during the earnings call. "At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to improve steadily throughout the second quarter, and guest per capita spending was up again by double digits from the previous year," McCarthy said.
Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is "very enthusiastic" about the response from guests.
It's hard to say where the stock will move in the short term, but Disney franchises are some of the most valuable in the entertainment industry. It's safe to say that once Disney adds more content from its top brands on Disney+ and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, you could consider the price decline a good buying opportunity.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this.
Have a Good Day trading !
DISNEYDISNEY has an head and shoulders if fullfilled,prices goes to 138! However, Disney also has a rsi oversold on daily. Which means we may see a bounce (making the right shoulder). Price above 190 negates the head and shoulders
Playing the right shoulder for now! Price can go upto 180 by July. I believe with the reopening soon! Any dips is a buying opp on the mouse! May the mouse be with you!
DIS - Mickey its not funny!-The Walt Disney Company reported better-than-expected earnings per share on Thursday, but that didn’t stop its stock price from taking an after-hours nosedive.
-That’s because the entertainment giant reported slower-than-expected growth for its Disney Plus streaming service. The service now has 103.6 million paid subscribers, versus a consensus estimate of 109 million cited by CNBC.
-The hit underscores the extent to which Disney—a diverse conglomerate with theme parks, TV networks, movie studios, and a vast consumer products division—is now wholly reliant on one metric. “Nothing else seems to matter,” analysts MoffettNathanson said in a research note Friday.
Our Target:
Disney is a strong stock, we don't think it will drop below $165 just because of the slightly below the expectation subscriptions. However, due to the whole market situation which is bearish for the last couple of weeks, there is a possibility that Disney will let go of some of its heat. If DIS will fail to keep the nose above the $165 then we can potentially see the $145-147.
Analyzing the current situation on Disney (DIS)Today, we will take a look at the DIS chart:
A) The price is above a broken ascending channel which tells us about a bullish trend that has been accelerating
B) Finding Support on the cloned channel, we can see a clear corrective pattern (yellow lines)
C) From a Technical Perspective, this type of structure after the breakout tends to show continuation movements as the previous impulse.
D) The horizontal line is the activation level in which we consider our Analysis is active
E) We are using Fibo extensions to get an idea of possible Targets
F) The invalidation level is below the corrective structure.
NFLX consolidation break-out on earningsAfter 9 months of consolidation and going pretty much no where, NFLX looks primed to pop. With earnings around the corner and whisper numbers indicating EPS of $3.04 beating the expected $2.97 it provides the potential catalyst that could cause a break-out. It has severely underperformed its peers; using the XLC as a proxy for it's peer group and DIS as a direct example you can see that Netflix has really not done much during this long resting period. Needless to say I think it is well-rested and ready for the next leg higher. Go long NFLX into earnings. They have proved that they have pricing power and the ability to produce content that keeps current users and draws new ones. NFLX's P/E is at a 6 year low.
DIS Long Option Hopped into Oct $185 calls here.
Price retraced perfectly to the 50% Fib line, and is now holding the .382
With a bullish market and top tier stock beaten down a bit from its last impulse I'm looking for a run up into earnings.
I'll be looking to sell at a $200 or 10/20% option gain (whichever comes first).
Disney on the dailyDisney is looking prime for a push back to highs with tailwinds of news flowing in. Park reopening's are a bright spot in the push back to a bit of pre-pandemic normalcy and looking optimistic with strong streaming numbers continuing to reinvent the mouse.
Technically we see Disney holding a macro uptrend even through recent market chop and a nice hold of the 50 SMA. Overhead resistance looks to begin near the 20 SMA and continue into the shaded zone where we have influx of volume creating areas of buyer side resistance. Today was a nice day to solidify a continuation to the upside, but as always overall market volatility can be a major factor in continuation of movement.
In Moes we got in 2 days ago.
Time for the mouse to give a little back from those outrageous ticket prices.
$dis IS FOR YOU MAMICKEY IS LIKE A PROSTITUTE... YOU GOT PAY BEFORE YOU CAN SEE HIM/!! 206 FIRST PT OF RESISTANCE BREAKOUT FROM BULLISH TRIANGLE... fINAL PT 254 .... DISNEY IS A PRINTING MACHINE... CONTENT PRODUCERS IN THE STREAMING WARS WITH NEW CONTENT AND I LOVE THEIR A&E PARTNERSHIP... VICE CHANNEL IS GREAT LOVE HAMILTONS PHARMACOPIA I WANNA SMOKE THAT TOAD !! HHAHAHAH JUST KIDDING $peg! #1 IN ALL OF AMERICA THEMEPARK
Disney——> vault itDisney has a produced amazing results, it is one of the leader in entertainment industry. Disney is showing good bullish sign and has started its bullish journey. i believe it is ready to fly high.
I believe a good strategy will be a put credit spread or a leap. This price is a god entry point
Ideas are for entertainment, not a trading advice do trading at your own risk
Walt DisneyThe overall trend is bullish. This company represents communication services sector which market weight is 10,78% according to Fidelity research and it is worth investing in. Right now price is in the correction phase which gives us a good opportunity to take advantage of. So, my recommendation for speculating purpose is to wait till price breaks this correction trendline and then buy, for investing purpose - wait for a deeper correction and buy low. Write in the comments below which company you'd like to see in my next analysis.
DISNEY BEARISH DIVERSIONDisney reached the pitchfan resistance once again and could retrace >10% .
MACD , RSI and STO all indicate bearish diversion.
Take profits at fib levels.
Long term I don't think Disney will fall too much, I think the lowest it will go is the 0.5 fib line before returning bullish (and a potential long entry).
Warning for DISNEY!This rising wedge is looking scary.
A possible break to the downside is imminent (within the next several days).
We might get some support and bounce upwards, but we are close to crossing below the 50d MA.
Also a bearish divergence in the RSI is making me lean more towards bearish overall.
Disney failed to get out of the channel.This is just my technical view, neither a fundamental comment,nor a recommendation to trade..!
Please review my track record and calculate the odds for yourself..!
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DIS (NYSE) - Be Carefull for changing in trendGreetings
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DIS (NYSE) - Be Carefull for changing in trend