Almost there.. Do not short yet! US INDICIESEverything is on the chart. We will go to the white fib line in the pitchfork (1 FIB) at the very least. WHY?
Fed is injecting a record ~430B$ into this "NOT QE" repo market in January. I expect the first two weeks (at LEAST, maybe all of JAN) of January to rocket up as a final push and then a breakdown. Unless the Fed continues to inject more and more cash into the markets beyond january, this could be the end.
Devils advocate:
T has an election coming up in 2020 and the only solid thing he has to run on in my opinion is the market performance. So there is a good chance this REPO crap will continue all the way THROUGH november+ until there are some serious riots in the streets. He wont let a market tank on him before elections unless he is forced in a corner by others... Just my opinion.
Please thumbs up and comment what you think! Happy NEW YEARS!
DIA
S&P Next Week Expected Move ($27.5)Melting up. Next week shaping up to be a fairly boring neutral holiday week.
Goodluck Next Week
- RH
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Home Depot Bearish Divergence Playing OutHD weekly chart had a bearish RSI divergence. The stock started breaking down on November 18th & has broken down through the support trendline this week as it nears the first potential pullback level.
There is a lot of call activity in this name today in the January 3, 2020, $230 calls.
SnP500/DIA/NDX idea - Happy Thanksgiving!I believe we are about to go down after this repo ends... Or really just because TA says it is likely in the chart ;)
Who knows! I just know this turkey is fat, and bears need food before hiding away for the winter! Red December makes a merry Christmas!
-Good luck - dont do this. Its probably wrong!
I am bullish on ZGold and Zbitcorn!
$QQQ... Wedge getting tighter (BEARISH!)On the last post we said that we were positioned Neutral waiting for an entry, that's just only on our trading account because we play options and timing can be very crucial. As for the longer term accounts, we are positioned very defensive. Anyways, the market is starting to look very stretched up here for DEC PUTs...
***Let's Talk About it...***
Dow Jones - Not a coincidence - Bearish signsThis is not financial advice. These are my personal views. Nothing in this should be taken as advice.
Looking at the log scale going back to the great depression, there are several things that we can see. We've been in this channel for almost a century. Ebbs and flows and signs that we are running out of steam.
I heard people joke around a few months ago that the stock market just "keeps going up" but if we're being honest with each other, we're running out of runway and there's a cliff in front of us. If we can't get off the ground, we're going to fall into the ocean.
Alright. Bad analogies aside, we're seeing bearish divergence on the 6 month scale going back to 1999 and the recent fall in 2017. We're at the top of this channel as its drawn and while there's nothing to really say we're going to fall tomorrow, there are certainly signs that we're in a euphoria stage in the stock market.
1. Trade wars. Need I say more?
2. Inflation. USA is printing money like it's going out of style
3. Interest rates cut. The economy is so good, yet we're cutting rates. What?
4. Trump. Like him or hate him, there's definitely euphoria around the stock market around election time and right after his election.
5. Yield curve.
I could go on but these are the important pieces of information I am holding near and dear to my heart.
I don't consider this a dire warning as the market can continue going up but we are quickly reaching the point where if (or when?) we collapse, it could wipe trillions out of the stock market.
Please be careful. Watch for big companies to fall first. Watch Amazon, Apple, Netflix. If people are bragging they have $500Bn in a stock, they're probably looking to sell it to you. You don't generally brag about big positions unless you're looking to sell.
No targets. No timeline. This chart creates one candle every 6 months. This is a slow moving dragon.
Trade carefully friends.
<3 -CE-
New Highs Or Time To Rollover? The 3 Major indexes $QQQ $DIA $SPY are currently located in key important areas that could set the tone for 4th quarter. Technically Markets are trailing higher BUT fundamental's are weighing in the background. PMI's for both ISM & NMI are starting to contract and this will have an effect on GDP in time to come. If Price breaks below $297 $SPY could return back to August range breakout level at $294.04.
Check out Latest market review youtu.be
DJI Update for 19 September 2019
Daily for 19 September 2019
In Bull territory.
Price Projection: 27325.31
HMA: Bull
Bull RSI: Bullish
Bear RSI: Neutral Bull
BSI: Bullish
5 RSI: Positive
Consolidation: In Consolidation between 26899.2 - 27272.2
Price-Trend: 1.5x ATR
** Weekly updates will always be provided, if not updated daily, it generally means the underlying primary signals have not changed since last reported. **