Get started

Descending Channel

BITCOIN → There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69KBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems.... It's also the most likely scenario We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally ( D1-W1 ) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally ( D1-H4-H1 ) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above. Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking.... Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730 Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
22
EURUSD → Resistance Retest. A rebound or a breakthrough? FX:EURUSD is testing the resistance of the local correction, and instead of the expected rebound, I am waiting for an attempt of a breakout with the aim of further growth to 1.12757 on the background of the expected fall of the dollar.... There is important news ahead that traders have been waiting for months. A rate cut. And the question is no longer “when?”, but “by how much?”. 25 basis points or 50 ... But before that traders will have to endure Retail Sales, CPI, FOMC, which may also have an impact on both the market and the Fed. Technically, the focus is on the resistance of the range, 1.112. The market is likely to fight for this zone, a correction is possible, but a gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout. If the bulls hold 1.112, it will open the way towards ATH! Resistance levels: 1.112, 1.12 Support levels: 1.1099, 1.1072 Globally the trend is bullish, on D1 the price is coming out of the correction phase and continues the upward movement. The news may have a big impact on the market, which will shape both medium and long term prospects... Targets are indicated on the chart Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
11
USDCHF → Dollar rebound changes the local situationFX:USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on.... DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead. The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest. Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616 Support levels: 0.843, 0.837 The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;) Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
1
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case. Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles). The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated. So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do! Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RocketMike111
1
OPUSDT → Double top. How far can we fall?BINANCE:OPUSDT cannot get out of the bears' clutches. The market continues to form its movement under the pressure of the downtrend. There are important events ahead that could shake up the trading community.... Bitcoin, as well as the rest of the cryptocurrency market continues to decline. Cryptocurrencies are not reacting to Trump's speech in any way, but traders are waiting for the U.S. rate cut in the hope that the encouraging data (0.5% decrease) will increase interest. But the 0.25% decrease will add weight to the bearish paw, which can only strengthen the already current decline. Technically OPUSDT is forming a global bearish trend, the price is not allowed to update the local highs. The last retest ended with the formation of a double top, which led to a sharp decline. Resistance levels: 1.469, 1.510, 1.544 Support levels: 1.431, 1.393, 1.3 The 1.431 area is holding the market back from falling, but a strong pre-breakdown accumulation is forming near this area with a target to continue falling. Watch out for the 1.430 trigger, a break of this zone will give downward momentum Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:OPUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
ETHUSD → Manipulating growth before liquidation BINANCE:ETHUSD is forming a counter-trend bounce and is aiming for strong resistance amid a bearish trend. The project is going through a rough patch, fumbling for a market bottom... ETH faces troubles:: WisdomTree has requested the withdrawal of its ETH (Ethereum Trust) fund registration application three years after filing with the SEC. Earlier, VanEck closed its futures ETH-ETF, citing lack of demand. Likewise, indicators suggest that Whale stopped accumulating ETH since July. Since then, they have been mostly selling. Technically, we see the market being squeezed by strong resistance: trend lines as well as moving averages, which may negatively affect the market, keeping the coin from rising. Resistance levels: 2375, 2460, 2510. Support levels: 2309, 2111 The coin is heading towards the resistance and liquidity area amid a bearish trend. This can be seen as a manipulated move to capture liquidity before further testing the intermediate bottom. I expect a decline from the mentioned zones towards 2100-2000. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
39
USDJPY → Full readiness to drop to 138.0 - 136.0FX:USDJPY breaks support at 141.68 and hits lows. The dollar is declining after the US election debate, but is still in consolidation ahead of CPI. The currency pair may continue to fall Ahead of CPI, traders expect consumer inflation to fall to 2.5 for the year. This indicator will determine the interest rate cut next week, and more precisely by how much they will cut the interest rates, by 25 or 50 basis points. Technically, everything is inclined to the further decrease of the dollar, which will be reflected on the currency pair. But, we should expect high volatility, within the framework of which, if the bears do not hold 141.68, the price may test 142.2 - 142.8 before further falling to 138 - 136. Support levels: 140.75, 140.25 Resistance levels: 141.68, 142.2, 142.8 Global and local trends are under bearish pressure. Important news is ahead, which may strengthen the fall, or temporarily squeeze the price in the range. Consolidation of the price below 141.68 will be a good sign for the continuation of the fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GBPJPY → Traders increase short, preparing for a fallFX:GBPJPY is unable to continue the uptrend. The price is breaking the price channel support, and the parabolic curvature can be interpreted as a set of short positions. The Japanese Yen continues to strengthen. GBP is forming a small correction since the Open of the session, and the Japnese national currency is accelerating northward. The parabolic curvature that is forming on the chart can be explained as a set or increase of short positions by large players. Such a maneuver indicates a possible strong and prolonged decline in prices. But, the focus is on the sideways range 192 - 189. Despite the fact that the price has left the channel, it is still in the range and the mentioned support restrains the market from falling. Resistance levels: 190.97, 192, MA-50 Support levels: 189 If the bears manage to break 189 and consolidate below, it will be the reason for the continuation of the decline to the global low. On D1 the price is pushing away from the strong zone and also shows bearish preconditions Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
24
USDJPY → Consolidating before the news.... FX:USDJPY has been in consolidation for a long time, correlating with the dollar. Traders are waiting for key news and are not ready to act early. The currency pair is in the downward phase, which is a consequence of the strengthening of the Japanese yen on the background of the dollar's decline. The Central Bank of Japan actively considered the issue of raising rates, but postponed this step for later because of destabilized markets. Today is an important report on inflation in the USA. So far, everything is going according to the Fed's plan. Markets are actively plotting the start of a Fed rate cut in September. Technically, the bearish trend may continue, there is a huge pool of liquidity above 147.9, which may be liquidated before further decline. Resistance levels: 147.9, 150.2, 150.86 Support levels: 146.29, 144.04 Technically and fundamentally we have prerequisites leading to a possible decline. We should wait for news to take some actions.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
26
LTC → Price exit from accumulation ↑BINANCE:LTCUSDT is coming out of accumulation, breaking the structure of the “descending wedge” pattern - a rather strong bullish pattern. Price is still pinned by resistance, but the bulls have a chance... Globally, there is no trend in the market. The price is in a sideways movement between 114.0 - 56.0, which I consider a positive reason for a possible rise, as the price moves between the levels in a range. But we have prerequisites for possible growth (consolidation above MA-50, break of the wedge resistance), theoretically the price can head towards the resistance of the global range. Emphasis on the area of 0.5 fibo - 67.8. If the bulls successfully manage to keep the defense above the mentioned zones, in the mid-term the coin can show a good realization towards 76.9 - 88.6. Resistance levels: 67.8, 76.9 Support levels: descending line, MA-50, 0.5 Fibo Perhaps the primary retest of 67.8 will not bring success and the price may form a small correction, but the gradual return of the price to the retest will increase the chances of a breakout. A fixing above the level will be a good signal for growth! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:LTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GBPNZD → Realization (distribution) phase. Target 2.065FX:GBPNZD is in the phase of realization of the previously accumulated potential (descending triangle), at the moment a counter-trend correction is formed, directed to the liquidity area. The fall may continue. The currency pair entered the range of 2.117 - 2.095. The lower boundary and the liquidity area have not been tested yet, so the potential target is still valid. The counter-trend correction is due to the counter-trend growth of the dollar against the main basket of currency pairs. On H4, there is a conglomerate of strong resistances ahead, which may prevent the price from the first time, accordingly, a false breakdown and further decline should be considered. Resistance levels: 2.11, 2.113, 2.12. Support levels: 2.098, 2.085 The breakdown of the structure, character and the formed confirmation of the bear market indicates that the counter-trend correction can be stopped from the liquidity pool area, so the downward movement can be continued from the mentioned resistance Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPNZD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone. If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure. There are only two possible moves the price could make this week: Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1. Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market. What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right. I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study. I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move. -RM
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RocketMike111
BITCOIN → WHALES accumulate, BULLS aim for 70K ↑ BINANCE:BTCUSD has been consolidating since March, for half a year. Sooner or later the asset will move into the distribution phase. After the shakeout, the price returns to the channel and enters the consolidation phase, holding above 0.5 fibo. The shakeout spurred by panic over bad data in the US market a few weeks ago is redeemed. False breakout leads to a rise to 62K, which defines the local range, forming a strong resistance and the beginning of a local correction. Within the correction, the price is testing 0.5 Fibo and the bulls are actively holding the price above this area, indicating that they are not ready to let the price go beyond this area yet. So, the focus is on the consolidation of 62K - 56K. How long will the price trade in this range? As long as it wants, until MM gathers the necessary potential But, after support retest, false breakdown and liquidity capture, MM has another target - liquidity above 68K - 69K, therefore, we have a high probability to catch strengthening to the channel resistance (69K - 70K) Support levels: 0.5 Fibo (56K), 53500 Resistance levels: 59700, 62500, 70K A break of the local resistance may give an impulse to 62350. Next, we need to watch the price reaction at 62500. If the price will not pullback, but will start consolidating and squeezing, then we should wait for the breakout and growth to 70K Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
64
FLOKIUSDT → Pre-breakout consolidation. 35% potential ↑BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT practically does not react to the manipulative fall of bitcoin. A breakthrough of the channel resistance and consolidation with the purpose of continuing growth is formed. It is worth paying attention to the zone of 16.00 The coin has been in an downtrend for a long time. But interesting preconditions are forming on H4. Floki lives separately from the market, consolidates above SMA 200 & 50 and continues to test 16.00 for a breakout. Bears are still trying to hold this zone, but their strength is running out. Volumes are rising as is the potential for a pre-breakout consolidation. Resistance levels: 16.00, 21.00 Support levels: SMA, 14.056 Technically, the emphasis is on a resistance breakout. Consolidation may last for some more time. The structure will be broken if the price breaks the support at 14.056, but until that happens I am waiting for the realization and growth to 21.00 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
IMXUSDT→ Exit from consolidation. One step away from the bullrunBINANCE:IMXUSDT exits the local consolidation and also breaks the resistance of the global trend, which can be regarded as a positive prerequisite for growth. IMX is consolidating above the support at 1.386, formed in June. The area divides the market into 2 parts (long and short). Bulls are actively trying to keep the price above this zone, buyers' target is the area of 2.576. But before the rally MM can form a local long-squeeze, in which a false breakdown is possible (liquidity capture below the level) before further movement. It is also worth paying attention to MA-50, within the framework of the retest the market may test both sma and the previously broken wedge boundary before resuming the rally phase. Support levels: 1.386, MA-50, 1.076 Resistance levels: 1.543, 1.784 Bitcoin is pressuring the market, which is forming a local correction, if the flagship starts moving up, it will strengthen the overall tone in IMX. But, if still bulls hold 1.385-1.400, breaking 1.520 resistance will give another chance for growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
NZDUSD → Attempt to change the trend amid falling dollarFX:NZDUSD is strengthening from the opening session amid the dollar's return to southward movement. Traders are intensifying USD sell-offs amid expectations of interest rate cuts... Despite the New Zealand Central Bank's interest rate cut, the USD sell-off is more active on the currency pair. The dollar is forming a retest of support, which increases the chances of further decline in the price amid strong sell-offs. The currency pair is testing the resistance at 0.6083, but at the moment there is a high probability of correction to the imbalance zone. The reason is that we approached the zone too quickly, we need to accumulate the pre-breakout potential. But, if the bulls manage to consolidate above the resistance, then the market will move to the realization phase after the trend line breakout. Resistance levels: 0.60828, 0.61475 Support levels: 0.6036 Fundamentally, the environment points to the continuation of growth. Technically, the bulls will have to pass through the trigger at 0.60828 to start the realization phase. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
$140K USD for Bitcoin in 2025!!! It appears as though Bitcoin is trading in a descending channel, with a potential breakout happen in the near term. BTC has tested the downward sloping resistance of a descending channel pattern multiple times, each time BTC is creating a lower high & a lower low, which is inherently bearish. The williams alligator is also displaying a bullish cross & the bands are widening in an upward direction, which is a bullish indicator. Bullish cross on the KST as well. I have placed upward arrows at each bullish cross in the recent past showing a direct correlation to upward price swings.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by satoshi123
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis Overview: The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations. 1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Pattern Details: Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market. Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent. Implications: Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment. Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move. Trading Strategy: Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels. Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels. Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts. 2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending) Patterns Observed: Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside. Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside. Market Implications: Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels. Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound. Trading Strategy: Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries. Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels). Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts. 3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern Pattern Details: Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern. Implications: Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow. Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume. Trading Strategy: Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume. Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points. Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts. 4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns Patterns Observed: Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias. Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs. Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness. Market Implications: Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution. Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend. Trading Strategy: Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume. Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume. Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals. Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise. 5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis: Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move. Key Takeaways for Traders: Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation. Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely. Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions. Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements. 6. Final Recommendations: Potential Bullish Scenario: Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs. Potential Bearish Scenario: Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend. By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
3
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1) Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL). Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel. Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback. Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel. 2. 4-Hour Chart (H4) Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge. Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction. Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks. 3. 1-Hour Chart (H1) Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout. Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline. 4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur. Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside. 5. Trading Strategy Insights For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout. For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility. Conclusion: The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel with Multi-TouchThese charts depict an evolving market structure for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) and highlight significant zones and patterns across multiple timeframes. 1. Key Patterns and Channels: Ascending Channel: A dominant ascending channel is visible on multiple timeframes. This is a classic continuation pattern, suggesting that as long as price remains within this channel, the prevailing trend (upward) is intact. The channel's lower boundary has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its validity as a support level. Weekly Flag: The “Weekly Flag” mentioned is a larger pattern that might suggest a continuation of a broader trend. Flags typically form after strong moves and consolidate before a potential continuation in the direction of the initial move. The flag is being “correctively broken,” which hints at a potential retest of the lower boundary or a reversal if the flag fails to hold. 2. Liquidity Zones (LQZ): 15M LQZ / Reversal Zone: This zone is near the current price and is a high-probability area for a reversal or significant price reaction. The price reacting to this level could determine the short-term direction. 1HR and 4HR LQZ: These zones are lower and represent potential targets or areas where the price might find support if it breaks down from the current structure. Daily and Weekly LQZ: These are even broader zones of interest. Their distance from the current price indicates that if the price moves toward these levels, a significant trend change or a large corrective phase could be unfolding. 3. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If the price holds within the ascending channel and breaks above the “corrective break” in the weekly flag, this could lead to a continuation of the upward move, targeting new highs. Bearish Reversal: If the price breaks below the ascending channel and breaches the 15M LQZ, it might move towards the lower liquidity zones (1HR, 4HR), indicating a deeper correction or a trend reversal. Multi-Touch Confirmation and Advanced Pattern Recognition: Multi-Touch Confirmation : The chart shows multiple touches on the trendlines, especially on the ascending channel's lower boundary. These touches reinforce the trendline's validity and increase the likelihood of a significant move upon the next touch​. ADVANCED Pattern RECON: The "corrective break" within the weekly flag and the smaller internal channels within the larger ascending channel provide a "pattern within a pattern" scenario, which often precedes significant moves​. Conclusion: Monitor the 15M LQZ closely as it's a crucial area that could determine the short-term direction of the market. If price reacts strongly at this level, consider the implications for either a continuation (bullish scenario) or a breakdown (bearish scenario).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
2