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Descending Channel

GOLD → False breakdown or breakdown? What's next? OANDA:XAUUSD forms a false break of 1919 support and forms a rally. Yesterday I talked about consolidation on D1, relative to resistance, where we should expect a breakout. It happened, but the momentum was bigger than expected As part of the bullish momentum and breakout of the consolidation, the price also breaks the resistance of the ascending channel, which can be interpreted differently, depending on the view. 1) It can be a breakout followed by consolidation of the price in the green zone, which gives us a buy entry point and a long position scenario. In such a case, price could consolidate to 1947 quite quickly 2) It could be a false breakout. If the consolidation is prolonged and there is no bullish reaction, a false break of trend support is likely to happen, for us the important level will be 1932, consolidation below this line will allow us to enter the trade comfortably. We follow the price reaction on the chart and look for confirmation of signals. Support levels: channel boundary, 1932. Resistance levels: 1937.6, 1947 A flat is forming on d1, within this pattern there is a chance that the price will reach resistance, but globally, the situation with further price growth still looks suspicious. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
CVXUSDT → The coin is preparing to break through resistance BINANCE:CVXUSDT against the backdrop of COINBASE:BTCUSD , which has been falling for a long time and finally stopped, is forming a rather interesting consolidation near the wedge resistance. The coin on the chart is testing the bottom at 2.417, after which it forms a decrease in volatility and consolidation, within which the coin is creeping up to the trend resistance.There is a high probability that with a small bitcoin consolidation CVX will break the trend resistance and give a gorgeous bullish impulse. If the accumulated potential is realized, the price could reach the 3.180, 4.235 and 6.400 area quite quickly. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, the price will have to go quite a long way to retest the SMA. Support levels: 2.417 Resistance levels: wedge resistance, 3.180 The altcoin market is waiting for any bullish reaction in the market, including from bitcoin, which plays an important role in this market. Altcoins react weakly to the fall of the flagship and react strongly to the rise. We expect a breakout of the wedge Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → XAU bumps into a strong resistance area OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form counter-trend correction within the upward price channel. On the global timeframe the resistance area 1920-1935 plays an important role, the price is testing it Globally, the market has a bearish trend, an upward correction is forming on the 1H while the DXY continues its strengthening. The forex market, where the dollar is in a sign, as with XAUUSD has already broken the support area, most likely this can be taken as a premise. DXY continues to strengthen after consolidation and forms momentum towards 105.5 area, which could bearishly affect XAU pricing. Gold bounces off trend support and heads towards 1920 resistance but falls short. The liquidity area has a big impact and prevents the price from approaching a local high. The price is at a strong resistance, a fall and a possible retest is likely to follow Resistance levels: 1920, 1922.5 Support levels: 1912 The market has been strengthening since the opening of the session, but still can't update the local maximum. If the bulls do not let the price above 1919.45, it will be the beginning of further decline. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
Bitcoin - Plan for the next 30 days! (This is going to happen) Bitcoin is moving in this huge parallel channel no one talks about, and the price is respecting it pretty well, including the middle trendline! The current price of Bitcoin is around 25900 USD, which is very near its bottom in November 2022 at 16000 USDT. I expect this low to be followed by a huge crash, so make sure you are prepared for it. Bitcoin has been very weak compared to other assets this year. In September, I expect Bitcoin to reach the strong horizontal line at 24820 and potentially take liquidity below it. There are a lot of stop-loss orders from traders, which is a magnet for whales. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately. 1 week ago, we had a huge red dildo with a 14% decline. To me, this is an indication that the third wave is in progress in my Elliott Wave count. Wave 5 should go below wave 3 exactly as I have drawn it on the chart! But do not expect any big crashes in the short term. A swing failure pattern (SFP) is something that has a higher probability. Basically, you can buy/long the fifth wave. This is my current plan for Bitcoin for the next 30 days. Of course, this is my main scenario, but I also have an alternate scenario, which I may post next time, but we will see! Let me know in the comment section if you are shorting Bitcoin, but I recommend placing a buy order around 24800 for a quick bounce back to 26800! Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
103
GOLD → Prerequisites for further decline, or?OANDA:XAUUSD is within the descending price channel. The trend break occurred at the end of June. Within the current channel, the price makes a false breakdown of 1902 and forms a rebound to resistance, which many perceived as a trend change, but it is not so There are not many key news releases this week, but all of them are published on Wednesday, they are worth paying attention to, for the data indicator will provide us with a medium-term insight for pricing: 1) SP Global US Services PMI 2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices Monday is a day off in the US, hence we do not expect high volatility. From the technical analysis point of view: The price is in a descending price channel. The nearest resistance that may play an important role for the price is at 1920, 1935, on Monday and Tuesday the price is likely to reach this area before falling further. Why am I expecting a fall? Pay attention to the DXY chart. The dollar index has consolidated above the strong 103 level, forming an impulse and testing a false break of 104.3. In the medium term, the DXY could continue to rise towards 105.65, which would give a bearish push for gold Support levels: 1902.9, 1884 Resistance levels: 1920, 1935.5 The direction of the dollar will give us the primary movement of the gold price in the first half of the weekly session, the news on Wednesday will determine the further movement. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
GOLD → The price will break 1914 and start another decline OANDA:XAUUSD is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar. TVC:DXY finally consolidates above the key support of 103 and starts upwards to 105-107, which gives a new kick to gold for the fall On the chart we see the price stopping in the area of 1914-1918 and the price forms a retest of 1914 after a false breakout - a strong enough syschgnal that prepares us for a possible fall in the value of the metal. If the price breaks 1914 and forms a consolidation below the level, it will give us a strong signal that the price will continue its fall to 1900-1885 after a shakeout in the form of a rally to 1918. A stronger dollar means that no one will cut rates anytime soon as the market still sees strong inflation. Moving averages are acting as support but MA-50 may be broken soon which would open a new corridor for price Support levels: MA-50, 1914, 1911 Resistance levels: 1918 I expect a short setup and the development of the situation in the format of price decline to 1900, but something against the scenario can always happen. If the price breaks 1918, it will start to rise to 1925. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
DLink Swing Trade IdeaDLink, looks strong in monthly and weekly, multiple times sellers have attempted to bring the price down at the major supply zone of 228-253, but buyers have won and the stock is moving up. Weekly is moving in a narrow range consolidation, 3rd week, now, post the triangle compression breakout that happened. One may look for consolidaiton BO in the upper side of the channel in 75 mins and any Lower TF for a better entry. Monthly RSI is perfectly moving from over sold to overbought, yet to reach overbought.
NSE:DLINKINDIALong
by Rugminik
EURUSD → Euro weakens amid strengthening dollar FX:EURUSD continues to fall on the back of the strengthening dollar index. As I mentioned earlier in other ideas that the 103 level plays an important role for the TVC:DXY . The currency has consolidated above and headed towards 105, which makes both the forex and OANDA:XAUUSD to fall The chart shows a descending price channel that plays a key role in shaping the price. EURUSD breaks support at 1.0835 and forms momentum. Before the further fall, a quick correction to the resistance may be formed, after which I will wait for the price to fall to the nearest targets indicated on the chart. In the medium term, the currency pair may continue its decline until the USD policy changes. Moving averages act as resistance, earlier MA-50 was tested by a false breakout Resistance levels: 1.0835 Support levels: 1.0733 I expect the continuation of the fall amid the strengthening of the dollar. Euro is weakening, and the currency pair may fall to 1.06000 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
🥇GOLD - Rally. The price strengthens and forms a retest XAUUSD surprises by forming a rather strong movement on the background of weak news. This movement is based on technical factors, namely the realization of consolidation within the framework of correction on the background of bearish trend TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price is correcting and aiming for resistance at 1937.5 2) Globally we have a bearish trend, locally this trend is opposite to the global one. TA on the low timeframe: 1) I have marked support at 1918 and an ascending support line 2) Price may form a liquidity retest if this area is retested. If sellers sell the level on a pullback, price will break support and fly to 1900 3) At the moment there is a chance that from 1918 area the price will break up and hit 1930. Key support📉: 1918.9, trend line Key resistance📈: 1930
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
13
💱CADCHF - Dynamic Seller VS Limit Buyer CADCHF is in a strong bearish trend, as the D1 chart tells us. Price is forming a retest of strong support, which prepares the market for further decline TA on the high timeframe: 1) Support at 0.64863 plays an important role for us 2) The liquidity area is under intense attack from buyers. A break of 0.64888 - 0.6475 area will form a strong downside momentum TA on the low timeframe: 1) A descending triangle is forming. This setup can be interpreted as pressure from dynamic sellers on the limit support level that buyers, mainly whales and managers, have built up 2) Another retest and breakout of 0.64888 will form a strong momentum as this area is already tight liquidity area Key support📉: 0.64888 - 0.64750 Key resistance📈: triangle boundary, 0.65150
Short
by AndeWave
5
GOLD → The XAU is accelerating and the dollar is standing stillOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a rally to 1920, which is what I have been talking about for a few days now. At the moment, while DXY is in consolidation near an important level and does not give signs of falling or rising, we see a violent reaction in gold XAU goes beyond this consolidation and forms a retest of 1919 resistance followed by a false breakdown. But on the background of a strong market, a weak technical pullback is formed and the price goes back to the resistance retest and breaks it, updating the local high to 1921. There are several important levels marked on the chart: support at 1919 and the next support at 1914. Consolidation of the price above 1919 will form a setup for opening long positions, which will allow to hold trades until 1930. 1932. If the price will form a pullback and form a consolidation below 1914, in this case we should expect the price to decline to the previously broken consolidation boundary. Pay attention to the dollar index, it is still consolidating above 103. A fall below this level will give a strong rally for the XAU Support levels: 1919, 1914 Resistance levels: 1921, 1924 I expect a predictable reaction from these levels, it is important to wait for a signal confirmation in the market and only then open trades. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GOLD → XAU pricing is dependent on the 103 level at DXYOANDA:XAUUSD confirms flat resistance and forms a retracement of 1890 support, but the price does not reach flat support, while XAU forms a double retest of MA-200, but does not update the high. Strange situation in the market Statistically, another retest of resistance can lead to a breakout of resistance, but as long as the price is in consolidation we will consider the strategy of trading from the flat boundary. XAU has global and local trend coincide and both have downward direction. On the global timeframe we are interested in DXY, the price broke 103 and is forming a consolidation above the level, if the price starts to update the local highs it will mean that the dollar has strengthened above 103 and will continue its growth, in this case gold will continue its fall from the level of 1902.87 (pay attention to this level). Above 1902.87 a liquidity area is forming at the moment, a false breakout of this level is possible before a further fall. Support levels: 1896.68, 1890 Resistance levels: 1902.9, 1912.25 I expect a decline in the gold price in the prioritization, perhaps it will happen after a false breakout. If the dollar makes a false break of 103, gold will break the resistance and head towards 1925 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
USDCHF → The currency pair may break through resistance FX:USDCHF continues to strengthen within the ascending triangle. The price is retesting the trend resistance. What can happen? As we can see on the chart on the bottom left, the currency pair is forming a consolidation relative to a strong resistance area. The mentioned accumulation, when moving to the phase of implementation is able to change the direction of the trend, in this case, the global downtrend will begin to change its direction following the dollar index. DXY breaks the key resistance and on the basis of fundamental factors begins the implementation of the strengthening strategy. The USDCHF currency pair may go to 0.89088 if the resistance of the descending channel is broken. Support levels: 0.87779 Resistance levels: 0.88133, 0.88250 I expect a small bounce from resistance and further retest of the area, which may break the resistance and trigger a rise in the market. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
18
💱GBPUSD - Rising channel. Is growth to 1.29000 possible? GBPUSD forms a rebound from 1.26525 support and forms a local counter-trend correction TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price in the range of 1.28484 - 1.26525 2) After a false breakdown of support there is a potential for strengthening to resistance TA on the low timeframe 1) A local bullish channel is formed 2) Price consolidates at support and forms a retest of resistance 3) Within the up-trend, the retest of 1.27836 may form a breakout and growth to 1.29000. Key support📉: 1.27155 Key resistance📈: 1.27836
Long
by AndeWave
6
🥇GOLD → Price is exiting the bearish channel Gold breaks the resistance and forms numerous retests of the line, most likely this indicates that the market does not have a clear phase and there is a chance of price transition from a directional trend state to a flat state TA on a high timeframe: 1) One of the key supports is broken, the direction has a downward vector 2) A retest to the 1900 area is being formed, but at the same time, the daily candle closed on Monday indicates that the market is ready to continue its decline. TA on the low timeframe: 1) After a false breakout and retest, price confirms a breakout of channel resistance 2) Price seeks to test the key resistance at 1902.73, most likely another bounce may follow from the line. 3) Global and local trend is still bearish, and any of the resistance lines may affect the price formation Key support📉: 1891.87 Key resistance📈: 1902.73
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
6