Crudeoilwti
Crude Oil - Internals of Wave 3 DownIf Crude Oil does drop after reach 4890 I have plotted the internals of wave 3 down:
Pink Waves:
A. Wave 1 0.382 of C
B. Wave 2 0.5 of wave 1
C. Wave 3 2.618 of wave 1
D. Wave 4 0.382 of wave 3
E. Wave 5 1.618 of wave 4
Green Waves:
A. Wave 2 0.5 of wave 1
B. Wave 3 2.618 of wave 1
C. Wave 4 0.382 of wave 3
D. Wave 5 1.618 of wave 4
The larger wave 3 (red waves) was projected from the larger wave 1 in my previous chart to end around 4404 and these internal waves point to 4398
Crude Still Heading SouthCrude spiked on Friday due to an impulsive C wave (in my opinion) from 4647 toward 4890 (0.618 retrace of 5041/4647) on its way to complete wave 2 down.
Waves 3, 4 & 5 have been plotted using 1.618 of wave 1 for wave 3, 0.382 of wave 3 for wave 4 and 1.618 of wave 4 for wave 5. No consideration for wave extensions to 3 & 5, so price could go much lower than plotted if extensions to 2.618 occur.
It should be noted that wave 2 down can reach as high as 5041 and still be valid for Elliot Wave rules so plenty of upside left potentially (the internal wave 2 of wave 1 hit 5021, way beyond 0.618 of wave 1 at 5041).
Holding short positions from 4835-4850 with SL 4897.
Crude oil coming closer to Strong supply zonesCrude Oil has been in counter uptrend since june 21st 2017 and will reach a strong supply zone around $50 to $52. I am expecting a reversal from there in 1-2 weeks from today.
After the market opens on monday, the crude oil is expected to trade above $47.70 for a few days till it come closer to $50. As it comes closer to $50 expect sellers to step in, and slowly supply will exceed the demand. And as supply get stronger from $50 to $52 a reversal of trend is expected.
Crude Oil looks to be moving in a Triangle (Elliott Wave)After completing Wave 3, it seems that Crude Oil is stuck in a sideways movement as of now which looks most likely as a Triangle.
A break above 48.35 or 49.93 would say that things are otherwise.
Overall I expect one leg up after the completion of this pattern for Wave 5.
I will update further as this market progresses.
USOIL INDISDE A DESCENDING CHANNELMARKET ANALYSIS: The pair is now trading inside a descending channel. As of now the current scenario shows that the market tends to reach the channel resistance. So once we reach the resistance and the candle gives us a better confirmation for shorting, We can go for sell trade setup. So lets wait and see what the market does in the coming days. Cheers!
Crude in Bearish Three Drives PatternCrude is currently in a bearish three drives pattern heading toward $4820.
Current ABC:
1. A wave completed at 4557.
2. B wave should retrace 50% of A wave to 4667.
3. C wave should retrace 1.618 of B wave to 4490.
5 wave set after ABC complete:
1. Wave 1 should retrace 100% of C wave (50% of the entire ABC move) to 4667.
2. Wave 2 should retrace 50% of wave 1 to 4577
3. Wave 3 should hit 1.618 of wave 1 at 4775.
4. Wave 4 should retrace 0.382 of wave 3 to 4699.
5. Wave 5 should hit 1.618 of wave 4 to 4822.
Short Crude Oil at Key Resistance zoneFX:USOIL had been retracing its bearish trend the last two weeks. It is now currently at key resistance zone. Short order set up for the following reasons:
Overall trend on daily chart is down
Price resisted key resistance zone at 47.00 to 47.75 (previous April 2016 to June 2017 channel support now became resistance)
Forming a shooting star candlestick patteren (bearish wick protruding surrounding price action with bearish close)
Sufficient confluence to support a short, but due to recent higher low that formed, stop will be moved to breakeven at around 45.00
Minimum of 1.5 RR but potentially > 2RR
Stop Entry: 46.73; Stop loss: 47.81; Take profit: 43.72 (2.79 RR)
short oil readyi will go short on oil at 4.93 as soon as i get a candle stick formation for going short
USOIL WTI : 800 Pips opportunity Hey guys ! ** Watch for weekly view below **
Here is a good opportunity to short the crude oil with a potential 800 pips profit trade ( R/R around 6 )
Accumulation of :
- Weekly trend ( blue )
- More weekly trend as resistance ( black )
- Others monthly trends ( red ) : far but still active
- Fib 68.2
- Fib 78.6
- Resistance zone
- Stochastic will be overbought : I will update this idea with a multi time frame stochastic system .
As always , I recommand to wait for a reversal sign .
Follow me for more !
Good '' luck ''