Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaLittle update to this idea:
I think A wave is complete (it bounced from 0.382 as per this idea > )
If it is we may correct to the same level as the smaller degree white wave 4 around 6320 (.618 is there too), just as the white wave 4 corrected to 6330 area, the same level as the smaller degree wave 4 (blue waves).
Next could be C wave (or wave 3 in a more bearish count).
Crudeoilwti
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaI had posted this idea on 1H but got it wrong:
Seems there was and ending diagonal wave 5 for the end of wave 3 which was then followed by a bounce at 0.382 for wave 4. Looks like we are in wave 5 now, possibly one more leg up early next week to hit 1.618 of wave 4 around 6381, but there is a possibility the wave will continue on to 2.618 at 6570.
This may all be part of wave 1 so correction should happen if it is before up for wave 3.
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaAn update to several recent and older ideas on Crude Oil:
I believe we are nearing the end of wave 1 of 5 and if so could see a correction to mid 60's to 0.618 fib, but could correct higher at 0.382 or 0.5. Wave 3 should follow the correction to at least 1.618 of wave 1. Ultimately I think wave 5 will hit 1.618 of the larger wave 4 (6666/5809) around 72.
Daily TSI and daily MACD both bullish and the bullish Harami I pointed out last week seems to be having the desired effect:
Check out previous weekly bullish Harami, more green follows :)
Crude Oil - Bullish Harami?Not a candlestick pattern specialist but looks like a text book Bullish Harami on weekly; the green candle body formed last week is completely engulfed by the red candle from the week before.
"The Bullish Harami is a sign of disparity in the market’s health. The market is characterized by a downtrend and a bearish mood, and there is heavy selling reflected by a red body, which further supports the bearishness. However, the next day prices open higher or at the close of the preceding day and the short traders are alarmed. This leads to the covering of many short positions, causing the price to rise further. The latecomers short the trend they missed the first time, and slow down the rise. Thus, a smaller green body is formed. This may signal a trend reversal since the second day’s small real body shows that the bearish power is diminishing."
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaTheory for crude; possibly in the right shoulder of an inverse head and shoulder and sub waves of a larger wave 3.
Potentially a double bottom and bounce off strong bullish trendline.
The trendline that forms the neckline has been very resistant, if it keeps price in check it could potentially fall and correct to around 0.618 at 5950 ish before resuming upward.
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaUpdate to several recent ideas:
Looks promising for wave 5 now, bounced around 0.382 fib for 4 days and has now moved upwards. Has stopped at 0.382 of the complete ABC around the mid 61 area which is a common point for wave 1 to complete, may see a correction soon before wave 3 of wave 5.
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaIntraday idea that could be forming part of a larger move upward.
Potentially in wave 4 (to 0.382 of wave 3) around $60,00 with wave 5 1.618 or 2.618 of wave 4 to $61,30 or $62,09
Invalidation point is wave 4 crossing wave 1 at $59,70...crossing that point would mean more bearish move down in my opinion and would indicate a possible ABC correction completed to $60,80.
No position now. Will wait for this move to play out in full as if it is a bullish move to 61-62 then there should be a decent correction to buy from.
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaUpdate to this idea >
Could the correction be over? Price bounced right at the median line of the pink Andrews pitchfork shown in the chart and approximately 0.382 of wave 3.
If you draw a channel (shown in yellow) using waves 1, 2 and 4 as reference points (wave 3 popped out of the channel which is not uncommon when using Elliot Wave and channels) and 1.618 of wave 4 you can can see price reaching almost $72 and reaching the channel top and green Andrews pitchfork median line.
My previous long position ($61,50) was stopped out so I will wait to see price action next week before considering a new position.
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaUpdate to this 1D chart >
Possibly ABC correction completed to .236 of wave 3 (4560-6666). If this is the completion of wave 4 it is sharp compared to the wave 2 we had from 5040 to 4570 which is as per Elliot Wave theory.
Appears to be completed as per this idea on smaller timeframe >
1.618 of A wave reached for completion of C.
I bought at 6150. If low of today breaks will wait to try buying again at 0.382 (59ish).
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaAn update to previous ideas which became invalid with wave 4 crossing wave 1 (6500 was invalidation point).
Possibly an ABC now with C reaching 1.618 of A wave.
A note to the naysayers...If I am wrong I won't stop posting ideas and theories (as someone claimed on a comment on a previous idea). Imagine if everyone on Trading View simply stopped sharing ideas if they were wrong...