Bitcoin Contracting before ExplodingBTCUSD has seen a solid rebound off a crucial support level, successfully capturing liquidity at the previous month's low. Over the past week, the daily chart displayed choppy price action, leading to a period of consolidation within a tight range. Notably, the weekly timeframe has formed an inside bar pattern, signalling potential indecision among traders. A break and close above 63,000 could provide a strong bullish signal, potentially driving the market toward the next resistance level at 73,000. The upward momentum could persist, especially if the market rejects the prior week's low. On the 1H timeframe, a classic triangle pattern is unfolding, suggesting the price may continue oscillating within this structure before making a decisive move. The target is the resistance zone at 63,400
Correction
XAUUSD potential further push towards the 2550XAUUSD surged to a fresh all-time high on Friday, pushing past previous resistance levels. The price hit 2,508 and closed with a strong bullish candle, indicating the ongoing upward trend. This robust momentum suggests that further gains are likely in the coming week.
On the two-week chart, there’s a decisive break and close above the July high, hinting at an extension toward the 2,550 resistance zone, especially since the inside bar formation has been triggered. On the daily timeframe, the market also broke and closed above a triangle pattern, a textbook signal for trend continuation. The price action seems to be developing an AB = CD pattern, with the D point projected around the 2,550 level
USTech possible correctionUSTech may produce a temporary pullback before continuing the recovery to the up side. If the price drops down in the 18500 - 18700 range you can look for entry conditions to indicate a Buy entry but also be cautious at that time - if the price breaks below those supports, it can go lower to retest the 17250 - 17750 range
Walmart’s (WMT) Earnings Could Signal Economic TrendsAt first glance, Walmart's earnings might not seem critical, but they provide key insights into consumer behavior and could serve as an indicator for future retail sales. If Walmart reports disappointing earnings, it could signal broader economic concerns. As one of the largest retailers in the U.S., a decline in Walmart's customer base may indicate that consumers are tightening their belts, which is never a good sign for the economy.
This is why we're closely monitoring Walmart. Sometimes, stocks can act as a barometer for the market. While we’re hopeful for a strong earnings report, we're also anticipating a potential price dip into the $43 to $36 range. Whether this occurs immediately or in the coming weeks is uncertain, but we believe it’s a likely scenario. If Walmart’s price drops into this range, it could present a compelling buying opportunity. The golden pocket Fibonacci retracement aligns with this area, and there’s also a significant, yet untagged, liquidation level at $40 that we're keeping an eye on.
We’ll be closely watching Walmart’s earnings and price movements. If we see a negative earnings report and a subsequent drop in price, we’ll provide updates and discuss potential strategies. 🤝
TONUSDT pullback from recent highTONUSDT briefly surpassed last week’s high but quickly retraced, dropping back below that level. While this could be interpreted as a false breakout, the price did manage to close above it on the daily timeframe, creating mixed signals. I anticipate the market may decline toward resting liquidity beneath the key 6.00 level. It's worth noting that corrections often occur during weekends. Furthermore, the market has repeatedly rebounded from the resistance zone between 7.20 and 7.50, making a pullback likely. The target is the support level at 6.060.
3M Company Is Back To Bullish Mode3M Company with ticker MMM was trading in a larger A-B-C correction within a higher degree wave IV for the last 5 years, but we have been warning about strong support with equal wavelength of waves A=C already back in 2023.
As you can see now in 2024, we can see a strong rebound after a completed projected higher degree A-B-C correction within wave IV, so wave V can be now in play that can send the price back to all-time highs, especially if breaks channel resistance line and 175 level.
#AUDNZD bearish continuation scenarioAfter a bearish impulsive move, the price appears to be completing a bullish corrective ABC pattern. So far, it has completed waves A and B and is currently in the midst of the bullish wave C.
This bullish move could take the price back to the previous lower high, as highlighted in the chart. From there, we could anticipate the start of another bearish move.
Silver Could Be BottomingSilver has been slowing down for the last three months, but drop on 4h time frame is in three waves A-B-C, which indicates for a corrective decline within higher degree wave IV. It's now potentially finishing final subwave (5) of C at 26.50 - 26.00 strong and key support area. If we get sharp or five-wave impulsive recovery back above 29.22 first bullish evidence level, then it can easily send the price back to highs for wave V.
Bitcoin - Weekly chart Update - Bears will lose#BTC/USDT #Analysis
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+ Bitcoin has bounced back with a 15% recovery from the recent market low, a positive sign indicating resilience. The price is currently holding above a critical support level, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
+ While the price is trading above support, a major drop below this level would be concerning for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. The next significant support is at $45K, a crucial trend line. A break below $45K could signal the onset of a bear market.
+ Despite the recent recovery, August and September are expected to be challenging months for Bitcoin. The market is likely to range with multiple spikes and drops, potentially leading to liquidations for both bulls and bears. This period of volatility requires careful risk management.
+ I remain optimistic that Bitcoin will hold above the $50K level, with a gradual recovery likely from this area. Maintaining support above $50K is essential for avoiding a deeper downturn and sustaining the long-term bullish trend.
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VectorAlgo
Crypto Market Still Shows Correction Within UptrendCrypto market is in another bigger decline, impacted by stock market sell-off, but we still see it trading within a higher degree A-B-C correction for wave 4, where wave C of 4 can stop anywhere here in the 1.7T – 1.4T area. It's still a summer consolidation, so as long as Crypto total market cap chart is above trendline and 1.2T invalidation level, there's still a chance for a bullish continuation for wave 5, but we need to see sharp or impulsive stabilization back to 2T area to confirm support in place.
BTC Weekly Chart: 21 EMA Acting as Key Support – Will It Hold?#BTC/USDT #Analysis
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+ The Bitcoin price has been in a downtrend for the past few months, and it is currently testing the 21 EMA as support. If this level holds, it could be a sign that the price is finding a bottom and is ready to start an uptrend. However, if the 21 EMA breaks, it could signal further downside potential.
+ The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently testing the 21-Week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as support. Historically, this EMA has acted as a strong support level during bull markets.
+ The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the neutral zone, indicating indecision in the market. A drop below 50 could suggest weakening momentum, while a move above 60 would be bullish.
+ If BTC holds the 21 EMA and manages to break above the $70,000 resistance, we could see a continuation of the bull trend
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Crude Oil Steps In A Corrective RecoveryCrude oil is strongly stabilizing after a completed five-wave drop from the highs, so it's making a higher degree A-B-C corrective recovery. Current impulse up into wave A can be coming to an end at temporary 79-80 resistance area, from where may see a corrective setback in wave B before we will see a bigger recovery for wave C up to 81 – 83 strong resistance zone.
#GBPNZD more bearish move to comeThis is my prediction for GBPNZD for the next couple of days.
As you can see in the chart, the price seems to be completing a 5-wave bearish impulsive move, which could end by tomorrow.
Following this bearish move, we could assume a bullish corrective ABC formation, which could take us all the way back to the level indicated by the arrow.
From there, we could expect another impulsive bearish move, which could be either wave 3 or wave C.
We do not know this for sure at this point, so we should wait and analyze the price action once the time is relevant.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
Microsoft - We still have to be patient...NASDAQ:MSFT dropped after reporting earnings and can now create a short term correction!
Simplicity is key, also when it comes to trading the higher timeframes on stocks. All you need are three lines in order to fully understand the trading history and also future of Microsoft. If we get a retest of the triangle breakout level, which is perfectly lining up with the rising trendline, a bullish continuation will be quite expected. Just wait for confirmation first though!
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
#CHFJPY elliot wave analysisAs can be seen, it looks like we are dealing with an ABC bullish corrective wave pattern, currently in wave 4 of wave C. There is a possibility of another short-term bullish move to complete wave C.
From there, we could look for selling opportunities in the direction of the higher timeframe trend.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
Long way to go from here
Current situation: SKILLING:US100 : NASDAQ:SMCI is currently at support level.
Potential scenario: If tomorrow's earnings do not meet expectations, the stock could drop to around $450 in a heartbeat.
Why?
1. The movement that started on 4.03.2024 appears to be an ABC correction, and the stock is currently in wave C of that correction.
2. In an ABC correction, the most common Fibonacci level for wave C is when
Wave C = Wave A = 1 = $446
3. Other indicators, such as MACD, are also indicating a downward trend as expected.
The WavesInvesting indicator is also pointing to the same level as the Fibonacci ratio for its lower channel line.
However, if the earnings turn out to be very good, we may see support at the current level.
Simple question for you: support or down the water slide we go?
Weekend Analysis Round Up- EUR/USD, AUD/JPY, DOGEHey Everyone!! Here is my Weekend Analysis Round Up for Market Open!!
1) EUR/USD - Head & Shoulders Pattern w/Potential Bearish Wedge as Continuation Confirmation!!
2) AUD/JPY - Possible Correction Wave based off new LOWER LOW!
3) Doge - Stuck in a Pennant?!
JPN225 Drops to Correction Levels Ahead of the BOJThe Japanese benchmark index is having another banner year, which culminated to July’s record peak. The central bank’s accommodative stance despite the policy pivot and the Yen’s protracted slump, were the key drivers. But even if slowly, the Bank of Japan is moving towards a less loose setting, after exiting negative rates regime in a historic decision in March. Policymakers have pointed to less bond buying ahead and there are mounting expectations that policymakers will hike again next week.
These prospects help the ailing Yen rebound (along with intervention speculation) and send the JPN225 to correction territory, with a more than 10% slide for the all-time highs. This threatens the pivotal 200Days EMA (blue line) and a breach would open the door to bigger losses towards and beyond 35,771.
However, there is ambivalence around the timing of the next rate increase, while officials have disappointed hawkish expectation in the past and have wrong-footed markets before. Furthermore, the Yen’s demise has made Japanese equities more appealing to foreign investors and ultra-loose monetary policies may have been key drivers of the rally in Japanese equities, but they are not the only culprits. Structural reforms, favorable policies by the government and strong corporate earnings are among the supportive factors.
Furthermore the drop is stretched from a technical perspective, as the RSI reached the most oversold in years. This can help JPN225 stage a comeback as it already defends the 200Days EMA. It may get the opportunity to reclaim the EMA200 (black line) at around the 40K mark. Successful effort would reinstate the bullish bias, but strong catalyst would be needed.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
S&P500 - The beginning of the bear market?SP:SPX potentially created a top and is starting to head lower for the next months.
We have patterns, cycles and market structure and if everything is lining up nicely, there is a high chance you will be right. The S&P500 is currently retesting a major multi-year resistance trendling, is starting to shift bearish on the smaller timeframes and just rallied +50% without any noticeable correction. In a couple of months, we will trade at lower levels!
Levels to watch: $5.500, $4.500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
#Ethereum Update:Today was the first day ETH ETFs were traded.
The price of ETH is now correcting because this news is already known and has become just a formality.
What’s important about these ETFs are the volumes, which in the case of the #BTCETF approval initially put selling pressure on the market, followed by a larger upward movement.
I have two scenarios for this 1-day (1D) timeframe:
🟢 Green Scenario (Bullish): Possible recovery and increase in the coming days.
⚫ Black Scenario (Bearish): Short-term correction, but potentially very bullish in the medium term because a lot of liquidity has formed in that marked area and we also have an FVG (imbalance) on the W timeframe + resistance on that parallel channel.
Watch the market closely 3100-3300 and consider these scenarios in your trading strategies!