Copper
Copper Supply Zone Copper JUST missed our supply zone entry located above the opening range.
Very Clear DBD (drop base drop) formation on the 15 min chart.
We called this out today in the live room. Hopefully we get another shot at this. You never know what is going to work. You can only trade what you see taking place on the chart at that moment.
COPPER Best sell entry of the year.Copper (HG1!) has entered the 3.9740 - 4.0235 Resistance Zone that has been in effect since May 01 2023. It has provided the rejections of August 01 2023 and December 27 2023, with the latter hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement upon its reversal and the former the 0.786 level.
Technically the current 1D CCI pattern is almost identical to the one that preceded the August 01 2023 peak. We will pursue Target 1 at 3.800 (Fib 0.618) and Target 2 at 3.7400 (Fib 0.786).
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Copper. The spring is compressingEvery day, we are seeing higher volumes in options, with predominantly bullish option portfolios targeting the 4.05-4.1 range. Graphically, after the data release, there is consolidation under the resistance level, which reinforces the possibility of an upcoming upside shot.
COPPER Sell opportunity within a Channel Down.Copper (HG1!) is trading on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), on a Bullish Leg following the February 09 2024 rebound. That was a Lower Low within the Channel Down that started in December. The long-term pattern is a Falling Wedge and being much closer to its top, after the January 31 2024 than its bottom, this is a strong sell opportunity.
The August 2023 Lower High rejection initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before making a Lower Low much later. As a result our target is 3.6250, which is just above the0.786 Fibonacci level and a technical Lower Low for the short-term (blue) Channel Down.
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Copper futures. Disinflation is almost there to comeCopper futures fell further to around $3.8 per pound, marking a weekly loss driven by concerns over demand from China and heightened US interest rates.
China's manufacturing sector contracted for the fourth consecutive month in January, contributing to the negative sentiment.
With a robust US jobs report, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March have diminished.
Weaker Q1 industrial activity is expected to dampen demand, although Glencore's projected 5% production decline in 2023, along with an anticipated additional drop in 2024, could offset this.
Despite these challenges, there is still hope that China will implement measures to stabilize its economy.
Technical graph illustrates also, 5-years SMA is a massive long term support in this time for Copper futures COMEX:HG1! , as it breakthrough can deliver solid further losses for Copper futures prices, like in 2020 (30% off), in 2014-16 (40% off) and in 2008-09 (50% off).
Dr. Copper Sets Sights on Higher LevelsDr. Copper has recently demonstrated signs of strength, largely attributed to China's stimulus measures. This price surge is occurring within a pattern of consistently higher lows since the lows of 2023. It's important to highlight that this upward momentum previously broke through the downtrend line stemming from the highs of 2023.
Following its breakthrough of the $3.82 resistance level yesterday, attention is now focused on the potential for a sustained positive price trend. If the industrial metal maintains a price above $3.82 per pound, it could set its sights on the psychologically significant level of $4 and the resistance level established in August. These levels appear to be potential objectives worth considering in the near future.
PLATINUM, WHAT IS IT AND WHY THE HECK WOULD I WANT THIS METALWhat is Platinum?
Platinum is a chemical element with the symbol Pt and atomic number 78. It belongs to the noble metals group, which also includes palladium, rhodium, iridium, osmium, and ruthenium. Platinum is characterized by its high density, malleability, ductility, and resistance to corrosion. These unique properties make it an invaluable material for various industrial applications.
Where is Platinum Found?
While platinum is relatively scarce, it is not as rare as some other precious metals. The majority of the world's platinum supply comes from two main sources: primary production and recycling. South Africa is the leading producer of platinum, contributing significantly to the global supply. Russia, Zimbabwe, and Canada also have substantial platinum deposits.
Platinum is often found alongside other minerals, such as nickel and copper, in ore deposits known as platinum group elements (PGE). Extracting platinum from these ores involves complex processes that require advanced mining and refining technologies.
Why Would You Want Platinum?
Jewelry and Luxury Goods:
Platinum's brilliant white sheen and resistance to tarnish make it a popular choice for crafting high-end jewelry. Platinum jewelry is not only exquisite but also durable, making it an ideal choice for engagement rings, wedding bands, and other fine accessories.
Catalytic Converters:
The automotive industry extensively uses platinum in catalytic converters, where it plays a crucial role in reducing harmful emissions from vehicles. Its catalytic properties make it an essential component in promoting cleaner air and environmental sustainability.
Electronics and Industry:
Platinum is a key player in various industrial applications, including electronics, due to its excellent conductivity and resistance to corrosion. It is used in the production of electrical contacts, laboratory equipment, and in the manufacturing of glass.
Investment and Financial Markets:
Platinum, like gold and silver, is considered a precious metal and is actively traded in financial markets. Some investors choose to include platinum in their portfolios as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainties.
Platinum mining is a challenging and complex process. Extracting platinum from the Earth involves several intricate steps, and the scarcity of platinum deposits adds to the difficulty of mining this precious metal. Here is an overview of the key challenges associated with platinum mining:
Ore Extraction:
Platinum is often found in combination with other metals, forming platinum group elements (PGE) deposits. Extracting platinum from these ores requires advanced mining techniques. The ores are typically low in concentration, making the extraction process more intricate than that of more abundant metals.
Depth of Deposits:
Many platinum deposits are located deep underground, which adds to the complexity and cost of mining. Deep-level mining requires specialized equipment and poses safety challenges for miners. In some cases, mines may extend kilometers below the Earth's surface.
Energy Intensity:
The extraction and refining of platinum involve energy-intensive processes. The high temperatures required for smelting and refining contribute to the overall energy consumption of platinum mining operations.
Environmental Impact:
Mining operations, especially in ecologically sensitive areas, can have significant environmental impacts. Platinum mining may result in habitat disruption, soil erosion, and water pollution. Sustainable mining practices and environmental regulations are essential to mitigate these effects.
Labor Intensity:
Mining platinum is a labor-intensive process that requires skilled workers. The complexity of the operations, coupled with safety considerations in deep-level mining, makes it essential to have trained personnel.
Market Volatility:
The platinum market is subject to price fluctuations, influenced by factors such as supply and demand dynamics, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. This volatility can impact the profitability of mining operations and investment decisions in the platinum industry.
Technological Challenges:
The extraction and processing of platinum ores require advanced technologies. Developing and implementing efficient and environmentally responsible mining technologies is an ongoing challenge for the industry.
Despite these challenges, the demand for platinum in various industries, such as jewelry, automotive, and electronics, continues to drive the exploration and extraction of new platinum sources. Innovations in mining technologies and sustainable practices are being explored to address the difficulties associated with platinum mining and ensure its responsible and ethical extraction.
THE TECHNICALS
Sharp downtrend, weak, although down, it is a support trend.
Two strong (one stronger than the other) support trends, IF UNDER, THEN BUY is probably the rule for those.
It looks like there is some downside to come, which has been showing.
The ideal price targets are thicker, and basically mean, under perfect conditions, I'd exit and enter at these levels, however, nothing is ever perfect.
AS far as what the technicals say for price, I'd say there is a good chance it can maintain $800, however, there is a possible dip showing, which takes price down to $700. Again, these are both under or at major trends, and we can say that if price gets to these levels, I have a better than average chance at profit. AND if I'm wrong, I'm backed up by multiple support lines, which means less time in the red.
Other scenario is where the bullish momentum keeps moving up at we head up to 1200 or so before hitting that huge dip. However, I tend to see this as the less likely option.
RSI is showing the dip, along with various other indicators as coming in the short term and being backed up with support and buying in the longer term, this doesn't include a black swan event, which would theoretically take the price way down, and rocket to all time highs, as platinum will likely hold value.
Good luck!!
Personal opinion, I'm bullish long term from a fundamental side and technical side.
Copper Equities Breaking Down, Is tthe economy?Copper is very close to losing criyical support.
If this daily chart trendline breaks, there is a big move down into the next support.
Copper Equity stocks are already teing us aa likely breakdown in the commodity is coming.
Is this base metal signaling weaker economic demand & growth?
COPPER 13/01Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line. Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and making its " A " Corrective Wave. We have LL - LH and Break of Structure
Copper shark attackIf you trust the recent 9/20 day moving average crossover enough to short copper, today's bounce back toward the 9MA might be a good one to sell.
When setting a profit target to the downside, a harmonic trader could project a shark with its C-point (D-point in the diagram) in the neighborhood of 3.5365 (red circle), for about a USD0.25 profit per contract. This would work out to USD625 for the mini contract or USD3125 for the full contract.
If the shark went on to complete by drawing a full CD leg (green arrow to green circle), that would be another USD0.25 to the upside.
Whither copper?On the left we see in formation the final leg of a nice ABCD harmonic pattern in copper futures— if it forms. The moving average crossover suggests otherwise.
For further guidance, we can examine Dr. Copper's price pattern since commodity prices started to settle down in early 2022.
Your move. We would find it acceptable not to do so for at least a few days.
COPPER, Teasing a multi-weekly TOP GAINS soon! SEED!Copper is in continuous ascend mode this past few days / weeks after touching an important major order block at 61.8 FIB levels. Since then, significant net accumulation has been registered on a daily basis.
Expect some generous price growth from the current price range. A seed from here is ideal while it's still in a slow roll ascend -- but not for long.
Initial target is 5.0.
Spotted at 3.80
SEED LONG.
TAYOR.
Safeguard funds always / not advice.