GOLD → A change in structure and a change in trend. CPI ahead!FX:XAUUSD is turning around. The daily session closes below 2604 and the breakdown of the global structure confirms the bearish nature of the market. The fight for the key 2600 zone continues...
Trump's tough policies could slow the Fed's easing cycle, the dollar would then continue to strengthen at the expense of gold... There is another Fed rate meeting in December and obviously the question is: either 0.25% or hold.
All eyes are on the CPI, the data will determine whether the Fed will continue its rate cut trajectory after December.
A downside surprise in CPI could reinforce dovish expectations for the Fed. Conversely, a stronger inflation report could trigger a change in the regulator's stance. Any reaction to the news could be short-lived as attention immediately shifts to Thursday, PPI and Powell's...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2626, 2637
! Key level: 2604
Support levels: 2590, 2569
The fight for 2604 continues, if the bears can keep the defense below this zone, we should expect a fall. But, there is a high probability of correction on the background of news volatility and retest of resistance 2626-2637 before the further fall
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Consolidation
NZDJPY → 92.00 - bull run triggerOANDA:NZDJPY continues to accumulate pre-breakout potential against 92.000 resistance. Japan's national currency continues to weaken amid inaction from the country's Central Bank and the dollar rally...
On D1 and H1, the structure coincides and generally tells us that the price is ready to go up. Trigger 91.950 - 92.00. If buyers can break this resistance area and hold their defenses above this zone, a quick distribution will not be far behind.
JPY confirms its downward course by breaking support, which generally defines the medium-term potential for us.
Resistance levels: 92.00
Support levels: 91.362
The overall structure will be broken when the support at 91.36 is broken, but there are no hints of that yet. The currency pair does not fall after the false breakdown of resistance, but continues to inflate the potential, which generally confirms the bullish intentions to go higher.
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NEIROETH → The coin is one step away from rallying ↑BINANCE:NEIROETHUSDT.P consolidates before a possible takeoff. The potential of the cryptocurrency market is beginning to unfold amid the excitement surrounding Trump's victory
While bitcoin is hitting all-time highs, some altcoins are still considered extremely undervalued.
NEIROETH is coming out of accumulation (triangle) but faces a strong liquidity zone. The coin continues to accumulate potential, but with a hint of resistance breakout. The key liquidity zone is 0.1150.
Technically, the picture on the chart is shaping up to be extremely bullish: no renewal of lows, strong consolidations and strong support levels.
Resistance levels: 0.1150, 0.1400
Support levels: 0.0923, 0.067
I do not exclude the possibility of support retest and formation of a false breakdown before further growth. But in any case, a break of the key liquidity zone at 0.115 may trigger a rally.
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USDCHF → Realization and distribution phase. Target 0.900FX:USDCHF comes out of accumulation and changes the market phase to realization phase. On the background of the dollar growth, the reason for which is mainly the excitement about the presidential election in the U.S., the currency pair also has a potential for growth
On D1, buyers are forming a bottom and a strong reversal base, indicating the potential and further interests. The zones of interest, in our case, can serve as areas of local highs, behind which there is a liquidity zone and money, to which the MM is directed....
Technically, in the European session the price is breaking the resistance of local accumulation. The emphasis is on 0.8774. If the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect a continuation of growth in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.887, 0.892
Support levels: 0.8774, 0.8748, 0.871
Accordingly, the key support at the moment is 0.8774 and it is from it we expect the continuation of growth. Formation of a false breakout is not excluded. In this case, after correction to the local 0.8748, the growth may continue
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BITCOIN → Is the $100K target becoming more and more realistic? BINANCE:BTCUSD is in the bull run phase and updating highs due to the excitement of the US presidential election. After 8 months, there are finally reasons for the price to come out of the prolonged accumulation. Now the distribution.
BTC has one bullish driver after another as it approaches ATH:
Trump's victory in the US presidential election.
Then the second 0.25% Fed rate cut in this cycle
Discussions about BTC as a strategic reserve.
Next is the SEC. Trump promised to get rid of the head of the SEC, so the choice will be made in favor of a more loyal to cryptocurrencies person.
In general, the fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is very bullish, altcoins may finally go straight to the moon.
Technically, bitcoin has a key resistance of 76900 at the moment, as well as key support zones, which is worth paying attention to as the price has been forming a local accumulation for two days. Accordingly, the move may continue in the near term.
Resistance levels: 76900
Support levels: 75650, 74560, 73550
The price is squeezing in front of the resistance, which may lead to a breakout. But, the liquidity is decreasing on the weekend, which may lead to a small correction, for example, to 75650 or other areas lower on the chart. We can't talk about any selling now, the reason is obvious, so we are looking for strong resistance levels (to continue the movement), or strong support levels (to bounce with the purpose of buying).
The target of 100K is becoming more and more real ;)
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
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GOLD → Fundamental Swing. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD updates the low to 2643. The reason - change of fundamental background and outflow of funds to safer assets... But, Powell supported the metal by lowering the US interest rate....
Overall, the fundamental backdrop for gold has changed to negative. The impact is not short-term and can only increase further, but the metal will be supported by the Chinese market and the Middle East conflict. Yesterday gold strengthened to 2710, testing key resistance on the back of 0.25% interest rate cut. Powell gave a hint that the Feds are generally willing to continue the easing course. The environment is quite interesting...
Technically, gold is in a local descending channel and below 0.5 Fibo. If the bears keep the 0.5 - 0.7 fibo zone under their control, gold may continue to weaken towards 2650 - 2600.
Resistance levels: 2696, 2714, 2720
Support levels: 2685, 2652
Technically, after a busy week, the metal may go into a consolidation phase, for example in the area of 2714 - 2685, but it is still worth paying attention to resistance and support from which strong moves can be formed...
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GOLD → U-turn and fall... Waiting for Powell (Fed)FX:XAUUSD is forming a reversal setup with a bias for the medium and long term. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the dollar at the expense of gold, as well as changing the targets...
Trump is the new (old) president of the United States. What does that mean? Rising inflation, a rising dollar, stock market and bonds are possible, but not gold or currency markets. But because Trump's policies promise to be tough on China and Europe, gold may get additional support from investors, but not in the near term, perhaps not in the next year. What are the targets to gold going forward? 2400, 2300, 2200. 2K is not excluded.
Now all eyes are on the Fed rate meeting later on Thursday. Will they cut 0.25% or keep the rate the same? The important aspect in that case is the regulator's comments and hints (slowing down the easing cycle is not ruled out). Waiting for Powell...
Technically, gold is returning to the range, so the focus is on the internal levels and the key 0.5 fibo, from which the decline may resume
Resistance levels: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support levels: 2652 (trigger), 2637, 2624
A correction after the spill is being formed. False breakdown and subsequent consolidation below the above resistance levels will be a signal for the continuation of the fall
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GOLD → Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall? FX:XAUUSD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news....
There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning.
Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU
BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market
Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708
Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749
Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689
Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria....
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GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed.
The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly.
As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase.
The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044
Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25
The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news!
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GOLD → The SMAs are hinting that it's about time ... News!FX:XAUUSD is forming a phase of correction, the reason for which is the change of fundamental background. The pressure from sellers is increasing, and the market is forming a key support at this time...
Disappointing NFP data was offset by hot wage inflation data. The U.S. labor market report failed to deter dollar buyers as it had limited impact on market pricing in Fed meeting expectations. Which had a negative impact on the price of gold...
All eyes are now on the US presidential election on November 5, and the outcome of the Fed meeting on Thursday. Markets believe that Trump's policy will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while if Harris wins, the dovish policy will continue.
Technically, traders are taking a wait-and-see approach. The price is forming a range, and most likely gold will trade inside this channel in the near term
Resistance levels: 2745, 0.5 and 0.7 Fibo, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
SMAs are tending towards each other, which could be a mixed reaction from traders. Markets are prioritizing a Republican victory, in fact, this could intensify gold's correction. But the denouement of the presidential race is tomorrow! For now, the focus is on the flat boundaries!
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GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news
NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election?
It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment.
Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy.
Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305
Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310
Support levels: 1.284, 1.281
The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger...
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NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election....
The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5...
If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend.
Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066
Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915
Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas...
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GOLD → The US election and how does XAUUSD depend on it?FX:XAUUSD is waiting for strong news. The price continues to test and even update local lows, but in the next 1-2 days you need to be careful as high volatility is expected.
The main issue on the agenda is the US presidential election. High volatility is expected. Until last week, markets were pricing in a Trump victory (his policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the US dollar). But on Monday, the situation showed a slightly different picture, with the odds of a Harris victory (opposite, successor, policies) rising
In addition, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed are also supporting the dollar.
Also, markets are taking into account the ongoing Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran.
Technically, the emphasis of the flat boundaries. While the price is trading inside, but most likely an attempt to get out of the accumulation will be formed....
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
Technically, gold continues to test support with the aim of retesting deeper liquidity zones below. But the risks are quite high right now. Gold is still feeling the support, so there could be unpredictable market reactions depending on the outcome!
Regards R. Linda!
SOLANA → Resistance retest. Will there be a reaction?BINANCE:SOLUSDT , after a strong growth, bumps into the conglomerate of resistances formed on D1-W1. It can be assumed that there is not enough potential to break through this area at the moment....
There is a clear resistance of the sideways range with gradually narrowing borders on the chart. This is a consolidation, which is most likely not over yet. The market continues to accumulate potential before further strong movement.
The price reacts very aggressively to the resistance of the figure every time: the retest is followed by a strong decline to the lower boundary.
The actual retest ends with a false breakout and the formation of a reversal pattern and the trigger of the 173.00 zone. Accordingly, if the SOL continues to decline, which leads to a breakdown of support, the market may enter a sell-off phase.
Resistance levels: 183.4, 188.3
Support levels: 173.0, 159.1
I don't exclude that on the background of bitcoin's active growth SOL may make another attempt of a bull run, for example, to 188.4-188.3. But liquidity formed above this zone will not let the price up the first time.
At the moment the focus is on 173.0. A breakdown and consolidation below this area will activate a sell-off...
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HelenP. I Euro will make small correction and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics.A few days ago price entered to consolidation, where it at once reached the top part and then dropped to the 1.1040 level, which coincided with the bottom part of the flat with the resistance zone. Then EUR tried to grow, but failed and fell to the resistance zone, after which turned around and in a short time backed up to range. Later price rose to the top part of the consolidation again, where then it reached the trend line and then started to decline. Euro exited from consolidation, breaking the 1.1040 level, and continued to decline. In a short time later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, the price broke this level and some time traded between, after which rebounded up, breaking the 1.0810 level with the trend line. To this day, the price continues to grow, so, I expect that EURUSD will make the small correction and then continue to grow next. So, that's why I set my goal at 1.0975 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GBPUSD → Confirmation of a trend change. The Bear ZoneFX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The fundamnetal factor is favorable for further decline. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the previously broken boundary. The market is not ready to resist the sellers yet
On the background of difficult situation in the west, the course of interest rate cuts in the UK, a pool of sell orders is forming in the zone 1.315 - 1.300. Buyers are turning around.
On Monday, in the Asian session, the retest of the previously broken trend support ended with a downward impulse, which confirms the bearish mood in the market. GBPUSD confirms the price exit from the channel.
It is possible that another retest is possible, as the dollar is forming a short-term correction, but it does not change the general essence of it
Resistance levels: 1.3044, 1.3068
Support levels: 1.300, 1.2975, 1.2938
The trigger for the continuation of the fall will be the breakdown of 1.3000 and further consolidation of the price below this zone. Additional scenario: retest of 1.3063 - 1.3075 before further fall
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ETHEREUM → Price can't break the bearish trend. False breakoutBINANCE:ETHUSD is facing selloffs. Technically, ETH is showing weakness on the background of growing sales. Any growth attempts are aggressively sold off. The price continues to test the support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown
Accumulation is narrowing. Ethereum is unable to leave the downtrend. The pressure formed by the bears is only getting stronger. Earlier there was a growth attempt, which became unsuccessful, after a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance 2717. The bears did not let anyone near 2817. On the background of yesterday's fall, associated with bitcoin correction in the 67K - 65K zone, the price tested the consolidation support and is forming a false breakdown.
From October 22: BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓
If the price does not start active growth, but returns to the support and starts to enter the risk zone, it can provoke the activation of orders and a strong impulse to 2100-1900.
Resistance levels: 2562, 2728, 2764
Support levels: 2392, 2318, 2111
It is not excluded that the price may return to the triangle resistance or 2728, but there are no hints for now. Emphasize on 2562 and 2392, two important zones from which a strong fall can be formed
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