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Consolidation

A bullish pattern unfoldingA consolidation pattern appeared in our model and this is amazing because this is a 2 years consolidation pattern which is quite rare to see. Consolidation phases in the stock market refer to periods of time when the price of a particular stock or the overall market is relatively stable and not showing significant trends in either direction. These phases can be seen as a "pause" in the market's overall trend, and they can last for varying amounts of time. Consolidation phases can occur in both bullish and bearish markets. In a bullish market, consolidation phases may be viewed as an opportunity for traders to take a break from buying and selling, or to reassess their positions and make any necessary adjustments. Some traders may see consolidation phases as an opportunity to buy into the market at a lower price, while others may choose to hold onto their existing positions until the market starts to trend upward again. It is important to note that consolidation phases do not necessarily indicate a change in the market's overall trend. In a bullish market, for example, the market may continue to trend upward even if there are periods of consolidation along the way. As such, it is important for traders to use other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis, to determine the market's overall direction and make informed trading decisions. Finally, this consolidatio phase is clearly limited by an upper trendline which could help us to trade this pattern. If you buy in the consolidation pattern you can be trapped for months in a choppy market, but if you buy once the upper side has been broke, you can enjoy a fast rally with more probabilities. The zone between 1750 and 1800 looks great to take profits.
LSE:SMINLong
by TopChartPatterns
GBP shortFX:GBPUSD English: Hey, trader! Here we have the GBPUSD in the 4h time frame. I'm looking for a short opportunity. I think GBPUSD will just consolidate a bit and then fall with a strong dollar. I'll look for a retest on a resistance zone around 1.20300.There is one important news in the afternoon tomorrow. So be careful! Theis news can change the direction of the chart very quickly! Deutsch: Hey, Trader! Hier haben wir den GBPUSD im 4-Stunden-Zeitrahmen. Ich suche nach einem short Trade. Ich denke, GBPUSD wird eine weile konsolidieren und dann mit einem starken Dollar fallen. Ich werde nach einem Retest in der Widerstandszone um 1.20300 suchen. Morgen Nachmittag gibt es eine wichtige Nachricht. Also sei vorsichtig! Diese Nachrichten können die Richtung des Diagramms sehr schnell ändern!
Short
by NeptenFX
3
DXY neutralTVC:DXY English: Hey, trader! Here we have the DXY in the 4h time frame. The next days I think there will not be a nice trend trade. i think it will just consolidate until it breaks the trendline or it falls under the major level 104.000 . So be careful the next days finding the right entrys and the right exits. There is one important news in the afternoon tomorrow. So be careful! Theis news can change the direction of the chart very quickly! Deutsch: Hey,Trader! Hier haben wir den DXY im 4-Stunden-Zeitrahmen. In den nächsten Tagen denke ich, dass es keinen schönen Trendhandel geben wird. Ich denke, es wird sich einfach konsolidieren, bis es die Trendlinie durchbricht oder unter das Mainlevel von 104.000 fällt. Seien Sie also in den nächsten Tagen vorsichtig, die richtigen Ein- und Ausstiege rechtzeitig zu finden. Morgen Nachmittag gibt es eine wichtige Nachricht. Also sei vorsichtig! Diese Nachrichten können die Richtung des Charts sehr schnell ändern!
TVC:DXY
by NeptenFX
DGSTACC: SPY MICRO ANALYSIS / CHANNELS CONFIRMATION & SUPPORTS In the chart above I have provided a simple analysis on SPY that takes into consideration channel confirmation estimated by using an average deviation in the two hour timeframe. 1. As you can see previous pennant support has been broken to the down side. 2. Forcing price action to fall down too 375 where price action has seen a STRONG DEMAND before in November. 2. With data from November, if price action is to be supported by 375 this would confirm sideways action is in play with a SUPPLY ZONE AT 390 . 3. Channel up above our current one found support between 390 AND 405 so one can also conclude that SPY likes to move between a 15 POINT DEVIATION month to month. 4. Break down of 375 can push us down into the next fibonacci channel of 360 - 375 .
AMEX:SPY
by DGSTBROKERACC
LICHSGFIN - Bullish Breakout with Strong VolumesNSE: LICHSGFIN is closing with a strong bullish consolidation breakout candle supported with volumes Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days. The stock has been consolidating for the past few days which is indicating demand. One can look for a 8% to 11% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade. The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low. #NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
NSE:LICHSGFINLong
by BrahmaBull31
NAUKRI - Bullish Consolidation BreakoutNSE: NAUKRI is closing with a strong bullish consolidation breakout candle supported with volumes Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days. The stock has been consolidating for the past few days which is indicating demand. One can look for a 8% to 11% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade. The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low. #NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
NSE:NAUKRILong
by BrahmaBull31
1
ETHUSDT ANALYSIS...Hello guys... in higher time frame: as you can see in chart, eth formed a pump movement and the correction almost %33 of last action... after that price made a consolidation with several touch... once break down that consolidation but it was just a touch to flip area (I show this as green circle)... in my opinion eth continue upward movement until almost $1450... but please wait for break up... in lower time frame: eth make a hidden gap in long bar candle it is good area for getting a little bit profit from short position... always do your own research. If you have any questions, you can write it in comments below, and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your like and comment.
by melikatrader94
15
Bitcoin getting ready to short-term trend (breakout)Bitcoin has been consolidating in a rather neat, orderly, and tight sideways range for 11 days. It's about 11% off it's cycle lows digesting a landslide of negative headlines. This feels like it's ready to breakout sooner rather than later if I had to pick a side, it feels like the breakout direction favors the bulls — but as the saying goes — no trigger, no trade, so there's nothing wrong with staying patient and watching for the move. I do have a long position in BTC and would add to it on a breakout.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EvanMedeiros
2
BTCUSD - short term upside potentialBITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been trading in a downtrend for quite a while and had many investors worried. It is still in an overall downtrend but looking at lower timeframe, it seems to have stalled for now and looks like it could make a short upside move if it succeeds in breaking the resistance level. On a daily timeframe, price is consolidating near the resistance level 17240. Volume is also gradually decreasing. On 3H timeframe, price is making a triangle pattern and almost ready to breakout from it. You can also notice reverse head and shoulder structure and upside price moves with volume spikes. It indicates a presence of demand and we could see a nice short term move up to 18150. Share your thoughts in the comment sections. Happy and safe trading! :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PriceActionTrader1
SPY: Don't Fight the Rally, Downtrends Include Highs TooPrimary Chart: Downward Trendline from All-Time High, Various Anchored VWAPs and Fibonacci Levels Rallies in Downtrends Are Part of the Process Don't fight the rally in AMEX:SPY , the ETF tracking the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ). Bear rallies are part of every downtrend. Many are debating whether equity markets have put in a lasting bottom in mid-October 2022. Although this seems unlikely given the macroeconomic headwinds and interest-rate environment, no one really knows the answer to these questions. SquishTrade favors the continuation of trends, especially at the larger-degrees of trend, rather than reversal. So at the primary degree of trend, for example, from the all-time high, it makes sense to favor the odds that such downtrend will continue despite a reversal of trends at smaller degrees of trend (such as the uptrend shown on short-term time frames such as intraday charts and perhaps even the daily chart). But favoring the continuation merely recognizes the probability that the downtrend will resume at some point—and acknowledges that no certainty exists about whether a lasting bottom / major trend reversal has occurred. In short, no one knows what comes next. So we fall back on what is more probable and what is less probable. It's important to remember that downtrends include both highs and lows. A downtrend is defined by lower highs and lower lows, and on the daily chart and weekly chart since the all-time highs in January 2022, higher highs and higher lows appear. Sometimes, we traders sometimes wish that price would just move smoothly downward in more or less a straight line. But this does not happen. At each lower high in this current downtrend—March 2022, June 2022, and August 2022—major rallies led to actual market highs, albeit lower ones than previously. So don't fight the highs as they are part of every downtrend process. Even if one's macro research and technical analysis continues to support a bearish case, and the bearish case may end up prevailing in the larger degree of trend, it remains prudent to avoid fighting the rallies. This is a lesson the author has learned the hard way. Bear market rallies are powerful and sharp, often defying all logic. A prime example occurred last week, when major FAANG stocks like META, GOOGL and AMZN took major hits to the downside but indices remain stable and even rallied hard at the end of the week. Irrational? Maybe. But it's what the market wanted to do, so it's best to flow with it. And the rallies are part of the downtrend process, and in fact, they can provide better shorting opportunities than shorting at the lows expecting the downtrend to move in a straight line. Price Has Moved into a Key Price Zone from $380 to $413 SPY For the next couple of weeks into mid-November 2022, the following technical levels and patterns remain relevant. 1. SPY appears to have moved back into a critical price zone between $380 and $413—corresponding approximately to $3800 to $4146 on SPX. Support for this range lies at $380, which can be found from both price support over the past several months as well as Fibonacci analysis: Notice on the Primary Chart how price has now moved back above a longer-term Fibonacci retracement level at $380, the .382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire rally from Covid 2020 lows to January 2022 highs). This is now major support, having been resistance in prior weeks. Another key Fibonacci retracement lies at $380.05, which is the .382 retracement of the recent decline from August 16 to October 13, 2022. This $380 level is therefore an area of strong support going into next week. Within the next couple of days, the key 21-day EMA should also move right up to about $380 (though it lies at $375.13 currently). The yellow rectangle on the Primary Chart shows how this crucial area has served as important support and resistance—as well as a consolidation zone—for many weeks within this downtrend. Price bounced hard off this zone in late February and mid-March 2022. Price chopped in this zone in May and early June 2022, with a whipsaw break below it in mid-June 2022 that ultimately ended with price working its way back into the zone in July 2022. A whipsaw breakout above this zone occurred in August 2022, and this also failed with price falling back into the zone. Finally, in September and October 2022, price broke decisively below this zone. But now it has pushed its way back into it with another sharp rally over just two weeks (about 12 trading sessions). In short, this zone remains a very important area and magnet for SPY. 2. This crucial zone from $380 to $413 is reinforced and confirmed by the key anchored VWAPs, shown more distinctly on the supplementary chart below. The dark blue VWAP at $413 is anchored to the all-time high at January 4, 2022. A bunch of key short-term and long-term VWAPs run near the lower edge of this $380-$413 zone. These include VWAPs anchored to (i) the March 2020 Covid low (pink) at $385, (ii) the mid-August 2022 high (orange) at $382, and (iii) the mid-June 2022 low (green) at $386. On Friday, October 28, 2022, price reclaimed all these VWAPs except for the dark blue VWAP from the all-time high which remains at $413, at the top of this key zone. Supplementary Chart A: Key Anchored VWAPs 3. The upper edge of this key zone (yellow rectangle's upper boundary) shows confluence with key Fibonacci levels, trendlines and the January 2022 VWAP. The key resistance ranges from $399 to $415. The Primary Chart shows two Fibonacci levels at $399 ($400) and two more Fibonacci levels at $413. The downward trendline from the all-time high lies right in this area as well, and because it slopes downward, it covers most of the zone. The VWAP anchored to January 4, 2022, lies at $413. Note that two of the Fibonacci levels at $399 and $413 were derived by projecting the rally in March 2022 from the low in October 2022, as the rallies (so far) appear to be somewhat similar. SquishTrade is watching to determine whether the present rally off October 13 lows will be roughly symmetrical to the March 2022 rally. 4. The target range for this rally appears to range from $399 to $413. See the yellow circle on the supplementary chart below, where two arrows each point to a confluence of levels, one at $399/$400 and the other at $413-$415. As discussed, these two upside targets are defined by Fibonacci, the YTD down trendline, and a variety of relevant VWAPs discussed in paragraph 2. Supplementary Chart B: Target Zone for the Present Rally The Current Rally Should Be Respected until the Primary Trend Resumes Lower As mentioned, the trend the still remains in effect at the primary degree of trend (the trend YTD over the past 10 months). So this larger-degree trend is favored and remains the higher probability price path—but until it resumes lower, the rally should be respected. Although the author remains bearish at the primary degree of trend, he acknowledges that markets can do whatever they want, and no one really knows with certainty what happens next. Our job as traders remains to flow flexibly with what the market is doing at all levels of trend, watching how price responds to each level. And on the shorter timeframes and smaller degrees of trend, price is bullish until markets confirm that the rally is done. Lastly, here are some key technicals to watch to determine whether the multi-week rally remains in effect: The anchored VWAP from the October 13, 2022 low (shown in black on the Primary Chart). The parallel channel containing price since October 13, 2022 lows . Note that a break of this channel does not mean that the downtrend has resumed immediately, but it weakens the case for the strength of the current rally and adds "probability" to the resumption of the downtrend depending on how price responds to the key resistance levels). The 8-day and 5-day EMA's slope and price relative to those EMAs (above / below) . Currently, they are sloped upward with price holding well above them. This supports the rally. Price relative to the key $380 level , which is the lower level of the key price zone discussed above (yellow rectangle on Primary Chart). This level represents a line in the sand. Decisive breaks below it can quickly lead to lower prices. Price relative to the upper and lower VWAPs coinciding with the key price zone of $380 to $413 , as shown on Supplementary Chart A. Price response to the down trendline from all-time highs in January 2022 and the VWAP anchored to that point . VIX's decline from highs in late September and early October 2022. Price response after the FOMC meeting next week , though use caution—the first move, and sometimes the first and second moves, after the FOMC presser tend to be whipsaws (false moves). It's also important to note that price rallied hard last week. Those gains would seem likely to be consolidated soon. Price reached the 50% retracement of the August 16-October 13 decline at about $390 ($389.92), which corresponds to about $3908 on SPX. Even if price does rally further to the target zone identified, such a key resistance level as this $389-$390 level likely would repel price at the first contact. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
AMEX:SPY
by SquishTrade
18
EURUSD IS GOING UP!!!!Price will always consolidate to accumulate buy and sell orders aka MONEY at structure areas in the market before it breaks in the direction of the Bias for the day. Price is BULLISH on the higher daily TF so we are staying true to that analysis. Today there is heavy news so price is very volatile today. Never over leverage. Trust your analysis. Have fun!!! I AM PRO TRADING MADE SIMPLE: Master Sensi and Master Jedi at #SniperGang EVERYBODY EAT$!!!!!
Long
by Master-Jedi-Trader