GOLD → Breaking through channel resistance. Growth attemptGOLD is coming out of the channel. Bulls are trying to take the situation into their own hands and keep the defense above 2665. The metal has a chance for local return and growth to 2690 - 2720.
Growing geopolitical tension in the Middle East (Syrian government collapse) compensates local growth of the dollar, which is generally favorable for the metal.
But, risks of dollar growth remain on the background of inflation growth in the U.S., which in general can strengthen the hawkish position of the Fed policy makers on the interest rate.
At the moment all attention is focused on CPI / PPI. Profit-taking is possible due to high risks.
Gold is coming out of the local channel, but is still trapped inside the global channel. Price may test the zone of interest before important economic data.
Support levels: 2660, 2655, 2636
Resistance levels: 2673, 2688, 2721
The breakout took place and the metal is trying to go up. The target is 2688. But we should be careful, because geopolitical tensions, upcoming economic data may cause corrections and profit taking
Regards R. Linda!
Consolidation
AUDUSD→At Critical Support Level's Could It Drop Further ?OrNot!FX:AUDUSD
The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions.
Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment.
Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range.
GOLD → Resistance Retest. False breakthrough?FX:XAUUSD lingers inside the consolidation and channel 2660 - 2615. Technically, speculators are confused. The fundamental background is mixed. What's next?
Focus on the escalating conflict in Syria, which has led to the overthrow of the Assad government and the end of the long-running Civil War. Risks regarding the Middle East are still quite high despite the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.
Fundamentally, despite Friday's better than expected NFP, markets are 80% likely to expect a 0.25% Fed interest rate cut. In the week ahead, all eyes are on economic data such as CPI and PPI.
Technically, I don't see any reason for the price to break out of this consolidation. Accordingly, I expect a false breakout with a high degree of probability.
Resistance levels: 2655, 2660, 2667
Support levels: 2636, 2615
The price has passed 0.85% since the opening of the session. There are no reasons for the resistance breakout. There is also no potential for a breakout. Accordingly, based on the available data, there is a high probability of a decline from the key resistance zone.
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Regards R. Linda!
XLMUSDT - ABC correctionXLM had an increase of over +600% in just 20 days followed by a 15-day consolidation phase suggests an exhaustion of the previous trend. The sideways movement aligns with an ABC correction, where wave C is likely unfolding.
Key Levels and Confluence
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions:
1:1 Target for Wave C: $0.3873
Key Support Zone:
$0.3725−$0.3873
Market Sentiment
Lack of Volume: Reflects reduced interest from buyers, confirming a bearish bias.
Below Weekly and Monthly Opens: These levels often act as dynamic resistance, showing bears are in control for now.
GBPUSD → Channel breakout. Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD finds an opportunity to grow. A breakout of the local trend resistance is forming amid the dollar correction. Zones of interest: 1.300
The retest of the intermediate bottom ends with reversal candlestick patterns and market reversal structure. The big question is: How long will it last? It all depends on the dollar. The US market received negative jobless claims data yesterday, which may also affect the NFP, which will be released later today. A worse-than-expected data will intensify the dollar correction, pointing to the problems in the economy (against what Powell said recently). In such a scenario, forex currencies may get a chance for a small rally.
Technically, a channel breakout is a good signal that could turn into a strong momentum, but apparently traders are not in a hurry yet....
Resistance levels: 1.284, 1.300
Support levels: 1.272, 1.261, 1.2488
Accordingly, if a false breakout of resistance is formed and the price falls beyond 1.272, then we should expect a decline to 1.24. But at the moment there are positive signs to gain from 1.275 to 1.300 in the medium term.
GBPUSD → Channel breakout. Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD finds an opportunity to grow. A breakout of the local trend resistance is forming amid the dollar correction. Zones of interest: 1.300
The retest of the intermediate bottom ends with reversal candlestick patterns and market reversal structure. The big question is: How long will it last? It all depends on the dollar. The US market received negative jobless claims data yesterday, which may also affect the NFP, which will be released later today. A worse-than-expected data will intensify the dollar correction, pointing to the problems in the economy (against what Powell said recently). In such a scenario, forex currencies may get a chance for a small rally.
Technically, a channel breakout is a good signal that could turn into a strong momentum, but apparently traders are not in a hurry yet....
Resistance levels: 1.284, 1.300
Support levels: 1.272, 1.261, 1.2488
Accordingly, if a false breakout of resistance is formed and the price falls beyond 1.272, then we should expect a decline to 1.24. But at the moment there are positive signs to gain from 1.275 to 1.300 in the medium term.
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation before a strong movement. But where to?FX:XAUUSD continues to consolidate and we have questionable preconditions that indicate both a possible fall (fundamental background) and growth (technical background).
Gold is holding back after Fed Chairman Powell's speech:
The US economy is in remarkably good shape.We are moving very quickly with rates.
"I am very pleased with where monetary policy is right now"
Unemployment is still very low and progress is being made in fighting inflation
The focus remains on the jobless claims data and NFP at this time
Technically, the focus is on consolidation in a locally rising channel format. A price exit from the channel in either direction may be accompanied by a strong impulse.
Resistance levels: 2655, 2660, 2688
Support levels: 2636, 2620, 2605
Two scenarios due to mixed and stalemate situation:
black: Powell commented on the situation as strong enough for the US market, accordingly, gold is forming a consolidation in a flag format, which is technically a pattern for a continuation of the fall.
blue: On D1 there are prerequisites for local growth. If the price breaks 2655, then 2660, the growth may continue to the zone of interest 2688.
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Regards R. Linda!
SOLANA → Consolidation before the rally continuesBINANCE:SOLUSDT is consolidating after a strong rally. This is a generally positive sign for continued growth as the altcoin season is in full swing. It may take some time to overcome the previous ATH
Within the current move, Solana updates the ATH and forms a false breakout, which closes the coin in a channel, but not for long. A consolidation of 265 - 221 is forming within a strong bull market. The coin has several drivers: Trump, favorable background of his policies, talks about the fund, bullish BTC, which is already testing 105K and so on....
Technically, until the consolidation is over the movement will not continue. the trigger for continued growth could be the area of 250 - 265. The breakout and holding of the defense by the bulls above these zones could be good signals for further rally, as above 265 is empty and there is no resistance
Support levels: 222, 205
Resistance levels: 239.6, 245.3, 264.4
I do not exclude the fact that a false break of support may be formed, but the market is generally bullish. accordingly, the current situation can be viewed from several angles: buy on a pullback or buy after a break of resistance with the aim of further growth
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Regards R. Linda!
ETHFI → A door has been opened to the bulls. Resistance retest BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is forming a bottom. The coin continues to accumulate potential giving signs that the price is preparing to go up. The fundamental background is changing to favorable
The U.S. presidential election and Trump's victory have a favorable impact on the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term. This will be especially visible after the inauguration of the new (old) president :). Fundamentally, the market opened another door....
Technically, there is a clear bottom at 1.092 with no attempts to renew the low, and a basic cascading support is formed, indicating the buyer's strength. The focus is on consolidation of 1.798 - 1.092. The price exit from this channel will be accompanied by a strong distribution (most likely upward)
Resistance levels: 1.798, 2.761 3.240
Support levels: 1.302, 1.092
There is a conglomerate of resistances ahead (descending line and channel boundary at 1.798). In the near future the market may continue to test this area with a breakout target. If the bulls can keep the defense above these areas, the rally will not be long in coming.
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Regards R. Linda!
BTC/USD: Ready to Break the Channel and Soar to 100K Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for the past few weeks, showing signs of consolidation. However, several key indicators suggest that BTC is preparing for a breakout, potentially leading to a significant rally that could push the price toward the highly anticipated $100,000 level.
Bitcoin is on the verge of a significant breakout. All signs point to the beginning of a new bullish cycle, with a realistic path toward $100,000. Traders should watch closely for a decisive move above the channel, as this could mark the start of the next major leg up in BTC's journey.
Risk Management: As always, set appropriate stop losses and manage risk carefully. Volatility is inherent in crypto markets, and while the outlook is bullish, it’s essential to stay disciplined.
DISCLAIMER:
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading
EURUSD → Consolidating before the news.... FX:EURUSD is in a current downtrend, but there is news ahead and traders are waiting for hints about the US monetary policy. The currency pair has not yet reached the local target...
On D1, the struggle for space continues after the false breakdown of support. Also, the market is still yet to test 1.061 - 1.065 - the key liquidity zone.
Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, PMI and Powell's speech, where, according to analysts, the issue of rates, US monetary policy may come up. Any hints of an aggressive rate cut could reinforce buying in the Euro and selling in the Dollar. However, we can't know this ahead of time, so the market may remain in consolidation until the news.
Resistance levels: 1.0606, 1.0654, 1.076.
Support levels: 1.0448, 1.033
Technically, the currency pair can form an upward momentum to key resistance areas, from which the decline can resume. But, if the price breaks the support and consolidates below 1.044, the decline may start earlier.
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Regards R. Linda!
AEVOUSDT → One step away from a 200-400% RALLYBINANCE:AEVOUSDT is forming a market bottom. Against the backdrop of bitcoin's declining dominance, altcoins have a great chance of realization. And AEVO has an opportunity for a 200-400% rally
Relative to the bottom, the coin is forming a consolidation of 0.269 - 0.534. Consolidation is big enough and if the realization starts, the impulse can be formed quite aggressive, especially on the background of excitement.
Technically, the emphasis is on 0.534 - 0.594. If the price breaks this resistance area and the bulls are able to keep the defense above this zone, the coin will open the way to 0.8, 1.12, 1.34, which is a 200-400% move.
Resistance levels: 0.534, 0.594
Support levels: 0.455, 0.269
A breakthrough of the first line of defense is being formed. The bulls have quite positive chances. Realization can start any minute. Medium-term target is 1.127, long-term target is 1.34
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bears are gaining weight. Resistance retestFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false break of the resistance of the range. The fundamental background is mixed and does not yet allow to form a clear medium and long term strategy, BUT! ...
Trump's policies create new risks. Before taking office, he has already signaled the growth of tariffs for the whole world (Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, BRICS countries). The growth of geopolitical risks also affects the price of metal. On the background of the dollar growth and expected reduction of interest rates by the Fed, gold is declining and confirms the bearish structure of the market. The markets' attention is focused on the ISM manufacturing PMI index in the US. Data from the US
Technically, the price is breaking the ascending support line as well as the 2636 zone, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming and we should pay attention to the key resistance, liquidity and imbalance zones
Resistance Levels: 2636, 0.5-0.7 Fibo, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the previously broken structure and zone of interest is forming. False breakout of 0.5-0.7 fibo (retest) can provoke active selling on the background of the newly growing dollar. But, globally, gold is still in a sideways range without a clear trend direction...
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Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Counter-trend correction before further declineFX:GBPUSD within the correction reaches a zone of interest and resistance from which the decline may resume as the dollar returns to a northbound rut ...
Traders continue to fight for the 1.267 area, an area that is a strong enough support. Buyers don't have much of a chance as the dollar looks quite strong on the back of Trump's policies and is putting quite a lot of pressure on the forex market.
Technically, the downtrend is the priority and we will be pulling back from it. Key zones: 0.5 Fibo and the boundary of the downtrend. False breakout may provoke further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.275, 1.284
Support levels: 1.267, 1.264
False breakout of resistance will indicate the bears' domning and may provoke further selling. It is also worth emphasizing 1.267-1.264. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this zone will also confirm the bears' intention
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Regards R. Linda!
XRP → ATH is getting close. Consolidation before the rallyBINANCE:XRPUSDT rallies to ATH. The three-year accumulation is starting to realize itself and thanks to a tailwind - Trump, the coin makes a jump of 140%
At the moment the coin is in consolidation after the rally. There are no technical prerequisites and reasons for a reversal and fall, the price is accumulating the potential for continued growth. The focus is on the resistance at 1.523 and 1.6300. Breakthrough and consolidation of the price above this zone will provoke aggressive purchases, which may lead to a new impulse. It is possible that the local correction of bitcoin may put a slight pressure on the coin, which in turn before further growth will test the area of 1.4116 (strong resistance from September 2021), or the lower boundary of consolidation - 1.2775.
Resistance levels: 1.5234, 1.6300
Support levels: 1.4116, 1.2775, 1.2133
So, since we have a bull run, an ascending channel and a strong consolidation, in this case it is logical to consider buying only, which can be done only from the support or after the resistance breakout. The target in the form of ATH 1.9669 is getting closer and closer :)
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Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → False breakdown of a double bottom. But...FX:NZDUSD is forming a local reversal pattern on the background of the dollar correction. It is too early to talk about a change of trend, but we can get a correction with the purpose of retesting the liquidity zone
On the daily timeframe earlier a false breakdown of the double bottom was made, the price was not let down and in a few days began to buy out on the background of news on inflation from the USA. Traders took the decline in inflation relatively positively and moved to profit-taking in the dollar, which gives the forex market a chance.
For now, the focus is on the 0.59-0.5912 zone. If the bulls can keep their defenses above this zone, we may get a rise to 0.597 (towards the descending channel resistance) in the long run
Resistance levels: 0.5912, 0.5972
Support levels: 0.588, 0.58166
But, we should not deny the downtrend. From any resistance the price can continue downward movement, as there are no preconditions that the market is ready to change the trend.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Support breakdown. Attempt to change the trendFX:EURJPY seeks to renew lows. The dollar rally is negatively affecting both JPY and EUR. The Eurozone has yet to face Trump's policies, while Japan is already going through a rough patch....
The currency pair is exiting the ascending channel, hinting at a trend change. The price breaks support and consolidates in the selling zone. Ahead is the key support at 161.2, the breakdown of this zone may provoke the bears to more active actions.
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is entering the downward rally phase, so the trend change is just the beginning....
Resistance levels: 162.04, 162.5, 163.2
Support levels: 161.16, 158.4
The focus is on the channel boundaries, resistance at 162.04 and support at 161.16. From these zones an aggressive fall may be possible, as buyers do not believe in a positive outcome at the moment
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Trading inside the channel from the range boundariesFX:XAUUSD declines to 2620 amid positive news from the Middle East, but the overall fundamental background is still difficult. Today is low liquidity due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the US.
The gold price is down amid a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah on Wednesday. But on Wednesday night there were reports of an escalation of conflict in Aleppo, Syria .... Also not to forget the escalated conflict in Eastern Europe.
The dollar is still in consolidation, given that today is a holiday in the U.S., there may be low liquidity and high volatility in the market. Accordingly, an exaggerated price movement in gold cannot be ruled out.
Technically, gold is flat, so we consider trading from the range boundaries. We focus on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2618 and the global channel from D1 - 2689 (2710) - 2605.
Resistance levels: 2660, 2604, 2678, 2689
Support levels: 2618, 2605
Accordingly, in the momen, gold is heading towards the liquidity above. False breakdown of the key resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling zone may form a price decline to the lower boundary of the flat.
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GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is taking advantage of the dollar weakness and heading towards the zones of interest and liquidity 2665 - 2688. Overall, the fundamental backdrop is not stable, but at the same time weak for gold. PCE, GDP and resistance ahead....
The ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel has entered into force. This has helped to reduce demand for the US dollar, which is generally reflected in the forex market. Gold is feeling support from sustained expectations for the Fed and uncertainty over the outlook for global trade during the Trump presidency, which intends to impose new tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. Ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US are PCE and GDP.
Technically, gold is in a sideways range and is looking up towards zones of interest from which a correction could form. But this reaction is partly dependent on the news as well....
Resistance levels: 2660, 2664, 2680
Support levels: 2620, 2605
The focus is on the imbalance zone, 0.7 fibo and 2680 area. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
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Regards R. Linda!