LTCUSD - bears looking to the ground! Hello traders and community! Looking on the current cryptomarket situation, LTCUSD is forming an interesting pattern which is worth to look at. On the daily timeframe you can see that LTCUSD is forming an triangle-formation. This is a pretty worthy signal because we have several factors which make clear that LTCUSD will make some more legs down. In my chart you can see that LTCUSD already confirmed the blue trend line and is now in a triangle-formation which normally in this situation breaks to the downside. The blue trend line is important because it is a 202 days old one which is broken now! In my chart you see the 38.2 % retracement of the overall bullish trend LTCUSD set in the past, it is also the triangle target! So two important levels to look at. The 38.2 % retracement is also an important psychological price level at 100 USD, normally at those price levels support and resistance is found! After this target is reached, (which is highly possible that it does) we have to look what LTCUSD does next. There are two other meaningful levels which LTCUSD may reach in the future! Once it is the 50 % retracement and second the 61.8% retracement of the recent bull move. This formation can be traded in several ways, there is an aggressive approach with immediate entry without waiting for confirmation, there is also an conservative approach to wait until the triangle has confirmed and broke out. The second option would be smarter because it is possible that the triangle breaks to the upside which it rarely will do! After a confirmation of the triangle down i will look for a good entry to place a short position. Other people may be bullish on LTCUSD now but at my point i cant see a decent long opportunity here!
Thank you for watching! Of course this is only educational information and should not be used to buy or sell in the markets! Peace and love to everybody! ;D
Consolidation
Consolidated or Channeled??? - EGHere I have EUR/GBP on the 4Hr Chart!
Price seems to be stuck in Consolidation but with a closer look, there tends to be a slight Rising Channel in the mix!!
I suspect Next Week (Feb. 11th - 16th) we will see massive movement in this pair simply because of how heavy GBP is with news those days!
Now initially this looks like a potential Bear Flag to me with this PA happening after a strong decline!
BUT
Being unbiased, if Price does find its way down to the Support Area, being unable to break and news for GBP comes in Negative, we could see EUR gathering Buying Pressure and price heading up!!
Fundamentally the 11th-16th:
EUR - Clear
GBP - Gov Bailey Speaks (Mon), Claimant Count Change & AHE (Tue), CPI (Wed), GDP (Thu), Retail Sales (Fri)
Bitcoin is going much higherBitcoin has reclaimed the range eq and swinging to the range high.
I'd like to see a little correction toward the eq over the coming days, with a following reclaim of the ranges upper quarter eq and consolidation before breakout.
Either we get this setup, or BTC smashes the range high and continues upward imo.
Exciting times.
Vatsik
GOLD → Support retests continue. Weak fundamental backgroundOANDA:XAUUSD on the background of news on Thursday is declining, but does not reach the local minimum. On the background of the pullback the price also does not reach the local maximum. The range boundaries are narrowing.
The fundamental background for gold still remains and is relatively negative at the moment. On the chart above we can observe a difficult situation in XAU. Volatility is very low, the price has been standing still for two days, as evidenced by the D1 candlesticks of Wednesday and Thursday.
Technically, we can observe a global uptrend, but at the moment we should pay attention to the symmetrical triangle. The price continues to test the trend support. Each new retest of the support forms a weaker and weaker reaction, the price continues to squeeze against the support. Technically, we can assume that the market is preparing to break the lower trend boundary, which can form a volume surge and a strong momentum towards the lower levels, such as 2000. Fundamentally, although we have high interest in the metal, but locally, the fundamental background is weak, as evidenced by this week's news.
Support levels: 2029.7, 2020, 2015 2004
Resistance levels: 2039 - 2942
It is logical to expect a decline based on the current data, from the opening of the US session, the market may test resistance before falling
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → Consolidation after the rally. What's next?BINANCE:BTCUSD is in the uptrend phase, actively and quite confidently holding back all negative news. The price is forming a retest of 43250, realizing price consolidation above the 50-day moving average.
Pic: Uptrend. Price is testing the trend boundaries, but continues trading inside the range
The market continues to form an uptrend since the formation of the bottom in the market. At the moment we see the formation of a sideways range 44500 - 40225, which at the moment plays the role of consolidation. Short and long squeezes, shakes relative to the range boundaries indicate a phase of strong accumulation of potential before further movement in one or another direction. Based on the technical and fundamental component, the market seems to be preparing to continue its growth.
The area of 42000 is technically important for the market in the medium and long term, as evidenced by the 2-month sawing ( consolidation ) of this area, which divides the market plane into two areas ( bearish and bullish ), but as we see the price is trying to strengthen above this area to form a strong support area before further growth.
Pic: Level 42,000. Price consolidation at the level.
Fundamentally, BTC is quite a strong asset.
GBTC outflows continue but in much smaller volume, net inflows into ETFs are higher than outflows.
A new problem in the US, which can play into the hands of BTC, is the situation in the US banking sector, the topic again concerns bankruptcies.
In March 2023, the Fed started printing in response to problems in the banking sector, and BTC was perceived as a safe haven. Accordingly, the restart of the Fed's printer will increase interest in BTC, which may favorably affect the crypto asset's capitalization.
Support levels: 42000, 40222, 38500
Resistance levels: 43250, 44500
The trend is bullish, technically the asset is quite strong - this conclusion can be made based on the strong consolidation after the rally. The market is starting to prepare for halving, against this background, the price may test the support zone before further growth. But, based on the overall data, in the medium and long term, the growth of the crypto asset may continue.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CME:BTC1!
Regards R. Linda!
Sideways Setup on GoldHere is a classic set it and forget it trade for any sideways market.
Just remember to take a small risk and only trade this strategy in a sideways market.
I have this entire strategy written out with step by step instructions.
Click the link in my profile and I will send it to you.
Enjoy!
Chris Juliano
TrendCloud Trading
GBPUSD → What could free the price from the sideways range?FX:GBPUSD is in a flat range condition. The whole market has been standing still lately, which complicates trading due to the lack of safe zones to open trades.
Yesterday was an interesting trading day in terms of outlook. The news from FED & FOMC defined a rough medium term outlook for the dollar, so we can use this information. There is just as much important news today.
Technically, the odds are higher for the currency pair to change its trend from a sideways market to a downtrend. This scenario will be able to realize a break of the support at 1.2615, but, within the range, the price may stay for a long time, until a stronger factor appears, which will free the price.
Resistance levels: 1.2784
Support levels: 1.2615
Today's news could also raise the volatility in the market. If the Dollar ( TVC:DXY ) continues to get support, but the pound will break the area of 1.2615 and the price may head towards our targets.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC Market Update 5th February In the latest analysis post, I've closely examined the performance of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) with a particular focus on recent liquidity movements. Over the past week, spanning five trading sessions, a noticeable deceleration in the rate of daily outflows from the trust has been observed. Specifically, the average daily outflow rate has contracted by +20%, indicating a substantial reduction in the volume of withdrawals.
Since its inception, Grayscale's Bitcoin exposure has significantly diminished, registering a reduction of 127,000 BTC, equivalent to a 20.5% decrease in its holdings. This contraction can be attributed to various factors, including the liquidation of positions by discount buyers, the unwinding of assets by the FTX estate, and a notable shift by investors towards more cost-effective ETF options available in the market.
Regarding Bitcoin's market direction, my analysis suggests a period of consolidation before any potential upward momentum. Currently, there are no discernible indicators hinting at an imminent downturn in Bitcoin's value; the market conditions appear stable and ready to grow. This stability holds significance for the crypto market, as historical patterns indicate that an increase in Bitcoin's price often precedes similar uptrends across the broader altcoin market. In essence, when Bitcoin's price rises, it tends to have a ripple effect, elevating the value of other coins.
The intricate interplay between Bitcoin's liquidity movements and its price dynamics, coupled with the subsequent impact on the altcoin market, underscores the complexity of the cryptocurrency investment landscape. Having a long exposure in the consolidation range is considered a favorable entry point, especially for portfolios without existing long exposure.
GOLD → How can NFP affect the price of gold?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is updating highs but continues to be inside a sideways movement limited by resistance at 2065 and support at 2020. The market is in the waiting phase for NFP.
Quite an interesting situation this week. The asset is forming a retest of 2062 resistance on D1, but below is a strong support at 2050-2048, which hides a large pool of liquidity behind it. There is a chance that the price may retest this area before or on the backdrop of the news. In the mid-term, it is expected to rise as we have a chance to see NFP below 216K published in December. Technically, gold is in consolidation between 2058 - 2048, a classic situation where the market does not know what will happen.
The price is restrained by the resistance of the range 2058-2064, if this area is broken, the distribution to 2078-2088 may be formed. And already below 2030 a panic zone is formed, which, from a theoretical point of view, the price can also test in order to get rid of an unnecessary passenger before further movement of the train.
Support levels: 2048.8, 2039.4, 2030
Resistance levels: 2058.3, 2064
Based on the data, we have a high but not 100% chance that NFP may show bearish data for the US market, which could be positive for gold. But! The unpredictability of the news is not canceled!
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
🇬🇧 GBPUSD 🇺🇸 - Waiting for distribution from consolidationGBPUSD may show further growth. There are several reasons for this, including the positive geopolitical and fundamental background for the Pound. NFP could be bad on the back of US jobless claims increasing, which could affect the employment rate.
Reasons for further gains:
1) Today will be NFP. Expect the data could be bad for $
2) Price breaks local resistance
3) Consolidation of price above PDH and above 1.2750
4) Bullish trend and strong consolidation
🇪🇺 EURUSD 🇺🇸 - Trend and structure change EURUSD may continue its decline amid economic instability. The dollar index is strengthening on market manipulation by the Fed. The regulator is not going to reduce the interest rate early.
The euro is declining against this background, showing some weakness.
Reasons for the decline:
1) Market structure is changing
2) The previously broken trend plays into the hands of bears
3) price does not update local maximums
4) The market is under pressure from above, on the background of growing dollar.
5) Retests of local lows
Usd still pretty much in that rangeHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Since USD is still in that range, just playing along with it using your mean reverting or swing trade strategies on USD majors such as EU or GU.. No trending move so far...it is what it is...just adapt :)
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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IOTXUSDT → The pair may rise to 0.065. Waiting for confirmation BINANCE:IOTXUSDT is showing bullish momentum amid a correcting cryptocurrency market along with the flagship. The price is trying to break trend resistance. What can come out of it?
On the high timeframe, the price forms a false breakout and a small correction relative to 0.04400. A retest is formed and the price returns to the resistance. On the background of pre-breakdown consolidation and another retest, the market has chances to break this line. Consolidation of the price above 0.04400 will show a bullish potential for purchases.
On H4 we see a local downtrend and the price going beyond the resistance, which is a good signal for the medium term. The next hurdle is to overcome 0.04400.
On H4, the price is trading above MA-50 and a retest of MA-200 is formed.
Support levels: MA50, 0.04110, 0.03900
Resistance levels: 0.0440, 0.04888
There is a signal for a possible growth of the cryptocurrency pair, but to confirm this signal the market needs to overcome 0.0440 and consolidate the price above this line.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Counter-trend correction and a target of 2050FOREXCOM:XAUUSD looks quite strong and on the background of growing dollar index does not give up its positions much. Consolidation in the range of 2069.8 - 2029.6 continues.
The dollar index feels overheated but still supported by the US FED & FOMC. Regulators are carefully trying to control the situation and stop any possibility of early interest rate cuts. As we can see, the dollar price is actively reacting to such comments. The index is squeezed between MA200 and MA50 and, in all likelihood, from the support may continue to rise in January-February to the trend resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the forex market and gold.
Gold is trading within the descending price channel and on the background of unstable geopolitical situation, the price is trading calmly inside the range. The logical price reaction to a false break of trend support is a technical reversal is formed and we see a counter-trend correction to resistance. On D1 gold is forming a strong resistance zone formed by several highs ( 2150, 2085, 2070, 2063 ), on the global timeframe, technically and fundamentally the asset looks promising. The current geopolitical situation is affecting the gold price to the upside, but the market is correlated with the dollar index and as long as the latter is strengthening, gold will still react to it.
Gold may continue to rise at the beginning of the week for several reasons:
- the attacks on Yemen and the response to US vessels continued over the weekend
- dollar index closed Friday's session in the correction phase
- On the hourly timeframe, gold ended Friday's session with the end of the correction in the 2025 area. The price has consolidated above the psychologically and technically important level, respectively, it will favorably affect the price growth.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level FX:AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising TVC:DXY , the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets.
The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair.
Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal.
Resistance levels: 0.65800
Support levels: 0.6523
The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation after support breakoutOANDA:NZDUSD continues to consolidate in a narrow range as uncertain sentiment is also seen in the dollar index amid a challenging fundamental environment.
The TVC:DXY has been consolidating below resistance for two and a half weeks, which in standard practice is a strong downside signal as resistance cannot be broken.
NZDUSD pair broke uptrend support earlier and consolidation is forming in the selling zone between 0.6250 and 0.6208. But, it is important for us to wait for the confirmation of the sell signal, which will be the breakout of 0.6208 and the subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which will open for us the target in the form of support at 0.6086. Moving averages also indicate consolidation, which may be followed by a distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6366
Support levels: 0.6208, 0.6180, 0.6086
There is a high probability that the currency pair on the background of the subsequent weakening of the dollar index can still break the support and head towards the target indicated by us.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD → Capital inflows will strengthen the price Gold consolidates buyers due to global crisis linked to another armed conflict. The metal is increasingly attracting capital as a hedging asset in times of crisis.
I think the outlook for a few weeks is predetermined. We should expect a retest of 2150 in the near future.
Reasons for further increases:
1) Armed conflict on the world's main trade artery near Yemen will only drive gold prices higher
2) Upward trend of XAU
3) Consolidation is forming near resistance 2058 - this increases the chances of a breakout
4) A change of mood is evident in the market, the bulls are gaining strength
HelenP. I Gold can make one more movement up and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a few time ago rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the support zone and declined to 1930 points. After this, XAU in a short time backed up and even rose higher than the 1975 support level, thereby breaking this level and later starting to trades in consolidation. In this range, Gold first made a retest of the support level and then made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone, but when it reached this zone, it even rose higher than the top part of the consolidation, after which price in a short time declined back, making a fake breakout. Next, Gold fell to the support level back, after which at once rebounded and made an impulse up to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level again. But a not long time ago, XAU started to decline and fell below, making fake breakout one more time. Also, recently, it turned around and started to rise, so possibly Gold will try to grow to a resistance level, after which the price can start to decline. Therefore I set my target at the 2010 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold - Potential BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Gold.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the beginning of 2013 Gold started to form a major higher timeframe rounding bottom formation. After the breakout in 2019 we then saw a bullrun followed by the current consolidation. Gold is now forming an ascending triangle which could lead to a massive breakout and I am waiting for a retest of the trendline mentioned in the analysis to add to my Gold longs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
BLUR Consolidating For Next Leg$BLUR
Price action is bullish remaining well above the 100ema and consolidating inside of the local range high/low.
Nothing wrong with this chart, even if we get some volatility over the coming days.
Failed reclaim of the range eq (red zone) for the 3rd time now. I like to see range eq's reclaimed as my version of 'confirmation' before taking an entry, so nothing different with BLUR.
More consolidating would be bullish imo, as we have already reclaimed a major level (green) which should set the base level for our next leg up.
Path on chart for what I anticipate.
Cheers,
Vatsik