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Confluence

Bitcoin Heading for a Local TOP on 16-17 December 2024These are 3 x Ceres in Aquarius fractals from the past 3 occasions in Bitcoin's life. What I like about these fractals is that 2 of them top on 16 & 17 of December which is a confluence to the Moon cycle topping on 16 December 2024. This Ceres in Aquarius confluence seems good quality because these cycles repeat only once in 4 years and to get 2 cycles to converge on a top on the same dates 16 & 17 December, it is outstanding. We need to see a clearly defined top on 16 or 17 December to be able to make the above conclusion. If we don't get a well-shaped top, that would mean more moves to the upside, as there are some other confluences for that. Ceres in Aquarius tops on 16 -17 December until the year's end. After that it continues higher up in January 2025.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Eleanze
1
NIO Has A Broken Neck! Can we take advantage?NIO is showing a textbook head and shoulders (Bearish) pattern. It is characterized by a change in market structure where the left shoulder forms the initial high and low, the head signifies the continuation and the right shoulder is the failure in the resumption of the trend. In this chart, we notice that the right shoulder fails to make a new high and proceeds to make a new low. By connecting the pivot lows, we can identify a H&S neckline near the $5 mark. We recently fell below this line which is our first signal to enter the short. Looking for additional confluence, we note that there was significant support that was broken in the pink zone which stems from March 2024. That zone has been tested several times since March 2024. We have also broken below the 200ma which confirms the long-term downtrend. On the most recent candle, we broke below these key levels with above-average spread and above-average volume suggesting strength to the downside. Finally, since Trump has won the presidency, he vowed to increase tariffs, especially for China. This is terrible fundamental news for the Chinese stock. Aggressive traders may take the short as is and may ride the short to the first target (~$4) which I have identified as a potential support area. There is a second target which is projected by the head and shoulders pattern (~$3.50) For more conservative traders, we can wait for the retest of the neckline which happens to coincide with the 200 MA and sits just above the former support turned resistance. I like this level better because it provides a better risk-reward ratio. Key notes: Earnings are coming up in a few days. This could be a volatile event that works in the trade's favor or works against it. Please be aware of that risk while trading. GLTA
NYSE:NIOShort
by Decam9
2
$DOGS ARE GOING TO THE VET! IT TIME FOR A RELIEF PUSH DOWN :OBINANCE:DOGSUSDT.P 1. Wave Analysis We are currently in a *B-wave down* based on Elliott Wave theory. The price rejections from key support and resistance zones confirm this. Key Level: 0.0007176 was the major rejection point, signaling a move lower to form a "Lower High" 2. Trend Overview - The downtrend started on **October 14, 2024**, resulting in a **-21% loss** from today's price. - This is a memecoin, and despite the "Month of Memecoins," it's underperforming. **Not surprising**, as original projects often lose value when new competition arises. 3. Risk Factors - "Be cautious." Price moves could be **fast and abrupt** due to political news, FOMO, and market sentiment. - Altcoin correlation: When altcoins drop, they tend to fall together. Expect volatility across the board. --- ( -_•)Entry Price: 0.0006862 ❌🛑Stop Loss: 0.0007178 🪙Take Profit: 0.0006001
Short
by swurveeydope
Mastering Trading ConfluenceIn the world of trading, success often hinges on making informed decisions based on reliable analysis. However, relying on a single indicator or tool can sometimes lead to false signals and missed opportunities. This is where the concept of trading confluence comes into play. Trading confluence refers to the alignment of multiple indicators, tools, or analysis techniques to confirm trading signals, thereby increasing the probability of a successful trade. 🔵𝚆𝙷𝙰𝚃 𝙸𝚂 𝚃𝚁𝙰𝙳𝙸𝙽𝙶 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴? Confluence in trading is the process of combining different technical analysis tools to identify high-probability trading opportunities. Instead of relying on a single indicator, traders look for areas where multiple indicators or strategies align, providing a stronger signal for entering or exiting a trade. These tools might include price action analysis, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, support and resistance levels, or even fundamental analysis. When several tools point to the same conclusion, the signal is considered more robust, reducing the likelihood of false positives and improving the chances of a successful trade. 🔵𝚆𝙷𝚈 𝙸𝚂 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴 𝙸𝙼𝙿𝙾𝚁𝚃𝙰𝙽𝚃? The financial markets are complex, with numerous factors influencing price movements. Relying on a single indicator can lead to inconsistent results, as no indicator is infallible. By using confluence, traders can: Increase Confidence in Trade Decisions : When multiple indicators confirm the same signal, it provides traders with greater confidence to act on that signal, knowing that it is backed by various forms of analysis. Filter Out False Signals : Indicators sometimes produce false signals. By requiring alignment between different tools, confluence helps filter out these false positives, leading to more reliable trading decisions. Enhance Risk Management : Confluence allows traders to pinpoint more precise entry and exit points, which can lead to tighter stop-loss levels and better risk-reward ratios. This, in turn, can improve overall portfolio performance. 🔵𝙷𝙾𝚆 𝚃𝙾 𝚄𝚂𝙴 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴 𝙸𝙽 𝚃𝚁𝙰𝙳𝙸𝙽𝙶 To effectively use confluence in your trading strategy, consider the following steps: Select Complementary Indicators : Choose indicators that complement each other rather than those that replicate the same information. For example, combining a momentum indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a trend-following indicator like a Moving Average can provide a more comprehensive view of market conditions. Identify Key Levels : Look for confluence at key levels such as support and resistance zones, Fibonacci retracement levels, or pivot points. When price action aligns with these levels and is confirmed by multiple indicators, it suggests a higher probability trade setup. Confluence of Chart Patterns and Oscillator One powerful example of confluence is when a chart pattern like Equal Highs (EQH) aligns with a momentum indicator such as the Stochastic RSI. This combination provides more confidence in determining the trend direction. When both the EQH pattern and Stochastic RSI align, such as when price hits equal highs while the Stochastic RSI shows overbought conditions, traders can have increased confidence in anticipating a trend reversal. Combining Same-Type Indicators - Using multiple trend-following indicators, such as the Aroon, Directional Movement Index (DMI), and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), can enhance your ability to identify strong trends and avoid false signals. These indicators complement each other by offering different perspectives on trend strength and direction. - Combining multiple mean reversion indicators can provide stronger signals for potential price reversals. This approach helps in identifying overbought or oversold conditions with greater confidence. Here are some ways to create confluence using mean reversion indicators: When multiple indicators align to show overbought or oversold conditions, it provides a stronger signal for a possible price reversal. However, it's important to remember that even with confluence, no indicator combination is foolproof, and proper risk management should always be employed. Use Multiple Time Frames : Analyzing confluence across different time frames can provide additional confirmation. For instance, if a bullish signal is confirmed on both the daily and hourly charts, it strengthens the case for entering a long position. Multiple timeframe analysis is a highly effective strategy in technical analysis, as it allows traders to see the broader picture of market trends and zoom into shorter-term price movements. One common approach is to apply a 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) across different timeframes, such as 3D, 1D, 12H, and 4H charts, to assess trend strength and direction. By combining these timeframes with the 50-period SMA, traders can assess whether the trend is aligned across different perspectives. For example, if the price is above the 50-SMA on the 3D and 1D charts but below it on the 4H chart, it might signal a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend. This confluence of trend analysis across multiple timeframes provides a more robust trading strategy. Combine Technical and Fundamental Analysis : While technical indicators are the primary tools for identifying confluence, integrating fundamental analysis (such as economic reports, earnings releases, or geopolitical events) can further validate your trading decisions. Practice Patience and Discipline : Trading confluence requires patience. It’s important not to force trades when indicators are not in alignment. Waiting for confluence signals can prevent impulsive trades and improve your long-term success rate. 🔵𝙻𝙸𝙼𝙸𝚃𝙰𝚃𝙸𝙾𝙽𝚂 𝙾𝙵 𝚃𝚁𝙰𝙳𝙸𝙽𝙶 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴 While trading confluence can significantly enhance your trading strategy, it’s important to acknowledge its limitations: Overfitting : Relying on too many indicators can lead to overfitting, where the analysis becomes too complex, and signals become rare or conflicting. It's essential to strike a balance and avoid excessive complexity. Subjectivity : Confluence can be somewhat subjective, as traders might interpret the alignment of indicators differently. Developing a consistent and disciplined approach to identifying confluence is key. Delayed Signals : Waiting for multiple indicators to align can sometimes result in missed opportunities, especially in fast-moving markets. Traders should be aware of the trade-off between signal reliability and timing. 🔵𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙲𝙻𝚄𝚂𝙸𝙾𝙽 Trading confluence is a powerful concept that can enhance the quality of your trading decisions by providing more reliable signals and reducing the risk of false positives. By combining complementary indicators, analyzing multiple time frames, and incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis, traders can increase their confidence and improve their overall performance. However, it’s important to remain mindful of the potential limitations and to apply confluence in a disciplined and balanced manner. By mastering trading confluence, you’ll be better equipped to navigate the complexities of the market and make informed decisions that align with your trading goals.
VANTAGE:SP500Education
by BigBeluga
4
Confluence on ONDO!Nice confluence on ONDO. We broke market structure when price went above the previous top made on the 20th of Aug. That means we're now looking to go long when a retracement happens. Specifically, we're looking for a retracement into the following zone of confluences: previous range support (green box) fibonacci golden pocket (yellow box) weekly VWAP (orange line) SMA 200 (blue line) A dip into this area would potentially provide a great long opportunity. Set your alert and chill!⏰
Long
by madmax1000
2
AUD/USD Bears In ControlWhile the AUD/USD shows signs of trending higher on the daily chart – a series of higher highs and higher lows have been seen since $0.6362 – the unit recently connected with resistance at $0.6659, a move bolstered by the monthly chart linking with the upper boundary of a potential bearish pennant formation, drawn from a high of $0.7158 and a low of $0.6170. Coupled with the above analysis and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding south of the 50.00 centreline on the monthly chart and daily flow also poised to break through the 50.00 centreline, this could prompt further selling in the currency pair towards the 200-day and 50-day SMA combination between $0.6528 and $0.6560.
Short
by FPMarkets
BTCUSD - Is the bull-rally over or just the beginning? Hello traders, investors and community. Today i am analysing BTCUSD and what will probably happen next. In my chart we are looking on the daily price of BTCUSD. In my chart you can see the huge suppy zone right where we got rejected the last days on june 26th. This is a critical zone because we have supply there from the bear-market 2018, you see the BTCUSD price has just marked some upthrust over the 11800 - 14000 level and got rejected in the supply zone, this is because traders taking profit and more important investors who held BTC from old days leaving the market. In my chart you can see this dashed dark blue trend line, this is an important area for BTCUSD because we have temporary support here. When we cross the blue trend line in this are which you can see on my chart the next target will be the second large blue trendline and the support zone in green which you can see on my chart. We have also good support there provided from the high 9900, you can see it at the dashed light blue trend line. My expectation is that BTCUSD gets some upthrust back in the supply area where it will be rejected by the huge supply lying in this area. When we come back to this area i will open a short position there at 13000 - 13700 with targets at 9500 - 9000. This is a good oportunity to trade the upcoming turbolences. Also looking on the RSI provided in my chart you can see that the RSI reached a critical level at overbought conditions, there is also a bearish divergence which makes the probability higher we are facing pull-backs in the future. Practically speaking the bull-rally can not be over, there are just some turbolences coming the next days! After the pull-back from the support zone we have to see if BTCUSD makes a comeback and is going to form new highs or if it fails. I am optimistic that we can easily reach new highs after the pull-back, but it is always better to keep the other possibilities in mind until then i will trade this market on the SHORT side. Have a great day! I hope you enjoyed my analysis! This is only educational information and should not be used to take action in the markets! Will be back analysing crypto, forex, stocks! Peace and love to everybody!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by VincePrince
1
IBKR Weekly Technical AnalysisIBKR Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Pitchfork, Confluence, Clusters, Trend Lines, ABCD Pattern, Fibonacci Extensions - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NASDAQ:IBKR
by BahamasX
HALLIBURTON Weekly Technical AnalysisHAL Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Confluence, Clusters, Trend Lines , Parallel Chanel, Fibonacci, Gap, Triangle - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NYSE:HAL
by BahamasX
AMD Weekly Technical AnalysisAMD Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Confluence, Cluster, Parallel Channels, Modify Schiff Pitchfork, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BahamasX
NVIDIA Weekly Technical AnalysisNVDA weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Confluence, Cluster, Channel, Pitchfork, Rectangle, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BahamasX
PEPE BULLISH after retest of KEY support!PEPE is targeting the daily level below. If price can stay above the daily level and golden pocket, after a breakout of the descending trend line, that would be #BULLISH in my opinion. I would then expect price to target the POC (Yellow line) 20% above then the next major resistance (Blue box) 45% above. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
by Navitility
2
MAXLEV PATTERN: NEW STRAT? OR A REFINEMENT OF THE OLD?After buying a trading book... damn, I'm overwhelmed again lol. But, I guess having the indicators were just for additional volume confluence? Basically overall shit is still the same. SMC POI LEVELS(S/R BASED ON PIVOT & PDL/PDH) VOLUME PROFILES (STATIC & DYNAMIC) TIME RANGE SWEEPS But I think I realized something. I used to mark SMC stuff first, but in actuality it should be the last. Use pivot to establish day bias. Use volume to see how price reacts to pivot/bias. Use Time Ranges to check for sweeps whether continuation or reversal. Use SMC/ICT to optimize entry on the 5min TF. We'll see how it goes.
Short
by reventioaxie
MACY'S Weekly Technical AnalysisM weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Confluence, Cluster, Modified Schiff Pitchfork, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NYSE:M
by BahamasX
SILVER FUTURES Daily Technical AnalysisSI1! Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Cluster, Confluence, Rectangles, Pitchfork, Modified Schiff Pitchfork, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
COMEX:SI1!
by BahamasX
INTEL Daily Technical AnalysisINTC Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Fibonacci Retracement, Gap - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NASDAQ:INTC
by BahamasX
S&P 500 Daily Technical AnalysisSP 500 Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines , Parallel Channel, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
VANTAGE:SP500
by BahamasX