GOLD sell setup If you’re planning a **sell entry at 2630** for gold, here’s a detailed plan for your setup:
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### **Sell Entry at 2630**
#### **Rationale for 2630 Entry**:
1. **Resistance Zone**:
- 2630 is a psychological and technical resistance level where sellers might dominate.
2. **Overextension**:
- If gold reaches this level after a strong upward move, it could indicate overbought conditions and exhaustion.
3. **Market Sentiment**:
- Failure to sustain above 2630 would confirm bearish sentiment and likely trigger selling pressure.
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### **Trade Setup Details**
#### **Entry**:
- **Sell at 2630**, ideally after confirming a rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or strong wick rejections).
#### **Stop Loss**:
- Place the stop loss slightly above 2635 to protect against false breakouts.
- Alternatively, use the ATR (Average True Range) to calculate a dynamic stop.
#### **Take-Profit Targets**:
1. **Target 1**: 2620
- This is the next key support and provides a conservative risk-reward.
2. **Target 2**: 2608
- A strong support zone where buyers might re-enter.
3. **Target 3**: 2600
- If the bearish momentum is strong, this level could be reached.
---
### **Confirmation Signals Before Entry**
1. **Candlestick Patterns**:
- Look for a rejection near 2630 with patterns such as:
- Shooting Star
- Evening Star
- Bearish Engulfing
2. **Momentum Indicators**:
- **RSI**: Overbought readings (above 70) near 2630 confirm exhaustion.
- **MACD**: A bearish crossover or divergence around 2630 strengthens the sell case.
3. **Volume Analysis**:
- Declining volume on the move up to 2630 indicates a weakening bullish trend.
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### **Risk Management**
- **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: Aim for at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure a favorable outcome.
- Avoid entering immediately if price breaks above 2630 without signs of rejection.
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### **Fundamental Watch**
1. **DXY Correlation**:
- If the DXY strengthens (moving toward 108.100), it aligns with a bearish gold move.
2. **Economic Data**:
- Monitor for any major data releases (e.g., U.S. GDP, inflation data, or Federal Reserve comments) that could influence gold prices.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
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Commodities
Analysis of gold on December 26
After experiencing five waves of daily level rise and reaching the top, gold formed a top at 2790 and pulled back. The gold price then accelerated to 2546 and then rebounded to 2720, but the price fluctuated widely at a high level.
A double top fallback structure was formed at 2720. In the short term, it further fell to 2583 and then rebounded. The current price is around 2583, forming an ascending triangle consolidation structure. The upper resistance is 2635, which is in the short-term rebound repair stage.
Overall, the trend of gold has changed from rising to sideways consolidation. The short-term trend is in the rebound repair stage after falling. In terms of operation, pay attention to the consolidation of the triangle structure before operating.
Operation suggestions:
Long order: If the price falls back to the bottom of the triangle structure 2610 without breaking, you can consider participating in the order.
Target: 2625, 2635, 2664.
Short order: If the price rebounds to the 2630-2625 area, you can consider participating in this range.
Target: 2610, 2595, 2580.
Steady operation: It is recommended to wait for the gold price to break through the triangle consolidation area before entering the market.
If it breaks through the 2630-2635 area, you can consider long orders.
Target: 2665, 2680, 2700.
If it rebounds to the 2610-2600 area, you can consider short orders.
Target: 2585, 2560, 2545.
If you have any different views on the future of gold, please leave a message and like it. Thank you
Today we will first look at the operation of the 2608~2633 rangeGold continues to fluctuate and converges in a triangle range. The main reason is due to the early market impact of Christmas Eve. From the picture above, the price breaks through the downward trend line and forms a horizontal consolidation in the short term. The price has not completely escaped from the shock zone and is expected to repeat again. Pay attention to 2608/2633 during the day! Pay attention to 2608/2633 during the day!
Gold rebounded first in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2632. Gold is still in a volatile market. The unilateral trend has not come yet, so the rebound of gold in the Asian session will continue to be short; gold is directly short near 2631 in the Asian session!
Gold is still in a shock range in 1 hour. If gold is under pressure at 2632, it may still fall under pressure. Don’t chase the rise easily when gold rushes up quickly in the Asian session. It may fall under pressure at any time; only after gold breaks through and stabilizes at 2632, gold may reverse, and then consider falling back to long.
First support: 2610, second support: 2600, third support: 2588
First resistance: 2632, second resistance: 2646, third resistance: 2658
Trading strategy:
Sell high and buy low according to resistance
GOLD - Price can correct to support line and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price made upward impulse and reached $2670 resistance level, which coincided with resistance zone.
Next, price broke this level, and entered to triangle, where it declined to $2605 support level, breaking $2670 level.
In triangle, price trades tried to back up, but failed and fell below support line, exiting from triangle pattern.
Then Gold in a short time rose to $2726 points, breaking resistance level, after which started to decline inside pennant.
Inside this pattern, price declined to $2583 points, breaking $2670 and $2605 levels, but recently broke $2605 level again.
I think that Gold can decline to support line and then bounce up to $2660, leaving pennant pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Potential Decline to KeyThis analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the daily timeframe highlights the price structure, Fibonacci retracement levels, and Andrews' Pitchfork, suggesting the possibility of further downside movement to key support areas.
Key Highlights:
Corrective Wave Structure and Key Resistance:
The recent upward correction appears to have completed near the resistance zone of $2638–$2655, aligning with the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels.
The condition for further decline is the inability to close a daily candle above this resistance zone. Failure to break this level increases the probability of continued bearish movement.
Andrews' Pitchfork:
The price is clearly moving within the Andrews' Pitchfork, which illustrates the overall bearish direction of the market.
Price action at the median and outer lines of the pitchfork will determine the next move.
Key Support Levels:
The first major support level is at $2545, which could act as a short-term target.
If selling pressure persists, the price may drop further to the next significant support at $2495, completing the anticipated C-wave.
DT Oscillator:
The downward turn in the DT Oscillator provides confirmation of continued bearish momentum.
This bearish signal, combined with failure to break the key resistance zone, increases the likelihood of a move toward the identified support levels.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If the daily candle fails to close above the $2638–$2655 resistance zone and the DT Oscillator maintains its bearish signal, the price is likely to decline toward $2545 and potentially $2495.
Bullish Scenario:
A close above the $2638–$2655 resistance zone, coupled with a bullish turn in the DT Oscillator, could indicate a potential trend reversal and a move toward higher levels, possibly $2700+.
Conclusion:
Based on Andrews' Pitchfork, the key resistance zone, and the signals from the DT Oscillator, Gold Spot is at a critical juncture. If the resistance holds, the price is likely to decline toward the $2545 and $2495 support levels. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction to these levels and momentum signals for potential setups.
Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments, and don’t forget to follow me for more detailed analyses like this!
WTI - the fate of oil next year!WTI oil is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the zone, the next purchase of oil will be offered with a reward suitable for us.
Analysts believe that the global oil market will be well-supplied in the coming year due to increased oil production from non-OPEC+ countries and limited growth in global oil demand. Despite uncertainties surrounding 2025, experts maintain a cautious outlook on crude oil prices.
By the end of 2024, investment banks projected that oil prices in 2025 would remain around $70 per barrel of Brent.
However, the potential escalation of trade tensions poses a downside risk to prices.
Market observers are aware that oil price forecasts are often inaccurate. Yet, considering current fundamentals and geopolitical developments, experts generally hold a more negative than positive view on oil prices for the next year.
Most analysts and investment banks anticipate a supply surplus in the oil market for 2025, even if OPEC+ adheres to its current plan to reduce production starting in April 2025.
In December, OPEC+ announced a delay in its planned 2.2 million barrels per day production cut from January to April 2025. Additionally, the group extended the timeline for fully reversing these cuts to September 2026.
According to investment banks, while OPEC+’s decision may reduce the anticipated surplus, the market will still experience oversupply.
ING commodity strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey noted in a recent report: “For now, we forecast the oil market to face a surplus next year, although much will depend on OPEC+’s production policies.”
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has long predicted a significant supply surplus in 2025. In its monthly report, the IEA stated that even if OPEC+ maintains its current production levels throughout 2025, there would still be a daily surplus of 950,000 barrels. If OPEC+ halts voluntary production cuts at the end of March 2025, this surplus could rise to 1.4 million barrels per day.
The IEA also forecasts that global oil demand will increase by 1.1 million barrels per day next year. However, this growth will not be sufficient to absorb the additional supply from non-OPEC+ producers, primarily the U.S., Brazil, and Guyana.
Additionally, weak consumption data from China indicates that demand this year has been below initial projections. OPEC has also reduced its oil demand growth forecasts for 2024 for five consecutive months.
In its December Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that if OPEC+ implements its recent production cut decisions, global oil inventories would rise by an average of 100,000 barrels per day starting in the second quarter of next year.
The EIA further predicted that this inventory increase would exert downward pressure on crude oil prices by late 2025, with Brent prices declining from an average of $74 per barrel in Q1 2025 to $72 per barrel in Q4 2025.
The agency estimates that the average annual Brent oil price in 2025 will be $74 per barrel, down from this year’s average of $80 per barrel. Recent surveys also reflect this trend, as analysts have lowered their oil price forecasts due to weak demand and robust supply growth.
Some experts argue that stricter U.S. sanctions on Iran and heightened geopolitical tensions might support prices early next year. However, overall weak demand forecasts are expected to exert significant downward pressure on oil prices.
China’s accommodative monetary policy could boost its economy and oil demand, but President-elect Trump’s promise to increase tariffs on China poses risks to economic growth, trade, and oil demand. Saxo Bank recently stated that China’s latest economic stimulus measures and the likelihood of further monetary easing could offset the impact of U.S. tariffs in 2025, signaling Beijing’s determination to prevent a severe economic downturn.
OXY, going long.The energy sector is overlooked. I believe OXY presents itself as a valuable investment for generations. From essential resources to services, there is no doubt there lays a mint of life long cash-flows. Energy prices are volatile and this company is established to survive a stress tested $30 Oil prices.
12.26 Gold Trend Trading Strategy
🎈Currently, spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2617 US dollars/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high selling short and low buying long. The pressure level is 2633 and the support level is 2600. On Monday, gold opened at a low level in the Asian morning, and tested the support of the 2608 area. On Tuesday, it opened again in the 2613 area, indicating that the support below is strong. The support area is still bullish. Focus on the upper 2626 and 2633 points. The retracement is also expected. Without the retracement, the bulls can't go far. Due to the Christmas holiday, the bulls have no strength during the day and return to the range of shocks.🔴
🎈There are two scenarios for tomorrow's opening:
The first scenario is that the Asian morning session directly jumps up and opens above 2620, and then rises sharply in the morning session, breaking through 2626 and then trading sideways in the 2633 area. The European session exerts force again, directly breaking through 2633, and continues to rise to 2642. After the US session retests around 2633, the bulls exert force three times to directly probe above 2650. In terms of operation, hold the long orders in hand, break through 2626 and 2633 tomorrow and continue to go long. The first time it touches 2642, go short, and look at 2635-33. The US session retests around 2633 and directly goes long again, looking above 2650!🔴
🎈In the second case, the Asian market opened at a normal high in early trading. After a small retest of the 2613 area in the morning, it rose directly to the 2642 area in the early trading. The European market fluctuated and consolidated above 2633. The bulls in the US market made a second effort and broke through the 2650 area again.🔴
🎈Gold strategy:
Go long when gold retests near 2613, target 2642, 2650, 2664; go short if 2642, 2650, 2664 are given for the first time; go long in batches if 2610, 2607, 2601 are given; more real-time layout is subject to the actual market;🔴
🎈The difference between these two situations is whether it opens with a gap or opens at a normal high, which determines the strength of the bulls and how far they can go. If it opens with a gap, the strength of the bulls basically stops at the 2650 area, and if it opens at a normal high, the expected limit of the bulls can be seen in the 2670 area!🔴
12.26 Gold Trend Trading Strategy
🎈Currently, spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2617 US dollars/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high selling short and low buying long. The pressure level is 2633 and the support level is 2600. On Monday, gold opened at a low level in the Asian morning, and tested the support of the 2608 area. On Tuesday, it opened again in the 2613 area, indicating that the support below is strong. The support area is still bullish. Focus on the upper 2626 and 2633 points. The retracement is also expected. Without the retracement, the bulls can't go far. Due to the Christmas holiday, the bulls have no strength during the day and return to the range of shocks.🔴
🎈There are two scenarios for tomorrow's opening:
The first scenario is that the Asian morning session directly jumps up and opens above 2620, and then rises sharply in the morning session, breaking through 2626 and then trading sideways in the 2633 area. The European session exerts force again, directly breaking through 2633, and continues to rise to 2642. After the US session retests around 2633, the bulls exert force three times to directly probe above 2650. In terms of operation, hold the long orders in hand, break through 2626 and 2633 tomorrow and continue to go long. The first time it touches 2642, go short, and look at 2635-33. The US session retests around 2633 and directly goes long again, looking above 2650!🔴
🎈In the second case, the Asian market opened at a normal high in early trading. After a small retest of the 2613 area in the morning, it rose directly to the 2642 area in the early trading. The European market fluctuated and consolidated above 2633. The bulls in the US market made a second effort and broke through the 2650 area again.🔴
🎈Gold strategy:
Go long when gold retests near 2613, target 2642, 2650, 2664; go short if 2642, 2650, 2664 are given for the first time; go long in batches if 2610, 2607, 2601 are given; more real-time layout is subject to the actual market;🔴
🎈The difference between these two situations is whether it opens with a gap or opens at a normal high, which determines the strength of the bulls and how far they can go. If it opens with a gap, the strength of the bulls basically stops at the 2650 area, and if it opens at a normal high, the expected limit of the bulls can be seen in the 2670 area!🔴
How I Predicted Gold's Reversal 6 Hours Ahead Using Gann Astro ?
Today's date is December 26, and while most traders are enjoying the post-Christmas festivities, I successfully calculated a reversal in gold on December 24, 6 hours prior to its occurrence. Using advanced Gann Astro techniques and mathematical models, I identified the upcoming high and low in the market with precision.
On my page, I frequently share free insights, emphasizing that time (y-axis) is far more significant than price (x-axis). Most traders get fixated on price movements, but the market's true behavior is governed by time functions. For this calculation, I used the Ascendant as a key variable in my Gann intraday trading strategy, which allowed me to anticipate market movements accurately.
The market reversed precisely at 10:30 AM New York Time (UTC-5), just as I predicted. This demonstrates the unmatched accuracy of the methods I use—knowledge that surpasses anything else in the trading space. This secret expertise enables me to decode the market with such precision that it often feels like I know exactly what the market will do next.
Now, as you can see on the 45-minute timeframe for gold, the price reversed at the exact time I calculated 6 hours in advance—10:30 AM New York Time (UTC-5). This wasn’t random. The market doesn’t operate on randomness; it functions through price delivery algorithms, with time being the key driver.
Price is simply a variable delivered based on time, and this makes time far more important than price. Always remember what Gann emphasized: "Time is more important than price." When the time is up, the market will reverse—this principle is consistently proven true.
Observe how the price moved decisively in one direction after being validated by the time function, aligning both the Y-axis (time) and X-axis (price). Switching down to the 15-minute timeframe, you can see this validation in action. This demonstrates the precision and power of advanced Gann Astro methods in predicting market movements.
Knowing this, the price has moved significantly in the direction I calculated 6 hours ago, even before anyone had a clue about how the price would unfold. Not only did I predict the reversal in gold, but I also pinpointed the exact time of its reversal. Using Gann Intraday Astro techniques combined with advanced mathematical models and my 5 years of continuous chart analysis, I’ve gained the experience and edge to accurately calculate upcoming highs and lows in the market.
This success is a result of sheer hard work and dedication. Now, as you can see, after the price moved in my predicted direction, I could step away for the Christmas holiday, knowing the market would be closed for a few hours on December 25th.
But here’s the incredible part: even after the market reopened on December 26th, the price delivered exactly as I forecasted. It fulfilled its movement to the zones of buyside liquidity I had marked. This proves the efficiency of price delivery algorithms that operate to fulfill massive liquidity pools. This gold intraday trade is now complete, showcasing the power of accurate predictions and disciplined market analysis.
As you saw, I was able to calculate the upcoming low on gold 6 hours in advance using advanced Gann Astro techniques and the power of time over price. This is a demonstration of how precise and effective these methods can be when applied with the right knowledge and dedication.
If you want to learn how to master these strategies and unlock such insights into the market, feel free to reach out to me at- 📧 Email: GannAstroTraderHQ@gmail.com.
GOLD → A chance for growth or a trap?FX:XAUUSD continues to give hope to the bulls, trading inside a local rising channel resembling a flag on the background of a local bearish trend.
Further upside for the gold price may remain limited as the US dollar remains underpinned by the Fed's hawkishness.
This begs the question: what will happen to rates? Hold or rise?
It is worth understanding that the rise in inflation expectations against the backdrop of Trump's protectionist policy requires an increase in interest rates.
In addition, statistically, the dollar enjoys interest towards the end of the year, and because of the Christmas holidays
Technically, I am still skeptical about a possible strong growth, as the fundamental background is weak. Technically, the price may bounce from any nearby strong level.
Resistance levels: 2633, 2650
Support levels: sma, 2606
We may not expect strong moves at the end of the year, the market is already celebrating the end of 2024. But the probability is there. Emphasis on the nearest strong levels from which the fall may resume
Regards R. Linda!
Happy Holidays to all and a productive new year 2025!
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 2,626.558.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,600.886 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
As we broke the structure to the top, now it's time for a pull back so I'm interested in these two areas to set orders. I'll update TPs later.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 8H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 68.35 area.
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GOLD tries to recover after the holidayOn this trading day, gold traders OANDA:XAUUSD will need to focus on data on initial jobless claims in the US, which could have an impact on market trends in the short term.
The seasonally adjusted number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week of December 21 will be released today (Thursday) and is expected to be 224,000.
Data released last week showed initial jobless claims in the United States fell from 242,000 to 220,000 in the week ended December 14, below expectations of 230,000, showing signs that the labor market movement is still steady.
If the latest initial unemployment claims turn out to be lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and a negative impact on the price of gold and major non-US currencies.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has recovered from the technical level of $2,613, but the recovery is still limited by the upper edge of the price channel, along with the nearest resistance level noted at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement point. % and EMA21.
Considering the current price position, gold still has a technical outlook of falling in price with the main trend being noticed by the price channel. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not yet surpassed the 50 level, the 50 level is considered resistance/support depending on the position of the RSI and on the current daily chart it is considered a resistance.
In the short term, if gold falls below the technical level of $2,613 it will have room to fall a bit further with a target level then around $2,600 and more to the $2,592 price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement. .
As long as gold does not break above the price channel, with price activity stabilizing above the EMA21, it remains biased to the downside, with notable levels listed below. Along with that, using POC Volume Profile, at 2,646USD there is also a large trading volume, this position should also be considered a technical resistance.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,592USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,646USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2585
→Take Profit 1 2596
↨
→Take Profit 2 2601
Gold "Lulls" After the Holiday BreakCurrently, the price of gold is fluctuating around $2,625 per ounce. The gold market is showing signs of lull following the holiday break, with no significant breakthroughs observed. Last week, gold came under strong pressure due to expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy. Inflation remains high, raising concerns that the Fed may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the coming year. This not only creates uncertainty in the global economy but also strengthens the US dollar, thereby diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Looking at the technical chart, while I expect the support level at $2,610 to help gold maintain a stable trend in the short term, the outlook for strong growth in gold seems limited. In fact, gold may face two key resistance levels at $2,626 and $2,620. These resistance levels will create significant barriers, making it difficult for gold to break through and continue rising sharply.
With both fundamental and technical factors at play, the likelihood is that gold will fluctuate within a narrow range over the next few days, and may experience a slight decline if it fails to break through the resistance levels mentioned. However, if the $2,610 support holds, gold could remain stable, with no significant decline expected in the short term.
USOIL Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 69.70 zone, USOIL was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 69.70 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe
World gold price increased slightlyLooking ahead to gold prices, John LaForge, head of physical asset strategy at Wells Fargo, said during his bank's annual outlook webinar that he won't be paying much attention to the Federal Reserve in 2025. Economists at the bank expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates only once next year.
He also pays more attention to central bank demand than the opportunity cost of real yields, said the macro investment strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management. Analysts are also paying attention to emerging market consumer demand. In early 2024, gold prices were boosted by record central bank purchases and unprecedented demand from Asian consumers and investors, primarily China.
World gold prices increased slightly as the USD decreased. Recorded at 9:35 a.m. on December 26, the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuations of the greenback against 6 major currencies, was at 107.940 points (down 0.08%). According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks' demand for gold has reached its highest level in more than ten years. This is a clear demonstration of gold's solid position as a safe haven asset, especially when the global geopolitical and economic situation continues to be unstable. At the same time, loose monetary policies and a slower pace of interest rate hikes from central banks have also contributed to creating positive momentum for gold prices.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2631 - 2629🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2638
GOLD → One final step remains before a drop. The target is 2587.Hello, dear friends! Let’s discuss and strategize today's gold trading opportunities with Ben!
As predicted yesterday, gold prices dropped to $2,608, delivering a profit of approximately 200 pips. This decline was driven by pressure from Wall Street’s underperformance, which bolstered the strength of the US Dollar and Treasury yields. Investors are now eagerly awaiting clearer signals about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy for 2025.
In reaction to these developments, the US Dollar Index rose by 0.4%, hovering near its highest level in over two years. This diminished gold's appeal for holders of other currencies. Additionally, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased, adding further weight to gold prices.
Looking ahead, the market remains focused on the outcomes of last week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. A more gradual rate hike trajectory for 2025 is currently under discussion, with speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate changes in January or March.
From a theoretical perspective, in the face of a strong US Dollar, gold has limited upside potential. If sellers maintain resistance below $2,620 and push to break the support level, the pair could target $2,587 in the medium term.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
$SLV Trade Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview:
Instrument: iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Indicators on Chart:
Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA for short-term trend analysis.
Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines at key levels.
Trendlines:
Red Line: Downtrend resistance.
Green Lines: Support forming an ascending wedge after a potential trend reversal.
Horizontal Resistance:
Yellow Line at $29.00: Major psychological and technical resistance.
White Dashed Lines near $28.20 and $26.53: Key dark pool levels.
Key Observations:
Descending Channel Reversal:
SLV was previously in a clear downtrend marked by the red resistance and green support lines.
The recent breakout above the green support line and consolidation near $27 indicates a potential shift in momentum.
Ascending Triangle Formation:
After the breakout from the previous downtrend, the price has formed a triangle pattern, with resistance near $27.08 and ascending support at $26.96.
This formation is often a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout if the price can breach the resistance.
Dark Pool Levels:
$28.20: An immediate target, aligning with prior price action and a dark pool level.
$26.53: A significant support level where institutional activity may provide a floor for the price.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance:
$27.08: Triangle resistance.
$29.00 - $29.13: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone.
Support:
$26.96: Immediate ascending support line within the triangle.
$26.53: Key dark pool support level and invalidation zone for a bullish outlook.
Volume:
A breakout above $27.08 should ideally be accompanied by a volume spike to confirm institutional buying and sustained bullish momentum.
Trade Idea:
Entry:
Breakout Entry: Enter above $27.08 with confirmation (strong candle close and increased volume).
Pullback Entry: Enter near $26.96, the lower support of the triangle, for a better risk-reward setup.
Profit Targets:
$28.20: First target aligning with the dark pool level.
$29.00: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone.
$29.13: Final target, slightly above the psychological resistance zone.
Stop Loss:
Close below $26.53: Invalidation of the bullish setup and indicates a likely continuation of the downtrend.
Risk Management:
Position size should be calculated based on risk tolerance.
Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, considering the entry near $27.08, stop loss at $26.53, and first target at $28.20.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: A breakout above $27.08 should be accompanied by a surge in volume to validate the move.
Dark Pool Influence: Watch price behavior near $28.20 and $26.53 to gauge institutional activity.
Caution: If the price consolidates too long near the triangle resistance without breaking out, it may signal weakness and increase the probability of a breakdown.
WTI Oil H1 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 70.37 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 69.48 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again .
Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.