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XAU/USD Analysis – 1-Day Time FrameXAU/USD Analysis – 1-Day Time Frame Over the past month, XAU/USD has been bearish. However, we recently saw a reversal, with the price testing a key resistance zone at 2718. Following this, the price retraced sharply to 2608 before starting to climb again. Potential Trade Setups: Short Opportunity at 2675: As the price approaches the 2675 resistance level, watch for a strong rejection signal, such as a prominent wick or a significant red candle. This could indicate a potential short opportunity. Break and Retest for a Buy Opportunity: If the price breaks through 2675 and closes above it, wait for a retest of this level as a new support zone. Once the price confirms this retest (e.g., through a strong doji or bullish candle), it may provide a favorable buy entry. Important Notes: Do not trade this idea blindly. Ensure there is proper confirmation before entering a position. Look for clear candlestick patterns, such as a doji, to validate your entry decision, whether for a long or short trade. I hope this analysis helps in your trading journey. Don’t forget to like and comment for more ideas like this!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by KainT21
China’s $83 Billion Gold Discovery: Fuels Bullish MomentumChina Discovers $83 Billion Gold Reserves in Hunan China has uncovered gold reserves valued at approximately $82.9 billion (600 billion yuan) in Hunan province, according to state media Xinhua. This discovery solidifies China’s position as the world’s largest gold producer, contributing roughly 10% to global output in 2023. The reserves, located in Pingjiang County, feature over 40 gold ore veins at a depth of 2,000 meters, with a core resource of 300.2 tons and grades reaching up to 138 grams per ton. Experts forecast more than 1,000 tons of reserves at greater depths. Despite its significant production capacity, China remains a net importer of gold to meet domestic demand, with consumption far exceeding output in the first three quarters of 2023. Gold prices have seen a surge this year, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, further highlighting the strategic importance of this discovery. Gold Technical Analysis Gold is currently exhibiting a strong bullish trend, supported by the stabilization of the weekly candle in bullish territory. Here’s the refined analysis: Bullish Scenario: As long as the price stays above 2644 and 2625, we anticipate a push towards 2678, 2706, and 2739. A breakout above 2739 could lead to new all-time highs at 2787 and 2838. Bearish Scenario: For a bearish outlook to materialize, the price must break 2625 on a daily candle, potentially targeting 2585 and 2558. However, this scenario remains less likely under current conditions. Outlook: The bullish scenario is favored due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions and China's significant gold provisions, including the recently announced reserves of 1,100 tons. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2644 Resistance Levels: 2678, 2706, 2739, 2787, 2838 Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585 Trend Outlook: Uptrend This analysis highlights the robust upward momentum in gold, underpinned by global uncertainties and China's strategic reserve accumulation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing EMA5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2668 and a gap below at 2647. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2668 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2696 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2713 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2733 BEARISH TARGETS 2647 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2631 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2609 - 2592 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2665 and a gap below at 2612, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2665 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2736 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2736 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2785 BEARISH TARGETS 2612 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2612 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2566 - 2519 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATE.Hey Everyone, Please see our mid to long term daily chart update. After completing our bullish targets 2629 and 2686 we were left with a candle body close above 2686 leaving a gap above at 2760 last week and stated that we needed ema5 cross and lock to confirm this or a rejection will see the lower Goldlturn levels for support. - EMA5 failed to cross 2686 with a turn confirming the rejection. We are enow seeing a test at the 1st stage of the retracement range at 2629 and expecting a reaction here for a bounce. EMA5 cross and lock below this level will confirm test for the full retracement range. Failure to lock below will see bounce from this retracement range inline with our plans to buy dips. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, This is an update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and playing out exactly like we analysed. Last week we stated that this chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We were able to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejection into the retracement range below for the correction. We also remined everyone that we had been suggesting over the last few weeks that we will be looking for the channel top and the retracement range to provide the support for a reactional bounce. - This played out perfectly last week with the weekly candle testing the channel top and then wicked out for the support and bounce like we analysed. Overall the channel top is providing the support like we analysed. Although we saw candle body closes below the channel there was no ema5 break into the channel, which allowed us to identify the fake-out and confirm the support. This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 02 - Dec 06]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,721 USD/oz to 2,605 USD/oz, then increased slightly and closed the week at 2,650 USD/oz. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply in the early sessions of this week was because President-elect Donald Trump nominated Mr. Scott Bessent, a traditional Wall Street financier, to hold the position of the US Treasury. The market expects Mr. Bessent to contribute to stabilizing the US economy and increasing the strength of the USD. Besides, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, announced earlier this week, also eased worries about geopolitical tensions, reducing the appeal of gold as a safe haven. In particular, Mr. Trump threatened to impose a 25% tax on Mexican and Canadian goods imported into the US and proposed imposing a 10% tax on all products from China, also increasing concerns about a tariff war. , causing the FED to delay reducing interest rates, or even increase interest rates again. In addition, the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) in November still increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, higher than forecast and much higher than the FED's target of 2%. This may make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term. Many people believe that the gold market will have some unpredictable fluctuations in the near future as it continuously reacts to Mr. Trump's comments before his inauguration. In the short term, gold prices next week will continue to be dominated by statements posted on social networks by Mr. Trump. In addition, the market will focus on important US economic data, such as manufacturing and service PMI index; Employment indexes: ADP, NFP, unemployment rate... If US employment figures, especially NFP, increase stronger than expected, it may cause the FED to delay cutting interest rates at the December meeting. coming, causing gold prices to come under pressure to adjust next week. On the contrary, if US employment figures continue to decline sharply, it will cause the FED to continue cutting interest rates, thereby positively supporting gold prices next week. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold price may still fluctuate between 2,500 - 2,750 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,600 – 2,606 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2751 - 2749⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2539 - 2541⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2535
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive the Recovery Gold prices have rebounded after a recent dip, which followed reports of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. Despite this temporary pullback, the broader dynamics supporting gold remain intact, driven by geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and central bank policies. Geopolitical Tensions Support Gold One of the primary factors behind gold’s continued strength is the persistence of geopolitical risks. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets, with gold standing out as a key hedge against global instability. Even with temporary easing of tensions in the Middle East, the broader geopolitical landscape remains a strong support for gold prices. US Dollar Weakness Boosts Gold US economic data presented a mixed picture, which weakened the dollar and provided a boost to gold prices: - **US GDP QoQ (2nd Estimate):** 2.8%, in line with forecasts, indicating steady economic growth. - **US Initial Jobless Claims:** Reported at 213K, slightly better than the forecast of 215K, showcasing a stable labor market. - **US Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, below expectations of 0.5%, signaling a softer investment demand. - **US PCE Price Index YoY:** Rose to 2.3%, matching forecasts but higher than the previous 2.1%. - **US Core PCE Price Index YoY:** Climbed to 2.8%, in line with expectations but up from the prior 2.7%. - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. These figures weakened the US dollar, which typically moves inversely to gold, making the precious metal more attractive to global investors. Inflation Concerns and Central Bank Activity Inflation remains a key driver for gold. Planned tariffs on imported goods, proposed by future President Donald Trump, could exacerbate inflationary pressures in the US, further boosting gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Moreover, gold continues to benefit from a global environment of falling interest rates. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, while central bank purchases add strong, consistent demand to the market. Emerging Market Demand Strengthens Gold Emerging economies, such as China and India, play a critical role in gold’s price trajectory. In these regions, gold holds significant cultural and investment value, and rising wealth levels contribute to increasing demand. This structural support further solidifies gold’s position as a long-term investment choice. What’s Next for Gold? Gold’s rebound highlights its resilience amid shifting global dynamics. While geopolitical developments like the ceasefire in the Middle East can trigger short-term volatility, the broader drivers—geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and central bank policies—remain firmly in place. As the dollar shows signs of softening, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the long term. Is this the beginning of a renewed rally for gold, or will further global developments bring new challenges? Share your insights in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestMate
1
USDJPY - A Whole Lotta Pips in 2024!USDJPY has been one of our favourites to trade! We've managed to catch the start of the swing points for each wave since the beginning of 2024. Our entry method remains the same. Break of Trendline. Simple yet very effective if used correctly. Since our last setup, we've moved +600pips in our direction. We're currently holding it at breakeven and riding out the wave! See below for our past setups. Trade 1: Trade 2: Trade 3: Trade 3 (Public Post): Trade 4 (Public Post): Trades 3 and 4 have been public setups. Well done to those that were paying attention and caught it! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
2
USDJPY - A Whole Lotta Pips in 2024!USDJPY has been one of our favourites to trade! We've managed to catch the start of the swing points for each wave since the beginning of 2024. Our entry method remains the same. Break of Trendline. Simple yet very effective if used correctly. Since our last setup, we've moved +600pips in our direction. We're currently holding it at breakeven and riding out the wave! See below for our past setups. Trade 1: Trade 2: Trade 3: Trade 3 (Public Post): Trade 4 (Public Post): Trades 3 and 4 have been public setups. Well done to those that were paying attention and caught it! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
XAU/USD 27.11.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, A quick update on gold: Wave Orange A is definitely completed. I’m now looking for bullish momentum, either as a 12345 setup (as I’ve drawn) or potentially as an ABC formation leading to my Orange B. The Fibonacci zones remain consistent regardless of the scenario. At the moment, I already have two buy positions. My current target is the retracement level of Wave B. Once I can confirm whether the structure is forming an ABC to B or a 12345 setup, I’ll adjust my target accordingly to the relevant Fibonacci extension level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
Oil: Time to Short? WTI Set to Plunge Over 10%Hey Realistic Traders, Is Oil About to Crash? Let’s Dive In.... What's the cause of sudden drop in oil prices? U.S. President Donald Trump has pledged strong support for the oil and gas industry, aiming to streamline permits, boost domestic production, and expand drilling on federal lands. He has also criticized renewable energy subsidies and pushed for increased natural gas exports. Aligned with Trump’s stance, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its 2023 oil production forecast to 13.23 million barrels per day, surpassing last year’s record of 12.93 million. Global output is also expected to increase, while weaker oil demand from China, driven by slowing economic growth, adds further downward pressure. These policies and projections support the assumption of lower oil prices ahead How much further could they decline?, Let's analyze it using technical analysis! On the daily timeframe, TVC:USOIL is in a bearish continuation phase, potentially entering wave 3 of the trend. It has also broken out of a head-and-shoulders pattern that developed over the past 60+ days, signaling the end of a consolidation phase. This breakout, paired with a bearish marubozu candlestick, strengthens the case for a continued downtrend. Adding to this, the MACD indicator has confirmed a bearish crossover, providing further confirmation of downward momentum. With these signals aligned, we project a potential drop toward the first target of $60.51, and possibly even further to the secondary target of $57.80 This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at $73. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Oil.
TVC:USOILShort
by financialfreedomgoals101