GOLD (XAUUSD): Deep Consolidation & Your Trading Plan
Gold is trading in sideways range for more than 2 trading weeks already.
The recent high impact fundamental releases, did not manage to violate
its weakness.
Next week, pay attention to the reaction of the price to the support
and resistance of the underlined range.
If the price breaks and closes below 2605, it will open a potential
for a further bearish continuation to 2565.
Bullish breakout of the resistance of the range and a daily candle close above
2666 will confirm the strength of the buyers. The up movement will be expected
at least to 2715.
The absence of strong fundamental triggers will continue the consolidation.
Alternatively, you can trade the market within the range, buying from its support
and selling from its resistance.
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Commodities
CRUDE OIL Weekly Forecast: Bearish! Wait for SHORTS!Price has traded through the low @67.71, indicating a shift in the market from bullish to bearish bias. There is an untapped imbalance above @67.87, an Internal Liquidity target. As we know. price seeks liquidity from External liquidity (lows and highs) to Internal Liquidity (FVGs). So the idea here is to wait for the pullback into the -FVG/imbalance and look for valod short setups, targeting the lows @66.98 and 66.50.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
PLATINUM Weekly Forecast: Bearish! Look for SHORTS!Keep an eye on this one, as it makes its way down to 911.7.
I'm looking for the highlighted lows to be swept this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BRIEFING Week #49 : Still nothing !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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VALE: Elliott Wave AnalysisWe're looking at an Expanded Flat correction in Wave 2, with Wave C forming a Complex Corrective ABCDE triangle pattern
After breaking down from the triangle pattern, Wave C is likely to terminate near major support levels (~$7.50-$6).
Implications for Wave (3):
Once Wave (2) concludes, a powerful impulsive Wave (3) is expected, with targets around:
$27-29 (161.8% extension).
~$40 (261.8% extension).
The triangle within Wave C suggests exhaustion of the bearish trend, setting the stage for a multi-year rally.
Based on Vale's goals in producing and expanding on their "energy transition" metals like nickel (currently the second largest nickel miner in the world) and copper, and the demand for EV batteries. It's likely that Vale will benefit.
This is a long projection so Vale will have to execute on all its timelines and goals for production capacity.
Best of luck all.
GOLD increases and decreases in opposite directionsThe world gold price listed on Kitco is at 2,633 USD/ounce, up 3 USD/ounce compared to early yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at 2,654.6 USD/ounce, down 0.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices fluctuated slightly on Friday (December 6), marking the second consecutive week of decline. The precious metal has lost about 0.5% of its value this week, after hitting its lowest level since November 26 in early trading.
During the day, gold prices barely reacted to the jobs data expected last week. The latest report shows that although job growth remains fairly stable, signs of weakness have begun to appear in the US labor market.
According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 227,000 new jobs were created last month, far exceeding experts' expectations. However, the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, higher than 4.1% last month. Economists predict this ratio will remain unchanged.
Although job growth remains strong, economists say the latest data will not stop the US Federal Reserve (Fed) from cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting. However, some analysts note that the Fed's easing cycle could run into trouble if job growth extends into 2025.
Gold prices may test the support level of 2,550 USD/ounce and the resistance level of 2,700 USD/ounce in December 2024. The trend in the next few weeks is that gold prices may decrease due to profit-taking activities.
Regarding the medium-term trend, the support level of gold prices remains firm, but it is unlikely that there will be a strong breakthrough in the upward direction in the near future.
Gold prices benefit from lower yields, continued rising geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding future policy implementation and global impact under the Trump administration.
Gold: A Beacon in Economic UncertaintyGold: A Beacon in Economic Uncertainty
Gold has long been a symbol of stability, value, and security. In today’s turbulent economic and political environment, its role as a safe-haven asset is more critical than ever. Global events, ranging from monetary policy shifts to geopolitical crises, are shaping the price of this precious metal. What does the future hold for gold, and what does it mean for investors?
---
A Safe Haven in Chaotic Times
During periods of global uncertainty, when financial markets grapple with volatility, gold remains one of the most sought-after assets. Recent events, such as the government crisis in France, fiscal policy uncertainties in the United States, and OPEC+ decisions to extend oil production cuts, have highlighted its enduring appeal.
Gold is often viewed as a stabilizer amid market turmoil, especially when investors are concerned about rising inflation and economic slowdowns. In Europe, the European Central Bank’s plans for further interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of assets like gold, which serve as a hedge against currency devaluation.
---
Macroeconomic Trends Supporting Gold Prices
1. Monetary Policy and Real Interest Rates
Both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are adopting dovish stances, which bodes well for gold prices. In an environment of low real interest rates—where inflation outpaces bond yields—investors increasingly turn to gold as a protective asset.
2. Growing Demand for Gold
Central banks worldwide, particularly in China and India, are ramping up gold purchases, increasing global reserves. This reduced market supply acts as a catalyst for price growth.
3. Geopolitical Tensions
Political crises, such as budget impasses in the U.S. and uncertainty in the European Union stemming from France’s leadership challenges, drive investors toward safe-haven assets, lifting gold's value.
---
Gold in the Digital Age
Modern technologies like blockchain are revolutionizing gold investment. Tokenization is making the gold market more accessible, blending the stability of traditional assets with the flexibility of digital solutions. Individual and institutional investors are increasingly leveraging these advancements, recognizing their potential to shape the future of the gold market.
---
Forecast: Will Gold Hold Its Shine?
Experts predict that gold will remain in the spotlight in the coming years. Anticipated developments include:
- Further interest rate cuts in Europe and the United States.
- Rising geopolitical and political tensions, increasing demand for protective assets.
- Sustained high demand from central banks and financial institutions.
In the long term, gold appears to be an excellent hedge against inflation and market volatility.
---
Conclusion
Gold, throughout history, has been synonymous with value and security. Amid today’s global economic and political challenges, its role is more crucial than ever. Investors should view gold not only as a means of capital preservation but also as a cornerstone of a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Is gold part of your financial strategy? In times of uncertainty, it may be precisely what you need for stability and peace of mind.
SILVER My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 31.108
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 31.335
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 30.689
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 67.101.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 68.230 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
$50 Silver"Decade of zero returns" for the stock market = Shortening Bear Market for Commodities
Price target = $50
Fractal backbone + Room in technicals for such move.
Price target was established in June 2021.
Time frame pushed up in anticipation of 2023 bear.
GOLD / Dropped $47 and Reversed, Again Bearish MomentumGold Technical Analysis
The price dropped and reached our targets 2623 and 2613 and reversed quickly, as we mentioned yesterday,
Today also has a bearish momentum as long as trades below 2653 will drop to get 2623 and 2612, below 2612 will touch 2585, and we have the retest possibility to 2653.
To be a bullish trend till 2661 and 2678, the 4h candle should be closed above 2653.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2641
Resistance Levels: 2653, 2661, 267
Support Levels: 2624, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2649 and especially 2638.
previous idea:
Gold: A Beacon in Economic UncertaintyGold: A Beacon in Economic Uncertainty
Gold has long been a symbol of stability, value, and security. In today’s turbulent economic and political environment, its role as a safe-haven asset is more critical than ever. Global events, ranging from monetary policy shifts to geopolitical crises, are shaping the price of this precious metal. What does the future hold for gold, and what does it mean for investors?
---
A Safe Haven in Chaotic Times
During periods of global uncertainty, when financial markets grapple with volatility, gold remains one of the most sought-after assets. Recent events, such as the government crisis in France, fiscal policy uncertainties in the United States, and OPEC+ decisions to extend oil production cuts, have highlighted its enduring appeal.
Gold is often viewed as a stabilizer amid market turmoil, especially when investors are concerned about rising inflation and economic slowdowns. In Europe, the European Central Bank’s plans for further interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of assets like gold, which serve as a hedge against currency devaluation.
---
Macroeconomic Trends Supporting Gold Prices
1. Monetary Policy and Real Interest Rates
Both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are adopting dovish stances, which bodes well for gold prices. In an environment of low real interest rates—where inflation outpaces bond yields—investors increasingly turn to gold as a protective asset.
2. Growing Demand for Gold
Central banks worldwide, particularly in China and India, are ramping up gold purchases, increasing global reserves. This reduced market supply acts as a catalyst for price growth.
3. Geopolitical Tensions
Political crises, such as budget impasses in the U.S. and uncertainty in the European Union stemming from France’s leadership challenges, drive investors toward safe-haven assets, lifting gold's value.
---
Gold in the Digital Age
Modern technologies like blockchain are revolutionizing gold investment. Tokenization is making the gold market more accessible, blending the stability of traditional assets with the flexibility of digital solutions. Individual and institutional investors are increasingly leveraging these advancements, recognizing their potential to shape the future of the gold market.
---
Forecast: Will Gold Hold Its Shine?
Experts predict that gold will remain in the spotlight in the coming years. Anticipated developments include:
- Further interest rate cuts in Europe and the United States.
- Rising geopolitical and political tensions, increasing demand for protective assets.
- Sustained high demand from central banks and financial institutions.
In the long term, gold appears to be an excellent hedge against inflation and market volatility.
---
Conclusion
Gold, throughout history, has been synonymous with value and security. Amid today’s global economic and political challenges, its role is more crucial than ever. Investors should view gold not only as a means of capital preservation but also as a cornerstone of a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Is gold part of your financial strategy? In times of uncertainty, it may be precisely what you need for stability and peace of mind.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 06.12.2024Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold keeps dropping in its bear trend. Our target is $2,580. You can see the zig zag move Gold is creating. We saw a break below + retest so should continue now.
Option 2: If Gold moves above $2,690 next week then we can see a mid term bull trend towards $2,740 before it drops back down again.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Even today's NFP data couldn't push enough volatility into Gold to invalidate our structure🦾 Today's positive NFP data should have pushed Gold down aggressively, but price is still ranging within a 'Flat Corrective' schematic in-between Wave A & Wave B.
We will see push Gold down but ONLY AFTER a 'Flat Corrective' phase has finished playing out. The market will flush out & liquidate all the impatient traders first, then push us higher profits.