Commodities
BOTTOM FOR GOLD? - FED RATES TOMORROW; ONLY A PROJECTION! As illustrated, I am trying to visualize what COULD be an inverted head & shoulders pattern, THAT HAS NOT BEEN FORMED YET!
I REPEAT: IT HAS NOT BEEN FORMED YET
The only reason I share this idea, is because tomorrow, WED 18th, the FED has to decide for the last time this year if to lower rates or keep them at 4.75% basis points. Should the FED decide to LOWER them, this could cause gold to spike and potentially being the bullish impulse I am trying to project here.
Should the FED KEEP the rates where they are, the market MIGHT simply continue its "current normal" path which STILL HAS BEARISH STRUCTURE.
THAT BEING SAID ...
Be patient with this potential setup, and wait for the rates to come out + a few hours for the market to price in the decision of the FED, because there is still room for gold to drop to the psychological price range of 2610 - 2600.
Gold is at a spot where it could manipulate one more time before a pop to the upside, in order to induce sellers and generate liquidity.
Regardless the outcome of the FED rates, if price does indeed take off, make sure it closes above the pivot area illustrated and make sure such area HODLS as support In the near future for a potential buy opportunity towards a year-end bull expansion toward + 2730...
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GOOD LUCK!
Apple Earnings Boost Stock to 182 ? Reasons Why
Apple’s Fiscal 2024 First Quarter Results:
Apple reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, which ended on December 30, 2023. Here are the key highlights:
Revenue: The company posted quarterly revenue of $119.6 billion, representing a 2 percent year-over-year increase.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Quarterly earnings per diluted share reached $2.18, marking a 16 percent year-over-year growth.
Services Revenue: Apple achieved an all-time record in services revenue during this quarter.
Active Devices: The installed base of active Apple devices surpassed 2.2 billion, reaching an all-time high across all products and geographic segments.
Cash Flow and Dividends: Apple generated nearly $40 billion of operating cash flow and returned almost $27 billion to shareholders. The company’s board of directors declared a cash dividend of $0.24 per share of common stock, payable on February 15, 2024.
Long Idea and Earnings Impact:
While the earnings report reflects strong performance, it’s essential to consider the broader market context and analysts’ expectations.
Analysts estimate an average EPS of $1.41 for Apple’s second quarter of 2024, with a range between $1.32 and $1.45.
As an investor, you might want to assess factors such as:
iPhone Sales: The growth in iPhone sales significantly contributed to Apple’s revenue. Monitor iPhone demand trends and product launches.
Services Segment: Services revenue hit a record high. Evaluate the sustainability of this growth.
Margin Expansion: The all-time record EPS resulted from margin expansion. Understand the drivers behind this improvement.
Dividends: Apple’s consistent dividend payments provide income for long-term investors.
GOLD → Manipulation ahead of a possible rate cutFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of 2658 (0.5 fibo). We can say that this is a manipulation before a possible growth. Technically gold has a neutral trend. The emphasis is on support.
Markets continue to consider the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rate by 0.25% on Wednesday. This could spark a bearish rally in the dollar, which would be favorable for gold, which is heading for support. But here we should also take into account the comments of the Fed, which based on economic data is beginning to question its decisions and change into a hawk. The suspension of the rate cut cycle in January may put pressure on the markets, including gold, but this problem is postponed until 2025. Today all eyes are on retail sales.
Technically, gold is flat and heading for strong support....
Resistance levels: 2646, 2658
Support levels: 2633, 2620, 2617
Price is heading towards support before the news. Manipulation before a possible rise? The probability is high :)
We are waiting for support retest, false breakdown and possible growth to the mentioned targets
Regards R. Linda!
XAGUSD: Bottom of the Rising Wedge. Bullish.Silver is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.462, MACD = -0.151, ADX = 27.970) as it trades under the 1D MA50 but still over the 1D MA200. The latter is at the bottom of the long term Rising Wedge and is the technical support level. As long as it holds, we will be bullish on Silver, aiming at its top for the next HH (TP = 37.000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EXN ready for a little rallyGold Silver and all the other miners got slaughtered recently, so I'm curious how this will work. Excellon is in a good jurisdiction well financed insider buying all that stuff. Technicals show increased volume price keeping pretty steady despite the sector sell off. We have been consolidating inside a triangle and a wedge giving us two targets. If gold and silver reverse losses, fed cuts EXN might catch a nice bid.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Not much to update on our route map, as price is still playing within the range for tomorrows pre-fomc gear up.
We are currently seeing price play in the retracement zone to provide support for the bounce with the full gap still left open at 2628. We also have the full bullish gap above left open at 2666 to keep in mind.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2666
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2666 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2697
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2697 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2719
BEARISH TARGETS
2645 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2645 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2628
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2628 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2606 - 2586
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Xauusd (GOLD): I am thinking to short positionshello guys!
let's analyze GOLD
Liquidity Hunted:
The chart highlights a liquidity grab near the recent high (marked as hunted), where the price spiked above resistance before reversing sharply.
Downtrend Movement:
Gold has shown strong bearish momentum, breaking below a rising trendline and key support levels.
A continuation toward the gray demand zone around $2,585–$2,595 is likely.
Key Demand Zone:
The gray highlighted area is the next potential support, where buyers may step in to halt the decline.
Scenarios:
Scenario 1: If the price respects the demand zone, a short-term bullish rebound towards $2,620–$2,630 can occur.
Scenario 2: Failure to hold the demand zone could push Gold further down toward the blue support area near $2,539–$2,535.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently bearish, with a strong possibility of reaching the demand zone at $2,585–$2,595. Traders should monitor this level for signs of a reversal or continuation, with $2,539 as the next downside target if support fails.
Silver (XAG/USD) Testing Long-Term Trendline SupportChart Analysis:
Silver prices are approaching a key rising trendline (black) that has supported the market throughout 2024. This level could provide a pivotal point for the next directional move.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support:
The trendline, drawn from the January 2024 low, has consistently acted as support. Silver is currently testing this level around $30.39, which aligns with a potential decision zone.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Price has slipped below the 50-day SMA at $31.64, suggesting near-term bearish pressure.
200-day SMA (red): The longer-term trend remains intact, with the 200-day SMA rising steadily near $29.57.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering at 42, showing weakening momentum but not yet oversold. Traders may monitor for divergence signals.
MACD: The MACD line is below zero, with a slight bearish crossover forming, reinforcing a cautious outlook.
What to Watch:
A decisive move below the rising trendline could bring the 200-day SMA ($29.57) into focus as the next key support.
On the other hand, a bounce from this trendline might signal renewed bullish momentum, with resistance likely at the 50-day SMA ($31.64).
RSI and MACD movements could offer early clues for price direction.
Silver is at a technical crossroads as it tests critical long-term trendline support. Traders will be watching closely for confirmation of the next move.
-MW
USOIL Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 71.02
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 69.73
My Stop Loss - 71.80
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD-GOLD | 15M | SCALPING TIMEHello guys, I made XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY ( XAUUSD-GOLD ) 2650,0
🟢TP1: 2653.0
🟢TP2: 2655.0
🟢TP3: 2663.0
🔴SL: 2641.0
Medium Risk
GOLD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GOLD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-17: Momentum Rally PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally higher - possibly attempting to find a top.
What I find interesting is the big rally in the QQQ/Nasdaq yesterday. Possibly, the Momentum Rally phase hit the NQ yesterday.
Overall, I'm still looking for the markets to attempt to roll into a topping pattern. So, I'm staying very cautious of any big market moves right now.
Yes, if you look at the QQQ/NQ, it looks like the markets are in liftoff mode (bullish), but other data suggests the markets are actually weakening and pulling into a reversion phase.
Gold and Silver will likely find a base/bottom soon. I picked up some Call options on SILJ and GDX recently anticipating the potential rally move.
Bitcoin is well beyond a 100% measured move higher. Even though I believe Bitcoin can rally to 112k - 115k, I'm urging traders to stay cautious (still).
My data suggests the markets are weakening and possibly moving into a pullback/reversion phase.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650 Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650
1. Immediate Downside Targets:
$2,600: Minor support level; likely to be tested soon.
$2,575–$2,550: Stronger support zone; potential area for profit-taking or reversal.
$2,500: If momentum remains bearish, this could be the extended target.
1. Entry Point:
Enter a sell position $2,650
2. Profit Targets:
First Target (T1): $2,600 (close part of the position).
Second Target (T2): $2,575.
Final Target (T3): $2,550 (full exit unless trend remains strong).
3. Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss just above $2,660–$2,670 to protect against a false breakout or rebound.
Risk Management
Avoid over-leveraging; short-term gold movements can be volatile. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
XAUUSD: 17/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2673, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Gold is currently in a volatile situation. As for the current trend, the two consecutive days of retreat last week have basically destroyed the previous upward trend. The daily short-term moving average has also formed a suppression pattern. The previous support level is also likely to be converted into top pressure, forming a suppression effect. In terms of operation, it is still treated as a rebound short.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance continues to focus on the NY market high of 2662 last Friday. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. Pay attention to the short-term support of 2640 below, and focus on the support of 2627.
BUY:2645near
BUY:2627near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SILVER Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 30.270.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 31.022 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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